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Climate Scientists Debunk Latest Bunk by Denier Roy Spencer

Long wrong climate science disinformer Roy Spencer has published another deeply flawed article.  That ain’t news.  What is news is that the deniers have a couple of new tricks up their sleeves.

First, the disinformers have figured out they should focus on journals that don’t seem to have a very deep understanding of climate science.  In May, it was a paper in a statistics journal, which was ultimately withdrawn because of “evidence of plagiarism and complaints about the peer-review process.”  This time it’s an article in the open-access Remote Sensing co-authored by Spencer.

It bears repeating that Spencer committed one of the most egregious blunders in the history of remote sensing — committing multiple errors in analyzing the satellite data and creating one of the enduring denier myths, that the satellite data didn’t show the global warming that the surface temperature data did.

It also bears repeating that Spencer wrote this month, “I view my job a little like a legislator, supported by the taxpayer, to protect the interests of the taxpayer and to minimize the role of government.”

That doesn’t mean Spencer’s new paper on remote sensing is wrong, but it means his work on the subject does not deserve the benefit of the doubt, as most climate journals would know.  And it means we should pay attention to serious climate scientists when they explain how Spencer is, once again, pushing denier bunk.

As the famous critique goes, “Your manuscript is both good and original. But the part that is good is not original, and the part that is original is not good”:

  1. He’s taken an incorrect model, he’s tweaked it to match observations, but the conclusions you get from that are not correct,” Andrew Dessler, a professor of atmospheric sciences at Texas A&M University.
  2. It is not newsworthy,” Daniel Murphy, a National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) cloud researcher, wrote in an email to LiveScience.
  3. NCAR’s Kevin Trenberth in an email:  “I have read the paper. I can not believe it got published. Maybe it got through because it is not in a journal that deals with atmospheric science much?”
  4. Trenberth and John Fasullo at RealClimate:  “The bottom line is that there is NO merit whatsoever in this paper.”

As for the second denier trick, well, they got Yahoo News to host a “news story” on the article — written by James Taylor.  Not the brilliant singer song-writer who wrote, “I’ve seen fire and I’ve seen rain, I’ve seen sunny days that I thought would never end.”  No, the uber-denier James Taylor whose Heartland Institute wants to bring to America’s heartland too much fire and too much rain — and heat waves that you thought would never end.  Sorry, couldn’t resist.

And so Yahoo enables this headline of denier bunk — “New NASA Data Blow Gaping Hole In Global Warming Alarmism” — to spread through the web like so much kudzu.  LiveScience noted in its debunking post:

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Big Oil Pumps Up Profits with Americans’ Cash: Higher Gas Prices Lead to Gushing Balance Sheets

– Kalen Pruss

View data comparing Big Oil profits to prices for oil and gasoline (.xls)

This week the five Big Oil companies—ExxonMobil, BP, ConocoPhillips, Chevron, and Shell—posted massive second-quarter profits thanks in no small part to record-high gas prices and billions in unnecessary subsidies paid by American taxpayers.

All five companies sat squarely in the black with $35.1 billion in combined second-quarter profits, 9 percent higher than in 2010. Exxon, at a whopping $10.7 billion, reported the largest profits by far. Shell saw an $8 billion profit for the quarter, a 77 percent increase from last year, putting the company on track to meet or exceed its 2008 record of $31.4 billion—the most a British company has ever earned in a single year. Even BP clocked in at $5.3 billion little more than a year after the fatal Deepwater Horizon disaster rocked the U.S. Gulf Coast, forcing BP to put $20 billion in an escrow fund for people harmed by the blow out.

Big Oil once again has American families to thank for these enormous gains: Oil profits grow when Americans pay more for gasoline. Because oil averaged $107.35 a barrel during the second quarter—a 39 percent increase over 2010—Americans are forking over more than a third more at the pump than they were just a year ago.

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NEWS FLASH

Onion Mocks News Media On Climate Science: ‘Nation’s Climatologists Acting Skittish For Some Reason’ | In a satirical piece about poor news coverage of climate science, Onion’s obtuse television journalists report that “climatologists around the country have been behaving very strangely.” “Something seems to have spooked the climatologists,” the fake reporter intones, rolling a clip of actual climatologist Thomas Karl warning of catastrophic sea level rise, before saying “we’re not sure why” they’re so upset. “Maybe someday we’ll find what all this jumping around is all about,” the feckless anchor concludes.

Finally, Some Bi-Partisanship on Clean Energy in Congress: PACE Financing Returns

by Raj Salhotra

With partisanship at an all-time high in Washington, Congress can’t even agree on an emergency plan to raise the debt ceiling that would avoid a potentially-catastrophic financial crisis.

But that doesn’t mean political leaders can’t do something across party lines – even if that something is a bit smaller in scope.

Of course, the smallest actions often have an enormous impact. And a bill introduced this week that puts Property Assessed Clean Energy (PACE) back in the spotlight would do just that.

“It’s not just a win-win situation, but win-win-win: homeowners get the benefit of lower utility bills; workers in the stagnating construction industry get jobs; and the nation gets the benefit of increased energy efficiency and reduced energy costs.”

That was the co-sponsors’ message upon introducing the PACE Assessment Protection Act of 2011, which will prohibit “Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and other Federal residential and commercial mortgage lending regulators from adopting policies that contravene established State and local property assessed clean energy laws.” The bill is sponsored by two Republicans and a Democrat.

Sounds arcane, right? Well, the implications are huge for the energy efficiency and renewable energy sectors.

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July 29 News: Japan Plans For Reduced Dependence on Nuclear Energy; Stable, Thermal Energy Storage?

A round-up of climate and energy news. Please post other stories below.

Japan’s New Energy Strategy Calls For Reduced Dependence On Nuke Power

In line with Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan’s call for phasing out atomic power in the country, the government has drawn up a new energy strategy aimed at lowering the proportion of nuclear-generated electricity.

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NEWS FLASH

Huntsman: ‘Conservation Is Conservative’ | As the guest speaker at the annual dinner of the Republicans For Environmental Protection, an organization which supports a carbon cap-and-trade system, Republican presidential candidate Jon Huntman Jr. said last night: “Conservation is conservative. I’m not ashamed to be a conservationist. I also believe that science should be driving our discussions on climate change.”

NEWS FLASH

President Obama and Auto Companies Agree to New Fuel 54.5 MPG Standard |  

President Obama just announced a new fuel standard for auto companies that will save 23 billion gallons of gasoline by 2030 and avoid the annual emissions of 72 coal-fired power plants each year. The standard requires manufacturers to meet a 54.5 mpg standard by 2025 – an agreement significantly higher than what auto companies fought for.

The move is being hailed as a rare environmental win for Obama at a time when Republicans are fighting to roll back almost every major energy and environment program created in the last few decades. The new standard could create more than 60,000 jobs in the auto sector as manufacturers develop new technologies to meet the targets. The United Autoworkers Union was an early supporter of the new standard because of the job-creation opportunities it would create.

However, the fuel standard does include a “re-opener” that could allow auto companies to re-negotiate standards after 2021.

After Polar Bear Scientist Criticized Investigator For ‘Stupid’ And ‘Goofy’ Math, He Was Persecuted

The climate denier blogosphere is going mad over “Polarbeargate,” supposedly the story of a rogue government scientist manipulating the evidence that polar bears are threatened by melting Arctic sea ice. The scientist, Dr. Charles Monnett, is on administrative leave and forbidden from communicating with co-workers pending an investigation by the Department of Interior’s Office of the Inspector General (OIG).

In reality, Dr. Monnett, one of the country’s top Arctic scientists, “is being hounded in a political attempt to impugn his observations on polar bears’ vulnerability to retreating sea ice,” according to a scientific misconduct complaint filed today on his behalf by Public Employees for Environmental Responsibility (PEER) against Interior Department officials. Dr. Monnett, who has monitored bowhead whales in the Arctic since 1984, was the co-author of a seminal paper that recorded polar bears found dead in the open Arctic Ocean, stranded by retreating sea ice and a powerful storm, both symptoms of the region’s rapid warming.

PEER has posted the interview conducted by OIG Special Agents Eric May and Lynn Gibson with Dr. Monnett on February 23, which offers the only public clues to the reasoning behind his persecution. The transcript shows May and Gibson to be primed with skeptical questions about Dr. Monnett’s research observing sea life as a wildlife biologist for the Minerals Management Service. Dr. Monnett points out that many of the questions are “stupid” and “goofy,” evidently composed by someone “deficient in fifth grade math.”

A few months later, the OIG locked down the scientist, spurring a feeding frenzy among climate deniers who somehow don’t realize that the evidence that polar bears are going extinct has only grown starker each year, independent of Dr. Monnett’s work.

Monnett’s wife, scientist Lisa Rotterman, is concerned his persecution will send a “chilling message” at the agency right as it decides whether to open the Arctic to drilling by Shell Oil. “I don’t believe the timing is coincidental,” she told the Associated Press.
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Military Leaders Want to Save Money and Lives with Clean Energy, While GOP Leaders Want to Stop Them

by Stewart Boss

At a time when many conservative lawmakers are strongly opposing renewable energy and denying the science of climate change, it’s interesting that the Department of Defense – the nation’s largest energy user, representing 80% of federal sector energy consumption – remains fully committed to reducing energy consumption and developing renewable energy technologies.

Given the massive scope of these initiatives, perhaps no other federal agency is pushing toward a clean energy economy more decisively than the U.S. military.

This month marks the one-year anniversary of the signing of the 2010 Memorandum of Understanding between the DoD and the Department of Energy (DOE):

Energy efficiency can serve as a force multiplier, increasing the range and endurance of forces in the field while reducing the number of combat forces diverted to protect energy supply lines, as well as reducing long-term energy costs.

DoD is also increasing its use of renewable energy supplies and reducing energy demand to improve energy security and operational effectiveness, reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in support of U.S. climate change initiatives, and protect the DoD from energy price fluctuations. Solving military challenges through innovation has the potential to yield spin-off technologies that benefit the civilian community as well.

The Environmental and Energy Study Institute (EESI), E3G and Operation Free hosted a Hill briefing titled “More Fight, Less Fuel” on Wednesday with top military and civilian experts to provide an in-depth analysis of the DoD’s ambitious goals.

Although the military is looking at how climate change could impact operations, the rationale for action has more to do with getting access to secure resources. Thomas Hicks, Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Navy for Energy, acknowledged the DoD’s position that climate change “may act as an accelerant of instability or conflict,” but described the consideration of climate change as a “second-order effect” of the military’s green energy innovation.

What’s abundantly clear is that the military’s commitment to clean energy innovation is motivated by a desire to save money and improve the DoD’s bottom line. Sherri Goodman, Executive Director of the Center for Naval Analyses Military Advisory Board, said:

These programs, by and large, particularly the energy programs, are going to be saving the military departments money in a year of declining defense budgets, so it would be penny-wise and pound-foolish to cut too deeply.

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Clean Start: July 29, 2011

“The economic impact of severe weather events is only projected to grow,” Senator Dick Durbin said at a hearing of the Senate Subcommittee on Financial Services and Government, which he chairs. “We are not prepared. Our weather events are getting worse, catastrophic in fact.” [Reuters]

Unrelenting rain pounding Seoul, South Korea, and the southern part of the country is causing historic flooding and extensive landslides, killing at least 57 people, including 13 university students killed by a landslide while doing volunteer work. [SkyNews; Chosun Ibo]

North Korea‘s state media issued almost real-time updates of the havoc wreaked by the flooding from July 12 to 17, but it has fallen silent since. [Chosun Ibo]

The 2007 wildfire on the North Slope of the Alaska’s Brooks Mountain Range released 20 times more carbon to the atmosphere than what is annually lost from undisturbed tundra. [Science Daily]

As much of Texas suffers through one of its worst droughts, many rain-starved Texans are doing something they thought they would never do — looking forward to the arrival of a tropical storm. [Reuters]

What is almost certain to become the warmest July on record in Philadelphia already has been blamed for at least 25 deaths in the region, including six announced Wednesday. [Philadelphia Inquirer]

The death toll in St. Louis from the heat wave is has reached 13 victims, pending confirmation of two suspected cases. [STLToday]

Overnight storms dumped a record amount of rain on parts of the Midwest, including more than 10 inches falling on Dubuque, Iowa, prompting fears of more Mississippi River flooding. [Reuters]

NEWS FLASH

EPA Proposes Smog Standard for Natural Gas Fracking |  

The Environmental Protection Agency is considering new emissions standards for natural gas fracking operations that would cut smog-forming emissions by 95% in the sector. The rules would require companies to capture leaking natural gas using “proven technology” that could be re-used and sold. The agency expects the rules could result in $30 million of net savings for the industry each year.

Environmental and energy groups are split on the value of fracking. While more cleaner-burning natural gas has the potential to knock higher amounts of coal out of the electricity mix, concerns around groundwater contamination and life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions at fracking operations continue to mount. The EPA is currently monitoring seven different sites to determine how the practice impacts groundwater in communities close to drilling operations.

If the EPA goes forward on these new smog standards, the rules would be finalized by February of next year.

 

Climate Scientists Blow Gaping Hole In ‘NASA Data’ Paper By Ideologue Roy Spencer

The climate denier blogosphere is going mad over a new paper that supposedly “should dramatically alter the global warming debate” by showing that “far less heat is being trapped than alarmist computer models have predicted.” The paper, written by conservative climate scientist Roy Spencer and his University of Alabama colleague William Braswell, finds that “satellite observations and climate models display markedly different behaviors” and posits, with caveats, that there may be “lower climate sensitivity of the real climate system.” As LiveScience’s Stephanie Pappas writes, the paper then was promoted by a Heartland Institute blogger on the Forbes.com website:

The study, published July 26 in the open-access online journal Remote Sensing, got public attention when a writer for The Heartland Institute, a libertarian think-tank that promotes climate change skepticism, wrote for Forbes magazine that the study disproved the global warming worries of climate change “alarmists.” However, mainstream climate scientists say that the argument advanced in the paper is neither new nor correct.

Pappas interviewed climatologists Gavin Schmidt, Kevin Trenberth, and Andrew Dessler, who eviscerated Spencer’s shoddy science:

The study finds a mismatch between the month-to-month variations in temperature and cloud cover in models versus the real world over the past 10 years, said Gavin Schmidt, a NASA Goddard climatologist. “What this mismatch is due to — data processing, errors in the data or real problems in the models — is completely unclear.”

He’s taken an incorrect model, he’s tweaked it to match observations, but the conclusions you get from that are not correct,” Andrew Dessler, a professor of atmospheric sciences at Texas A&M University, said of Spencer’s new study.

I cannot believe it got published,” said Kevin Trenberth, a senior scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research.

In his paper, Spencer relies on a toy model of the climate system which geochemist Barry Bickmore (a Republican) had previously exposed as being one that could “give him essentially any answer he wanted, as long as he didn’t mind using parameters that don’t make any physical sense.”

This case is an excellent example of how the right-wing climate disinformation media machine works. Roy Spencer, one of the handful of publishing climate scientist ideologues, gets his work into an obscure journal. Then James Taylor, an operative for a fossil fuel front group, claims it is “very important” on Forbes.com, a media website owned by a Republican billionaire. The Forbes blog post was redistributed by Yahoo! News, giving the headline “New NASA Data Blow Gaping Hole In Global Warming Alarmism” a further veneer of respectability, even though the full post is laughably hyperbolic, using “alarmist” or “alarmism” 15 times in nine paragraphs.

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