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IER Attacks New Clean Energy Report, And Honestly Asks ‘In What Sense Is Drilling Unsustainable?’

by Kate Gordon

It’s hard to even know where to start with the Institute for Energy Research’s attack on the regional energy report just released by The Center for American Progress and the Center for the Next Generation.

One easy response would be to simply point out the institute’s failure to even acknowledge the reality of climate change. Ignoring the fact that our report consistently points to climate change as the most important reason to transition to a cleaner energy future, the institute pretends that we’ve instead written a paper about the world running out of oil. They write:

Yes, it is certainly true that in a physical sense, there is a finite amount of energy located within the United States—or planet Earth for that matter—in the form of oil, natural gas, and coal. But by the same token, even solar power is “finite”—the sun will eventually burn out.

The sun will, in fact, burn out in a few billion years. But the global tipping point on climate change—the point at which the Earth reaches a 2 degree Celsius increase in temperature above pre-industrial levels—will happen in as few as 16 years if we don’t take steps now to stop it, or at least slow it down.

IER also asks — not jokingly — “in what sense is ‘drilling’ unsustainable?”

To understand exactly why drilling is so unsustainable, take a look at the chart below documenting how the oil industry has pushed us far over our carbon budget. This should be a wake-up call for anyone considering the future of energy:

But even if we take a cue from the presidential campaigns and leave climate change out of it, just focusing on the institute’s central economic arguments about the advanced energy future, the institute is still dead wrong.

The central critique in their blog post is that oil, gas, and coal, are profitable industries, they pay taxes—a debatable point, but we’ll leave it alone—and therefore they are good for America. On the other hand, goes the argument, renewable energy programs “need support from the taxpayers … which is an implicit admission that these energy projects would not receive investment from people who voluntarily could put their money at risk.”

There are two immediate problems with this analysis. First, fossil-fuel companies are profitable in large part because they do not put an honest price on their goods. Instead, they pass the cost of adverse health consequences of a polluted environment and climate change directly onto consumers. The hidden cost of oil-and-gas consumption in the United States in 2011 amounts to a staggering $89 billion, based on the conservative findings of a U.S. Government Working Group that tallied the social cost of greenhouse gases to be about $21 per ton. Other studies say this figure is far too low.

Put another way, these companies are putting a product onto the market that causes billions of dollars in health and climate adaptation costs—costs that will primarily be paid by, you guessed it, taxpayers. That’s not even counting the taxpayer dollars that go into protecting these companies’ oil wells and pipelines all over the world.

The second problem is even more obvious: The fossil fuel industry takes billions in direct tax incentives and subsidies every year. According to analysis by TR Rose Associates, for the past three decades, the coal industry has benefited from nearly $1 billion a year in subsidized public lands. And the oil-and-gas industry has benefited even more, taking $5.16 billion per year in subsidies in inflation-adjusted 2012 dollars. And these industries have been receiving public support for more than a century.

Let’s compare that to the renewable energy industry, a relatively new recipient of government support, which according to the TR Rose analysis receives $390 million per year in subsidies. Biofuels also receive about $1.1 billion per year. Phrased another way: The federal government’s commitment to supporting the oil and gas industry every year is about 3.5 times greater than its commitment to the renewable and biofuel energy industries.

There’s a reason the oil-and-gas industry got subsidies 100 years ago, and it’s the same reason the renewable energy industry gets them today: When a country is in the midst of transforming its energy sector, it needs to support its new and emerging companies. Not one single energy technology came into existence in this country without some level of public support. Neither, incidentally, did one single piece of energy infrastructure. Our highways and power grids were built and are still mostly maintained with public dollars. The huge trans-Alaska oil pipeline, for example, runs across nearly 800 miles of public and tribal lands.

But there’s a time and a place for government support for energy projects, and it’s not when that support is literally a wealth transfer to huge multinational corporations that does little to increase production or reduce the cost of that energy to American consumers. What makes far more sense—and what we argue in our report—is a national commitment to a more advanced energy system that actually addresses climate change while, incidentally, spurring innovation and creating jobs.

The fact is that America’s recent green investments, at the federal and the state level, have produced real and verifiable returns. For the past few years, the clean energy and sustainability sector has been the bright spot in the U.S. economy, creating more jobs—and higher-paying jobs at that—than the economy as a whole. Even during the Great Recession, the clean energy sector grew at a rate of 8.3 percent a year, on average—nearly double the growth rate of the overall economy.

And on the renewable energy front, the entire nation has been making remarkable gains across a diverse portfolio of generation technologies. In Los Angeles County, for example, workers in the green sector command wages with a 50 percent to 100 percent premium over the average job in LA County. Compare that to the findings of the Western States Petroleum Association—an oil industry group—that half of California’s jobs directly related to fossil fuels are gas station attendants earning about minimum wage.

And it’s not just the West that’s gaining jobs. As our report points out, every region of the country is either poised to reap huge gains from the move to a new set of energy industries and occupations or has already benefited from that transition. Here are just a few examples:

  • Developing 54 gigawatts of offshore wind in Atlantic waters would generate $200 billion in economic activity and create 43,000 permanent, well-paid technical jobs, in addition to displacing the annual output of 52 coal-fired power plants.
  • The solar industry in California has experienced significant growth over the past 15 years. Since 1995 the number of solar businesses in the state has grown by 171 percent, and total employment has jumped by 166 percent. As a point of comparison, the total number of California businesses has grown by 70 percent, and employment has increased by 12 percent.
  • Retooling the auto industry to build the next generation of vehicles has proved to be one of the most effective elements of a national recovery, adding more than 230,000 direct jobs nationwide in manufacturing and auto sales since the low point of the recession in mid-2009. That adds up to 14 percent growth, far outpacing the economy as a whole.

All these success stories, combined with the simple fact that clean energy helps slow climate change, help explain why the American public—those same taxpayers that the Institute for Energy Research cares so deeply about—overwhelmingly supports a move toward a cleaner national energy system. In fact, Harvard and Yale researchers find that the average American is willing to pay $162 per year more to support a national clean energy standard, which is just one policy we recommend in our report.

There is still a long way to go when it comes to truly transforming our energy economy, but the seeds of that change are already sprouting in every region in the country. And one thing is for sure: If the American people have any say, that transformation will happen many, many, many millennia before the sun begins to show any signs of fatigue.

Let’s hope, for the sake of our planet, it happens a whole lot quicker than that.

Kate Gordon is a Senior Fellow at the Center for American Progress and the director of advanced energy and sustainability at The Center for the Next Generation in California. Thanks to Omar Aslam, research associate at The Center for the Next Generation, for his research support.

7 Responses to IER Attacks New Clean Energy Report, And Honestly Asks ‘In What Sense Is Drilling Unsustainable?’

  1. Spec says:

    Yeah, holy smokes. Even if you ignore climate change, the amount of easily drilled oil is going become harder and harder to find every year. That’s why oil has gone up in price far faster than the rate of inflation. We’ve hit peak conventional oil but we are now enjoying higher-priced non conventional oil. But that will eventually peak too.

  2. Chris Winter says:

    Years ago, I heard a debate between a young advocate for solar PV power and an executive from (IIRC) the electric power industry. The PV advocate pointed out that fossil fuels produced pollution that harmed public health. The executive replied by saying that someone could fall off his roof while trying to install a solar array.

    The argument IER makes about the Sun being finite is exactly as inane as the one that executive made.

    A quick look at Sourcewatch reveals that the IER was funded by ExxonMobil and Koch Industries and has ties to the American Legislative Exchange Council.

    Too bad those things are only relevant to people who pay attention. In my mind’s ear I hear one undecided voter say to another, “Yeah, but the IER said that drilling is OK and clean energy won’t work, and they’ve been doing research since 1989.”

  3. Robert Marston says:

    I think it’s important to note that IER is mostly full of baloney. First, as your article succinctly states, there aren’t enough carbon sinks in our world to sustain continued projected increases in oil production.

    Further, the ‘Harvard Study’ written by a former Oil Executive is wildly optimistic. It conflates natural gas and oil production and its estimates for well decline rates is extraordinarily low. To reach 110 mbpd production the world would have to add 3 million barrels per day total liquids production EACH YEAR. That’s not happening now and it’s not going to happen.

    That said, the oil industry may be able to push production out to that damaging level of 95 million barrels per day all liquids.

    But there are factors other than climate change weighing on oil’s long-term prospects. All the new oil is very expensive to extract. Marginal oil in the Bakken costs 90 dollars per barrel to produce profitably. Marginal oil in Saudi costs about 100 dollars per barrel to produce profitably. And marginal oil in Russia is even more expensive.

    Conversely, ethanol which was once considered too expensive, costs 50 dollars per barrel to produce even without subsidy support.

    The reason for the increased oil production costs is the scarcity of the resource. You have to drill deeper, use more technology, use more complex drilling platforms, go to more exotic places to find the oil. All this adds cost to the resource which makes it more and more expensive.

    The only reason oil makes any economic sense any longer is due to the fact that it has a mostly captive market. Transportation is primarily run on oil and oil products. This monopoly is both unnatural and harmful to world economies. The oil industry protects this monopoly at all costs. And we can see their fervor in the industry-funded attacks on the Chevy Volt.

    But were electric based transportation sources like the Volt and biofuels based liquids to become more available, the new oil sources would likely find themselves undercut by lower electricity and biofuels liquids prices.

    And so even without climate change, there is a huge degree of economic unsustainability for oil and related fuels. The problem, for us, is that it appears that there is at least enough oil left to both wreck the climate and the economy at the same time.

  4. Paul Klinkman says:

    Few of us believe that the “tipping point” is in the future. If few of us believe it, nobody else will believe the term either. We must stop telling the unconverted what we don’t believe ourselves.

    I call for a realistic measure of climate change action versus inaction. Just give people two scenarios: what we can do, and what inaction looks like, using the same modeling.

    In the late 1970s, the nuclear industry had one trillion dollars worth of nuclear plants planned for the U.S. A combination of civil disobedience and a small meltdown at Three Mile Island (where Fukushima would be a big meltdown) pulled all of them off the board. I suspect that a mass citizen movement would accomplish much the same energy transformation in maybe four years. So, we need to forecast 100 years into one future where most of the world switched over in four years, and 100 years into another scenario where the world started to switch over 20 to 24 years from now. What would the costs be? How big would the storms hitting Miami be?

    • Paul,

      I’m not sure what you mean when you say, “Few of us believe that the ‘tipping point’ is in the future. ” If I wrote that, I would mean that I believe that the tipping point has already been reached, and BIG TIP will be complete by the end of this decade when the rest of the Arctic ice is gone, more of the Amazon is on fire than not and so on.

      It is still possible that a radical decarbonization program can slow the onslaught of effects from global warming. But that would take exactly the kind of mass action you describe. We’d better give it a go.

      • Mulga Mumblebrain says:

        Everything I see tells me that, despite so many signs of progress despite the fanatic opposition of the genocidal Right, it is already too late to avert catastrophe.

  5. Jan says:

    Perfect storm: profit, greed, wishful thinking…

    We urge our kids to be scientists, then disregard them when they do.

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