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Energy and Global Warming News for April 16th: Global temperatures hit ‘hottest March on record’

Rebound in stock prices prompts green-tech IPOs

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/get-file.php?report=global&file=map-blended-mntp&year=2010&month=3&ext=gif

Global temperatures hit ‘hottest March on record

Global temperatures fueled by El Nino seasonal warming last month chalked up the hottest March on record, US weather monitors reported.

“Warmer-than-normal conditions dominated the globe, especially in northern Africa, South Asia and Canada,” the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said in a statement on Thursday.

Combined global land and ocean average surface temperature for March 2010 was the warmest on record at 13.5 degrees Celsius (56.3 degrees Fahrenheit), which is 0.77 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average of 12.7 C, it said.

Average ocean temperatures were the hottest for any March since record-keeping began in 1880, while the global land surface was the fourth warmest for any March on record, NOAA said, citing analysis from the National Climate Data Center.

See also “Bye-bye, global cooling myth: Hottest March and hottest Jan-Feb-March on record” for temperature data from NASA and the satellites.

Rebound in stock prices prompts green-tech IPOs

Green businesses have responded to a turnaround in stock prices over the past year by planning initial public offerings worth more than three times the amount raised in 2009.

Among them are California-based electric carmaker Tesla Motors Inc., Massachusetts-based renewable energy producer Ameresco Inc. and Spanish photovoltaics manufacturer T-Solar Global SA, which have all filed to go public.

Nineteen green businesses plan to raise $9.6 billion through IPOs this year, according to Bloomberg New Energy Finance. Twelve of them are solar and wind companies.

“There’s renewed appetite for green IPOs,” said Luigi Ferraris, chief financial officer of Enel SpA. The Italian utility hopes to sell a minority stake in Enel Green Power this year for $5.4 billion, which would be Europe’s largest offering since 2007.

Analysts say the surge in IPOs has resulted from higher stock prices. The MSCI World Index, which tracks equities in developed countries, has risen by 80 percent since March 2009.

“Investment bankers are out there soliciting business,” said Nigel Meir, a fund manager at London-based Ludgate Environmental Fund. “The green sector has a lot of forward propulsion”

Competition on batteries could overwhelm Daimler-Renault partnership

Though the two car companies have formed a joint venture to develop electric cars, Renault SA and Daimler AG will compete to produce the battery packs that will be used in their electric Smart and Twingo models.

The companies traded 3.1 percent stakes last week, but they left battery development out of the deal, creating a potential source of conflict down the road. Both companies have described the technology as critical to the development of future vehicles.

“Daimler has been a company that has traditionally been reluctant to give up its own technology path,” said Anil Valsan, London-based director of automotive research at Frost & Sullivan Inc. “While Daimler’s battery may have a technical edge, Renault-Nissan’s solution may end up being more cost competitive.”

Daimler is “not obliged” to use Renault’s batteries for its cars, Renault CEO Carlos Ghosn said at the announcement of the alliance last week, but the company is “obviously going to do everything in order for our battery to be considered as the best.”

The two companies plan to spend several billion dollars on battery development over the next two years. Considering the cost of the technology, it would be surprising if the companies decide to use separate batteries for the two vehicles, said Mike Tyndall, a London-based analyst at Nomura Securities Co.

“They may reach a point where it’s clear that one technology will be better than the other,” Tyndall said. “It’s all a question of how willing they are to work together”

German solar firms get warm welcome in California market

German companies eager to profit from their expertise have been flocking to California in recent years. With government incentives driving the growth of renewable energy sources at a breakneck speed in the US, California has emerged as one of the nation’s most active markets for solar energy.

The companies range from contractors who install solar panels on homes to energy suppliers, who feed electricity from renewable sources into the nation’s power grid. Some enterprises form partnerships with local companies while others launch North American subsidiaries. But all say there is no shortage of demand.

Growth potential yet to peak

California’s economy is the eighth largest worldwide, and its goal is to use 33 percent renewable energy by 2020. Angela Merkel said during her current visit that the state is a source for German cooperation in both industry and scientific research.

“We can dramatically develop our relationships here,” she told the dpa press agency.

German companies have been doing just that, largely because California’s solar energy market is known for rapid growth thanks to progressive government policies.

Johannes Buchholz, managing director of the German-American Chamber of Commerce in San Francisco, said those companies developed much of their expertise because of Germany’s feed-in tariff, which pays for renewable energy supplied to the electricity grid.

“California is starting to move in that direction. It’s not anywhere close to the German model yet, but the steps are going in that direction. The potential is still absolutely great. California is this sleeping giant that is starting to awake to mostly solar energy,” Buchholz told Deutsche Welle.

Google climate change chief wants price on carbon

Google wants a price on carbon and wants it now — both for lofty reasons like combating global warming, but also because it could be good for business.

As the Senate inches closer to climate legislation that could give the Internet giant what it wants, I checked in with Dan Reicher, the director of climate change and energy initiatives at Google, to see what surfing the web had to do with reining in greenhouse gases.

Turns out, the answer is technology. Reicher — a former Department of Energy assistant secretary who now directs Google’s investments in clean energy — believes that exposing the hidden costs of dirty fuels will set off a rush of investment in new energy innovations. He says carbon pricing is an “essential signal we have to get to.” Right now, “money is sitting there to make significant investments,” he says, but the cash flow is sidelined because the incentives aren’t there.

Once they have to pay the true price of carbon combustion, the calculus for companies would change, making it fiscally prudent for them to conserve and make cleaner energy. All of a sudden it would make sense to invest in figuring out how to consume less power, or in new technologies that cut emissions at the source. And that would mean a huge new market for innovations that would help them do that.

The same would go for individuals — under carbon pricing, households save if they reduce their electricity loads, and we’d expect a spike in demand for cheap energy efficiency technology as folks seek to reduce their monthly bills. Reicher gives us a compelling vision full of smart grids that know when your fridge needs to defrost and when your car’s battery can turn you a profit by selling spare juice.

House committee clears bill to boost energy grid security

The House Energy and Commerce Committee unanimously approved a bill Thursday that seeks to address security vulnerabilities in the nation’s energy grid.

The legislation, which now heads to the House floor, would charge the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) with the responsibility of identifying and addressing weaknesses in the country’s energy delivery system.

The Grid Reliability and Infrastructure Defense (GRID) Act arrives at the behest of lawmakers and experts who fear hackers and other cyber-terrorists could easily de-stabilize the country’s energy systems remotely, causing untold harm to both the federal government and the private sphere.

Closing those prospective security holes is crucial for Democrats, especially, if they hope soon to forge ahead with their plans to establish a Web-based “Smart Grid” that allows Americans to gauge their energy use.

“Right now, our electrical grid is vulnerable to threats from terrorists and hostile countries. Our adversaries have motive, intent, and the capacity to exploit these weaknesses,” said Rep. Ed Markey (D-Mass.), the chairman of the Energy and Environment Subcommittee and the bill’s co-sponsor, following Thursday’s 47-0 vote.

“Every one of our nation’s critical systems – water, healthcare, telecommunications, transportation, law enforcement, and financial services – depends on the grid,” Markey said in a statement stressing the legislation’s importance.

Low-carbon growth could be key to alleviating poverty — U.N. study

The United Nations has called on China to “blaze a unique trail” for itself in low-carbon development by linking clean energy opportunities to improving the standards of living of millions of citizens.

In its new “China Human Development Report,” released yesterday, researchers with the U.N. Development Programme (UNDP) warn that if China does not curb the impacts of climate change and environmental degradation, it could reverse 30 years of achievements.

With nearly 350 million rural Chinese expected to migrate to urban areas over the next two decades, officials said now is the time for China’s leadership to smash the traditional wisdom that has dictated that economic advancement necessarily comes with pollution.

“China is at a critical juncture when the business as usual growth model is not sufficient to the country’s emerging challenges and pressures,” Khalid Malik, U.N. resident coordinator and UNDP resident representative in China, said in a statement. He called the shift to low-carbon development “imperative” as China balances its growth against the threat of climate change.

The annual development report this year focuses entirely on climate change and sustainable development in China. Done in partnership with Renmin University of China, it argues that the country needs to accelerate the phase-out of old and polluting equipment, industries and products. In its place, the authors said, China should ramp up its renewable energy development — but should also give priority to training, building institutions and pouring research and development funding into creating more jobs in low-carbon fields.

It points out that China’s living standards have improved dramatically over the past decades. Yet those changes, the authors note, “have not come without serious costs,” including environmental degradation, fast depletion of natural resources and zooming emissions. China in 2007 surpassed the United States to become the world’s largest emitter of climate change-causing greenhouse gases.

“Today it is widely recognized that China needs to take advantage of the international low carbon development boom in order to accelerate its shift to a more efficient pattern of economic growth,” the authors wrote. “China should transition from its heavy dependence on energy and resource consumption to improving energy efficiency while also enhancing the country’s high-value-added and high-tech industries.”

The report calls for “setting the stage for the introductions of a cap and trade system in the medium and long term,” based on a national carbon intensity target, and an enhanced system for monitoring and enforcement. It also recommends “establishing a credible and robust system” for greenhouse gas accounting and data as a basis for policymaking as well as enforcement. The authors argue that beefed up fiscal policies will be critical to attracting technical and management talent to spur innovation.

“To achieve such a fundamental transformation, the country must also revolutionize its mindset,” the authors note, urging China’s leadership, academia and think tanks to “continually question and challenge themselves” about how the country is meeting development needs.

China already is investing heavily in clean energy, having sunk $34.6 billion last year into green energy markets, according to a recent Pew Environment Group report. It also has a hefty body of national policies — from a renewable energy standard to a plan to reduce carbon intensity 40 to 45 percent in the coming decade.

Deborah Seligsohn, China program director of the World Resources Institute’s Climate, Energy and Pollution Program in Beijing, said at a recent forum that China is well on its way to achieving that carbon intensity goal. While many have criticized the carbon intensity target as merely “business as usual” — a phrase that implies China will have to change little in order to achieve it — Seligsohn argued that “what is business as usual has changed dramatically over the last five years.”

That’s the period that has seen China close down inefficient plants and establish its 1,000 Enterprise Program, under which the government works with the top 1,000 top energy-consuming businesses to tailor emission reductions. Seligsohn noted, though, that while both moves have been successful, the government now has to think about establishing broader regulations that apply to a larger number of industries and work through local energy conservation centers.

“As you do that, the challenges are greater,” she said. But, she added, she sees “no diminution in Chinese interest in having this ambition.”

Julian Wong, a senior policy analyst at the Center for American Progress think tank, called the report “refreshing” for focusing less on gross domestic product and more on standard of living as an indicator of economic development.

“When people discuss China’s development, it’s in terms of GDP. GDP is a very crude indicator, and almost too crude to measure human welfare. Ultimately, what we care about is the standard of living of the country’s citizens rather than how much churn of dollars there is in an economy,” Wong said.

“When you start speaking of development in more human terms, then I think the benefits of going low-carbon and climate change action become a lot more compelling, because then you’re talking about what are the co-benefits of climate change action,” like reducing air pollution, he said.

A Clean Energy Competitiveness Strategy For America

Accelerating U.S. clean technology innovation, manufacturing, and market creation has become not just an environmental necessity but an economic imperative. A recent Pew study showed that the global clean energy industry has experienced rapid investment growth over the last five years. New clean tech investments in 2009 reached $162 billion, which is expected to grow 25 percent to $200 billion in 2010. With the global clean energy economy emerging as one of the largest economic opportunities of the 21st century, government policy and public investment will be critical determinants of which countries come out on top in the race to attract private sector investment in clean energy technologies.

The United States is currently behind other nations in this race, and lacks an effective national strategy to compete. Climate legislation proposed in Congress to date, with its low price on carbon, ineffective renewable electricity standard, and collection of efficiency regulations, will not be enough for the United States to catch up to countries like China in building the clean energy industries of the future. To regain leadership in the global clean technology industry, the United States must enact a comprehensive clean energy competitiveness strategy that prioritizes major public investments in clean energy innovation, manufacturing, market development, education, and infrastructure.

23 Responses to Energy and Global Warming News for April 16th: Global temperatures hit ‘hottest March on record’

  1. Dave Romm says:

    For what it’s worth, 2010CE was the first March in Minneapolis with no snow. Records go back to 1878.

  2. BillD says:

    I think that local temperatures affect that public perception of global climate change. The warm weather certainly has continued in the eastern and midwester US in April. I put in our garden nearly a month earlier than usual and everything is growing like gangbusters. I’m in northern Indiana. It’s amazing to look at weather maps and to see highs in the 80s (oF) in Michigan and Wisconsin in early April.

    Next week I will be lecturing about climate change in a general biology class. I expect that even young college students realize that this spring has been exceptionally warm. Record warm temperatures are a good prelude to a national discussion on climate and energy bills. I am not saying that we should base policy on today’s weather, only that weather affects perceptions of climate.

  3. james says:

    Is that Icelandic volcano eruption big enough to have a cooling effect on the climate like Pinatubo?

    [JR: Not yet. I'll do a post.]

  4. Leif says:

    I have a strong feeling that one of the main reasons the GOP are fighting progress on the energy bill is their determination to prevent any more economic success from the Obama administration policies than is necessary. It does not matter to them if workers suffer, health insurance is unavailable to many, banks and CEO make huge profits at the tax payers expense, regulations that promote environmental collapse remain in place, it is all good as long as they feel that the Democrats and Obama take the heat. The GOP want the power back at any cost. The GOP have become the party of “NO” because they have zero “yes” proposals.

  5. Bob Wallace says:

    BillD,

    If you tell your students about your gardening experience you might want to share this site with them.

    http://www.arborday.org/media/mapchanges.cfm

    If you can get it up on the screen you can illustrated to them how in 1990 Indiana was a USDA “mostly Zone 5, little bit of Zone 6″ state.

    And how by 2006 Indiana had morphed into a “little bit of Zone 5, mostly 6 and some Zone 7 creeping in” state.

    And then remind them that 2006 was a few years ago….

  6. Michael T says:

    NASA shows last month the 2nd hottest March in their data set.
    http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/do_nmap.py?year_last=2010&month_last=3&sat=4&sst=1&type=anoms&mean_gen=03&year1=2010&year2=2010&base1=1951&base2=1980&radius=1200&pol=reg

    2nd hottest March behind March 2002
    PDF: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/Fig.C.pdf

    [JR: Tied for hottest March is how NASA puts it. These two years are simply two close to distinguish.]

  7. Stuart says:

    It was 75 in Duluth yesterday, even along Lake Superior. Snow was gone by mid-March. Things are getting very dry, very fast in the Boundary Waters and there is a red flag warning up today. No rain in the forecast.

    I fear this may be a very bad fire season.

  8. Doug Bostrom says:

    james says: April 16, 2010 at 3:15 pm

    I’ve read that it’s volcanoes in lower latitudes that are most able to swing temperatures. It’s down to atmospheric lifespan of sulfates in the stratosphere; better circulation in the upper latitudes so sulfates have a shorter residence in the stratosphere.

  9. Michael T says:

    Joe,

    You’re correct, there is not a statistical significant difference between the two months. Just too close to call in the NASA data set.

  10. Ken Johnson says:

    “California’s economy is the eighth largest worldwide, and its goal is to use 33 percent renewable energy by 2020. … those [German] companies developed much of their expertise because of Germany’s feed-in tariff, which pays for renewable energy supplied to the electricity grid.”

    See also Creative financing fuels California solar boom: “Solar module prices fell more than 40 percent in 2009 … All the activity attracted the attention of Chinese solar module makers, whose California market share more than doubled (to 46 percent) in 2009 … Germany, the world’s biggest solar power thanks to years of generous subsidies, installed 3,800 megawatts last year … nearly twice the total U.S. capacity and eight times what the U.S. installed in 2009.”

    Renewable energy standards, feed-in tariffs, “creative financing” — these mechanisms could realize Krugman’s Big Bang scenario for “quick, aggressive action to limit emissions” — not through a high, economy-wide carbon price, but through high price subsidies and financing for new renewable sources. The price incentive of a moderate carbon price (Krugman’s “Ramp”) could be multiplied tenfold if the revenue is applied to new-source subsidies.

  11. David says:

    Michael,

    It really is quite striking. Unfortunately, I don’t think a lot of people realize how much it the climate has already changed. Having looked into some old climate and phenological records, I was amazed at how different the spring season used to be in the late 18th century and very early 1900s in North America. Some of the observations would be unfathomable today. Those conditions will never be returning for a long time, as the recent solar minimum doesn’t seemed to have slowed down the warming trend at all – notwithstanding what Anthony Watts or other delayers might have to say.

    There really should be more concern about what’s going on around us – but unfortunately the media seems content to display faux controversy surrounding the climate.

  12. James Crabb says:

    Have the recent months pushed up the rate of warming over the last fifteen years to be statistically significant? putting that furphy to bed would be satisfying.

  13. Tom says:

    The problem is not Global Warming or Climate change. Those are real and fatally serious threats but easily solvable. The problem is one of sociology and psychology. The reason governments exist has been shown over the last 5 or so thousand years as Humans tried to live together.

    Until recently man has not had either a population level or technology sufficient to overwhelm Earth’s natural balancing systems. But the combination of 6 billion humans plus our technology has created the conditions to test whether the original reason for governments can be managed.

    The constant battle between man’s ( and woman’s) emotional brain and rational brain result’s in irrationality that people just do not have the awareness and judgment to cooperate. Greed, power, fear, anger etc.. simply overwhelm the rational brain just like in a bar room brawl. This was well understood by Thomas Jefferson and other Founding Fathers. They tried to design the US Constitution steer those same people toward adequate cooperation to avert severe threats.

    Unfortunately they were only aware of severe threats brought by other nations. That is what has driven our military at the expense of other similarly fatal threat defenses. We are fairly safe from non-Nuclear attacks but an asteroid, volcano or global warming are civilization killers and the Constitution provided no guidance. So here we are with an oversize military and homeland security with the resources to deal with most planet killer threats but all of them, especially the congress and the Supreme Court (a humorous name in this context) are engaged in that very brain battle Thomas Jefferson feared as we all drive toward the cliff. Sadly, many of us see what is happening and worry and feel for our children as many Americans did just before Pearl Harbor. It was a no brainer that either or both Germany and the Japanese were going to hit us last but we stuck our heads in the sand until that fateful day of December 7, 1941.

    So here we sit, locked in our little brain battle and inter-human brain battle and if history repeats, we won’t really do anything until something as severe as 911 or Pearl Harbor hit us on the side of the head. Then out will come the American flags — if the sea level is low enough, we still have drinking water, the ocean’s are still alive, etc…

    Sad isn’t it. Its all about individual and mob Psychology and CO2 and Global Warming is just a symptom.

  14. Esop says:

    Considering the denialists’ lucky streak when it comes to local weather events so far this year despite record setting global average temps (massive AO, record snow in DC, etc) it would not surprise me one bit if the current activity of the Icelandic volcano Eyjafjallajökul would cause 2010 average temperature not to break the record, meaning a few more years of “no warming since 1998″ nonsense. However, if the current eruption causes the nearby and much bigger volcano (Katla) to blow (happens 75% of the time the little one goes), it could be serious. Katla sits below a glacier, meaning that vast amounts of water vapor would be released to the atmosphere.

  15. Lauren says:

    Whatever the impact of the volcano on global climate, science-deniers will capitalize on this event to deny this year’s high temperatures are due to human impact. I.e., if 2010 turns out to be the hottest ever, they will say it was the fault of the volcano. Even though it won’t be true, they’ll blame it the volcano anyway, and the media will run with it.

  16. Joe1347 says:

    Very interesting story in the Washington post on the Pentagon holding up a large wind farm in Oregon.

    The Pentagon is threatening to scuttle what promises to be the world’s largest wind farm, in eastern Oregon, arguing that the giant turbines could interfere with an Air Force radar system.

    Caithness Energy had planned to break ground two weeks from now on the 845-megawatt, $2 billion Shepherds Flat wind farm near Arlington, Ore., an economically depressed rural community. But last month, Pentagon officials moved to deny the developer its final Federal Aviation Administration permit.

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/04/15/AR2010041503120.html

    http://www.dailykos.com/story/2010/4/17/857834/-Air-Force-bombs-large-wind-farm-in-Oregon

  17. fj2 says:

    17. Joe1347, “Pentagon holding up a large wind farm in Oregon”

    Perhaps the Pentagon could contribute to the development of “stealth” wind turbines since energy and the environmental crisis are even more important security issues.

  18. Joe1347 says:

    Regarding the wind farm story – I guess the question to ask whether these types of problems are simply going to be very isolated types of incidents if (and when) there is a movement towards the widescale deployment of alternative energy power generation (wind and solar) – or does the alternative energy industry have a real battle on their hands? We’ve already seen political push back from the California politicians against the widescale deployment of solar in environmentally sensitive desert regions – as if. Now the DoD and the FAA are delaying wind. Luckily, the White House is a strong ally – otherwise we wouldn’t even be getting this far.

  19. Bob Wallace says:

    Joe #19 – The military is installing both wind and solar generation systems on their own bases so I don’t think it’s an issue of the military being against renewables.

    I read one discussion about how reflection of radar signals off of metal towers can cause false readings. And how a wind farm in the wrong place might cause a problem detecting something like a low-flying drone. Don’t know if either are true, but it’s worth keeping in mind.

    I also found one post stating that the FAA was delaying some wind permits because they were backlogged. More applications coming in than they could process quickly.

    Overall, if you look at all the wind farms built all around the country I think you’d be hard put to surmise that people were meeting significant government resistance to building wind farms.

    As for California politicians opposing wide-scale deployment of solar – that was a load of crap caused by lazy reporting. Feinstein’s purposed bill took only a very small portion of the CA desert out of consideration and greatly improved the permit process for companies that want to build in the desert.

  20. Leif says:

    I feel that the roll of the military going foreword needs much more discussion than it is getting. The military has publicly stated that climatic disruption is a National Security issue but I do not feel that most folks have thought thru the implications of that statement. Including at lease half of the military or even a larger percentage of the politicians. The U.S military budget is ~645 billion dollars / year. Lester Brown , in “Plan B 4.0″ estimated less than ~185 billion a year to do a big wish list of a bunch of global climatic disruption mitigation policies world wide. Less than a third of our military budget. Less than 1/7 of the world military budget per year. I contend that If the US alone earmarked $200 billion for just one year of truly humanitarian efforts it would would so disorientate the hate groups out there that the next year’s savings alone would cover further investment. Other militaries would see the wisdom and invest themselves intensifying the effect. Bingo, WW II investments without an extra dime not already allocated. Our society saved, the military mandate, with the added benefit of saving the world thrown in. WW III investments to spark the economy world wide. Nobody needs to get killed or kill others. Humanity steps back from the door step of doom. The military checks and prevents the Tin Hats from throwing sand in the gears. Everyone lives happily ever after…

  21. Will Greene says:

    Seems like Africa regularly gets slammed in the temperature anomaly maps.

  22. Scientists: More volcanoes may erupt due to warming; melting ice caps remove vast weight and free up deep magma; http://bit.ly/VolcGW

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