BP’s Energy Outlook To 2030: Catastrophe For Civilization

BP projects a stark future of civilization-threatening climate change, with increasing carbon pollution at least to 2030. This morning, BP released the Energy Outlook 2030 report, its forecast for global energy consumption and climate pollution, projecting that coal, oil, and natural gas use continue to rise for the foreseeable future.

The net result is a projected increase in global emissions of 28% by 2030. This leaves the world well above the required emissions path to stabilise the concentration of greenhouse gases at the level recommended by scientists (around 450 ppm).

BP’s projections are slightly less suicidal than the oil lobby writ large. To limit carbon pollution to sustainable levels requires a peak date before 2020.

“This is our view of the most likely outcome for world energy supply and demand to 2030,” CEO Bob Dudley writes in the introduction. “It is not necessarily the energy world we at BP wish to see.”