July 9 News: New Study Says Unchecked Emissions Will Bring Up To 20 More Hurricanes Per Year

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"July 9 News: New Study Says Unchecked Emissions Will Bring Up To 20 More Hurricanes Per Year"

The North Atlantic Ocean Basin has been in a more active period of tropical cyclones since 1995. (Credit: Climate Central)

MIT climatologist (and one-time Republican) Kerry Emanuel has a new study out showing that with unchecked greenhouse gas emissions, the world faces not just more intense hurricanes, but up to 20 more per year by the end of the century. [Climate Central]

A new study by Kerry Emanuel, a prominent hurricane researcher at MIT, found that contrary to previous findings, tropical cyclones are likely to become both stronger and more frequent in the years to come, especially in the western North Pacific, where storms can devastate the heavily populated coastlines of Asian nations. Emanuel’s research showed the same holds true for the North Atlantic, where about 12 percent of the world’s tropical cyclones spin each year.

Emanuel’s study casts doubt on what had been the consensus view of most climate scientists — that in most ocean basins, tropical cyclones are likely to become less frequent as the world warms, but that the storms that do occur are likely to contain stronger winds and heavier rains. That view was expressed most recently in a 2012 report from the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Emanuel’s study, published Monday in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, uses the latest generation of global climate models to power a series of high-resolution, regional simulations of tropical cyclones around the world.

The death count reached 13 in an explosion in Lac-Megantic caused by a derailed 73-car train of oil tankers. [CBS News]

Toronto was pummeled with a “month’s worth of rain” yesterday, causing floods that stranded 1,500 on a commuter train and downed power in much of the city. [NBC News]

The life expectancy of 500 million people may have dropped 5 years due to the promotion of coal use in Northern China. [Washington Post]

The American Petroleum Institute is kicking off a major advertising campaign that pushes Obama to approve the Keystone XL pipeline. [Fuel Fix]

Communities of color are more at risk of living in a heat island than white communities, and the correlation is more strongly linked to race rather than class, a new study has found. [Grist]

As the climate warms and depletes freshwater supplies, the water used by power plants will become strained, warns new research in Austria. [Sydney Morning Herald]

Climate change could bring small mammal invasions that threaten local wildlife, say scientists in New Zealand. [Scientific American]

Four utilities in Japan have applied to restart 10 of their idle nuclear reactors, two and a half years after the Fukushima disaster.. [Guardian]

A new breed of energy company is combining political activism with buying and selling renewable energy. [Greentech Media]

President Obama has nominated current American Council on Renewable Energy President, and retired Vice Admiral Dennis McGinn to be the Navy’s assistant secretary for energy, installations, and environment. [The Hill]

The Department of Energy is releasing new energy standards today that will toughen efficiency requirements for new federal buildings and save $1.74 billion in energy costs over the next 30 years. [The Hill]

Google has invested $1 billion in renewable energy, making the company a major player in the energy sector. [Fuel Fix]

Australia’s power use since the adoption of the carbon tax has dropped 2.2 percent nationwide, preventing 12.2 million tonnes of CO2 emissions. [The Age]

Washington, D.C. is considering waiving parking space requirements for new buildings, echoing shifts other cities have made in response to shrinking car ownership. [Wall Street Journal]

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21 Responses to July 9 News: New Study Says Unchecked Emissions Will Bring Up To 20 More Hurricanes Per Year

    • prokaryotes says:

      Record-breaking Toronto storm drops 126mm of rain, causing blackouts, flooding and transit chaos http://news.nationalpost.com/2013/07/08/heavy-rain-batters-toronto-darkens-skies-in-sudden-storm/

      • Colorado Bob says:

        This storm beat a hurricane record, and it wasn’t a hurricane. One wonders what their period of record goes back to.

        Poor Canada, their bill for oil development, seems to be coming due faster than they planned.

        • Colorado Bob says:

          Two major cities with a new 500 year flood records, and the taiga and peat bogs are burning down to the roots in the ground.

          • Colorado Bob says:

            The MODIS Rapid Response gallery –
            http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/gallery/

            The entire Atlantic is currently under smoke all the way up to the North Sea , down to the Med. From these Canadian fires.

          • Colorado Bob says:

            This ash falling on Greenland, ain’t good for the ole’ albedo.

          • Mulga Mumblebrain says:

            I’m sure that the irony is lost on Harper. Imagine Nature not being impressed by his single-minded determination to pillage the earth in an insane lust for gelt. Doesn’t it know that he is an important man!

        • Merrelyn Emery says:

          Those uncertainties are becoming more predictable by the day, ME

    • SecularAnimist says:

      prokaryotes wrote: “Time lapse storm blows across Toronto skyline …”

      Will global warming cause more time lapse storms?

      The floods and winds and all are bad enough, but if time starts lapsing, we are really in trouble.

      • prokaryotes says:

        That is an interesting notion, maybe some of the impacts acting on our psychic states as well. As it has been proven with fish, when rising ocean CO2 interferes with synaptic brain function, messing up neurotransmitters – hence easier prey – impacts on food chain.

        • Mulga Mumblebrain says:

          No just at the biochemical level but at the behavioural, where the psychology of the dominant Right, of unbridled greed, egomania, indifference or outright hostility to others, intense competitiveness, unscrupulousness and propensity to violence, has been projected onto society by decades of remorseless Rightwing MSM indoctrination, by the ‘entertainment’ industry, the advertising industry and sundry other organs and mechanisms of control. As a result Western societies are noticeably crueler, with the poor, weak, vulnerable mercilessly abused by the MSM hate machine as ‘scroungers’, ‘skivers’, ‘moochers’, and ‘bludgers’, refugees vilified, environmentalists despised and traduced, and the insatiably greedy rich held up as exemplars to be emulated (but enviously despised until one gets there). Greed and cruelty are the stigmata of our capitalist, Rightwing, dystopia.

      • Mulga Mumblebrain says:

        We are in pre-lapsarian times, because we are about to be expelled from the garden, that is earth, again, probably for good. This time there is not merely one Serpent, but hosts of them, known collectively as ‘the Right’.

  1. prokaryotes says:

    Canada Toronto “Record Breaking” Flooding 123mm of Rain July 8th 2013 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=woFOgBrEMY0&feature=youtu.be

  2. catman306 says:

    What’s up with THIS? (found at Google News)

    “Rising Carbon Dioxide Levels Causing Desert ‘Greening’

    Up until now the negative aspects of rising levels of carbon dioxide have been highlighted in almost all studies conducted on this matter. A new study, based on satellite observations, CSIRO, in collaboration with the Australian National University (ANU) reported that the rising levels of carbon dioxide have caused deserts to start greening and increased foliage cover by 11 percent from 1982-2010 across parts of the arid areas studied in Australia, North America, the Middle East and Africa.”

    http://www.hngn.com/articles/7242/20130709/rising-carbon-dioxide-levels-causing-desert-greening.htm

    • Colorado Bob says:

      C306-
      Deserts are nutrient poor, besides being dry, any extra fertilization will show up.

      The “trace gas” changing the biosphere.

      • Colorado Bob says:

        Plants don’t listen to AM Talk Radio.

        • catman306 says:

          I think maybe some vegetables do.

          • Colorado Bob says:

            Turnips

          • Mulga Mumblebrain says:

            Have you heard the joke about Thatcher taking her Cabinet to dinner? The waiter asks the Milk Snatcher what she’d like. She replies, ‘Meat. Raw meat’. To which the waiter inquires. ‘What about the vegetables?’ And Thatcher retorts, ‘They’ll have the same!’.

    • Mulga Mumblebrain says:

      It’s just the ‘Rising CO2 levels are not just unrelated to climate, but actually good for us’ school of denialism. A small thread in the huge denialist tapestry, but one not neglected by the Right.

  3. Sasparilla says:

    DOE (U.S.) site displaying average gasoline prices and equivalent average electricity costs for filling up your plugin vehicle (assumes average daytime electricity rates):

    http://energy.gov/articles/egallon-how-much-cheaper-it-drive-electricity

    Fun little site to play with (just select your state) – since they leave out low overnight rates the costs, for some states, would be significantly lower than the already low equivalent rates.