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June 11 News: By 2050, Nearly A Million New Yorkers Will Live In A Floodplain

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"June 11 News: By 2050, Nearly A Million New Yorkers Will Live In A Floodplain"

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New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg is scheduled to speak at 1:30 today on how the city must prepare comprehensive plans for addressing climate-driven storms, floods, droughts, heat waves and other weather events that could threaten its infrastructure. [New York Times]

The Bloomberg administration on Monday issued new warnings about New York City’s vulnerability to climate change, offering updated data to encourage businesses, residents and perhaps even future mayors to better prepare against hotter weather, fiercer storms and increased rainfall.

Administration officials estimated that more than 800,000 city residents will live in the 100-year flood plain by the 2050s. That figure is more than double the 398,000 currently estimated to be at risk, based on new maps the Federal Emergency Management Agency released Monday.

Many more businesses and jobs will also be at risk.

The EPA released numbers disproving conservative claims that the agency is discriminating against conservative groups on FOIA fee waivers. [Politico]

An EIA report shows that oil and gas reserves are 35% greater in 2013 than in 2011. [LA Times]

In two weeks, Massachusetts voters will choose Senator John Kerry’s replacement in a special election, and National Journal notes that Rep. Ed Markey is running for the office as the “first real Climate Candidate.” [National Journal]

The U.S. Coast Guard is ratcheting down oil spill cleanup efforts from the Deepwater Horizon Oil spill in 2010. [AP]

China’s rich coastal provinces are exporting their carbon emissions to the poorer provinces by importing their goods, making a climate solution more politically difficult for the country. [Guardian]

Developing countries are deploying new plans to seek climate project finance as funding for the Clean Development Mechanism dries up. [Reuters]

The Great Lakes have hit historically low water levels, imperiling the $34 billion shipping industry that operates there. [NYTImes]

A new study says states have a habit of placing polluting facilities near downwind border areas, so the emissions and their effects are carried to other states. [WaPo]

British Columbians are looking at the health and climate ramifications of increased coal production. [Global News]

Some of United Airlines’ most frequent flyers (a group called “Flying Clean”), are pressuring the airline to stop blocking actions to rein in carbon emissions. [Chicago Tribune]

In Budapest, Hungary, the river Danube crested record levels as the region grapples with record flooding. [New York Times]

Korea is battling an early heat wave that would be more familiar in August than June, raising electricity load concerns. [Wall Street Journal]

Some silver linings in the new IEA carbon emissions report courtesy of John Abraham and Dana Nuccitelli. [Guardian]

The Texas legislature shut down Tesla’s ability to sell direct to customers over the internet, despite 80 percent support for the sales model from the state’s residents. [Clean Technica]

An analysis suggests forests could be sequestering much more carbon from the atmosphere if it wasn’t for deforestation, especially in the tropics. [The Conversation]

Oxford Photovoltaic just hit 15.4 percent efficiency ahead of schedule for a new solar cell that’s low cost, made from organic materials, and can be integrated directly into buildings. [Clean Technica]

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34 Responses to June 11 News: By 2050, Nearly A Million New Yorkers Will Live In A Floodplain

  1. prokaryotes says:

    Soaked Cities: When the Arctic was 3–5°C warmer than today, sea levels were about 25 feet higher—covering a zone home to 9 percent of the people in the lower 48 states. Researchers at the nonprofit Climate Central have calculated how water 25 feet above high tide would flood the Los Angeles area and New York. http://climatestate.com/magazine/2013/06/in-ancient-ice-clues-that-scientists-are-underestimating-future-sea-levels/

    See the image…

    • prokaryotes says:

      How will fossil fuel companies avoid compensation claims for the SLR their product causes, in the future?

      • Mulga Mumblebrain says:

        By getting their political property to change the law, to indemnify them, and transfer the cost to the public. Simples! But, of course, by then The Collapse will be in full spate, so they’ll probably just disappear into The Chaos.

    • Superman1 says:

      BAU means we go extinct by the end of this century, according to global climate models and projections by Mark Lynas et al. That’s the good news. The bad news is adding positive feedback mechanisms to these models and perhaps higher climate sensitivities implied by articles such as the one you cite means we go extinct closer to mid-century. 25 foot SLR is the least of our worries!

      • prokaryotes says:

        10% of the population have to be relocated… and it won’t stop there. Yes, this is a big deal! And it is important to educate these people and the people who have their capital invested in the affected area. BECAUSE this will bring the momentum for more climate action.

  2. Robert in New Orleans says:

    1. How will NYC handle the influx of climate refugees flooding in from southern states?

    2. If I were the Texas legislature, I would be careful about crossing the owner of Tesla: Mr. Elon Musk as he is also the owner of SpaceX which already has facilities established in Texas and is possibly looking to build a launch site on the Texas coast.

  3. Philip Pease says:

    Unless greenhouse gas concentrations in our atmosphere are decreased instead of increased there is no future for New York City and all other coastal communities. For residents of all those coastal communities fleeing the area before some new major storm hits is the only way to adapt to the consequences of rising sea levels. Scientists warn that continued increased greenhouse gas concentration will reach a tipping point where runaway global warming occurs; and when that happens civilization itself will be threatened.

    Working on a plan to deal with the sea levels of 2050 will not deal with the reality of a planet that continues to get hotter and hotter with ice sheets continuing to melt and oceans continuing to expand and seas continuing to rise and storms continuing to become more severe and heat waves continuing to worsen.

    A concentration of CO2 of 350ppm is considered the maximum for a stable climate that human civilization depends. We have reached a level of 400ppm and we continue to increase the concentration. We are already in serious jeopardy of a runaway greenhouse condition and still we choose to ignore the problem and are failing to act to CUT fossil fuel use.

    • Superman1 says:

      “We are already in serious jeopardy of a runaway greenhouse condition”. How do you know we are not already in ‘runaway’ conditions?

  4. Jeff Huggins says:

    Gore, Markey, and Biden in Washington Tonight

    And, a beginning to something that we and CAP should help continue.

    It was encouraging — a rare thing these days — to read that Markey is making climate change the primary priority of his bid for the open Senate seat from Mass. Bravo! And Bravo also to the people of Massachusetts, who elected Elizabeth Warren and who will now — hopefully — elect Markey. I lived in Massachusetts for awhile, and I’m excited that the folks there seem to be moving in the right (progressive) directions.

    AN AIM WE SHOULD ALL HAVE is to find out what would-be Democratic nominees/candidates think about climate change, where it stands in their list of priorities, and what they would do to address it if elected. The clear, concrete specifics! That should be an aim starting NOW, in particular with would-be candidates for president, i.e. (so far) Hillary Clinton.

    As I’ve done in recent comments, I call again on CAP — Joe, Ryan, Neera, John Podesta, etc. — to proactively do their darn best to help the public understand where Hillary stands on climate change — the clear specifics, please! Starting now. Given CAP’s stated aims, and given the close relationship between Neera and Hillary, that goal should be a no-brainer, and accomplishing it should be well within the realm of possibility, if we TRY.

    We have to begin now to make sure that would-be candidates understand that we are finally serious — this time — about climate change; and we should decide (and let them know in no uncertain terms) that we will ONLY support candidates who have clear, compelling, convincing, and courageous stands on climate change and how they will Lead and address it if elected.

  5. Paul Magnus says:

    take action, sign petition – 85,000 have.

    Over 85,000 People Sign Petition Calling on United and CEO Jeff Smisek to “Embrace, Not Impede, Meaningful Policy Solutions that Cut Airplane Pollution”

    http://www.flyingclean.com/take_action

  6. prokaryotes says:

    NOW LIVE

    From AGU Chapman

    Current discussion on science denial and the war on climate change http://chapman.agu.org/climatescience/virtual-meeting/live-video/

  7. Paul Magnus says:

    la times bought by Koch!

  8. prokaryotes says:

    Starting at 2pm Eastern Daylight, hang out with Al Gore on Google plus http://www.youtube.com/watch?internalcountrycode=US&v=9_eI0I-YK4s&feature=youtu.be

    • Superman1 says:

      ‘Combat’ is not the right word! This is raising the White Flag, and learning to speak the victor’s language. Combat is when you roll up your sleeves, with no pre-conditions, and do whatever is necessary win. From what I’m reading, there are precious few of us who are willing to make such draconian sacrifices!

  9. Colorado Bob says:

    Using NASA’s C-23 Sherpa aircraft, scientists from the Carbon in Arctic Reservoirs Vulnerability Experiment (CARVE) have been flying at extremely low altitudes over the Alaskan Arctic to measure greenhouse gases. About two dozen scientists from 12 institutions are involved in the program.

    “Some of the methane and carbon dioxide concentrations we’ve measured have been large, and we’re seeing very different patterns from what models suggest,” said CARVE scientist Charles Miller of NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, California.

    “We saw large, regional-scale episodic bursts of higher-than-normal carbon dioxide and methane in interior Alaska and across the North Slope during the spring thaw, and they lasted until after the fall refreeze,” Miller said. “To cite another example, in July 2012 we saw methane levels over swamps in the Innoko Wilderness that were 650 parts per billion higher than normal background levels. That’s similar to what you might find in a large city.”
    http://www.redorbit.com/news/science/1112870577/arctic-permafrost-melts-and-releases-greenhouse-gases-061113/

  10. bedfordfalls says:

    With all respect, I’m not sure how many people are going to be moved by that forecast that an additional 402,000 NYers will be subject to flooding in 37 years.

    As other readers have noted in the past couple days, information about the effects of an ice-free arctic — for example — would likely grab more attention.

  11. prokaryotes says:

    What would the Rebel Alliance’s social media coordinator do? http://imgur.com/a/GuqKk

  12. Joan Savage says:

    USGS’s surface streamflow map shows unseasonally high flow in the wake of Andrea. It is graphically represented by black dots spread from northwest Georgia through New England.
    http://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/rt

    Daily streamflow records were broken, sometimes at triple or quintuple the previous daily records, but this is not normally a flooding season. Only some streams are near or at flood stage.

    This is rather like the new daily temperature records for ‘highest lows’ in recent years, which taken as a whole are significant, but don’t directly red-flag the danger of a trend.

  13. Colorado Bob says:

    Massive dust storms hit southeast Colorado, evoking “Dirty Thirties”

    – The Denver Post http://www.denverpost.com/news/ci_23420681/massive-dust-storms-hit-southeast-colorado-evoking-dirty#ixzz2VxKXSpZB

  14. Colorado Bob says:

    Is a sleeping climate giant stirring in the Arctic?
    http://phys.org/news/2013-06-climate-giant-arctic.html

  15. fj says:

    Bloomberg seems to really be on our side and has been showing great leadership but he will really have to leverage the $20 billion to make it work effectively.

    NYC is a trillion dollar real estate market central to the New York Metropolitan Region which does about a trillion dollars in annual economic activity and it does seem that significant fractional trillions of dollars will be required to achieve the desired effects; say starting at about $200 billion or more.

    That being said, again we must be really thankful having Bloomberg doing his part.

    • fj says:

      Two hundred billions dollars per year for five years would likely turn New York City into the first major net zero city and a truly positively disruptive breeder engine for transitioning from our global fossil fuel civilization.

  16. fj says:

    With Bloomberg’s C40Cities.org cities have tremendous potential for stopping accelerating climate change especially when they can start becoming extremely agile, resilient, and net positive.

    On the other hand they can be trememdous liabilities with their high density manmade environments dependent on fossil fuels and- antiquated systems and we must do everything we can to not let that happen.

  17. fj says:

    With trillions of dollars in equity in real estate and trillions of dollars in annual economic activity, this starts to translate to financial instruments “secured by the future of humanity” that can suffiently fund massive actions to stop this seemingly intractable crisis.

  18. fj says:

    And the reality is that if these types of massive actions do not take place it should be obvious that this tremendous equity “secured by the future of humanity” will simply collapse, just like the internet and housing bubbles and the inevitable six trillion dollar fossil fuel bubble should the fossil fuel industry fail to divest from fossil fuels.

  19. fj says:

    We must immediately start transitioning to a ” real value” civilization from a fossil fuel one and one based on questionable value; where people endeavour to continually advance humanity and civilization with real value with profound use of natural capital where human capital is the most potent component.