I’ve spent a lot of time lately thinking about climate change liars. Those people who make a living deliberately deceiving the public about the scientific consensus on climate disruption. These people are awful, they know who they are. They have to live with their lies.
But what’s worse is the other lie I’ve discovered in the process. It’s the lie that I’m telling. It’s the lie that we all tell to our children and each other when we don’t talk about climate disruption. It’s the lie of us all pretending that everything will be OK.
People have lots of opinions about what it takes to be a great parent. But I’m pretty sure that this isn’t on anyone’s list: Lying to your children about the unraveling of nature and the catastrophes that will certainly follow.
That’s Richard Wiles, co-founder of the Environmental Working Group, on HuffPost. Prior to EWG, Wiles was a senior staff officer at the National Academy of Sciences’ Board on Agriculture.
My daughter just turned 4, so I’m a long way away from having to have this conversation, but, of course, anyone who reads this blog knows what is coming (see A stunning year in climate science reveals that human civilization is on the precipice and links below).
The Wiles’ piece continues:
It’s not on my list. But that’s pretty much what most of us do everyday, at least those of us who know anything at all about the reality of ongoing climate disruption.
If someone told all the parents of the world that there was a 98 percent chance that radical environmental changes in the next 10 – 50 years will wipe out half of all known life forms on earth, and that famine, plagues, floods and droughts on a scale not seen in thousands of years would become routine for billions of people, you would think they would tell their kids.
Well most climate scientists in the world have been telling us that, but we don’t do anything about it.
Sure, there is a 2 percent chance, probably less, that we can continue to pump 1,000 tons per second of CO2 into the atmosphere every minute of every hour of every day of every week of every month of the year, and that it will have no effect. But there is at least a 98 percent chance that it will.
For the record, doing nothing would appear to have a greater than even chance of bringing multiple, simultaneous catastrophes to countless future generations (see Intro to global warming impacts: Hell and High Water and links below) — and only a small chance of it not bringing even one catastrophic impact.
Given those odds, what are parents to do?
What most of us do is lie. Well, not exactly lie. We just don’t talk about it. We don’t bring it up. We hide from the truth and hope somehow that it will go away. But it isn’t going away.
Why do we behave this way? Three reasons: Most of us feel powerless, in the face of industry lobbyists and lying politicians, to force the huge changes needed to fix the problem. This is not something that is pleasant to admit, and we don’t know how to tell our children just how powerless we have become. Parents aren’t supposed to be powerless. And even if we could face up to that, for most of us a climate-disrupted future is too overwhelming and painful to talk about.
And even if we decided to talk about it, what would we tell the kids? “Gee, I’m sorry, but our completely irresponsible unwillingness to make any of the changes necessary to avoid massive and unprecedented disruption of the earths climate means that we have sent the planet careening toward a catastrophic convergence of events that almost certainly will destroy life on earth as we know it.”
“Sure we built some windmills and threw up a few solar panels, but in the end it was just too hard to clamp down on greenhouse gas emissions. And rather than upset you, we just decided not to tell you any of what we know about the perilous future we are leaving you.”
I’m not real happy with that strategy.
Maybe as a first step in fighting climate disruption we need to figure out how to talk about it with each other and with our children. Maybe we should man-up, or woman-up for that matter, and actually do something about the problem. Why not? The fortunes to be made on the solutions will make the internet revolution look like chump change.
And maybe we should give our children a fighting chance to beat the problem, because after all, they’ll have to live with it, not us.
It’s way past time to start talking about climate disruption. If we don’t have the courage and common sense to begin this conversation, it’s pretty unlikely we will ever find the resolve to fix the problem.
— Richard Wiles is currently consulting on communications strategies to combat climate disruption.
The thing is, of course, that not talking about the problem won’t protect your kids or anyone else from what’s to come. Quite the reverse. Not talking about with the climate change science actually says — as opposed to what much of the media reports (or fails to report) and what many ill-informed opinion makers claim it says — is the road to Hell and High Water.
- Science: CO2 levels haven’t been this high for 15 million years, when it was 5° to 10°F warmer and seas were 75 to 120 feet higher “” “We have shown that this dramatic rise in sea level is associated with an increase in CO2 levels of about 100 ppm.”
- M.I.T. doubles its 2095 warming projection to 10°F “” with 866 ppm and Arctic warming of 20°F
- Our hellish future: Definitive NOAA-led report on U.S. climate impacts warns of scorching 9 to 11°F warming over most of inland U.S. by 2090 with Kansas above 90°F some 120 days a year “” and that isn’t the worst case, it’s business as usual!“
- Ocean dead zones to expand, “remain for thousands of years”
- Nature Geoscience study: Oceans are acidifying 10 times faster today than 55 million years ago when a mass extinction of marine species occurred
- New study of Greenland under “more realistic forcings” concludes “collapse of the ice-sheet was found to occur between 400 and 560 ppm” of CO2
- Sea levels may rise 3 times faster than IPCC estimated, could hit 6 feet by 2100
- Must-read NCAR analysis warns we risk multiple, devastating global droughts even on moderate emissions path.
- Royal Society special issue details ‘hellish vision’ of 7°F (4°C) world “” which we may face in the 2060s!
- “The Copenhagen Diagnosis” warns “Without significant mitigation, the report says global mean warming could reach as high as 7 degrees Celsius by 2100.”
- NOAA stunner: Climate change “largely irreversible for 1000 years,” with permanent Dust Bowls in Southwest and around the globe
- Science stunner: On our current emissions path, CO2 levels in 2100 will hit levels last seen when the Earth was 29°F (16°C) hotter