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Government Shutdown Could Further Delay Important Regulations For The Subprime School Industry

I noted earlier the myriad economic consequences of a Tea Party-inspired government shutdown, to which Congress is creeping ever closer. The effect of a shutdown on education policy, however, has been harder to ascertain. Many education programs are funded in advance (due to the schedule of the school year) and thus won’t be affected.

However, one beneficiary of a shutdown could be the for-profit college industry. The Education Department has been working on a new set of regulations to govern these subprime schools, and if department employees aren’t able to go to work, progress on the regulations will stall:

If the federal government shuts down on Saturday, some students will have to wait longer for their aid, federal oversight of colleges and lenders will lapse, and the Education Department’s controversial “gainful employment” rule could be further delayed.

The for-profit school industry has been fighting tooth and nail to prevent these new regulations from coming online, hiring a phalanx of lobbyists and throwing fundraisers for key lawmakers like House Education Committee Chairman John Kline (R-MN). The regulations would block federal aid from higher education programs with students that fail to meet a certain debt-to-income ratio or have high rates of student loan default.

Currently, just 11 percent of higher education students in the country attend for-profit schools, yet they account for 26 percent of federal student loans and 44 percent of student loan defaults. For-profit schools make up to 90 percent of their revenue from the federal government, while producing profit margins of 30 percent. While this qualifies as a serious problem, the few employees at the Education Department’s Office of Postsecondary Education who would be allowed to work through a shutdown likely wouldn’t have anywhere near the bandwidth to deal with it:

[During the 1995 shutdown], only two employees in the Office of Postsecondary Education were deemed “essential” by the department: David A. Longanecker, the assistant secretary for policy and planning, and his deputy, Maureen McLaughlin. Mr. Longanecker said he spent most of his time answering phones and telling students and financial-aid administrators that the department would have to get back to them. He also became chauffeur to the secretary of education at the time, Richard W. Riley, because the department’s drivers were furloughed.

These regulations have already been delayed once by the Education Department.

11 Ways The Tea Party-Inspired Shutdown Will Hurt The Economy

The White House made yet another effort to broker a deal to prevent a government shutdown last night, with President Obama saying that a shutdown would be “inexcusable.” Even though Democrats have agreed to the initial House Republican position of roughly $30 billion in cuts from 2010′s funding level, House Republicans are still holding out for deeper spending cuts and various policy riders demanded by the Tea Party, such as cuts to funding for Planned Parenthood.

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) said today that “the two sides have essentially agreed on the amount of money set to be cut from the long-term budget but that Republicans have drawn a line in the sand over ‘ideology.’” As Steve Benen noted, “what we’re talking about here is Republicans shutting down the government over access to contraception and family planning services.”

If the government shuts down on Friday night, all government functions deemed “non-essential” will be stopped in their tracks. But “non-essential” describes a wide variety of important government functions, which, if they stop, threaten to harm the nation’s fragile economy. Here are some of the economic consequences that will occur under a Tea-party inspired government shutdown:

SLOWER ECONOMIC GROWTH: According to analysts at Goldman Sachs, a shutdown “could shave 0.2 percent off the growth of Gross Domestic Product for every week it continued.”

HOUSING MARKET THREATENED: During a shutdown, the Federal Housing Administration, “which insures and guarantees a large number of single-family mortgages and even more rental and multifamily properties,” would cease operations, blocking home loan and insurance applications.

BLOCKED TAX REFUNDS: A shutdown would “delay $42.1 billion of refunds to about 14 million U.S. taxpayers,” the majority of whom are middle-class or low-income.

INCREASED DEFICITS: By increasing the costs of funding the debt, a shutdown could actually increase the federal deficit.

SMALL BUSINESS LOANS BLOCKED: During the shutdown, the Small Business Administration’s processing of loan applications is halted. The SBA approves about $50 million in small business loans per day.

INSIDER TRADING INVESTIGATIONS HALTED: At the Securities and Exchange Commission, the shutdown would stop most investigatory activities, “including routine sweeps and examinations of investment advisers and broker-dealers and most work on in-progress enforcement cases.”

SOCIAL SECURITY ENROLLMENTS SLOWED: While Social Security checks still go out during a shutdown, applications for new enrollment will be processed more slowly and “a huge backlog of applications for Social Security disability benefits would grow even larger.”

WORKPLACE SAFETY INSPECTIONS STOPPED: At the Occupational Safety and Health Administration, which polices workplace regulations, only “‘imminent dangers’ to life or property could be investigated,” leaving 95 percent of workplace complaints unanswered.

TOURIST INDUSTRY AROUND NATIONAL PARKS HURT: National parks close during a shutdown, while “tourists spend about $32 million a day in the communities just outside the parks,” according to the National Park Service.

800,000 FEDERAL WORKERS FURLOUGHED: A shutdown would force the furlough of about 800,000 federal employees, and “leave the Treasury owing them $174 million a day in back wages.”

STATE BUDGET WOES EXACERBATED: If a shutdown occurs, “the federal money that helps states pay the administrative costs of their stretched unemployment programs could dry up, forcing states to advance the money to keep the programs running.”

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