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May 18 news: BP, ConocoPhillips abandon Alaska pipeline project; Coping with California’s 33% renewables; Seaports unprepared for climate change

BP and ConocoPhillips shelve Alaska pipeline project in light of shale boom

With natural gas from North American shale formations fundamentally altering the U.S. gas market, BP PLC and ConocoPhillips Co. yesterday announced they would stop work on a proposed $35 billion pipeline to bring gas from Alaska’s North Slope into Canada and to the Lower 48 states.

Since the energy giants came together in 2008 to propose the massive project they called Denali, shale gas production has boomed in Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas and the Northeast. Estimates by producers and government agencies suggest shale gas could account for nearly half of the domestic gas supply by 2035.

The shale gas, high gas storage across the country and lower industrial demand have conspired to keep the average price of natural gas near historic lows since 2009 at about $4 per million British thermal units. The prospect that the commodity price could remain low for decades because of the shale gas resource made it difficult for Denali to compete.

“This has created a very difficult environment in which to secure financial commitments from potential customers,” the pipeline sponsors said in a statement.

Denali President Bud Fackrell said the project has been talking with potential gas shippers for nearly 18 months, and it hasn’t yielded enough support to justify the massive financial commitment.

“Denali is a market-driven company,” he said. “As such, we cannot spend the billions of dollars necessary to advance the project unless we have binding agreements with shippers.”

How Will the California System Operator Cope With 33% Renewables?      The state grid operator has opened its Mission Critical Wing, powered by renewables for renewables.

To meet California’s new standard requiring the state to get 33 percent of its power from renewables by 2020, the grid operator will have to stop talking about the weather and do something about it. The California Independent System Operator Corporation (ISO) just brought its Mission Critical Wing, a new high tech control center, on line to do that.

“We partnered with Google and we went from your typical map board made of plastic tiles, with digital readouts, to an 81-foot video display wall,” said Stephanie McCorkle, the California ISO’s Director of Communications. “It’s like Minority Report, where Tom Cruise could pull into the wall whatever data he needed.”

The new center, in Folsom, California, incorporates security measures for vital grid operations and for energy delivery commensurate with a post-9/11 world. “It’s no secret that security was a big reason why we built this facility,” McCorkle said, “but we did need a new control center, especially with the thousands and thousands of megawatts of renewable power coming.”

The ISO’s job, McCorkle said, “is to keep the lights on” and “to balance the renewable goals with reliability and with reasonable cost.”

To do so, the system operator will have to “stay one step ahead of nature,” McCorkle explained. Wind and solar are variable but can be managed with accurate weather forecasts.

“That’s what our new control center allows us to do,” McCorkle said. “Advanced forecasting is what will allow us to have the standby power ready” or “to be able to back down the gas-fired generators when all of a sudden we have a surplus.” It is, she concluded, “the most efficient way to integrate the largest wave of renewables brought onto any grid in North America.”

House Armed Services Committee OK’s “filthy fuels” in new DOD budget bill

In Washington, the House Armed Services Committee OK’d a defense budget bill that exempted the Department of Defense from Section 526 of the Energy Independence and Security Act, which had since 2007 required that fuels purchased by the military be no more carbon-intensive than standard fossil fuels.

The provision, if passed by the Congress and signed by the President, would permit the DoD to buy fuels made from coal and Canadian tar sands, which have “significantly higher [emissions] than conventional fuels, according to a recent EU study. ”

If this successfully passes both Houses and becomes law, it will end all biofuel options to DOD,” said Imperium Renewable CEO John Plaza told the Digest. “The oil and coal industry have been trying to run this behind-the-scenes gutting of 526 for the last two years, and they are making progress. We are working it and would be thrilled if others in biofuels took action with their representatives as well.”

What Happens When the Incentives Expire?

Wind projects, along with other renewable energy technologies, have benefitted in a variety of ways from federal incentive programs. The Section 1603 cash grant program, the Department of Energy Section 1705 Loan Guarantee program and the Bonus Depreciation schedule are among the federal programs that are scheduled to expire by the end of 2012. The Production Tax Credit (PTC) and Investment Tax Credit (ITC) are also scheduled to expire for wind projects at the end of 2012. In today’s budget-cutting environment, it’s possible that none of these incentives will be renewed.

The Section 1603 cash grant has been a popular and successful program and is generally credited for keeping the U.S. wind industry healthy during the 2009-2010 recession1. Since the program was initiated in 2009 through the first quarter of 2011, $5.6 billion in cash grants has been awarded for wind projects, representing more than 80 percent of all Section 1603 funding to date.

House Approves a Bill to Spur Oil Exploration

WASHINGTON “” Maneuvering on oil drilling, gas prices and industry profits intensified on Capitol Hill on Wednesday. House Republicans pushed through a bill to accelerate offshore oil and gas exploration as Democrats vowed action on measures to rescind billions of dollars in tax breaks for major oil and gas companies.

The drilling bill was approved 263 to 163, with 28 Democrats joining unanimous Republicans, after the majority swatted down several Democratic amendments. The bill would force the Interior Department to act within 60 days on all applications for offshore drilling permits. The House then turned to a second Republican-sponsored bill that would open much of the Atlantic, Pacific and Arctic shorelines to new oil and gas exploration. A vote on that measure is expected Thursday.

The Obama administration vigorously opposed both measures, but stopped short of threatening to veto them “” in part because it is highly unlikely they will win enough votes in the Senate to overcome a filibuster.

Meanwhile, House and Senate Democrats continued their push to repeal a variety of tax breaks enjoyed by the oil industry, some of them a century old and others that apply to all companies, not just petroleum concerns.

Massachusetts Greens seeing red over Scott Brown’s anti-EPA votes

Sen. Scott Brown’s floor votes to strip the EPA of its climate change powers have become a political jump ball in his 2012 reelection campaign.

Democrats think the Massachusetts freshman’s anti-environmental position can energize the party’s base and help attract a top-tier candidate to challenge the popular GOP incumbent.

But Republicans sense a political opening, too, and are trying to exploit the senator’s critics as partisan stand-ins with a history of turning off the very independent voters who helped carry him to a surprise special election win in January 2010.

Brown has so far voted three times to freeze EPA rules that clamp down on power plants, petroleum refiners and other major industrial sources.

Along with Brown’s occasionally equivocal stands on Planned Parenthood, unemployment and gays in the military, Democrats argue that his voting record on EPA doesn’t compute in a state whose lawmakers led on cap-and-trade legislation and in suing the George W. Bush administration all the way to the Supreme Court over its global warming policies.

Seaports unprepared for climate change
Seaport officials are unsure how best to protect their facilities from rising sea levels and more frequent Katrina-magnitude storms, two possible consequences of global warming.

“Part of the problem is that science says that by 2100, we’ll experience anywhere from 1.5 to 6 feet of sea level rise,” says Austin Becker, a PhD candidate in environment and resources at Stanford University. “That’s a huge range.”

Port have to make tough financial decisions when it comes to funding infrastructure and need accurate information about what to expect, so that they can plan accordingly. Building a structure to withstand a 6-foot sea level rise would cost much more than trying to accommodate a 1.5-foot rise, Becker says.

In 2009, Becker distributed 160 surveys to members of the International Association of Ports and Harbors and the American Association of Port Authorities – the first worldwide survey of port authorities to address climate change adaptation.

A total of 93 agencies representing major seaports on every continent, except Antarctica, responded, ranking sea level rise and increased storm events associated with climate change high on their list of concerns.

However, only 6 percent reported they intend to build hurricane barriers within the next 10 years, and fewer than 18 percent had plans to build dikes or other storm protection structures.

The DOE Section 1705 loan guarantee program has a current allocation of $2.5 billion that can support up to $30 billion of loan guarantees. As of April 2011, three wind plants have received commitments for loan guarantees totaling $1.5 billion, including $1.3 billion for Caithness’s 845 MW Shepherd’s Flat project.

15 Responses to May 18 news: BP, ConocoPhillips abandon Alaska pipeline project; Coping with California’s 33% renewables; Seaports unprepared for climate change

  1. catman306 says:

    Lester Brown is speaking on NPR’s Fresh Air today. WHYY Philedelphia
    Audio Pending

    http://www.npr.org/templates/rundowns/rundown.php?prgId=13

  2. Mark Glass says:

    re: ports. Rivers don’t flow uphill. Even if the port is elevated and barricaded the roads and rail to the port will still be underwater.

  3. Ziyu says:

    I say the best chance of creating renewable competitiveness is to sucker Republicans into removing tax breaks for the oil industry. Since they aren’t going to approve extensions of renewable energy tax credits, we can assume all of them will expire in 2013. They want tax reform, which means removing all the tax breaks. Set it to go in effect in 2013 and now renewables have a competitive advantage compared to BAU levels which would have continued subsidies for fossil fuels but not renewables.

  4. catman306 says:

    Multi-modal port facilities could migrate, i.e., physically move the cranes and other facilities, upstream acquiring needed real estate from the many glad to sell. This would also require extensive dredging and river widening, but rising water levels would help.

    Another plan would involve a floating pier with cranes to unload containers and put them on barges that can then be unloaded at a small conventional dock. That reduces the amount of infrastructure but requires extra moves of the containers, expensive moves.

    It would seem that the costs of cargo transportation will be going up.

  5. paulm says:

    @4 hang on, sent port facilities going to contrat anyway as we tackle GW? Emission are directly liked to consumption and this has to come down. Let’s not delude ourselves.

  6. Solar Jim says:

    Ice cap melting is proceeding exponentially, although we are presently on the horizontal part of the curve. North and South ice cap (on land) is approximately eight million cubic miles. Much is grounded below present sea level since freezing began when the ocean was hundreds of feet lower than today. High latitudes are heating the fastest, including sea water from albedo flip (white ice turns to dark water at ice shelves).

    There is no seaport response, except submergence. Yo, 350, hello.

  7. CW says:

    Amazing linkage between renewable energy and weather watching. A certain beauty in seeing that as people move towards more low-impact living they find themselves also moving towards listening to and more closely watching nature.

    Watching through a jumbotron but that’s … ahem … besides the point ;)!!

  8. paulm says:

    No anyones going to be living in these here conditions.

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/05/17/texas-drought-wildfires_n_863310.html

    Vast areas will be uninhabitable, and its looking like its going to be pretty soon.
    Near the coast might have to be were we live, moving in as the sea rises.

  9. paulm says:

    Relentless…

    http://www.vancouversun.com/Cold+months+ruined+crops+delayed+planting/4801857/story.html

    A shorter growing season will mean lower yields for farmers, a tough blow after heavy rains in September ended last year’s growing season a month early and wiped out potato, carrot and beet crops.

    Corn, cabbages, lettuces and potatoes will all be late arriving on store shelves this summer and the shorter growing season means the harvest will be 20 per cent below normal.

    B.C. farm crops are worth about $1.15 billion annually.

  10. prokaryotes says:

    The German government wants to see one million electric cars on the nation’s streets by 2020 and is doubling its investment in research and development http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,,15082462,00.html

  11. paulm says:

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2011/05/19/3221717.htm?section=justin

    To rebuild or relocate: Japan’s post-tsunami dilemma

    With dozens of villages and towns devastated by Japan’s tsunami, there is now growing debate about whether to rebuild the flattened communities or move them to higher ground.

  12. paulm says:

    Heard on Canadian raido…

    “we had one season of fire burn in one weekend”

  13. paulm says:

    Heard I n locker room first time ever… Global warming… Reference to the he’ll and high water happening in Canada.

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