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Economy

Former Wall Street CEO Says Rule Reining In Banks’ Risky Trading Doesn’t Go Far Enough

Ever since it was first proposed, the financial services industry has launched a withering assault on the Volcker rule, a regulation meant to rein in the ability of banks to gamble with their customers’ deposits. The banks were able to water the rule down before it was passed into law — thanks in no small part to Sen. Scott Brown (R-MA) — and have now submitted a heap of comments to the regulators charged with implementing the rule, in hopes of watering it down even further.

But not all members of the financial industry are against the Volcker rule. In fact, former Citigroup CEO John Reed submitted a letter to the Securities and Exchange Commission saying that the rule does not go far enough in preventing the banks from engaging in risky trading with deposits:

When a firm is focused on market gain, it will employ every available device to achieve those gains – including taking advantages of clients and putting the firm at risk. And. when it is large enough to be a threat to systemic stability, it is able to avoid the constraints of market discipline which apply to smaller actors In short, little will stand in the way of it becoming a threat to systemic stability.

The Volcker Rule is a critical response to this problem. and the proposed rule takes an important step forward in pulling into place the prohibition on proprietary trading and positions in private funds. However, I am concerned it docs not offer bright enough lines or provide strong enough penalties for violation.

Reed called for “specific and vigorous penalties” for traders who break the Volcker rule, as well as a provision requiring banks’ senior officers to sign forms attesting to their firms compliance with the rule.

Reed is no saint when it comes to regulatory matters, as he was instrumental in bringing down the barrier between investment banking and commercial banking in the 1990s, which laid the groundwork for today’s mega-banks and the financial crisis of 2008. However, he has since acknowledged that his position then was a mistake, and has pushed for strong financial reform, including breaking up the biggest banks. (HT: Huffington Post)

Education

House Republicans Again Try To Make It Easier To Cut Funding For Low-Income Students

Over the summer, House Republicans — led by House Education Committee Chairman John Kline (R-MN) — released a bill that would have made it easier to cut funding for low-income and at-risk students. And as Center for American Progress Associate Director of Education Research Raegen Miller noted today, the GOP is at it again, aiming to water down Title I of the Elementary and Secondary Education Act (the current iteration of which is No Child Left Behind), which provides federal funding to high-poverty schools:

Rep. Kline’s bill would go a long way toward turning the law’s largest program, Title I — which provides federal funding for high-poverty elementary and secondary schools — into a block-grant program by dispensing with Title I’s “maintenance-of-effort” provision. Title I maintenance of effort requires that in a given year states and districts receiving Title I funds spend 90 percent of what they spent from nonfederal sources in the previous year. This ensures that states and school districts do not shortchange high-poverty schools by shifting federal funds toward other purposes.

Rep. Kline’s Student Success Act has other shortcomings, too, but the idea of dropping the maintenance-of-effort provision is particularly ill advised. It would be one more step advocated by House Republicans toward dismantling longstanding federal provisions that ensure equitable education for all of our children. House Republicans claim they are taking this action to help states cope with budget shortfalls and to restore states’ rights over education spending. But the results would harm our poorest children and squander federal taxpayer dollars to boot.

As Miller laid out, the arguments that the GOP use to push for dismantling Title I are essentially bunk. Essentially, the GOP wants to allow states to take money meant to aid the most disadvantaged students and slush it around into different areas, defeating the whole purpose of having Title I in the first place.

Schools around the country are already having to deal with the debilitating effects of budget cuts that followed the Great Recession. The last thing they need are fewer dollars going to the students who need them the most. But perhaps we should be thankful that the GOP has, for now, abandoned its effort to cut Title I outright, as it proposed doing last year.

Privatization Fan Paul Ryan Pushes False Argument That Payroll Tax Holiday Will Undermine Social Security

Last year, when Democrats and Republicans were negotiating a short-term extension of the payroll tax holiday, multiple Republicans pushed the false idea that extending the payroll tax cut would undermine Social Security by robbing its trust fund of vital revenue. Those claims were repeatedly debunked by media outlets, members of Congress, and even the Social Security Trust Fund’s chief actuary.

Republicans, however, either missed that debunking or have willfully ignored it. With Congress nearing a deal to extend the cut through 2012, GOP leaders like Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI), who as the House Budget Committee chairman has positioned himself as the party’s top budget and finance authority, is again pushing the false notion that the payroll tax cut will hurt Social Security, as The Hill reported today:

Ryan warned that the the move could erode the Social Security Trust Fund, which is funded by the payroll tax.

“Members on our side of the aisle are divided on this question. I personally have a problem with what happens with the Social Security trust fund. So people are divided on this; the Democrats agreed to it, I’d say I don’t really know what the number of Republicans are that agree to it, so they basically decided to bring it to the floor and let Congress work its will, and let people vote however they want to,” Ryan said during an interview with WLS Radio in Chicago.

As Jared Bernstein, the former chief economist to Vice President Biden, wrote in December, the payroll tax holiday was specifically crafted to protect Social Security by requiring the nation’s general fund to replace any lost revenues in the trust fund. The general fund, in fact, has made monthly transfers to replace the lost revenue since the holiday began, and Social Security hasn’t been touched. The proposed extension Congress is now debating contains the same protections.

And while Ryan now claims to have “a problem” with diverting funds out of the Social Security Trust Fund and worries about “what happens” if such a plan is followed, he didn’t have the same concerns last year, when he proposed a privatization plan that would divert $1.2 trillion — a whopping 1,200 times the size of the payroll tax cut extension — out of the Social Security Trust Fund, and would only restore that money over the next quarter of a century through deep benefit cuts.

NEWS FLASH

Is Greece Headed For One Of Modern History’s Worst Recessions? | Uri Dadush, a former World Bank official who is currently an economist for the Carnegie Endowment, told Reuters that Greece could be headed for a 30 percent contraction of its economy, which would place the Greek crisis among modern history’s worst recessions. For comparison’s sake, the U.S. saw a 29 percent economic contraction during the Great Depression, Argentina saw a 20 percent drop in GDP following its 2001 debt default, and Latvia saw a 24 percent contraction because of the 2008 financial crisis.

Oil Prices Are Rising Despite Lowest Demand Since 1997

Oil is once again trading above $100 per barrel, bringing with it estimates that U.S. gas will cost more than $4 per gallon by May, if not sooner. The Obama administration is already bracing for higher gas prices and the political cost that they could exact.

But it isn’t increasing demand for oil that is driving the recent price increase. In fact, demand is the lowest it’s been since April, 1997, according to the Oil Price Information Service (OPIS). Instead, OPIS points to speculators as the party responsible for driving up prices:

Strangely, the current run-up in prices comes despite sinking demand in the U.S. “Petrol demand is as low as it’s been since April 1997,” says Tom Kloza, chief oil analyst for the Oil Price Information Service. “People are properly puzzled by the fact that we’re using less gas than we have in years, yet we’re paying more.”

Kloza believes much of the increase is due to speculative money that’s flowed into gasoline futures contracts since the beginning of the year, mostly from hedge funds and large money managers. “We’ve seen about $11 billion of speculative money come in on the long side of gas futures,” he says. “Each of the last three weeks we’ve seen a record net long position being taken.”

A multitude of experts, from academics to government agencies, have pinned the 2008 gas price spike on oil speculators. Of course, a big increase in gas prices could doom the slow but steady economic recovery.

VIDEO: Three Years Since The Stimulus, A Look At Its Success

The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, better known as the stimulus, became law three years ago this week, signed by President Obama less than a month into his presidency. At the time, financial and housing crises had plunged the American economy into a deep recession — in January 2009, the economy lost more than 800,000 jobs, more than in any single month in 60 years.

With its investments into infrastructure projects, tax cuts, and aid to states, the stimulus was designed to curb the effects of the recession and turn the economy back around. Though Republicans have criticized the effort and subsequent attempts to stimulate the economy as “failed policies,” early analysis has shown that the stimulus saved and created millions of jobs and pulled the American economy away from the precipice of collapse.

In a new analysis, Center for American Progress Director for Tax and Budget Policy Michael Linden examined the American economy in three parts — before the recession, during the recession, and after the stimulus passed — to find out if the stimulus did, indeed, work. As the video below shows, there is no doubt that the stimulus turned the economy around and put it on the path to recovery:

NEWS FLASH

White House Threatens To Veto House GOP Transportation Bill | The White House yesterday threatened to veto the House Republicans’ transportation bill, saying in a Statement of Administration Policy that the bill would “reduce safety throughout the Nation’s transportation system by failing to make necessary investments in roads and bridges.” The administration also noted that the GOP’s bill “eliminates programs that ensure the Nation’s metropolitan areas have sufficient resources to provide multiple transportation options to help reduce congestion.” As we’ve noted, the GOP’s transportation bill would slam low-income Americans who depend upon public transportation. The administration also objected to the inclusion in the bill of approval of the controversial Keystone XL oil pipeline, as well as expanded offshore oil drilling.

Econ 101: February 15, 2012

Welcome to ThinkProgress Economy’s morning link roundup. This is what we’re reading. Have you seen any interesting news? Let us know in the comments section. You can also follow ThinkProgress Economy on Twitter.

  • President Obama met for the first time yesterday with Xi Jinping, widely expected to be the next leader of China. [Wall Street Journal]
  • Congressional negotiators say they’ve struck a tentative deal to extend the soon-to-expire payroll tax cut, as well as unemployment benefits. [New York Times]
  • The Obama administration is pushing a new $5 billion plan to pay teachers according to performance, rather than seniority. [Bloomberg]
  • The Eurozone’s economy shrank by 0.3 percent last quarter, putting it one more bad quarter away from recession. [Washington Post]
  • A Goldman Sachs analyst is under federal investigation for leaking inside information to hedge funds. [Reuters]
  • California’s economy should see a slight improvement this year, according to a report from the Los Angeles County Economic Development Corporation. [Reuters]
  • For the first time since 2007, a full funding bill for the Federal Aviation Administration has been signed into law. [The Hill]
  • What New York Knicks phenom Jeremy Lin shows about U.S. competitiveness. [Businessweek]

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