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Bob Woodward’s New Book Exposes Boehner’s Debt Ceiling Duplicity

During the debt ceiling fight in 2011, Republicans decried President Obama’s debt limit plan for its use of a so-called “gimmick” to reduce spending. The Democrats’ plan and Obama’s budget eliminated $1 trillion reserved for Overseas Contingency Operations (OCO) in Iraq and Afghanistan, which would not be spent anyway as the two wars were winding down. House Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) and the Republican leadership repeatedly complained that the OCO savings were an imaginary “gimmick.”

But Bob Woodward’s new book, The Price of Politics, reports that Boehner adopted a markedly different tone during negotiations of what became the Budget Control Act behind closed doors, offering the OCO savings to the surprise of the Democratic leaders:

The leaders had essentially reached an agreement, but there was still a crucial question that had not been answered. What happened if the supercommittee couldn’t agree on the second $1.2 trillion in deficit reduction? What would be the trigger or enforcement mechanism to make sure $1.2 trillion was cut from spending?
We could use the $1 trillion in imaginary savings from the Overseas Contingency Operations, Boehner and McConnell said. The wars were ending anyway.
Reid was particularly surprised, he had pushed dozens of times to use this OCO money.
“We can never put that in writing,” Boehner said. “but you have our word.” It can never even be talked about, McConnell and Boehner said, never be repeated outside the room.
Reid and Pelosi agreed. Pelosi was happy to use the imaginary money. It was better than more entitlement cuts.
The deal was done.

After the deal was struck, Boehner gave Woodward a different account of the OCO savings, scoffing, “It’s the same old Washington kick the can down the road. But [Reid] thought when it got down to the end, maybe I’d buy it. But I never did buy it.”

Education

REPORT: America Is Failing To Send Students From Less Educated Households To College

The United States is falling behind other industrialized countries when it comes to making a college education attainable for all of its citizens, according to a report released today. The report, from the Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development, found that the United States is among the worst developed countries in ensuring that young people will obtain a college degree if their parents did not, as Bloomberg reports:

The odds that a young person in the U.S. will go to college if their parents haven’t — 29 percent — are among the lowest of developed countries. That’s according to a report released today by the Paris-based Organization for Economic Cooperation & Development.

As the following chart from the report shows, the U.S. is ahead of only Canada and New Zealand in its ability to get students into college if their parents did not also earn a college degree:

One of the biggest barriers to entry for these students is the rising cost of college, since such students tend to come from lower-income families. College costs have soared in recent decades, becoming prohibitive for low-income students who can’t afford the cost.

These numbers are contributing to a growing education gap, as a report on inequality and the middle class from the Center for American Progress detailed earlier this year. That report found that “the probability that a top-scoring low-income student completes college is about the same as the probability that a low-scoring high-income student does,” and that the gap between high-income and low-income students is 30 to 40 percent larger than it was just a generation ago.

House Republican Leader Unable To Say What GOP Is ‘Willing To Give’ To Avoid Fiscal Cliff

Republicans fault President Obama’s supposed “lack of leadership” for the coming fiscal cliff, but during an interview on CNBC Tuesday afternoon, House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-VA) could not say where the GOP was willing to compromise to avoid half a trillion dollars of military cuts or the wave of expiring tax breaks.

Pressed by host Maria Bartiromo, Cantor was unable to detail even one possible area where Republicans were willing to negotiate with Democrats:

BARTIROMO: So what are you willing to give on, Congressman? When you look at what the two sides are basically sticking to their guns, can it really be realistic to say taxes can never go up, that, you know, taxes should stay where they are forever in any environment? What are you willing to give on?

CANTOR: First of all, raising taxes is not the answer. We all know that. This problem is too large to think we can tax our way out of it. What we really need to be focused on is how big do we want the government to be, and begin to assess our priorities so we can manage down the deficit. That’s clearly how it is. Once we get a plan in place where, in fact, we’ve got a solution to the overspending, you know, we can begin to tell people their tax revenues will go to be paying off the deficit. But the problem is, Maria, there’s been an unwillingness to face up to the hard facts that there are obligations that have been assumed by the taxpayers, frankly, and there’s not enough money to satisfy those obligations. That’s what we have to sit down, iron out the differences, and go forward.

Watch it:

During a press conference to commemorate the 11th anniversary of the 9/11 attacks, House Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) hinted that a deal is unlikely. “I’m not confident at all,” he said of the prospect of forestalling the cliff, adding, “the House has done its job on both the sequester and on the looming tax hikes that’ll cost our economy some 700,000 jobs.” Cantor also tried to connect the terrorist strike to the automatic military cuts included in the Budget Control Act. “The best thing that we can do as a people to honor those individuals is to make sure that it never happens again, and we have looming massive defense cuts that this House has acted to substitute,” he argued.

Republicans have so far refused to give an inch on taxes and have in the past brought the government to the brink of shutdown over the Democrats’ efforts to raise revenues.

Report Blames Big Banks For 800,000 Preventable Foreclosures

The Obama administration’s primary program to tackle the housing crisis and help homeowners who were facing foreclosure, the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), fell far short of its goals. But a new report from the Federal Reserve of Chicago, the federal government, and multiple universities blamed the nation’s biggest banks for the program’s shortcomings.

According to the report — from Ohio State University, Columbia Business School, the University of Chicago, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, and the Federal Reserve of Chicago — big banks could have prevented an additional 800,000 foreclosures had they been better equipped to administer the federal modification program, ProPublica reports:

But while evidence of these problems was pervasive, it was always hard to quantify the damage. Just how many more people could have qualified under the administration’s mortgage modification program if the banks had done a better job? In other words, how many people have been pushed toward foreclosure unnecessarily?

A thorough study released last week provides one number, and it’s a big one: about 800,000 homeowners. [...]

Unfortunately for homeowners, most mortgages are handled by banks that haven’t been properly staffed and thus have modified far fewer loans. If these worse-performing banks had simply modified loans at the same pace as their better performing peers, then HAMP would have produced about 800,000 more modifications. Instead of about 1.2 million modifications by the end of this year, HAMP would have resulted in about 2 million.

The report largely blamed poor training and poor staffing at the large banks for the shortcoming. A separate report from the Department of Housing and Urban Development earlier this year found that banks were using underqualified workers to process foreclosure documents, promoting untrained employees to the vice presidential level so they could approve foreclosures. At Wells Fargo, one employee processing foreclosures came to the bank from a previous job at a pizza restaurant.

Though the report does not cite which servicers fell short of expectations, it cites “a few large servicers,” hinting that the nation’s biggest banks were the main culprits, speculation backed up by recent reports that Bank of America has failed to offer any mortgage relief under the terms of the recent foreclosure fraud settlement it and other large banks reached with the federal government and state attorneys general.

Education

Going To School In Chicago: High Poverty, Short School Days, Crumbling Buildings

Chicago’s public school teachers were on strike for a second day today, continuing a standoff with the city’s mayor, Rahm Emanuel (D). Negotiations stalled over a handful of issues, including teacher evaluations, the funding of charter schools, and class sizes.

Meanwhile, some 350,000 students are left missing time in the classroom. And a look at the statistics regarding the performance of Chicago students — and the facilities in which they try to learn — shows just how critical it is that the city both invest in new resources and get its teachers back on the job as quickly as possible. Here are the key facts about the conditions students in Chicago currently face:

33 percent of Chicago’s children were in poverty in 2010, versus a rate of 20 percent for Illinois children as a whole; 80 percent of Chicago students qualify for free or reduced lunches. Research suggests the academic achievement gap between children of differing income levels has now far outpaced the gap between back and white children, and income disparities can account for 40 percent or more of the variation in test scores.

Chicago has a shorter school day than the national average for elementary schools, at five hours forty-five minutes (though secondary school days in the district are slightly longer than the national average). Many Chicago students are in class for 10 days less than the national average of 180 days. Emanuel and the teachers negotiated a deal to extend hours and hire hundreds of new teachers to deal with the increased workload. Studies have shown that expanded learning time can provide a significant boost for students, particularly those most likely to fall behind in the classroom.

Chicago scores lower than other big cities on the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) tests, with just 20 percent of students performing at “proficient” levels in 2011. 60 percent of students performed at “basic” levels. However, the district has made big strides to improve student achievement since 2003.

–According to CTU, 42 percent of Chicago’s elementary schools lack full funding for arts and music teachers, even though the Dept. of Education called arts and music education “particularly beneficial for students from economically disadvantaged circumstances and those who are at risk of not succeeding in school.” Chicago schools also lack adequate funding and equipment for physical education — only 13 percent of middle school principals reported having enough physical education resources for their students in 2011.

Many of Chicago’s lowest-performing schools are crumbling, but Chicago Public Schools acknowledged last year that it won’t invest in improvement projects for schools it expects to be closed in the next five to 10 years, instead focusing on other schools, including those that share facilities with charter schools. CPS allotted $25 million to six schools that it will no longer control next year, according to the Chicago Tribune, and many of the funds in the city’s capital improvement plan are disproportionately aimed at more affluent schools.

NEWS FLASH

Obamacare Has Saved Consumers $2.1 Billion | Regulations in Obamacare set up a program to review insurance rate increases and instituted an 80/20 rule, requiring insurance companies to spend no more than 20 percent of consumer premiums on profits and administrative costs. And since September 2011, insurance providers have had justify premium rate increase of more than 10 percent for individual and small group markets. Consumers have saved an estimated $1 billion on their insurance premiums as a result of rate review, and 13 million Americans received $1.1 billion in rebates last year from the 80/20 provision.

Romney’s Economic Plan Would Put Tens Of Millions Of Americans At Higher Risk Of Poverty

The number of Americans at or near the federal poverty level is set to reach an all-time high in 2012, a point Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney has used to bolster his election case against President Obama. Poverty has grown as high unemployment persists and wages remain stagnant, driving up income inequality and slowing down the nation’s economic recovery.

Those numbers under a Romney presidency would only get worse, according to Melissa Boteach, the director of the Poverty to Prosperity Program at the Center for American Progress Action Fund. The plans backed by Romney and running mate Paul Ryan would make cuts to food assistance, poverty programs, and education, leaving millions of Americans at an even higher risk of poverty than they already are, Boteach’s analysis found:

31 million people—predominantly children, seniors, people with disabilities, and the working poor—will lose access to health insurance due to Medicaid cuts

46 million people could see their bare-bones nutrition aid (averaging $1.50 per person per meal) reduced to below what the Department of Agriculture considers minimally adequate OR 8 million to 10 million people could lose access to the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program altogether

Approximately 191,000 children could be kicked off Head Start, which helps provide at-risk preschoolers with the educational, health, nutrition, and family support services they need, in the next two years

More than 4 million children in low-income school districts could see their educational services reduced or eliminated in the next two years

The costs of special education for 1.26 million special-needs children would be shifted to states and school districts in the next two years

Safety net programs keep millions of Americans out of poverty each year, according to the Census Bureau’s Supplemental Poverty Measure. But many of those programs, including food stamps and other assistance for low-income Americans could face cuts under the GOP budget plan Ryan authored and Romney supports.

Social Security, another popular program, kept 14 million Americans out of poverty last year, and though Romney and Ryan have promised to preserve it, both have supported privatizing it in the past.

At the same time, Romney has proposed plans that would provide massive tax cuts to the wealthiest Americans.

America’s 1 Percent Have 288 Times As Much Wealth As The Median Household

According to a new report by the Economic Policy Institute, the wealthiest 1 percent of American households had a net worth 288 times as large as the median household wealth of $57,000 in 2010. This constitutes a huge increase from 1962, when the ratio was 125-1:

Since 1983, nearly three-quarters of the growth in total household wealth went to the top 5 percent, while the bottom four-fifths of American households saw their wealth decrease:

This is yet another indication of the explosion of income inequality that has occurred over the last few decades, as more and more of the country’s income and wealth traveled to the richest Americans. This is detrimental to America’s economic success because, as EPI explained, “wealth makes it easier for families to invest in education and training, start a small business, or fund retirement.” Wealth also makes it easier to cope in a financial emergency.

How One Mega-Donor Could Save $2.3 Billion Under Romney’s Tax Plan

The $100 million that billionaire casino mogul Sheldon Adelson pledged to donate to Mitt Romney will turn out to be a good investment if the Republican nominee wins the presidential election in November, a new report from the Center for American Progress Action Fund found. Thanks to Romney’s tax proposals, which call for massive tax cuts for the rich, corporate tax reforms that will encourage the offshoring of profits, and the elimination of certain investment taxes, Adelson could personally save more than $2 billion in taxes, according to CAPAF Director of Fiscal Reform Seth Hanlon.

Romney’s tax plan would help Adelson in the following ways:

Cut top tax rates, saving Adelson approximately $1.5 million on his annual compensation as chief executive of his casino company.

Maintain the special low rates on dividends, potentially saving Adelson nearly $120 million on a single year’s worth of dividends, more than enough to recoup his political donations.

Maintain the special low rates on capital gains, allowing Adelson to make back his political donations in capital gains tax cuts just by selling a fraction of his stock.

Provide a tax windfall of an estimated $1.2 billion to Adelson’s company, Las Vegas Sands Corp., on untaxed profits from its Asian casinos, as well as a tax exemption for future overseas profits. Adelson’s casinos already enjoy a special foreign tax exemption from the Chinese administrative region of Macau, and Gov. Romney would make those foreign profits exempt from U.S. taxes as well.

Eliminate the estate tax, potentially providing a staggering $8.9 billion windfall to Adelson’s heirs.

Romney’s corporate tax reforms would also provide Adelson’s casino company approximately $1.2 billion in tax breaks on overseas profits and $565 million from Romney’s proposed shift to a territorial tax system. Adelson’s share of that, the report says, would be upward of $900 million, nine times what he pledged to spend to get Romney to the White House.

While Romney’s tax plan would further enrich billionaires like Adelson, it would have to raise taxes on middle class families by as much as $2,000 if Romney were to keep his plan to maintain current levels of revenue.

Econ 101: September 11, 2012

Welcome to ThinkProgress Economy’s morning link roundup. This is what we’re reading. Have you seen any interesting news? Let us know in the comments section. You can also follow ThinkProgress Economy on Twitter.

  • Sales of the iPhone5 could add up to half a percentage point to U.S. GDP. [Wall Street Journal]
  • Congress is planning to vote on a six month continuing resolution on Thursday. [Politico]
  • The U.S. has made a profit of $12 billion on its rescue of mega-insurer American International Group. [Financial Times]
  • Germany’s Finance Minister criticized the U.S. debt level in a speech today. [Reuters]
  • One-third of Americans described themselves as financially lower class in a new survey; four years ago, 25 percent described themselves that way. [The Hill]
  • California Lieutenant Governor Gavin Newsom (D) fired back at mortgage companies for what he calls “threats” against local communities looking to seize underwater mortgages. [Reuters]
  • North Dakota joined the more than two dozen states seeking waivers from the No Child Left Behind education law. [Associated Press]

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