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BREAKING: S & P Downgrades U.S. Credit For First Time In History, Repeatedly Cites GOP Intransigence On Taxes

Reuters reports: “The United States lost its top-notch AAA credit rating from Standard & Poor’s on Friday, in a dramatic reversal of fortune for the world’s largest economy.” The new rating is AA+.

In explaining their decision Standard & Poor’s cites both the decision by Republicans in Congress to turn the debt ceiling into a political football and the Republicans intransigence on tax increases. Some excerpts from the release:

[...]The political brinksmanship of recent months highlights what we see as America’s governance and policymaking becoming less stable, less effective, and less predictable than what we previously believed. The statutory debt ceiling and the threat of default have become political bargaining chips in the debate over fiscal policy.

[...]It appears that for now, new revenues have dropped down on the menu of policy options.

[...]The act contains no measures to raise taxes or otherwise enhance revenues, though the committee could recommend them.

[...]Compared with previous projections, our revised base case scenario now assumes that the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts, due to expire by the end of 2012, remain in place. We have changed our assumption on this because the majority of Republicans in Congress continue to resist any measure that would raise revenues, a position we believe Congress reinforced by passing the act.

Standard & Poors indicates that they could improve their rating for the U.S. if “the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts for high earners lapse from 2013 onwards, as the Administration is advocating.”

Update

Wall Street Journal: “A spokesman for Rep. Eric Cantor, the House GOP majority leader, declined to comment Friday night.”

Salmonella-Tainted Turkey Sickens Dozens As GOP Seeks To Slash Food Safety Budgets

In the third-largest recall on record, food giant Cargill is pulling 36 million pounds of ground turkey out of stores after a salmonella outbreak linked to one of the company’s plants sickened nearly 80 people, killing one. The recall follows other salmonella related troubles in the U.S., including salmonella-tainted eggs producing the largest U.S. foodborne illness outbreak since 1973 last summer.

According to the Hill, “although the first illnesses [related to the current outbreak] were reported in March, it required months for federal regulators to trace the cause back to Cargill’s turkey.” And things are not likely to get better going forward, as House Republicans are blocking the funds to implement a landmark food safety law and have proposed slashing the budgets of food safety inspectors:

As part of their Agricultural appropriations bill, House Republicans in June voted to slash millions of dollars from the FDA’s budget, which would have prevented the agency from enforcing tougher food safety laws installed by the Democrats in December.

The Republicans also cut funding for USDA food inspectors, who are charged with ensuring the safety of poultry, among other meat products.

In a statement yesterday, Rep. Rosa DeLauro (D-CT) took the GOP to task for cutting food safety funds that are so clearly necessary. “The House majority has slashed funding for the FDA and USDA, choosing to preserve tax cuts for the wealthy over investing in and improving our food safety system,” she said. “By cutting their funding, we have limited their effectiveness and asked FDA and USDA to do more with less, and the impact of these cuts is starkly clear with this most recent recall.”

At the moment, one out of six Americans suffers from a foodborne illness every year, with 128,000 of those resulting in hospitalization. Ultimately, 3,000 people die from foodborne illness annually, according to the Department of Health and Human Services. Georgetown University’s Produce Safety Project has found that foodborne illness costs the U.S. $152 billion each year.

Republicans have justified their cuts to food safety by insisting that the private sector “self-polices.” But that clearly wasn’t the case here, and this isn’t the first time that Cargill has had problems and been forced into a recall. In fact, “in 2007, the company recalled roughly 845,000 pounds of frozen ground beef patties linked to an outbreak of E. coli.”

GRAPH: Sluggish Growth In Temporary Jobs Is A Bad Sign For Private Sector Employment

Our guest blogger is Isha Vij, a research assistant for the Economic Policy Team at the Center for American Progress Action Fund.

Today’s jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics indicated better than expected job gains for both total nonfarm and private sector workers, with the economy adding 117,000 jobs overall. The data for temporary help workers, however, does not leave us with the same optimism for job growth going forward.

In July, employers added a mere 300 temporary help jobs. Temporary employment is usually a leading indicator that companies are going to be hiring in the coming months. And for workers who are unable to find full time work, temping can help them avoid being out of work altogether. When companies add temporary workers, we typically see clear gains in overall private sector employment in the months that follow.

For example, in the winter of 2009/2010, businesses added about 50,000 jobs each month. The following spring, we saw the sharpest growth in private sector employment in the recovery so far. Compare this to November 2008, when more than 100,000 temporary help jobs were lost. Private sector employment plummeted in the months afterwards, dropping an average of about 750,000 for the following five months.

The latest temporary help jobs numbers, though showing no major losses, are indicative of feeble jobs growth in the coming months.

NEWS FLASH

REPORT: S&P to downgrade U.S. credit, will cite GOP refusal to raise taxes. | ABC News reports: “A government official tells ABC News that the federal government is expecting and preparing for bond rating agency Standard & Poor’s to downgrade the rating of US debt from its current AAA value.” Among the reasons cited will be “Republicans saying that they refuse to accept any tax increases as part of a larger deal.”

Update

Multiple reports are indicating that Treasury found math errors in S&P’s assessment of the U.S.’ debt making their figures off by up to $2 trillion. The rating agency is now reconsidering the downgrade, though the move is still possible.

GOP Chairman Mica Forces Furlough Of Thousands Of Workers, Then Plays Victim: ‘I’ve Had A Brutal Week’

Leave John Mica aloooooooone.

The 13-day shutdown of the Federal Aviation Administration finally came to an end today, which will allow thousands of furloughed federal employees and tens of thousands of construction workers to get back on the job on Monday. House Republicans refused to reauthorize the FAA without including an anti-union provision that would make it harder for workers at airlines and railroads to unionize (a measure sought desperately by, among others, Delta Airlines). Airline inspectors were forced to work without pay during the shutdown.

House Transportation Committee John Mica (R-FL) has been at the forefront of the FAA debacle, advancing the GOP’s anti-union demands (on behalf of his biggest donors) and then adding cuts in subsidies to rural airports to the FAA bill that he admitted were only meant to tweak Democratic senators. But while he’s been more than willing to hold thousands of jobs hostage, Mica evidently can’t handle a little criticism about his role in the matter, as he whined to the Washington Post’s Dana Milbank about having a “brutal week.” “People don’t have to be so personal,” he added:

“I’ve had a brutal week, getting beat up by everybody,” Mica told me, minutes after Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid announced a deal that would end the shutdown and avoid the cuts to regional air service that Mica wanted.

“I didn’t know it would cause this much consternation,” Mica said. “Now I’ve just got to get the broom and the shovel and clean up the mess.” Switching metaphors, he said he wanted “to unclog the toilet, but it backed up. So I don’t know what to do, what to say.” [...]

“People don’t have to get so personal,” he said with a sigh. “A lot of people hate me now and think I’m the worst thing in the world for what I did.” It’s “this sort of gotcha,” he said, “that’s changed the dynamics of people working more effectively together.”

I think the 4,000 FAA employees and 70,000 construction workers who were put out of work this week — and who may not receive back pay — actually had a rougher week than Mica. While he seemed to express “remorse” about the shutdown when speaking to Milbank, Mica today seemed to threaten shutting down the FAA again if Senate Democrats are unwilling to go along with his demands.

GRAPH: Construction Employment Continues To Falter

Our guest blogger is Matt Separa, a research assistant with the Economic Policy Team at the Center for American Progress Action Fund.

The construction industry took a huge hit in 2007 as a result of the collapse of the housing bubble. Construction employment has fallen from its all-time high of 7.7 million in April 2006 to 5.5 million this July, a level not seen since March of 1996. Furthermore, levels have remained relatively stagnant since November 2009 after shedding nearly 2 million jobs in two years.

The July jobs report that the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released today, while fairly good in comparison to previous months, showed a gain of only 8,000 construction jobs. These numbers indicate that a substantial investment in infrastructure along the lines of the Works Progress Administration is the right policy decision for politicians to make, especially at a time when the American Society of Civil Engineers grades the overall U.S. infrastructure as a “D” and estimates that a total of $2.2 trillion in spending is needed over five years to bring it up to acceptable levels:

Currently however, politics and public policy are only exacerbating the problem. Republicans refused last week to provide a clean extension of Federal Aviation Administration funding over a desire to include an anti-union provision, resulting in the furlough of nearly 70,000 construction workers and the immediate halting of $2.5 billion in airport construction projects. House Transportation Committee Chairman John Mica (R-FL) has presented a bill that would slash funding for the FAA and transportation infrastructure projects, costing more than 560,000 jobs and exacerbating unemployment in the construction industry, which is already at 16.3 percent.

Although a short-term deal to re-fund the FAA has now been struck, it is of little comfort to both the workers who had their lives disrupted and to the economy, which continues to suffer the blows of political intransigence.

Justice

Colorado Education-Funding Case Highlights Failures Of Tax-Constraint Laws

Students in Colorado’s Center schools share textbooks and learn their geography from globes that still depict the Soviet Union, Center Superintendent George Welsh testified Monday in the opening day of a landmark case over the state’s flagging support for K-12 education.

Ranked 40th in the amount spent per student for 2008-09 school year, Colorado is coping with a structural gap in its education budget of between $1.4 and $3.6 billion per year. But plaintiffs in the Lobato v Colorado case are not asking the court for additional funds, but instead to mandate the state change its school-funding model.

That model has underfunded public schools for decades, thanks to the “constitutionally impermissible” shortfall created in large part by the state’s Taxpayer’s Bill of Rights. TABOR–a state constitutional amendment that forces residents to vote on all new tax hikes–limits taxpayer revenue and thus “pits state programs and services against each other for survival each year,” according to a Center for Budget and Policy Priorities report:

“TABOR worsened this [education funding] situation in two ways. First, it placed further restrictions on local governments’ control over their own revenue: TABOR limits the annual growth in local property tax revenue to the sum of inflation and a growth factor (such as the change in student enrollment), and it prevents local governments from raising property tax rates without voter approval. Second, by limiting the amount of revenues the state could keep, TABOR made it impossible for the state to maintain its own funding commitment to education — much less to continue making up for the loss of local funding.”

Since TABOR passed in 1992, Colorado’s education budget has failed to keep up with its needs, sending average per-student funding plunging more than $600 in relation to the national average by 2006. In 2007, teachers made nearly 11 percent less than the national average. At the same time, TABOR forced cutbacks that doubled the rate of low-income children without health insurance in 12 years and drove higher-education spending per student to a 15-year low in 2009.

Coloradans shouldn’t have to choose between textbooks and health insurance when it comes to its children. While the Lobato trial process will drag on for months, it demonstrates that TABOR is a failing policy that should serve as a warning for anyone looking to pass further laws mandating tax caps.

And yet GOP lawmakers are pushing for a balanced budget amendment that would pose a similar threat. Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY), who criticized elections as “not working” on the Senate floor last month, wants an amendment that would force a two-thirds supermajority to approve each new tax increase, effectively capping government revenue.

Sarah Bufkin

NEWS FLASH

CBO Affirms Social Security Trust Fund Solvent Through 2038 [Update] | A report released today by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) reveals that the Social Security trust fund is actually in better shape than previously thought. CBO now projects the trust fund won’t run out until 2038, a slight improvement over previous estimates and a reassuring reminder of the fund’s solvency for the next several decades. In the ongoing battle over deficit reduction, Republicans have insisted on deep cuts to Social Security, even though the program doesn’t contribute to the deficit.

Update

Earlier we inadvertently linked to an October 2010 report. Today, CBO released numbers affirming the Social Security trust fund’s solvency through 2038.

With Economy Stalling, Republicans To Spend August Recess Promoting Ridiculous Constitutional Amendment

Between yesterday’s stock market nose dive and today’s jobs report that shows the labor market is barely treading water, its undeniable that the economy is in a precarious position. A report earlier this week by analysts at JP Morgan showed that federal fiscal policy is actually going to retard growth through the next year, and the Federal Reserve seems unwilling to approve any additional measures to boost job creation.

With that in mind, job creation should be foremost on the minds of Washington policymakers. However, it seems that House Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) has other plans:

In a meeting with his conference on Monday, Speaker John A. Boehner told members that the best thing they could do during the August recess was to sell their constituents on the idea that the amendment — which essentially stipulates that government cannot spend more than it takes in — is necessary and good.

Republican leaders on the Hill have pivoted from railing against Democrats about tax increases to pressing for the amendment, which would require the acquiescence of two-thirds of each chamber of Congress, and three-quarters of state legislatures. They point out that such a measure passed the House in 1995, but then failed in the Senate by a single vote.

Even though the GOP never even held a vote on a balanced budget amendment when it controlled both houses of Congress under President George W. Bush, it has now become obsessed with the BBA, demanding a vote on it as part of the deal to raise the debt ceiling. And evidently, the August recess will be spent trying to drum up the political support to make that vote a success.

As we’ve noted over and over again, a balanced budget amendment would force the government to actively make economic downturns worse, by cutting back on spending precisely when the economy needs it most. In a letter to Congressional leadership, five Nobel Prize-winning economists wrote that “a balanced budget amendment would mandate perverse actions in the face of recessions,” adding that the BBA would prevent federal borrowing to finance investments into infrastructure, education, environmental preservation, and other areas “vital to the nation’s future well-being.”

So instead of thinking of ways to alleviate the suffering of those coping with the current weak economy, Republicans are going to spend the rest of the month trying to sell a policy that will make future downturns even worse.

Cantor Opposes Extending Unemployment Benefits: We Need To Stop ‘Pumping Up’ Jobless Americans

The unemployment rate inched downwards to 9.1 percent today, with private sector jobs increasing by 154,000. While a slight improvement, these better-than-expected figures provide little comfort to the 14 million Americans who are unemployed. 44.4 percent of the unemployed have been out of work for six months or more.

For these Americans who are struggling to make ends meet, the federal unemployment benefits program provides much needed financial support. Every dollar the federal government spends in federal unemployment generates two dollars of economic growth. These benefits, however, are set to expire at the end of the year.

In response to today’s jobs report, House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-VA) declared that “unemployment is far too high” and that Congress “must push pro-growth policies to get back on track.” Noting Cantor’s apparent concern as “spot on,”, CNBC host Jim Kramer told Cantor that obviously, “you’re for extending unemployment benefits given the chaotic situation.” Cantor’s response? Nope, because “for too long in Washington now we’ve been worried about pumping up the stimulus moneys and pumping up unemployment benefits”:

Cantor declared that “the most important thing we can do for somebody who’s unemployed is to see if we can get them a job” and declared that the only way unemployment benefits could be extended is if “we find commensurate cuts somewhere else”:

CANTOR: Jim, the most important thing we can do for somebody who’s unemployed is to see if we can get them a job. I mean, that’s what needs to be the focus. For too long in Washington now we’ve been worried about pumping up the stimulus moneys and pumping up unemployment benefits and to a certain extent you have states for which you can get unemployment for almost two years and I think those people on unemployment benefits would rather have a job. So that’s where our focus needs to be.

KRAMER: I just want to be very, very clear, on a day when we have a good unemployment number, that’s terrific, but not a great one and you confirmed not a great one, you are not in favor and will go against the president’s wishes to extend those unemployment benefits?

CANTOR: What I have said all along, Jim, is if we’re going to spend money in Washington, we better start to make choices and we’ve got to set priorities. If we’re going to spend money, we better cut it somewhere else.

Watch it:

A brief survey of Cantor’s priorities quickly reveals why his callous lack of concern for the unemployed is not surprising. He has always intimated that extending jobless benefits, or even preventing layoffs, are not his priorities. Even though unemployment benefits actually spur economic growth, Cantor prefers to focus on preserving tax cuts for the wealthy — something he even admitted actually would “dig the hole deeper” on the deficit.

In considering whether to fund programs like unemployment benefits that spur the economy and buoy struggling families, Cantor adopted an all-too-familiar Republican attitude: “I would say that sort of, we’ve been there, done that.” “So if nothing else,” he said, “let’s at least try something else.”

Health

Debt Ceiling’s Trigger Could Cut Assistance To Nutritional Program For Lower Income Women And Children

The trigger in the debt ceiling deal could also affect “a popular nutrition program for low-income women and young children,” Congressional Quarterly’s Ellyn Ferguson is reporting. Lawmakers had initially considered shielding the program known as Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants and Children or (WIC) — which provides assistance to “an estimated 9 million pregnant women, breast-feeding mothers and children under age 5″ — but that provision was not included in the final deal, meaning that it could be vulnerable to sequestration if the 12-memeber Congressional super committee does not agree on a spending plan:

The caps still leave wiggle room to protect some programs while reducing funding for others, said Jim Horney of the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities. “It’s not singled out,” said Horney, the center’s federal fiscal policy vice president. “Appropriators could choose to do full funding of WIC although everything will be under pressure.”

WIC, which is funded at $6.7 billion for fiscal 2011, could be more directly affected by debt ceiling provisions that call for sequestration of appropriated program funds in fiscal 2013. Horney said the debt-ceiling negotiations included discussion of an exemption for WIC similar to one it had under a 1990 budget act (PL 101-508), but it was not included in the final version.

As Pat Garofalo has reported, WIC has been the target of various cost cutting schemes, from a bipartisan agreement to avoid government shutdown in April to the 2012 Agriculture Appropriations bill. The measure cuts WIC by $733 million and, if signed into law, it would effectively kick between 300,000 and 450,000 women and young children out of the program.

Economists estimate that every $1 invested in WIC saves between $1.77 and $3.13 in health care costs in the first 60 days after an infant’s birth by reducing the instance of low-birth-weight babies and improving child immunization rates. In fact, it is estimated that the program has saved more than 200,000 babies from dying at birth.

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Econ 101: August 5, 2011

Welcome to ThinkProgress Economy’s morning link roundup. This is what we’re reading. Have you seen any interesting news? Let us know in the comments section. You can also follow ThinkProgress Economy on Twitter.

  • The stock market fell more than 500 points yesterday, erasing all of 2011′s gains. It was the worst stock tumble since December, 2008. [Dow Jones Newswires]
  • “More than $4.4 trillion have been wiped out from equity market values worldwide since July 26,” as global markets fall due to continued bad economic news. [Politico]
  • Members of the Federal Reserve “are reluctant to take further steps to stimulate economic activity. Still, persistent unemployment and fresh turbulence in financial markets could boost the pressure on the Fed to do something.” [Reuters]
  • New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman (D) has “asked a state judge to reject a proposed $8.5 billion settlement agreement over soured loans between Bank of America and a group of investors.” [Huffington Post]
  • The Department of Housing and Urban Development has reached a separate settlement with Bank of America over charges that the bank failed “to adequately provide alternatives to foreclosure on 57,000 delinquent government-insured mortgages.” It requires BofaA “to waive a minimum of $10 million in unpaid mortgage payments and vet each of the 57,000 delinquent borrowers” for a foreclosure alternative. [American Banker]
  • Mega-bank Citigroup “was subpoenaed by the California Attorney General’s Office over mortgage securitization.” [Bloomberg]
  • According to the latest Census Bureau data, “the percentage of people who owned a home had dropped to 65.9% during the second quarter — its lowest level since the first quarter of 1998 and a far cry from the high of 69.2% reached in late 2004.” [CNN Money]
  • A survey released this week by the Consumer Federation of America found that the median bank overdraft fee is $35, “the same as it was last year. The highest fees also remain $33 to $37 per overdraft.” [Associated Press]
  • At least 23 states have approved cuts to K-12 education for the coming year, reductions that will shrink or eliminate a broad array of school programs and services, particularly those serving the neediest communities,” according to a new report from the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities. [Education Week]
  • I was on MSNBC’s The Ed Show last night, talking about the Dow’s dive. Watch it:

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