I’m just saying (see “Paging Neil Cavuto: UAH global satellite data has record WARMEST day for January“).
Yes, the UAH satellite data just keeps going up (click to enlarge):
This shouldn’t be terribly surprising: Long-term global warming trend + moderate El Ni±o = record temperatures, as predicted by NASA climate scientists, among others.
But it has the anti-science crowd scrambling for alternative explanations, since it just seemed so friggin’ cold out for a few days, which everybody knows is the best way to figure out climate trends. Anyway, here’s everyone’s favorite Czech anti-science guy:
According to UAH, January 2010 will almost certainly be their warmest January on record, and by its anomaly (which is likely to exceed 0.70 °C), it will be one of the 4 warmest months.
I was thinking how it was possible that such an unusually cool January is so warm according to this global methodology. Snow was almost everywhere on our hemisphere, wasn’t it? Well, it may actually be a reason.
First, I thought that a problem could exist with the satellite measurements of the solar infrared radiation reflected from the snow. But the solar infrared radiation is actually negligible….
Anyway, you can read the rest if you want in his post, “Warming induced by the latent heat of snow” — I kid you not, that’s the headline.
How about “Warming induced by human emissions” for a headline? So much for Occam’s razor.
Oh, I forgot, for LuboÅ¡ Motl, anthropogenic global warming is just a “fad.” Of course, snow in the northern hemisphere in winter is not actually counter-indicative of human-caused global warming. Quite the reverse (see “Was the “Blizzard of 2009″³ a “global warming type” of record snowfall “” or an opportunity for the media to blow the extreme weather story (again)?“).
Anyway, for the rest of us, the main news of the past week, besides the record-breaking satellite temperatures, is that the El Ni±o is staying pretty strong. You can find the NOAA’s “Weekly ENSO Evolution, Status, and Prediction Presentation” on their El Ni±o / Southern Oscillation (ENSO) page.
The ENSO is weakening a tad in the Eastern Pacific, but it’s still on the moderate to strong side, so NOAA’s overall prediction remains:
Based on current observations and dynamical model forecasts, El Ni±o is expected to continue at least into the Northern Hemisphere spring 2010.
Also, NOAA said its own CFS (Climate Forecast System) ensemble mean forecast “predicts El Ni±o will last into the Northern Hemisphere summer 2010,” by which time it’s going to be hard for the anti-science crowd to use snow cover as their explanation for record temps.
- The hottest decade ends and since there’s no Maunder mininum “” sorry deniers! “” the hottest decade begins
- Must-read AP story: Statisticians reject global cooling; Caldeira “” “To talk about global cooling at the end of the hottest decade the planet has experienced in many thousands of years is ridiculous”
- Following third warmest November, December not even close to contiguous U.S. record for cold
- Met Office: “It is not cold everywhere in the world.”
- Breaking: 2009 hottest year on record in Southern Hemisphere and tied for second globally
- Experts: Cold snap doesn’t disprove global warming