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NEWS FLASH

Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick: Failing To Raise The Debt Ceiling Will Create Catastrophe For States | Gov. Deval Patrick (D-MA) wrote a letter to Congressional leaders today urging them to raise the federal debt ceiling. “Massachusetts draws down over $200 million in federal reimbursements weekly for programs ranging from Medicaid to food assistance,” Patrick wrote. “Failure by the U.S. government to meet its obligations to the Commonwealth for even a short period of time could create a serious state cash-flow issue. As demonstrated in the latest jobs report, state governments are still reeling from the recession and can ill afford to bear the brunt of such a preventable crisis.” The National Governor’s Association has also urged Congress to increase the debt ceiling.

Pawlenty Flip-Flops On Debt Ceiling In 20 Seconds: ‘I Wish They Wouldn’t Raise It’ To ‘They’re Going To Have To’

GOP Presidential hopeful Tim Pawlenty has been all over the place when it comes to his position on raising the nation’s debt ceiling. He has said that failing to raise the debt ceiling would be good for the economy, endorsed Republican attempts to raise it only as long as cockamamie budget plans are attached, but then refused to rule out raising it were he to become President.

However, Pawlenty’s debt ceiling fickleness reached new heights today during an interview with CNBC. Literally twenty seconds after telling CNBC’s Steve Leisman that “I wish they wouldn’t raise” the debt ceiling, Pawlenty said that the debt ceiling does, in fact, have to be raised:

LEISMAN: So you favor default by the United States? Is that what you’re saying? Under any circumstances you would not raise the debt ceiling without sufficient spending cuts?

PAWLENTY: They’ve already gone through the debt ceiling, they went through it in May, so I’m saying I wish they wouldn’t raise it, but if they’re going to raise it, at least get some structural reform and improvement so we’re on a better trajectory going forward.

LEISMAN: But Governor, hold on the other side here. Are you saying you are willing to accept default and/or breaching the debt ceiling in the absence of sufficient spending cuts?

PAWLENTY: No, I think they’re going to have to raise the debt ceiling, but what I’m saying is if they do that, as they do that, they should get some structural reform.

Watch it:

Pawlenty has, of course, changed positions on several key issues, including cap and trade, but this interview must surely set a record for Pawlenty’s quickest change of heart regarding policy. It’s worth mentioning that the tax cut plan Pawlenty has proposed would be three times more expensive than the Bush tax cuts and “by 2021, under Pawlenty’s plan, total publicly held debt would exceed 100 percent of GDP — over $24 trillion,” obviously necessitating a substantial increase in the debt ceiling.

NEWS FLASH

House Republicans Schedule Vote On Radical Debt Ceiling Bill | According to a press release from House Republican Conference Chairman Jeb Hensarling (R-TX), the GOP intends to vote on the radical “cut, cap, and balance” plan on Wednesday, July 20th. The bill calls for the debt ceiling to be raised only if Congress sends to the states a balanced budget amendment. As we’ve noted before, the balanced budget amendment is a gimmick that allows lawmakers to pretend to care about the deficit without explaining how they’d actually reduce it (and enacting one would force the government to actively make economic downturns worse).

Update

The vote may now take place Tuesday.

Politics

GOP Rep. Steve King Would Reject Debt Ceiling Deal With $3 Trillion In Cuts And Just $8 In Revenue Increases

Even as President Obama offers up trillions of dollars in cuts and reforms, Republican intransigence has prevented the two sides from reaching a deal to raise the nation’s debt ceiling and stave off a credit default. The threat of a downgrade to the United States’ credit rating has not yet been enough to force a compromise from GOPers, who have thus far been unwilling to see any revenue increases in a debt ceiling deal.

There is no better example of this stubbornness than by Rep. Steve King (R-IA). ThinkProgress spoke with King following a House GOP Caucus meeting this morning. We asked the Iowa Republican, a persistent critic of the president’s policies, whether he could accept a debt ceiling deal that included $3 trillion in cuts and just $8 in revenue increases. King stood firm, telling ThinkProgress, “I’m not for raising taxes”:

KEYES: Obviously any type of deal is very fluid at this point, but in terms of what you would be willing to accept and vote for. For instance, say there were $3 trillion in cuts and just $8 in revenue increases, do you think that’s something you yourself could be supporting? [...]

KING: I’m not for raising taxes. I won’t support anything that raises taxes. Revenue increases are a euphemism for raising taxes. Closing loopholes, one person’s loophole is the other one’s legitimate business expense. And tax deduction or tax credit as the case may be. That doesn’t get to the root of the problem. Let’s send a constitutional amendment to the states for ratification and then start talking business.

Watch it:

The absurdity of King’s position — revenue increases are so heretical that he cannot accept a deal that would include a 375,000,000,000:1 ratio of spending cuts to tax increases — is topped only by the fact that many House Republicans likely share his belief in refusing to raise any additional revenue. Indeed, nearly every single Republican in Congress has signed Grover Norquist’s anti-tax pledge.

However, King’s refusal to budge on even $8 in revenue increases epitomizes just how unwilling Republicans have been to compromise. Even 74 percent of Republicans told Gallup that deficit reduction should include tax increases as well spending cuts, but for King and other House Republicans, it’s more important to pander to the fringe right than the majority of voters.

Update

Cartoonist Clay Bennett perfectly captured the state of negotiations:

Romney: Jobless Americans Have To Bear Burden Of Budget Cuts Because Corporations Need A Tax Cut

ThinkProgress filed this report from a campaign event in Portsmouth, New Hampshire

A member of the local Rotary Club stood yesterday to ask former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney (R) a question weighing on the minds of millions of jobless Americans: At a time when corporations are sitting on record amounts of cash, why are the Americans who can least afford it being asked to shoulder the burden of trillions of dollars in potential budget cuts?

But Romney dodged the question, ignoring the plight of the poor and unemployed, and instead launched into a speech about how American jobs were being outsourced to developing countries with cheap labor and miniscule tax rates because the U.S. has made itself unattractive to major corporations. Instead of sticking up for Americans who are facing cuts to the safety net programs they desperately need, Romney took the opportunity to proclaim that America’s problems could be fixed if it gave corporations yet another tax cut:

QUESTIONER: We obviously need cuts to the budget…but many of the recipients of those programs are Americans whose jobs have gone places where labor is cheap. So corporate profits remain high and in some cases higher than ever. Is it fair to ask those Americans to shoulder reductions in favor of businesses and corporations who have sent those jobs overseas?

ROMNEY: [...] We need to make ourselves the most attractive place in the world for entrepreneurs and pioneers and businesses, just like it was when the Founders created this country. How do you do that? One, you make sure our employer tax rates aren’t the highest in the world. Right now they’re tied with Japan as the highest in the world. They’re about 10 points higher than the corporate tax rates in many of the countries in Europe.

Watch it:

Not only did Romney seemingly ignore the concerns raised by the question, his answer perpetuated the false idea that American corporations are subject to the highest tax rate in the world. In reality, those corporations pay an effective rate that is among the lowest in the industrialized world. Some of the nation’s largest businesses, in fact, had effective tax rates that were actually negative.

Meanwhile, the GOP continues to support cutting funding from programs that help the jobless and the poor. But for Romney, that’s easily justifiable: corporations, already earning record profits, need a tax break to go along.

Special Topic

GOP Senators Get Cold Feet Over Standoff: ‘Maybe The Debt Ceiling Was The Wrong Place To Pick A Fight’

Sen. Lindsey Graham and Sen. Bob Corker

As Republican attempts to hold the country hostage over raising the debt ceiling look increasingly likely to end in disaster, some GOP senators appear to be getting cold feet. Sens. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) and Bob Corker (R-TN) have both indicated they are rethinking the wisdom of tying a debt ceiling increase to a drastic deficit reduction package now that the country is on the brink of economic disaster:

Maybe the debt ceiling was the wrong place to pick a fight, as it related to trying to get our country’s house in order,” Sen. Bob Corker (R-Tenn.) said Thursday. “Maybe that was the wrong place to do it.”

Speaking from the Senate floor, Corker said Republicans demanded linking the two issues because the Senate hasn’t passed a budget in more than 800 days. “I credit both sides for that,” he said. But now, the inability of the White House and Congress to agree to a spending deal — and ensure a timely debt ceiling increase — is “helping our great nation go into decline.”

Meanwhile Graham, an influential member of the Republican caucus, “conceded Wednesday that he and his fellow Republicans are now eating their own words as they try to convince the country they are working to stave off a federal default”:

Our problem is we made a big deal about this for three months. How many Republicans have been on TV saying, ‘I’m not going to raise the debt limit.’ You know, Mitch [McConnell] says, ‘I’m not going to raise the debt limit unless we talk about Medicare.’ And I’ve said I’m not going to raise the debt limit until we do something about spending and entitlements.’ So we’ve got nobody to blame but ourselves,” Graham told reporters after a GOP caucus lunch.

“We shouldn’t have said that if we didn’t mean it.”

Talks between the White House and congressional Republicans have deadlocked with GOP leaders refusing to make any concessions to achieve a deal. As the country faces the very real possibility of defaulting, Americans are coming to terms with the major disruptions that outcome would have on the economy and their everyday lives. The government would not have nearly enough money to fund all essential programs and services like Social Security, Medicare, the military, border patrol agents, food inspectors, and student loans, so impossible choices will have to be made about what to cut. Nearly half of government activities could stop practically overnight.

Republican Rep. Says Debt Ceiling Doesn’t Have To Be Raised ‘For A Few Years’

Rep. Eric "Rick" Crawford (R-AR)

Several Republicans have cast doubt upon the economic effects of failing to raise the nation’s debt ceiling by Aug. 2 (when Treasury has said the U.S. will have completely exhausted its ability to borrow). The prevailing theory is that the Treasury Department would have ample revenue to cover the most important expenditures, while everything else could go by the wayside.

As the Bipartisan Policy Center has pointed out, this simply isn’t true: the U.S. would likely not have enough revenue to cover all the Social Security checks that are due on Aug. 3 if the debt ceiling isn’t raised. Failing to raise the debt ceiling would force a 44 percent cut in government spending overnight, leaving vital programs like food inspection, student loans, and border security to fall by the wayside (unless Treasury decides to not pay for huge programs like Medicare).

Some Republicans, including House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan (R-WI), have said a few days of forcing Treasury to prioritize payments wouldn’t be a bad thing. But one congressman, Rep. Eric “Rick” Crawford (R-AR), thinks that process should go on for quite a bit longer:

“That wouldn’t work for just a few days. That would work for a few years,” said Crawford, who added that he would agree to raising the debt limit only if such a bill included major changes in federal budget priorities. Budget deficits, he said, require “that we take some painful measures now. I’d rather swallow that bitter pill today.”

Credit rating agencies have warned the U.S. that failing to pay some obligations, even if every debt interest payment is made, would still result in a downgrading of U.S. credit. But Crawford isn’t alone in saying the U.S. should actively drive itself over the debt ceiling cliff. Rep. Devin Nunes (R-CA) called for the U.S. to default because “it could benefit us to go through a period of crisis.”

Gov. Daniels Brags About Surplus That His State Auditor Admits Was ‘Built On The Backs Of State Employees’

Mitch Daniels may be proud of its surplus, but it came from deep sacrifices from state workers.

As many states continue to grapple with budget crises that arose as a result of the recession, Indiana appears to stand out from the crowd. The state announced yesterday that it “closed out the budget year that ended June 30 with a surplus of about $1.2 billion.”

While this may seem like a laudable achievement, when you look at how the state reached this number, the surplus is much less impressive. Yesterday, state Auditor Tim Berry admitted that a major reason Indiana has such a large surplus is because it was “built on the backs of state employees,” who had to take on longer workloads and reduced compensation. Referring to these employees, Gov. Mitch Daniels (R-IN) praised them for their “terrific job of cost control“:

State Auditor Tim Berry called the state workers who bore most of those budget cuts via greater workloads, “heroes.” “The surplus was built on the backs of state employees,” said Berry, after he thanked them for tightening their belts. [...] “More money in Hoosiers’ incomes and a terrific job of cost control by state employees working together combined to produce an even stronger result than we expected at budget time,” Daniels said in a statement Thursday. He planned a Friday morning press conference to discuss the budget.

Indeed, Indiana achieved its surplus only by taking the most regressive of measures, not by asking for any sacrifice by some of its wealthiest citizens. In addition to sacrifices made by the state’s public workers, the state’s Department of Child Services took a $104 million budget cut last year, and the state’s K-12 education system lost $491 million over the last two fiscal years.

While balancing the state’s budget is actually required by law in Indiana, having such a surplus is no great accomplishmnent if it was done in a way that harmed the state’s economy and hurt the wages, benefits, and conditions of hard-working middle class Indianans while leaving the wealthiest untouched.

Boehner Agrees With Obama That Social Security Checks May Not Go Out If The Debt Ceiling Isn’t Raised

Earlier this week, President Obama warned that he “cannot guarantee” that Social Security checks will go out on schedule on Aug. 3 if Congress doesn’t raise the debt ceiling by Aug. 2. As a report from the Bipartisan Policy Center laid out, “the government likely would not have enough revenue to pay the full $23 billion payment to Social Security recipients due on Aug. 3″ were the debt ceiling not raised, because of the high amount of Social Security payments that are due that day.

Two days ago, Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN) criticized Obama for employing this rhetoric. “We were all shocked and appalled that President Obama dangled out in front of the cameras that senior citizens may not get their checks. That is a very dangerous statement to make,” Bachmann said, calling on the President to “tell the truth.”

Republicans have put forth the theory that Social Security is not subject to debt ceiling limitations because it is financed by payroll taxes. But it seems like Speaker of the House John Boehner (R-OH) agrees with Obama, and not his GOP colleagues, on this one. During an interview last night with Fox News’ Greta Van Susteren, Boehner agreed that if the debt ceiling isn’t raised, Social Security is one of the programs that is on the chopping block:

VAN SUSTEREN: Congresswoman Bachmann talked to me last night about Social Security, because that wa one of the things the President said, said something about, come August 2nd, you know, maybe the checks won’t go out. Does the money from the Social Security come from a different account essentially, so that even if we do hit the debt ceiling and there is still some government shutdown, those checks still go out because the revenue from them is from people working?

BOEHNER: Ohhh, I don’t believe so. At the end of the day, it all comes out of the general fund, and the general fund is expected to be out of cash come August 3rd or August 4th, and then the Treasury Secretary would have to make decisions on what to pay and what not to pay.

Watch it:

Rep. Joe Walsh (R-IL) this week called on Obama to “quit lying” about Social Security. “You know darn well that if Aug. 2, comes and goes there is plenty of money to pay off our debt and cover all Social Security obligations,” Walsh said. Maybe Boehner should drop him a line.

Econ 101: July 15, 2011

Welcome to ThinkProgress Economy’s morning link roundup. This is what we’re reading. Have you seen any interesting news? Let us know in the comments section. You can also follow ThinkProgress Economy on Twitter.

  • Congressional negotiators and the administration held a “polite but inconclusive session that covered familiar ground and made no headway” towards brokering a debt ceiling deal last night. [New York Times]
  • The Obama administration has been “privately exploring with major banks and foreign investors whether the government could devise a way to avoid a severe disruption in financial markets if the federal debt ceiling is not raised.” [Washington Post]
  • In a poll conducted by Quinnipiac University, “a plurality of registered voters said congressional Republicans are to blame in the event the debt ceiling is not raised.” [Huffington Post]
  • Recently released government data suggests that layoffs were “the primary cause for rising unemployment in May and June,” though economists warn that “it remains too early to assert this with certainty.” [Huffington Post]
  • Credit Suisse “is the target of a U.S. investigation into hidden Swiss offshore accounts for wealthy Americans, making the Zurich-based bank the latest to be ensnared into a crackdown on foreign banks suspected of aiding tax evasion and tax fraud.” [Wall Street Journal]
  • Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke yesterday “rejected various alternatives to raising the country’s borrowing limit.” [Washington Post]
  • The Minnesota legislature and Gov. Mark Dayton (D-MN) announced yesterday “that they had, at last, reached a deal on the state’s budget, bringing what is expected to be a swift reopening of government services.” [New York Times]
  • “Lender delays in processing home- loan defaults will push as many as 1 million U.S. foreclosure filings from this year to 2012 or beyond, casting an ‘ominous shadow’ on the housing market,” according to the latest data from RealtyTrac. [Bloomberg]
  • The results of a stress test of European banks are “expected to show that as many as 15 lenders need more capital to withstand a prolonged recession, with criticism growing that the tests do not encompass the impact of a Greek default.” [Reuters]
  • White House Chief of Staff Bill Daley said last night that “the White House could send a free trade agreement with Korea with a worker retraining program to Congress ‘very soon.’” [The Hill]
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