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Economy

CHART: Scott Walker Has A Long Way To Go To Keep His Job Creation Promise

Gov. Scott Walker (R-WI) came into office on the promise to create 250,000 jobs in his first term. He then, of course, eschewed that goal in order to focus on busting Wisconsin’s public sector unions.

Wisconsin, in fact, saw the largest decrease in employment last year, making it one of only four states to lose jobs. But Walker on Saturday doubled down on his promise to create 250,000 jobs:

Gov. Scott Walker recommitted Saturday to his pledge to create 250,000 private-sector jobs by 2015, a promise all the more difficult to achieve since he first made it because of anemic job growth during his tenure. [...]

“It’s a commitment I made in 2010 and it’s a commitment I make today,” Walker said.

As Menzie Chinn noted as Econbrowser, Walker has a long way to go to make that happen. The green line represents the pace of job creation Walker needs to attain, while the blue line is what’s actually happening:

Of course, Walker could always use the trick pulled by Gov. Rick Scott (R-FL) and simply pretend that his promise on jobs never happened (video evidence to the contrary).

Election

New Romney Video Touts Steel Mill That Benefited From Government Largesse

Seeking to combat charges from the Obama campaign that Bain Capital extracted value from companies it purchased by firing employees and cutting benefits, Mitt Romney’s released a web video today profiling Steel Dynamics, one of the companies that Bain invested in.

The ad implies that the plant would not have been built without Romney’s assistance. Steele Dynamics “almost never got started,” the narrator says. “When others shied away, Mitt Romney’s private-sector leadership team stepped in.”

But the Fort Wayne Journal Gazette reported at the time (via Nexis), that Bain was just one of eight financiers for the project — hardly the lone white knight:

Financing to build the plant is coming from the Mellon Bank in Pittsburgh, NBD Bank, Fort Wayne National Bank, Lincoln National Life Insurance Co., the Bank of Japan, the Bank of Germany and the Paris Bank. Capital and Bain Capital are also investors.

And while the video touts Romney’s “private-sector” team, the company was successful thanks in part to big government subsidies and grants — $37 million from the state of Indiana and DeKalb County. And as the Los Angeles Times reported in January of this year, the county even raised taxes on residents to help fund the mill:

The county promised $23.4 million in property tax abatements and tax increment finance bonds, as well as a new income tax to generate economic development funds. The latter was required by the state, which shelled out another $13.6 million in tax credits, energy grants, workforce training and funds for roads.

A new quarter-percent tax on DeKalb County residents financed infrastructure improvements such as roads and railroad exchanges that benefited Steel Dynamics.

Indeed, while Romney and conservative allies have attacked President Obama for employing “corporate welfare” and “crony capitalism” to create green jobs, Romney-backed Steel Dynamics enjoyed government largesse on the local level. As the LA Times noted, “The story of Bain and Steel Dynamics illustrates how Romney, during his business career, made avid use of public-private partnerships, something that many conservatives consider to be ‘corporate welfare.’”

Bain invested $18.2 million in Steel Dynamics in 1994. Five years later, it sold its stake for $104 million, walking away with $85 million profit.

Education

GOP Rep. Joe Walsh Can’t Keep Facts Straight While Supporting Student Loan Interest Rate Hike

Illinois Rep. Joe Walsh (R) last month announced his opposition to legislation that would prevent the interest rates on federal student loans from doubling in July, saying it amounted to giving everyone “basically free college education.”

Last weekend, in his first debate against his challenger, Tammy Duckworth (D), Walsh reiterated that position and again struggled to maintain control of basic facts regarding student loans. Walsh said he opposed efforts to prevent rates from doubling from 3.4 percent to 6.8 percent because it would bring minimal benefit to students while adding to the national deficit, the Chicago Tribune reports:

Walsh defended his vote against a plan to keep student interest rates at 3.6 percent [sic] after a July 1 deadline, saying it would not result in the savings that have been touted. Walsh said new students would save just $7 a month while the national deficit would rise by $6 billion.

“This was a perfect issue that just typifies everything that’s wrong in Washington,” Walsh said. “Here was this president whose numbers might be down among young Americans. So what’s he going to do? He’s going to try to throw a bone to young Americans.

Walsh’s assertions aren’t quite correct. The doubling of the current interest rate would cost students an average of $1,000 a year, or about $83 a month. And neither the House nor Senate version adds a single cent to the national deficit. Senate Democrats paid for their version by closing a tax loophole that benefits wealthy individuals. House Republicans have thus far refused to cover the cost by closing tax loopholes, instead choosing to pay for their version with cuts to the prevention fund from the Affordable Care Act.

Elizabeth Warren Says JP Morgan Trading Debacle Shows ‘We Need To Go Back To Boring Banking’

Massachusetts Democratic senate candidate Elizabeth Warren reacted to the news of JP Morgan’s $2 billion trading debacle by calling for the bank’s CEO, Jamie Dimon, to step down from his position as a director of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s board. Today, Warren also said that the episode makes the case for a return to “boring banking” — separating investment banking from traditional commercial banking — which was the status quo before the deregulatory zeal of the late 1990s:

Q: You think had it [the Volcker rule] been in place, we wouldn’t be talking about this?

WARREN: Well, I’m going to put it this way. The Volcker Rule would help. We don’t know exactly the nature of these trades. But if the question is is the Volcker rule enough, or do we need more, look, I’m somebody who believes we really should have boring banking. That banking should be — the part that’s about savings accounts and checking accounts and our money system — should be separated from the kind of risk-taking that Wall Street traders want to take. That was originally what the Glass-Steagall Act was about, it was repealed in 1999. There was an effort to get it into Dodd-Frank in the 2010 bill. That effort failed. I think we really do need that kind of separation. We need to go back to boring banking. The people who want to take risks need to take risks with their own money and do it somewhere else.

Watch it:

This echoes the call made by economist Paul Krugman, who noted that the era of boring banking “was also an era of spectacular economic progress for most Americans.”

Update

In an email today, Warren called on Congress to reinstate Glass-Steagall:

I’m calling on Congress to put Wall Street reform back on the agenda and to begin by passing a new Glass-Steagall Act. This was the law that stopped investment banks from gambling away people’s life savings for decades — until Wall Street successfully lobbied to have it repealed in 1999.

A new Glass-Steagall would separate high-risk investment banks from more traditional banking. It would allow Wall Street to take risks, but not by dipping into the life savings and retirement accounts of regular people.

Election

Romney Campaign Massively Downgrades The Number Of Jobs It Claims He Created From 100,000 To ‘Thousands’

In its effort to sell Mitt Romney as someone who understands the economy and knows how to create jobs, one of his campaign’s early talking points was that he helped create 100,000 jobs during his tenure at Bain Capital. The campaign repeated the claim throughout the primary, despite a glaring lack of evidence to support it (even Sarah Palin doubted it).

Romney eventually stopped repeating the talking point, which advisers had difficulty defending under pressure, and now it seems Boston has completely Etch A Sketched the number and severely lowered the number of jobs Romney is supposed to have created at Bain.

BuzzFeed’s Zeke Miller reports that, in the wake of the Obama campaign’s new ad attacking Romney’s record at Bain, the “new Romney jobs math” is significantly more modest than the old. This time, the campaign is asserting that Romney created a meager and vague “thousands of jobs” at Bain and “tens of thousands” of jobs as governor of Massachusetts.

This is nothing less than an admission from the Romney campaign that their 100,000 jobs claim was entirely bogus, and acceptance that Romney created vastly fewer jobs than he claimed he had just a few months ago. It’s a welcome return to reality, but calls into question any piece of evidence the campaign puts forward. (In 1994, he claimed in an ad that he created 10,000 jobs at Bain.)

Meanwhile, even the “thousands of jobs” figure should be suspect, as the evidence the campaign offers to support it is an editorial from the right-wing Washington Examiner endorsing Romney. Could the Romney campaign not find a single better piece of evidence — a news article, government data, or economist’s estimate, for instance — than an unsubstantiated opinion article from a paper that is simultaneously declaring that it favors Romney’s election?

And his assertion on his record as governor also fails to include the context that his state was 47th out of 50 on job creation.

RNC Chairman Responds To JPMorgan’s Massive Loss By Saying ‘We Need Less’ Financial Regulation

The news that JPMorgan Chase lost at least $2 billion on a single trade that went sour is not evidence that the industry needs to be more stringently regulated and is instead proof that Wall Street needs even less regulation, Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus said Sunday.

Republicans, who fought efforts to pass new regulations in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis and have helped weaken the regulations that ultimately passed, have largely remained silent amid widespread calls for stronger regulations since JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon announced the massive loss Thursday. Priebus, however, made it clear during an interview with NBC’s David Gregory yesterday that the GOP still opposes the sort of regulation that could have prevented the losses and protected taxpayers and the economy:

GREGORY: You think we need less financial regulation, rather than more?

PRIEBUS: I think we need less. I mean, the fact of the matter is, Dodd-Frank didn’t work. [...]

GREGORY: So, you’re satisfied with the way Wall Street operates, with the kinds of bets that were taken by JPMorgan Chase that led to this kind of loss. You don’t think that Washington regulators can remedy that?

PRIEBUS: Certainly Dodd-Frank didn’t remedy it.

Watch it:

Sen. John Thune (R-SD) made a similar call on Fox News Sunday, saying, “We need to make sure we get all facts before jumping to conclusions about the need for greater financial regulation.”

It’s hard to make sense of these claims. JPMorgan’s loss is hardly proof of Dodd-Frank’s failure — the Volcker Rule, which could have prevented the trade, hasn’t yet been finalized and implemented. And if Dodd-Frank “didn’t remedy” the problem that led to JPMorgan’s losses, it’s because of the efforts of Republicans and Wall Street lobbyists, who have watered down the rule and fought to insert a loophole allowing the sort of trade that cost JPMorgan billions of dollars. At a time when it’s painfully clear that Wall Street can’t manage its own risk or prevent its own failure — even with the lesson of 2008 fresh in its mind — Priebus still thinks the industry is too heavily regulated.

“I’m not a financial expert,” Priebus later told Gregory. At least he got something right.

Health

Budget Cuts Hurt Washington State’s Response To Whooping Cough Epidemic

CDC officials say adults need to be vaccinated against pertussis as well as children.

Washington State is facing a Whooping cough epidemic that state health officials say could surpass the number of cases in any year since before the vaccine went into wide use in the 1940s. The state has recorded 1,284 cases through early May — 10 times as many as last year’s total at this time. But as the New York Times reports, budget cuts are hampering state and local health departments’ responses to the increasing number of Whooping cough, also known as pertussis, cases.

For example, the local Public Health Department in Skagit County, which has been hardest hit by the epidemic, has half the staff it did four years ago, and most of its preventive care programs have disappeared:

The county’s top medical officer, Dr. Howard Leibrand, who is also a full-time emergency room physician, said that in the crushing triage of a combined health crisis and budget crisis, he had gone so far as to urge local physicians to stop testing patients to confirm a whooping cough diagnosis.

If the signs are there, he said — especially a persistent, deep cough and indication of contact with a confirmed victim — doctors should simply treat patients with antibiotics. The pertussis test can cost up to $400 and delay treatment by days. About 14.6 percent of Skagit County residents have no health insurance, according to a state study conducted last year, up from 11.6 percent in 2008.

“There has been half a million dollars spent on testing in this county,” Dr. Leibrand said late last week. “Do you know how much vaccination you can buy for half a million dollars?” And testing, he added, benefits only the epidemiologists, not the patients. “It’s an outrageous way to spend your health care dollar.”

State health officials suggest that there could be more pertussis cases than current estimates show. Due to incomplete testing, as few as one in five cases is being tracked because of incomplete testing. Becky Neff, a registered nurse with a school district in Skagit County, told the New York Times that she has stopped asking for confirmation of suspected Whooping cough cases because there are only two nurses processing the disease reports instead of the five nurses doing the job a few years ago.

Mary Selecky, the state’s secretary of health, said under-immunization in children could be a compounding factor in the rapid increase in pertussis cases. Until the Washington legislature changed the state law last year to make it more difficult to opt out of childhood vaccines, Washington state had the highest number of kindergartners who did not meet state or national goals for any required immunizations, according to a Centers for Disease Control and Prevention study.

And because the vaccine for pertussis fades over time, the CDC recommends that adults receive a booster shot every 10 years to increase their protection against pertussis. Officials say this is especially important for adults who are around infants too young to be vaccinated because of how easily pertussis can spread.

One Month Ago, Dimon Called Critics Of Big Bank Trading ‘Infantile’ And ‘Nonfactual’

The fallout from JP Morgan’s $2 billion trading loss is continuing today with the news that three of the bank’s executives will exit the firm. CEO Jamie Dimon is in full disaster management mode, appearing on NBC’s Meet the Press yesterday to push back on claims that JP Morgan’s mess shows that there is still too much risk in the banking system.

Just last month, JP Morgan economist Blythe Masters insisted that the bank was not engaged in trading for its own benefit. Dimon meanwhile, was deriding the proponents of regulations to rein in risky trading as “infantile,” as the New York Times’ Gretchen Morgenson reported:

The loss, and the embarrassment it held for Jamie Dimon, the bank’s imperious chief executive, came just one month after a private dinner party in Dallas at which he assailed two respected public figures who have pushed for policies that would make banks like JPMorgan smaller and less risky.

One was Paul Volcker, the former Federal Reserve chairman, whose remedy for risky trading by too-big-to-fail banks is known as the Volcker Rule. The other was Richard W. Fisher, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, who has also argued that large institutions should be slimmed down or limited in their risky trading practices. [...]

During the party, Mr. Dimon took questions from the crowd, according to an attendee who spoke on condition of anonymity for fear of alienating the bank. One guest asked about the problem of too-big-to-fail banks and the arguments made by Mr. Volcker and Mr. Fisher.

Mr. Dimon responded that he had just two words to describe them: “infantile” and “nonfactual.”

Not only has JP Morgan belittled those trying to ensure that the nation’s biggest banks can’t threaten the economy with their risky trading, but it has actively lobbied to water down new rules governing these trades. And Dimon is still claiming that the Volcker Rule, meant to prevent banks from trading for their own account with taxpayer-backed dollars, is unnecessary. But as Businessweek’s economic editor, Peter Coy, wrote:

The need for a risk-reducing rule something like the Volcker Rule is obvious. Banks have a special obligation to avoid risk because their failure can drag down the entire economy. JPMorgan is able to borrow cheaply because lenders understand that the federal government will not let it default. In fact, it has been officially declared “too big to fail.” In return for the trampoline of taxpayer dollars—once implicit, now explicit—JPMorgan and other too-big-to-fail banks have no choice but to accept some constraints on their freedom of action.

But it sure doesn’t seem like Dimon will be swayed by that argument anytime soon.

Econ 101: May 14, 2012

Welcome to ThinkProgress Economy’s morning link roundup. This is what we’re reading. Have you seen any interesting news? Let us know in the comments section. You can also follow ThinkProgress Economy on Twitter.

  • Three top JP Morgan executives will reportedly resign due to the bank’s $2 billion trading loss. [Reuters]
  • Talks to form a Greek government have not amounted to anything, inching the country closer to a new round of elections. [New York Times]
  • Yahoo CEO Scott Thompson resigned in the wake of a controversy over embellishments on his resume. [CNN Money]
  • Facebook will officially go public this week, with the company expected to be valued at about $100 billion. [Associated Press]
  • German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s party lost a key election over the weekend, dealing another blow to pro-austerity parties in Europe. [Reuters]
  • California’s budget deficit is coming in about $7 billion higher than expected. [Reuters]
  • The Senate is scheduled to hold a cloture vote today on a measure to reauthorize the Export-Import Bank. [The Hill]
  • American Airlines has been forced by its bankruptcy creditors to consider merging with another company. [Associated Press]

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