ThinkProgress Logo

Economy

FLASHBACK: Republicans Never Voted On A Balanced Budget Amendment When They Controlled Congress Under Bush

House Republicans last week insisted on passing their radical “cut, cap, and balance” plan, which would allow the federal debt ceiling to be raised only if a balanced budget amendment (complete with a federal spending cap and a supermajority requirement for tax increases) is approved by Congress and sent to the states. The Senate tabled the bill by a vote of 51-46.

Despite their plan failing to receive even a majority in the Senate — far less than the two-thirds required for a constitutional amendment — Republicans have continued to demand, as they have for months, that a balanced budget amendment be a part of any deal to raise the debt ceiling. And the GOP is framing its BBA push as some kind of favor for the next generation. For instance, Rep. Jeb Hensarling, who chairs the House Republican Conference, said today that the balanced budget amendment is “not about the next election. It’s about the next generation.” Watch it:

However, when the Republicans held both chambers of Congress from 2003 to 2006, and had a Republican in the White House, they not only didn’t approve a balanced budget amendment, they never even held a vote on it. In fact, the last vote on a BBA was in 1997, when Bill Clinton was president; the Senate defeated it by a single vote.

As we’ve extensively discussed, a balanced budget amendment is one of the worst ideas in Washington. It would force the government to make economic downturns worse by actively slashing spending in the face of falling revenue. Republicans are now claiming, in the name of the next generation of Americans, that enacting a balanced budget amendment is the price of averting economic catastrophe, but their utter indifference to the idea when they actually had the power to advance it shows that it’s nothing more than a political ploy.

NEWS FLASH

CBO: Boehner’s Debt Ceiling Plan Reduces Deficits By $850 Billion | A report released today by the Congressional Budget Office shows that Speaker of the House John Boehner’s (R-OH) plan for raising the debt ceiling would reduce deficits by $850 billion over ten years, less than the $1.2 trillion that Republican leaders had been claiming. About $695 billion in cuts come from the implementaton of discretionary spending caps, while about $175 billion in savings comes from needing to pay less interest on the national debt.

Update

Boehner is reportedly rewriting the plan to find additional cuts.

Update

The White House, while still voicing opposition to Boehner’s plan, is defending his numbers, saying that the plan does indeed cut $1.1 trillion.

Top GOP Lawmaker Pushing To Repeal Dodd-Frank: New Bank Regulators Are ‘Little Dictatorships’

Before this year, Rep. Randy Neugebauer (R-TX) was known best as a birther who once interrupted a session of Congress by screaming “baby killer.” After Republicans swept Congress, Neugebauer gained a top spot on the Financial Services Committee and is now working to dismantle foreclosure relief efforts, repeal Wall Street reforms passed last year, and empower the banks to ignore new rules governing consumer protection.

On an Internet radio program earlier this week, Neugebauer explained that his crusade to help Wall Street avoid complying with new regulations is actually a struggle for “democracy.” The congressman called new bank regulators charged with enforcing Dodd-Frank laws “little dictatorships” that are not the “type of thing a democracy ought to have”:

NEUGEBAUER: But the way it is right now, these agencies basically, the two bureaus I just mentioned [the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and Office of Financial Research] are little dictatorships. You appoint this person, they dictate what they can do to you, what they can charge for it, and if you don’t like the answer there’s not much appeal process to it. We don’t think that’s the type of thing a democracy ought to have.

Listen here:

The bank regulators Neugebauer references are charged with developing transparency in financial markets and policing predatory loans (in the mortgage markets, credit card industry, and payday loans, among others). When he says “they dictate what they can do to you,” the “you” in that sentence is a bank or financial conglomerate like Goldman Sachs. With that in mind, when Neugebauer complains that Dodd-Frank is a violation of “democracy” — apparently his version of democracy is composed of banks with rights equal to that of citizens.

In addition to defunding bank regulators, legislators like Neugebauer have worked to undermine Dodd-Frank by creating boards that can easily override any new rule created to rein in bank abuses. This back door attack on Dodd-Frank is tantamount to a repeal, because it will ensure that banks will never have to change their behavior if new rules can’t be implemented.

NEWS FLASH

Representatives Who Voted To Cripple CFPB Received 83 Percent More From Banks | Last week, 241 U.S. representatives voted in favor of a bill that would strip the newly-created Consumer Finance Protection Bureau of its teeth by giving more oversight to a regulatory council. According to a Maplight.org analysis of campaign finance reports, commerical banks and bank holding companies spent 83 percent more collectively on lobbying lawmakers who would ultimately vote ‘yea’ than it did on those who opposed the legislation. If the bill manages to surmount both the Senate and the threat of a presidential veto, it would cripple the federal agency, which was created to protect consumers from “abusive and deceptive financial practices.”

Sarah Bufkin

Bachmann Wanted To Eliminate Mortgage Lending Programs After Receiving The Maximum Loan From Them

GOP presidential candidate Rep. Michele Bachmann’s (R-MN) political platform is built on the idea that people should rely on neighbors and God, not government. In that vein, the existence of the government sponsored mortgage enterprises (GSEs), Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, is practically heretical. A “fierce critic” of the mortgage-lending programs and their role in the financial crisis in 2008, Bachmann has repeatedly called to abolish the GSEs, wanting them to “wind down and file for bankruptcy.”

Thus, it is somewhat surprising to learn that “just a few weeks before Bachmann called for dismantling the programs,” she and her husband actually took advantage of a home loan backed by those very same entities. According to the Washington Post, the Bachmanns received the maximum loan available from either Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac to help finance a “5,200-square-foot golf course home”:

Just a few weeks before Bachmann called for dismantling the programs during a House Financial Services Committee hearing, she and her husband signed for a $417,000 home loan to help finance their move to a 5,200-square-foot golf course home, public records show. Experts who examined the loan documents for The Washington Post say they are confident that the loan was backed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. [...]

The experts said the Bachmanns bought a more expensive home using typical strategies during a time of easier credit. With their existing home still on the market, they assumed liability on the same day for the $417,000 mortgage and a $249,999 secured line of credit backed by the residence, records show.

The $417,000 mortgage was the cap of what Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac would loan at the time in her region.

While hypocritical, the Bachmanns’ situation is not uncommon. In fact, “millions of other home purchasers” and “other members of Congress” took advantage of the lower interest rates that occur due to government backing. Indeed, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac back more than 90 percent of the mortgages in the U.S.

This is essentially why Bachmann’s demand to gut Fannie and Freddie Mac “would cause significant uncertainty among the investors in GSE-issued mortgage-backed securities,” thus “threatening the primary source of mortgage credit we have.” Such a serious blow to the already-fragile housing market would severely hinder economic recovery and shove housing policy back into the 1930s. As TP Economy editor Pat Garofalo pointed out, “removing all government support for the mortgage market would take us back to an era when only the very wealthy had access to homeownership.”

Earning $174,000 a year, that might work for Bachmann. But for the millions of Americans who still dream of owning a home, her hypocritical ideology shouldn’t make it past the front door.

NEWS FLASH

U.S. Downgrade Would Cost $100 Billion A Year, Wiping Out Any Deficit Reduction | The financial website Zero Hedge reports that the cost of the U.S. debt being downgraded from our current AAA rating would be a whopping $100 billion a year. That’s according to JP Morgan Chase expert Terry Belton who spoke to reporters on a conference call this morning. In short, even if the U.S. does not default, a downgrade alone “will offset any beneficial impact from any deficit reduction that will have to happen for the debt ceiling to be increased.” Belton predicted that a downgrade would cause “a permanent increase in borrowing costs,” which will make it more costly for consumers and businesses to borrow money, risking another recession.

VIDEO: Rep. Mulvaney Says Increasing Government Revenue Would Be Worse For The Country Than A Debt Default

The nation is now one week away from hitting the Aug. 2 debt limit deadline. With Republicans refusing to compromise on any potential deal to raise the debt ceiling, the risk of the government defaulting on some of its obligations is currently greater than 50 percent, according to CNN commentator David Gergen.

ThinkProgress attended a Politico breakfast this morning with Reps. Mick Mulvaney (R-SC) and Kevin Brady (R-TX), as well as Sens. Bob Casey (D-PA) and Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH), and the debt ceiling took center stage. Casey and Shaheen spent the better part of the panel all but begging their Republican colleagues to compromise on anything in order to stave off default. Brady and Mulvaney brushed off their concerns; the latter insisted that the House’s radical “cut, cap, and balance” plan actually was a compromise.

ThinkProgress spoke with Mulvaney following the breakfast to get his further thoughts about a possible default. We asked the South Carolina congressman which would be worse for the country’s long-term fiscal health: increasing government revenue or defaulting on our debt? Mulvaney said that a default would actually be preferable because raising the debt ceiling without addressing the “underlying fundamentals” would make “things worse.” Brushing aside the fact that increased government revenue could pay down our national debt, Mulvaney argued that just increasing the debt ceiling would cause more harm than a default. “If we do a clean debt ceiling, that could be the worst thing we can do,” he said:

KEYES: In terms of the debt ceiling, there’s a lot of talk about possibly defaulting in a couple weeks, but obviously Republicans are worried about long-term fiscal health in terms of the effects of raising revenue. Which do you think would end up being worse for the country, if we were to go through a short-term default or if we were to have long-term revenue increases?

MULVANEY: I think the worst thing for the country is to not fix what got us here in the first place. That’s why you see us fighting so hard on this issue, to not have a clean debt ceiling. I think ratings agencies told me the same thing. If we simply raise the debt ceiling but don’t address the underlying fundamentals, then we’re making things worse.

KEYES: So that might end up being even worse than a default?

MULVANEY: I think so. If we do a clean debt ceiling, that could be the worst thing we can do.

Watch it:

Unfortunately, Mulvaney is not the only member of the Republican caucus downplaying the consequences of a default. Rep. Devin Nunes (R-CA) called for the nation to default on our debt obligations because “it could benefit us to go through a period of crisis.” Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX) agreed that default could be a “positive thing” because it will show we’re “serious.” Even House Budget Chairman Paul Ryan (R-WI), considered by many in Washington to be the “serious” conservative economic voice, advocated a short-term default.

Now, with a week to go before an economic collapse potentially worse than the Great Recession, Republicans like Mulvaney are refusing to prevent default because they views it as a preferable policy outcome. If House Republicans are able to prevent a debt ceiling increase by Aug. 2, the question remains: how long until they take up Rep. Steve King’s call to impeach President Obama?

Despite Potential Downgrade, McConnell Claims ‘Absolutely No Economic Justification’ For Long-Term Debt Ceiling Deal

Countering President Obama’s call for a long-term increase in the nation’s debt ceiling, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) said yesterday that “there’s absolutely no economic justification” for an extended increase:

There’s absolutely no economic justification for insisting on a debt limit increase that brings us through the next election. It’s not the beginning of a fiscal year, it’s not the beginning of a calendar year, based on his own words its hard to conclude that this request has anything to do with anything other than the president’s re-election.

Overshadowing all of the debt ceiling negotiations has the been the possibility of a downgrade in U.S. debt, something the IMF warned today could have a “universally large and negative” impact on the global economy. Investors and the credit rating agencies have made it clear that they prefer a long-term deal, and a source at Standard & Poor’s told CNN that Speaker John Boehner’s (R-OH) debt ceiling plan would probably lead to a downgrade because it would force a second vote on the debt limit several months from now. Bank of America-Merrill Lynch warned in a memo that a “stopgap deal” could have “negative impact on stocks.” The CEO Of PIMCO, meanwhile, said a “short term stop gap compromise” could hurt stock markets and leave the U.S. “extremely exposed” to a credit downgrade.

Even leading Republicans understood this — including McConnell — as their new position is a reversal from just weeks ago when they wanted a long-term deal. Rep. Dave Camp (R-CA), chairman of the tax-writing House Ways and Means Committee, said a shot-term deal “doesn’t give you certainty,” while House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-VA) said a stopgap measure would just be “putting off tough decisions.” McConnell himself called for a “very large package that will impress the ratings agencies, impress foreign countries and astonish the American people that we’re actually going to come together.” But that was so last month.

Update

The CEO of the NASDAQ stock exchange told a Senate hearing today that markets would greatly prefer a longer term deal.

NEWS FLASH

Hundreds Of Employers Refuse To Consider Hiring The Long-Term Unemployed | America is suffering through a frustrating economic recovery in which the unemployment rate is 9.2 percent and the average period of unemployment is a record long nine months. Forty-four percent of the unemployed have been out of work for six months or more, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The New York Times today found one possible explanation for why it’s taking the jobless longer than ever before to find a new position: “A recent review of job vacancy postings on popular sites like Monster.com, CareerBuilder and Craigslist revealed hundreds that said employers would consider (or at least “strongly prefer”) only people currently employed or just recently laid off,” disqualifying millions from even applying.

Sean Savett

GOP Leaders Voted For Three Of The Biggest Debt Drivers, Costing $3.4 Trillion

GOP leaders stuck to their talking points last night in responding to President Obama’s speech on the debt ceiling, accusing him of the “largest spending binge in American history,” as Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) said in remarks following the president’s. “[T]he President and his party continued to make demands which we cannot meet,” House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-VA) said yesterday, adding that Obama is demanding “a blank check to keep spending.”

But Boehner and Cantor, along with Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) and House Budget Chairman Paul Ryan (R-WI) have all voted for some of the biggest contributors to the debt — the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, the Bush tax cuts, and President Bush’s Medicare prescription drug plan — which helped to double the debt over the past decade:

Together, a Bloomberg News analysis shows, these initiatives added $3.4 trillion to the nation’s accumulated debt and to its current annual budget deficit of $1.5 trillion. [...]

“There’s plenty of blame to go around,” for the debt, said Robert Bixby, executive director of the Concord Coalition, an Arlington, Virginia-based group that advocates for balanced budgets. “If there had been no Barack Obama, we would still be bumping up against the debt limit.’”

The analysis shows the wars have cost $1.3 trillion since 9/11, the Bush tax cuts cost $1.7 trillion in lost revenue over a decade, and Medicare Part D costs $369 billion over a decade. The recession has also been a major contributor to the debt.

Republicans are often willing acknowledge their party’s profligate ways under President Bush, but attempt to dismiss it as a something done by their predecessors. But this analysis shows that the very same people leading the GOP in Congress today helped contribute to the problem they are now blaming on anyone but themselves.

Health

How Boehner’s Debt Plan Produces ‘The Greatest Increase In Poverty And Hardship’ In American History

John Boehner’s debt ceiling proposal would add $1 trillion to the current $14.3 trillion debt limit (which would be expected to allow the government to continue borrowing into April of 2012), reduce spending immediately and cap future spending to save $1.2 trillion over 10 years, and establish a 12-member joint committee of Congress charged with reporting back to both chambers by Nov. 23 with recommendations to reduce the deficit by an additional $1.8 trillion over 10 years. The plan also calls for a vote on a constitutional balanced budget amendment before the end of 2011.

It’s a plan that the usually “mild-mannered” Robert Greenstein of the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities (CBPP) is describing as “tantamount to a form of ‘class warfare’” that “if enacted, it could well produce the greatest increase in poverty and hardship produced by any law in modern U.S. history.” Since Boehner’s blueprint contains no tax increases and his first round of cuts targets discretionary spending, the joint committee will have no choice but to achieve its $1.8 trillion in budget reductions by cutting entitlement spending, Greenstein explains:

– As a result, virtually all of that $1.8 trillion would come from entitlement programs. They would have to be cut more than $1.5 trillion in order to produce sufficient interest savings to achieve $1.8 trillion in total savings.

– To secure $1.5 trillion in entitlement savings over the next ten years would require draconian policy changes. Policymakers would essentially have three choices: 1) cut Social Security and Medicare benefits heavily for current retirees, something that all budget plans from both parties (including House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan’s plan) have ruled out; 2) repeal the Affordable Care Act’s coverage expansions while retaining its measures that cut Medicare payments and raise tax revenues, even though Republicans seek to repeal many of those measures as well; or 3) eviscerate the safety net for low-income children, parents, senior citizens, and people with disabilities. There is no other plausible way to get $1.5 trillion in entitlement cuts in the next ten years. [...]

In short, the Boehner plan would force policymakers to choose among cutting the incomes and health benefits of ordinary retirees, repealing the guts of health reform and leaving an estimated 34 million more Americans uninsured, and savaging the safety net for the poor. It would do so even as it shielded all tax breaks, including the many lucrative tax breaks for the wealthiest and most powerful individuals and corporations.

Congressional Quarterly’s Richard E. Cohen also reports that Boehner’s powerful panel has “no precise parallel” and will have to overcome severe logistical hurdles. “The panel would then be required to complete its work before Thanksgiving — a period of less than four months that includes the monthlong congressional August recess, two additional weeks of scheduled House breaks and three other weeks when the Senate is slated to be gone.”

It would also “have to work with existing House and Senate committees with longstanding jurisdictional claims on the issues in play and build majority support in both chambers of a divided Congress. The GOP has already cautioned that it “will not appoint any members who will approve tax hikes,” a selection criterion that “Reid and Pelosi would most certainly not follow.” The committee’s recommendations would then face up-or-down floor votes in the House and Senate without additional amendments.

  • Comment Icon

NEWS FLASH

Wealth Gap Between Whites And Minorities Hits Record High | According to data analyzed by the Pew Research Center, “the median wealth of white households is 20 times that of black households and 18 times that of Hispanic households,” which is the largest gap since the government began publishing such data 25 years ago. Pew found that, from 2005 to 2009, “inflation-adjusted median wealth fell by 66% among Hispanic households and 53% among black households, compared with just 16% among white households,” and as a result, “the typical black household had just $5,677 in wealth (assets minus debts) in 2009, the typical Hispanic household had $6,325 in wealth and the typical white household had $113,149.”

Econ 101: July 26, 2011

Welcome to ThinkProgress Economy’s morning link roundup. This is what we’re reading. Have you seen any interesting news? Let us know in the comments section. You can also follow ThinkProgress Economy on Twitter.

  • Speaker of the House John Boehner’s (R-OH) plan for raising the federal debt ceiling was met yesterday “with misgivings by some conservatives and skepticism by many GOP freshmen,” which “called into question whether Boehner could even get his own caucus to back his approach.” [Washington Post]
  • Rep. Jim Jordan (R-OH), chairman of the ultra-conservative Republican Study Committee, said yesterday that he will vote against Boehner’s plan, even though he stood on a podium with Boehner as Boehner announced it. [The Hill]
  • Would U.S. credit be downgraded even if Boehner’s plan passed? [Huffington Post]
  • A new report from the Joint Economic Committee shows that “despite the recent slowdown in national job rates, 32 states and the District of Colombia saw an increase in private-sector growth in June.” [The Hill]
  • According to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll, “roughly as many people blame Republican policies for the poor economy as they do Obama. But 65 percent disapprove of the GOP’s handling of jobs, compared to 52 percent for the president.” [Washington Post]
  • “This year, U.S. companies will spend more than $130 billion as a result of data breaches,” according to data from the the Ponemon Institute, a cybersecurity research organization, which is “more than triple what companies spent combating breaches in 2006.” [CNN Money]
  • The British economy grew at a paltry 0.2 percent in the second quarter, which “may put new pressure on the government and the Bank of England to take steps to quicken up the pace of recovery.” [Associated Press]
  • Research from the Urban Institute shows “that the unemployment rate for both men and women in their 50s ticked up last year, with older men lacking college degrees being hardest hit.” [McClatchy]
  • Gov. Jerry Brown (D-CA) signed legislation yesterday “allowing undocumented college students to access private financial aid for college, calling the new law “another piece of an investment in people.” [Los Angeles Times]
  • Comment Icon

Switch to Mobile
ThinkProgress Signup Overlay Skip and Continue to ThinkProgress Skip and Continue to ThinkProgress

Sign Up