The Missing Link

Here’s a bold prediction: For the next several days, a great many talking heads will be talking about this big news from today…

U.S. President George W. Bush resisted efforts by U.K. Prime Minister Tony Blair and French President Jacques Chirac to cooperate with European Union nations on cutting pollution blamed for global warming.

…and this big news from today…

Hurricane Dennis gathered strength with extremely dangerous 150-mph (240-kph) winds as it bore down on central Cuba on Friday and was on track for the U.S. Gulf of Mexico…

Dennis is the strongest Atlantic hurricane to form this early in the season since records began in 1851, the center said.

…and yet will never draw the connection between the two, which is this: a June 2005 study by the National Center for Atmospheric Research, which incidentally I found through this site, which is managed by the federal government:

Warmer oceans, more moisture in the atmosphere, and other factors suggest that human-induced climate change will increase hurricane intensity and rainfall, according to climate expert Kevin Trenberth of the National Center for Atmospheric Research. His paper, “Uncertainty in Hurricanes and Global Warming,” appears in the Perspectives section of the June 17 issue of Science. […]

The strongest links between hurricane intensity and climate change, according to Trenberth, are a long-term rise in ocean temperatures and an increase in atmospheric water vapor. Both processes are already under way and expected to continue, he says. […]

“Computer models also suggest a shift in hurricane intensities toward extreme hurricanes,” says Trenberth.