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Former CFTC Chair Who Predicted The Derivatives Crisis Endorses Dodd-Frank Financial Reform Bill

In the 1990′s, Brooksley Born, who chaired the Commodity Futures Trading Commission at the time, tried to warn federal bank regulators, including Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, about the dangers of over-the-counter derivatives. To put it mildly, her alarm-sounding did not go over well:

Born’s proposal stirred an almost visceral response from other regulators in the Clinton administration, as well as members of Congress and lobbyists. The economy was sailing along, and the growth of derivatives was considered a sign of American innovation and a symbol of the virtues of deregulation. The instruments were also a growing cash cow for the Wall Street firms that peddled them to eager takers. Ultimately, Greenspan and the other regulators foiled Born’s efforts, and Congress took the extraordinary step of enacting legislation that prohibited her agency from taking any action.

Of course, as we now know, the huge, opaque derivatives market helped to unleash a financial cataclysm, particularly by imploding the insurance giant AIG. “No federal or state public official had any idea what was going on in those markets, so enormous leverage was permitted, enormous borrowing,” Born said. “There was also little or no capital being put up as collateral for the transactions.”

Since Born saw the problems with the derivatives market where so many others didn’t, it’s significant that she has lent her support to the financial regulatory reform package that passed the House this week and is due for a vote in the Senate when the July 4th recess ends. “[The bill] is an important step forward in regulating the over-the counter derivatives market and I very much hope it is enacted into law,” Born said.

Despite the unfortunate watering down of the provision forcing banks to spin their derivatives trading desks into separately capitalized entities, the derivatives title of the Dodd-Frank financial reform bill is quite strong. It places standardized derivatives trades onto public exchanges (like the stock exchange) and forces customized trades to be cleared by clearinghouses (avoiding an AIG-type situation where one party to a trade has insufficient capital on hand to back it up). This is getting lost in the drama surrounding Sen. Scott Brown’s (R-MA) hemming and hawing over the bill, but it’s an important set of reforms that needs to become law.

Education

White House Threatens To Veto War Supplemental Over Cuts To Education Funding

Yesterday, the House passed an $80 billion war supplemental, which will go towards paying for an additional 30,000 troops in Afghanistan. But to sweeten the pot for those hesitant to support more money going to Afghanistan, the bill also includes $10 billion in aid to prevent school districts from laying off teachers.

While the goal of preserving teaching jobs is an important one, House Appropriations Committee Chairman David Obey (D-WI) chose to offset the spending with cuts to two of the Obama administration’s education reform programs, Race to the Top and the Teacher Inventive Fund. This has led the White House to issue a veto threat:

The White House has promised to veto a House war funding bill over proposed cuts to education reform programs…“We do not believe that taking money out of that important investment makes any sense at all. The president’s been clear with Congress that that doesn’t make any sense at all,” said Press Secretary Robert Gibbs.

“We’re very concerned,” says Peter Cunningham, a spokesman for Education Secretary Arne Duncan. “We think it’s a big mistake. These are the wrong offsets.” Obey, for his part, did not take the criticism well. “Obama may be a miracle man, but he can’t change the money [realities],” Obey said, calling Race to the Top “walking-around money” and a “slush fund.”

But Race to the Top, according to the New Teacher Project, “has already accelerated education reform by decades in some states.” “While Race to the Top has only been in existence for a short time, it has yielded some of the most dramatic state education reforms the country has seen in many years,” said CAP Vice President for Education Policy Cindy Brown. The Teacher Incentive Fund, meanwhile, is one of the best ways to support the development of teachers.

These sorts of reforms are critical to not only turning around the education system, but the economy as a whole. According to research done by McKinsey & Company, a management consulting firm, “if the United States had in recent years closed the gap between its educational achievement levels and those of better-performing nations such as Finland and Korea, GDP in 2008 could have been $1.3 trillion to $2.3 trillion higher.” “This represents 9 to 16 percent of GDP,” the firm found.

“Obviously, the priority is to prevent education cuts. But Obey’s plan does not prevent education cuts,” wrote Jonathan Chait. “It simply sloshes money from one pool of education funding into another, with the net effect being to hamper reform efforts.” Hopefully the Senate will take care of this when its turn on the war supplemental comes up.

Update

Sen. Evan Bayh (D-IN), along with 12 other Democratic senators, has penned a letter to Senate Appropriations Committee Chairman Daniel Inouye calling the proposed cuts “unacceptable“:

Using these programs as offsets for teacher jobs presents us with a false choice between supporting teachers or supporting these critical reform efforts. We are committed to working with you to find other offsets to ensure that we can support our teachers and continue funding these innovative efforts.

Are Conservatives Content With Muddling Through The Jobs Crisis?

Today, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released its latest jobs report, and the data is disappointing for those hoping that May’s weak job report was not going to recur and that we’d go back to seeing numbers like those in April. Alas, it’s seeming more likely that April was the anomaly, as in June private sector payrolls grew by just 83,000 and total payrolls dropped by 125,000, due to 225,000 temporary Census jobs coming to an end.

Due to discouraged workers leaving the workforce, the unemployment rate actually fell to 9.5 percent. The wider U-6 measure of underemployment also held fairly steady, falling from 16.6 to 16.5. There are 14.6 million persons who are unemployed, and 45 percent of them have been out of work for at least six months. As Calculated Risk pointed out, “employment peaked in December 2007, and this recession is by far the worst recession since WWII in percentage terms, and 2nd worst in terms of the unemployment rate (only early ’80s recession with a peak of 10.8 percent was worse)”:

All of these numbers — paired with the Federal Reserve’s latest economic report, which stated that “financial conditions have become less supportive of economic growth on balance” — scream for more job creation steps to be taken. But due to a Republican filibuster — joined repeatedly by Sen. Ben Nelson (D-NE) — the Senate couldn’t even extend unemployment benefits, much less take important steps like providing aid to states or boosting small business lending, before departing for its July 4th recess.

To get a sense of how far we have to go to get out of the current jobs rut, consider that “if we added 218,000 private-sector jobs each month from now on—the highest monthly payroll increase seen so far this year in the private sector—it would still take almost five years to fill the hole.” But will Republicans (and Ben Nelson!) let any serious steps be taken to get us there, or are they content to muddle through the unemployment crisis? Will they continue to filibuster everything in sight, while espousing the same supply-side economic theory that led to a business cycle with “the weakest jobs and income growth in the post-war period”?

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