ThinkProgress Logo

Climate Progress

Arctic Sea Ice Snooze Update

Nationalized Snow and Ice Data Center reports large quantities of frozen sea ice in the Arctic. Confirmed by ground and satellite observations. Ships unable to circumnavigate Greenland. Warmists baffled.

Another satirical masterwork from Inferno at DenialDepot in September.  This is for all those who suffered through a full year of disinformation and tortured misanalysis from the now-discredited Anthony Watts and the never-credited Steven Goddard at WattsUpWithThat (see Fastest disinformer retraction: Watts says Goddard’s “Arctic ice increasing by 50000 km2 per year” post is “an example of what not to do when graphing trends” and links below).

It is now the warmest time of the year in the Arctic, yet vast quantities of frozen sea ice are being spotted in the Arctic Ocean. So far more than two million square miles of ice have been detected from ships and satellites. NSIDC scientists have warned that more ice is just around the corner.

Paraphrasing Mark Serreze, director of the government funded NSIDC: “There are [reports coming in from] some communities that the Arctic sea ice is recovering, is getting thicker again.”

To put two million square miles of arctic sea ice into perspective, imagine two million square miles of arctic ocean covered in ice. That’s 4,146,000,000 Olympic swimming pools.

Public funded scientists at the NSIDC even admit that this figure is a minimum. They predict even more sea will freeze in coming months, a clear sign that we have a very cold winter in store for us this year.

Meanwhile alarmists try to play down the continued Arctic recovery and Global Cooling by drawing trend lines on graphs. Well the numbers don’t lie and they are:

  1. The PDO has recently tipped upside down and it’s cold side is now facing directly towards us.
  2. The Sun is in a Maunder Minimum. If the Solar Cycle slows down much more it might lose it’s balance and topple over. That’s what wiped out the Vikings.
  3. El Nino has turned into La Nina. During an El Nino caloric is released from the depths of the tropical pacific, bleaching the surface waters an anomalous yellow. During a La Nina the opposite happens and the caloric is absorbed deeper into the ocean resulting in a bluer ocean surface. Scientists have recently detected anomalous blue hues in the pacific tropics. Even some purples.

And if you are still not convinced the world is cooling try to explain this:

New Ice Age ‘to begin in 2014′. Russian scientist to alarmists: ‘Sun heats Earth!’

Response to Anonymous Criticism
Anonymous asks: “Can you please explain why you plot the years in the graph in non-consecutive order ? The “trend” you show at the end of the graph covers the years 2007, 2008, 2009 then 2005, 2006 and finally 1996, 1999 and 2010?”

I chose not to go into much detail in the post because I thought it was obvious.

Would you rather I had opted for ordering years in so-called “chronological order”? I hear that’s very much in vogue with UN scientists, but it’s certainly not in keeping with the rigors of Blog Science. You see any Blog Scientist must question such dogmas and ask if years could not be better ordered in some hither unknown fashion, such as alphabetically. Or, as I did, in order of the most memorable years. Certainly 1996 was such a crucial year in the ongoing arctic ice Recovery that it sticks foremost in my mind, more than any year since. As such it should be placed ahead of all other years on the x-axis. The question mark in 2010 is not asking what the ice level will be in 2010, it’s asking “should 2010 even be here?”

Also I notice from your IP address that you are posting from “academia” and yet you have chosen to remain anonymous. That’s interesting. Does your employer (the government or UN) know you are commenting on this blog? Have you been directed to do so? Please sign any future comments with your real name, home address and political affiliation.

That’s actually more rigorous than many WattsUpWithThat posts.

Related Posts:

17 Responses to Arctic Sea Ice Snooze Update

  1. Rabid Doomsayer says:

    The latest value : 11,717,656 km2 (December 28, 2010) from Jaxa
    Now if we go back to spring 1879 we get 10,857,350 (Cyrosphere today, historical data set) so clearly the long term trend is upward.

  2. Michael says:

    The globe has actually been cooling for 55 million(!) years:

    http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/1b/65_Myr_Climate_Change.png

  3. Eric Normand says:

    As the articles and comments on this site are viewed by many from the scientific community, I would like some opinions on the following article “Life on this Earth Just Changed: The North Atlantic Current is Gone” http://europebusines.blogspot.com/2010/08/special-post-life-on-this-earth-just.html. Does this article by Lord Stirling have any weight? While some of his theories seem over-the-top, some of the information put forth is intriguing. Are there any CP leaders that are familiar with these theories and data, and if so, what are your thoughts on the matter? The website from which the article originates doesn’t seem to get much (if any) peer review, so I am hoping some CP readers might be willing to check this out.

    Thanks

  4. Michael says:

    Eric Normand, just about everything in that article is bunk; it appears to be just spreading nonsense about another ice age (as I like to say, in 30 years we will have to put up with claims that scientists were predicting an ice age in the 2000s, just as we do now but from the 1970s). So is the stuff about the oil spill being the case. That in spite of the Met Office saying otherwise – in fact, it has actually sped up(!):

    http://www.reportingclimatescience.com/news-stories/article/gulf-stream-is-not-slowing-because-of-global-warming-says-met-office.html

    Also, the “ice age if the THC collapses” claims are just as bunk, as the simulation on this page shows (the only significant cooling is in the North Atlantic; no global cooling or ice age):

    http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/info/thc/

    This article even disagrees with the European cooling from a total THC collapse (the model in the above link is from 2003); note how it starts out – sound familiar?

    http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/res/div/ocp/gs/

    “A few times a year the British media of all stripes goes into a tizzy of panic when one climate scientist or another states that there is a possibility that the North Atlantic ocean circulation, of which the Gulf Stream is a major part, will slow down in coming years or even stop. Whether the scientists statements are measured or inflammatory the media invariably warns that this will plunge Britain and Europe into a new ice age, pictures of the icy shores of Labrador are shown, created film of English Channel ferries making their way through sea ice are broadcast… And so the circus continues year after year. Here is one example. “

  5. Alteredstory says:

    Eric, I personally wouldn’t put any weight on that blog. Aside from the presentation which seems a little odd to me, his sources range widely from random bloggish blurbs, to WattsUpWIthThat, to a “nutrimedical” thing, and his expert is an “Environmental Physician”. Maybe I’m just not familiar with that new area of expertise, but I wasn’t aware that such a profession existed.

    You will also note that in addition to his numerous, proudly displayed and listed lofty titles, he kindly advertises (and this isn’t in his adsense section) where we can BUY our own Scottish Baronies.

    It is possible that there is good data on the North Atlantic current deviating, but I would NOT put any faith in the site you posted.

  6. Steve Bloom says:

    Re #4: Eric, the words “fantasy,” “deranged” and “crackpot” come to mind, in no particular order. The author’s bio should be a hint. Note that the core of the claim is that the satellite photos have been rigged to cover up the dying current. Just e.g., consider how many ships cross the current every day and how notable its absence would be.

  7. matter says:

    “Also I notice from your IP address that you are posting from “academia” and yet you have chosen to remain anonymous.”

    Makes me laugh; happened to me when I pointed out some WUWT stupidity. Anthony worked out that ‘wtf@fu.com’ isn’t the email address of the university where I work… and assumed that scientists can’t have non-university emails so deleted all my posts.

    I’d like to think it wasn’t because I pointed out just how utterly stupid some of his guest posts were…

  8. Eric Normand says:

    Thanks Steve, for a minute there I thought I was going to have to move to South America. I guess the fact that none of his “work” ever surfaces on this site should have been a dead giveaway.

  9. MapleLeaf says:

    Oh dear,

    http://notrickszone.com/2010/12/28/global-cooling-consensus-is-heating-up-cooling-over-the-next-1-to-3-decades/

    Desperate times for those in denial– it would not be so bad if they chose to delude only themselves, but why others too? Maybe Joe can highlight the gross misrepresentations and distortions of reputable scientists’ work in this latest bout of misinformation from the denialati.

  10. Another week of incredibly high temperature from Hudson Bay to Greenland, hardly freezing, more than 18°C above normal! http://bit.ly/Huds18

  11. Bill Waterhouse says:

    #8 – that is best email address ever – made my day

  12. Anna Haynes says:

    I vote for this “sea ice extent” graph to be removed or defaced or something, so it won’t confuse the casual visitor.

    [JR: Oh, it won't be up for long.]

  13. Mulga Mumblebrain says:

    Stirling claims to be ‘Lord High Admiral of Nova Scotia’. Perhaps this is a spoof that borrows from Gilbert and Sullivan, and the lurid pretensions to potentatage just reek of Baron Monckhausen of That Ilk.

  14. Eric Normand says:

    Thanks everybody for your comments and analysis, I had already suspected the article was a bit off and was curious to know if you all were familiar with this writing. As the information the author put forth is bogus and misleading, I think it’s review and dispute on this site is important.

  15. peter whitehead says:

    Arctic sea ice area STILL at well below minimum record for end of december – worth keep putting this around:

    http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/

  16. Eyal Morag says:

    @ Rabid Doomsayer you can’t simply compare JAXA and NSIDC. All kind of problems can make the numbers different like: water on the ice, Leads, Polynyas, the fractal nature of the ice, and the way that the microwave radiation interact with all kind of ice and other things.
    If you stay with NSIDC
    “December 6, 2010
    Slow ice growth leads to low November ice extent
    Arctic sea ice grew more slowly than average in November, leading to the second-lowest ice extent for the month. At the end of November, Hudson Bay was still nearly ice-free.”

    http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/

ThinkProgress Signup Overlay Skip and Continue to ThinkProgress Skip and Continue to ThinkProgress

Sign Up