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The non-blizzard of 2009 and why the anti-science disinformers try to shout down any talk of a link between climate change and extreme weather

Our story so far.

The anti-science crowd pushed the nonsensical meme that a big snowstorm in winter is somehow counter-indicative of human-caused climate change.   I then discussed the actual science, which makes clear that is, in fact, nonsense, and, if anything, such a storm is consistent with climate science, though you “can’t make a direct association between any individual weather event and global warming” (see Was the “Blizzard of 2009″³ a “global warming type” of record snowfall “” or an opportunity for the media to blow the extreme weather story (again)?).

That post incited the anti-science crowd at Newsbusters and elsewhere to do their misinformation thing, falsely asserting that I blamed the story on global warming, which I expected.  But I was surprised that Newsbusters’ Noel Sheppard apparently doesn’t know the difference between wind speed and precipitation, apparently believing that all big snowstorms are blizzards, which they are not.  Worse, if you read the comments to my original post, the anti-science crowd apparently believes that any extreme weather event that happens during the winter must be evidence against human-caused global warming.

UPDATE:  Turns out Noel Sheppard is an economist who wrote a “special report” for Business & Media Institute on November 30, 2005 titled, “Media Myths: The Housing Bubble Is Bursting,” attacking Krugman and others for warning of the dangers of a housing bubble!  I’m so reassured that “no housing bubble” guy now says we needn’t fret over climate change either…. h/t Krugman via Douglas in the comments.

And so we come back to a question I’ve asked many times, “Why do the anti-science disinformers try to shout down any talk of a link between climate change and extreme weather?”

After all, the science is crystal clear that many extreme weather events have increased in recent years “” and that there is a link to climate change. The point is such well-established science that even that bastion of denial, the Bush Administration, acknowledged it in a major 2008 report, Weather and Climate Extremes in a Changing Climate.  Yes, alarmists like Bush’s Commerce Sec. Carlos Gutierrez, Energy Sec. Samuel Bodman, and Science Advisor John Marburger III, signed off on the conclusion that:

Heavy precipitation events averaged over North America have increased over the past 50 years, consistent with the observed increases in atmospheric water vapor, which have been associated with human-induced increases in greenhouse gases.

And they signed off on the conclusion that those “Extreme precipitation episodes” now “account for a larger percentage of total precipitation. The most significant changes have occurred in most of the United States.”

Yet the disinformers and their allies try to attack, mock or shout down any talk of such a link whatsoever.

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AGU stunner: Aircraft Vapor Trails Responsible for 15-20% of Arctic Warming

“If black-carbon emissions from aircraft could be reduced 20-fold, warming [from plane-created vapour trails] would be halted”

Plane with vapour trails

Nature (subs. req’d) reports on an analysis presented by Stanford’s Mark Jacobson to the American Geophysical Union’s annual meeting last week:

The first analysis of emissions from commercial airline flights shows that they are responsible for 4-8% of surface global warming since surface air temperature records began in 1850 “” equivalent to a temperature increase of 0.03-0.06 °C overall.

The analysis, by atmospheric scientists at Stanford University in Palo Alto, California, also shows that in the Arctic, aircraft vapour trails produced 15-20% of warming.

This study is yet more strong evidence that we need a high priority global strategy to sharply reduce black carbon:

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113 Wisconsin scientists write to Senators Kohl and Fiengold urging ‘aye’ votes on bipartisan climate and clean energy legislation

“The science now convinces us that calls for immediate action are warranted to avoid the worst consequences of global warming on Wisconsin’s economy and environment, including the Great Lakes.”

This is a guest post by Peter Gray of the Environmental Law and Policy Center, “the Midwest’s leading public interest environmental legal advocacy and eco-business innovation organization.”

This month, 113 Wisconsin scientists joined together to urge Wisconsin’s senators to enact strong federal policies to combat climate change. A letter signed by the scientists was delivered December 8 to Senators Kohl and Feingold.  It explains the specific ways that climate change threatens Wisconsin’s economy and public health and how Wisconsin stands to benefit from climate change solutions:

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Lessons Learned from Copenhagen

What You Need to Know Following the International Climate Change Summit

President Barack Obama leaves the podium after addressing the High Level Plenary meeting on Climate Change in Copenhagen on Friday, December 18, 2009. This post is by CAP’s Rebecca Lefton, Andrew Light, and Daniel J. Weiss.

The international negotiations on climate change wrapped up December 19 in Copenhagen. The conference achieved an interim agreement, known as the Copenhagen Accord, which could put the major polluting nations on a pathway to reducing global warming pollution, and it continues to set the expectation for U.S. domestic action on climate change.

Much work remains, but there were also numerous notable achievements and meaningful insights into how the United States can gain from leading the world toward a new international clean-energy agreement.

A “meaningful” deal on climate mitigation

President Barack Obama left Copenhagen Friday night after personally working to secure agreement from China, South Africa, Brazil, and India on a “meaningful and unprecedented” climate change agreement. The president played a major role in crafting the Copenhagen Accord that was hammered out by 28 countries and accepted by 188 by the end of the meeting. Only five countries””Bolivia, Cuba, Nicaragua, Venezuela, and Sudan””refused the accord.

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