ThinkProgress Logo

Economy

Election

Leaked Audio Captures Romney Asking Employers To Tell Their Employees How To Vote

Newly-discovered audio from a conference call in June captures Mitt Romney asking business owners to urge their employees to vote for him.

Romney, speaking on a call to the very conservative National Federation of Independent Business, tells a group of business owners that they should “make it very clear” how they feel about the candidates. The audio, discovered by In These Times, also captures Romney telling the business owners to “pass… along to your employees” how their jobs might be affected by who wins in November:

I hope you make it very clear to your employees what you believe is in the best interest of your enterprise and therefore their job and their future in the upcoming elections. And whether you agree with me or you agree with President Obama, or whatever your political view, I hope — I hope you pass those along to your employees. Nothing illegal about you talking to your employees about what you believe is best for the business, because I think that will figure into their election decision, their voting decision and of course doing that with your family and your kids as well.

Listen at 26:44:

There have already been some reports of employers suggesting how their employees should cast their ballots. A CEO of a Florida resort company threatened to fire his employees if Obama won. The CEO of a timeshare company did the same. And the famous right-wing Koch brothers warned of “consequences” of not voting for Romney.

America Did Progressive Economic Policy Better Than Europe And Got A Better Recovery

While America’s recovery from the 2008 recession has hardly been booming — economic growth remains sluggish and unemployment is still a discouragingly high 7.8 percent — it’s actually been better than Europe’s. “The economy of the European Union will shrink by 0.2 percent this year, according to the International Monetary Fund. It is smaller than it was five years ago, while the American economy is 2.9 percent bigger,” noted New York Times reporter Eduardo Porter. Even two of Europe’s most impressive economies, Germany and Austria, are predicted to grow at half the U.S. rate over the next two years.

More strikingly, for all the stereotypes of Europe as a liberal haven, the United States actually hewed closer to the activist, Keynesian responses advocated by the American left-wing than did European policy makers:

Germany’s insistence that indebted Mediterranean countries cut government spending deepened recessions in those nations. [...]

[The United States Federal Reserve was] far more aggressive than the European Central Bank, quicker to drop interest rates to zero and pump money into the economy, buying government debt and other bonds. Fiscal stimulus — an initial $800 billion package in 2009 followed by about $600 billion in payroll tax cuts and other efforts — was bigger and more sustained than in other advanced countries. Banks in the United States were forced to raise billions in new capital, which allowed them to cope with the turbulent financial markets better than their European peers. [...]

Today, most economists say they believe that these policies provided vital support to the economy. In its most recent World Economic Outlook, published this month, the I.M.F. acknowledged that the fiscal stimulus was probably much more effective at bolstering growth than it had previously allowed.

While the sample size of developed western countries is small, comparing the different stimulus packages as a share of the economy with how much economic growth followed produces a positive correlation.

Of course, the effects of the 2008 crash were not distributed evenly across the international stage, and a few countries have bounced back faster than the United States. But those nations tend to be outliers in terms of their banking system or their reliance on exports. The Times article cites recent work by economists Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff, which attempts to disentangle economies that suffered a systemic financial crisis from ones that merely suffered a boderline crisis. Under that apples-to-apples comparison, America’s per capita GDP has done noticeably better.

Higher economic growth does not necessarily translate directly into higher job growth, and as Porter also observes, one area where the United States has generally underperformed Europe is employment. But that’s largely because Europe has stronger unions, more regulations making it harder to fire workers, and because several European countries subsidize wages or subsidize companies to encourage them to keep workers on — hardly approaches advocated by American critics of left-wing economic policy.

Generally speaking, while the United States’ policy response to the recession was a watered-down version of what left-wing economists and advocates preferred, it came closer to meeting that model than the European response — which hewed closer to the right-wing austerity model. And since then, the U.S. recovery has noticeably outperformed Europe’s.

Tax Idea Romney Pitched During Debate Doesn’t Make His Plan Add Up

Mitt Romney and his campaign have consistently refused to divulge the loopholes and deductions that Romney would supposedly eliminate in order to cover the cost of his massive tax cuts for the rich and corporations. One adviser even responded “energy independence” when asked for a specific tax loophole.

During Tuesday night’s debate, Romney continued his ducking and dodging. Instead of naming any deductions, he merely re-upped on a proposal to cap the total amount of deductions that taxpayers are allowed to use:

And so, in terms of bringing down deductions, one way of doing that would be say everybody gets — I’ll pick a number — $25,000 of deductions and credits, and you can decide which ones to use. Your home mortgage interest deduction, charity, child tax credit, and so forth, you can use those as part of filling that bucket, if you will, of deductions.

Romney has floated a few versions of this plan — in a previous statement he set the deduction cap at $17,000 — but it doesn’t make his tax plan add up. As the Tax Policy Center explained today:

Eliminating all itemized deductions would yield about $2 trillion of additional revenue over ten years if we cut all rates by 20 percent and eliminate the AMT. Capping deductions would generate less additional revenue, and the higher the cap, the smaller the gain. Limiting deductions to $17,000 would increase revenues by nearly $1.7 trillion over ten years. A $25,000 cap would yield roughly $1.3 trillion and a $50,000 cap would raise only about $760 billion. [...]

Suggesting limits on deductions was Governor Romney’s first public statement about how he might offset the revenue lost by cutting tax rates. Without more specifics, we can’t say how much revenue such limits would actually raise. But these new estimates suggest that Romney will need to do much more than capping itemized deductions to pay for the roughly $5 trillion in rate cuts and other tax benefits he has proposed.

The Tax Policy Center in August released what economists have called the “definitive” study of Romney’s tax plan, which showed that he can’t possibly cut all income tax rates by 20 percent, prevent a middle class tax increase, and not add to the deficit. Assuming he’s committed to the 20 percent reduction, he will have to either increase middle class taxes or increase the deficit. And capping deductions doesn’t change that inescapable fact.

How The U.S. Is Squandering As Much As $430 Billion In Corporate Tax Revenues

The Cayman Islands is a popular offshore tax haven.

Multinational corporations based in the United States shelter $1.5 trillion in profits in other countries, and because the U.S. doesn’t tax offshore profits, that money is not subject to the corporate income tax. Corporate profits kept offshore don’t face American taxation until they are repatriated — that is, brought back to the United States.

When companies repatriate money, they are supposed to pay the difference between the U.S. corporate tax rate and the rate they presumably paid to the country where the money was kept. But Congress has little knowledge of how, or whether, those overseas profits are taxed by other nations.

Some companies, however, disclose their overseas tax rates, and when Citizens for Tax Justice analyzed 47 such companies, it found that many pay a low tax rate that would force them to pay close to, if not all of, the 35 percent repatriation rate. The top 10 companies, CTJ found, would all pay at least a 32 percent upon repatriation, meaning they have paid very little in other countries:

The 47 companies CTJ analyzed would pay an average rate of 27 percent on the money they hold overseas if they had to face the corporate income tax. If the other 235 Fortune 500 companies that offshore profits paid the same average rate, it would result in $328 billion in revenue for the U.S. government. “Added to the $105 billion tax bill estimated by the 47 companies who did disclose, this means that taxing all the ‘permanently reinvested’ foreign income of the 285 companies could result in $433 billion in added corporate income tax revenue,” CTJ found.

President Obama has proposed implementing a minimum tax on overseas profits that would help recover much of the lost revenue. Such a tax would limit corporations’ ability to stash profits overseas, and combined with other corporate tax reforms he has proposed, it would raise between $200 billion and $300 billion.

Alyssa

NHL Owners Make Most Serious Attempt To End Their Lockout, But It Likely Isn’t Enough

NHL commissioner Gary Bettman (via Getty)

The National Hockey League made its most serious offer to settle the league’s labor dispute with its players union yesterday in an attempt to end current lockout in time to preserve a full 82-game season.

The NHL has already canceled the first two weeks of its season, which was supposed to begin last weekend. If an agreement is reached before October 26, though, the league could still fit in a full 82-game schedule by adding just one game every five weeks, NHL commissioner Gary Bettman said Tuesday. Bettman’s offer deals primarily with the major economic issues dividing the two sides, including how revenue should be split and whether players will see reductions in salaries:

“Hockey-Related Revenue”: The NHL’s offer would split so-called “hockey-related revenue” evenly between owners and players, a significant reduction from the 57-43 split players received under the previous collective bargaining agreement. Hockey-related revenue is the portion of each team and the league collectively makes that is then split between owners and player salaries. Hockey-related revenue is calculated through a complex formula that allows owners to set aside some revenues and deduct costs from others. For example, owners can deduct the costs of operating concessions and parking before calculating revenue; they also only contribute a certain about of revenue from luxury suites to the hockey-related revenue pool. So the 50-50 split isn’t actually 50-50 at all, and it’s not completely accurate for owners to claim they need a larger split to pay costs, since they are allowed to deduct a portion of costs before hockey-related revenue is even calculated. Rather, the 50-50 split would be an even split of a certain portion of revenues, while owners keep other revenues to themselves. Prior to this offer, the NHL sought to make the hockey-related revenue formula even more generous for owners, but it abandoned that proposal.

Salary “rollbacks”: After the 2004-2005 lockout, players took a 24-percent immediate salary reduction (or rollback), and owners began this year’s negotiations asking for another 24-percent reduction. They abandoned that request in this offer, essentially agreeing to honor the contracts they already negotiated and signed (not exactly a major concession). The switch to a 50-50 split would necessitate a roughly 12 percent reduction in salaries upfront, but in this offer, owners pledged to “protect” players by making up salaries over time. It is unclear how exactly that would work.

Escrow: The NHL’s offer could also change the way its escrow account works. In short, because the league bases hockey-related revenue off of the past year’s revenue, it has no way to accurately project revenues that will be divided between owners and players. So players pay a portion of each paycheck into an escrow account, and if league revenue falls short of projections, the NHL takes money out to make the agreed-upon hockey-related revenue split work. If revenue exceeds projections, the escrow money is split among players to make the hockey-related revenue balance. An increase in escrow contributions could work as another form of rollback if league revenues fall short, something the players are already concerned about.

The owners’ offer came a day after Deadspin broke the story that the league was using GOP strategist Frank Luntz’s firm to figure out how to market the lockout to fans and the media. The 50-50 HRR split, which certainly sounds reasonable on its face, was explicitly mentioned as a strategy in the documents Deadspin obtained, and it is one that has had success before: National Basketball Association owners used that terminology during their lockout in 2011. It seems clear that the strategy was to make laughable offers all summer to make what the owners really wanted look generous by comparison.

Further, there is Bettman’s clear pitch that this is the only way to save the 82-game season, a claim likely designed to win over restless fans who already hold him largely accountable for one lockout (and the full cancellation of the 2004-2005 season) and don’t want to see another. But that claim ignores that Bettman could have saved the season this summer when players offered to play through the lockout while owners and the union negotiated a new bargaining agreement. Instead, Bettman and the owners locked the players out.

The 50-50 deal on hockey-related revenue is where owners wanted to end up all along. The offer, Bettman said Tuesday, “was done in the spirit of getting a deal done.” But this is probably the point where serious negotiations to end the lockout will begin, not where they will end. If Bettman was interested in preserving the 82-game season, the owners should have started making offers in the spirit of getting a deal done a long time ago.

Alyssa

MTV’s ‘Underemployed’ And The Impact Of The Recession

I’m charmed by MTV’s Underemployed, a quirky little drama that debuted last night with an extremely smart premise. It follows a group of soon-to-be college graduates with high ambitions: as Glover (Sarah Habel) says the night before school ends, “We have to get together and celebrate our complete world domination!” But because of the vagaries of the economy, the rise of unpaid internships, and some of their own realistically bad decisions, find themselves adrift after they leave school. It’s a charming, even sexy show at times, but it’s also an example of a slightly strange trend: a show that’s absolutely about the recession, but that has a hard time naming social conditions for what they are.

A logical reason that Sofia (a very strong Michelle Ang), a gifted writer, would be working in a donut shop where customers yell things at her like “What do you mean you’re out of maple bacon bars, you little bitch? Having maple bacon bars is your job!” rather than interning at a magazine is the economy and the contraction of the publishing industry. But Underemployed sets up Sofia in a beautifully twee apartment (the characters all seem possessed of great real estate) and treats her unemployment as a symptom of a larger confusion about what she actually wants to be doing with her life, her writing an extension of inner confusion. It does better with a plot about Sofia’s sexuality: her friends tease her about having survived college a virgin, but when she’s asked out on a date by an attractive African-American lawyer who is the boss of one of her college friends, the show doesn’t have to state out loud why she didn’t have sex with a man somewhere along the way. The expression of joyful surprise on Sofia’s face when she has her first orgasm feels wonderfully sweet and revelatory, especially in a television environment that seems to believe that there’s a direct relationship between raunch and insight.

Then, there’s Glover, whose sex life and job struggles are also intimately related. After she asks her boss if, after a year of unpaid internships, she can finally be paid, Glover’s handsome boss asks her to lunch, and they end up sleeping together. But when it turns out that the boss has a girlfriend and no intention of doing right by Glover, who ends up blackmailing him into a reasonable salary and a parking space. It might have been nice for her to mention, as interns are arguing in courtrooms over the country, that even if he hadn’t slept with her, unpaid internships that involve substantial work rather than educational experiences may well be illegal. And it would have been even better if Underemployed hadn’t set him up to be a potential love interest in the future, doing the right thing personally and dumping his girlfriend after he was forced to do the right thing professionally and pay Glover.
Read more

RNC Chairman Slams Media For Asking How Romney Would Pay For Tax Cuts

Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus expressed frustration with the media’s efforts to ask Mitt Romney what tax deductions and loopholes he would close to pay for his 20 percent across-the-board tax cut, calling such questions “unbelievable.”

“Not only doesn’t [Obama] have a plan for foreign policy. Clearly, he is just totally empty when it comes to his plan for the future,” Priebus said during an appearance on Laura Ingraham’s radio show on Wednesday morning. “I just find it, it’s unbelievable that the press continues to ask these questions, ‘well, what particular deduction are we talking about?’ Well, what about a plan in general from this president? He’s got nothing.” Listen:

In reality, while Romney has yet to specify how he would finance a proposal that all reputable economists claim would either add to the deficit or increase taxes on middle class, Obama has laid out detailed economic policy priorities and advocated for a jobs bill that has been scored by the Congressional Budget Office.

Paul Ryan has previously refused to provide the details of the GOP ticket’s tax plan, claiming that “it would take me too long.” Prominent Romney surrogate Gov. Bob McDonnell (R-VA) called such questions “laughable.”

Romney Adviser: Romney Would Have Opposed Lilly Ledbetter In 2009

At Tuesday’s presidential debate, both candidates were confronted with a question about equal pay for women, who currently make 77 cents for every dollar earned by their male counterparts. President Obama touted his first bill signed into law, the Lilly Ledbetter Fair Pay Act, which gave women more flexibility to sue over pay inequity.

Romney avoided the question, instead choosing to talk about how he made an effort to hire women during his governorship (a claim later contested by Massachusetts women’s advocacy groups). Soon after the debate, however, senior Romney adviser Ed Gillespie told the Huffington Post that, while Romney would not repeal the Lilly Ledbetter Act, he “was opposed to it at the time” and would not have signed it.

This admission was the most definitive position on pay equity the campaign has released. Romney has long refused to disclose his stance on equal pay initiatives like the Lilly Ledbetter Act or the failed Paycheck Fairness Act, which sought to protect employees from wage discrimination based on gender or ethnicity. Lilly Ledbetter herself released a statement after the debate, saying, “If Romney was truly concerned about women in this economy, he’d take a stand against paycheck discrimination. Instead, he has remained silent and refused to speak out for equal pay for women and their families.”

Before the second debate, women started moving toward Romney, though they have generally favored Obama by wide margins.

Update

Gillespie is now backing away from his prior statement: “I was wrong when I said last night Governor Romney opposed the Lilly Ledbetter Act. He never weighed in on it.” However, Gillespie avoided saying that Romney would have supported it instead. ThinkProgress’ Ian Millhiser explains more here.

CNBC Host: Bank CEO Quit After Getting ‘Bashed’ By The President And ‘The Populists’

Citigroup CEO Vikram Pandit unexpectedly resigned yesterday. He was one of just three major bank CEOs who had led their firms through the 2008 financial crisis that was still at the helm.

Pandit left having made $260 million with Citi, including his annual compensation as CEO and the money he made when he sold his hedge fund to Citi in 2007. But to hear CNBC host Maria Bartiromo tell it, Pandit quit because he hadn’t made enough money and because he was getting “bashed and bashed again by the President, by the populists”:

Let’s face it, we have an individual here who sold his hedge fund to Citi for $800 million, taking the CEO role five years ago, and then during the financial crisis agreeing to work for $1. Getting bashed and bashed and bashed again by the President, by the populists, and he probably just said to himself, “look, I’m done. If they’re not going to pay me commiserate with what some of my colleagues in banking are making, I can’t work for a dollar anymore.”

CNBC’s Jim Cramer added later, “you know what, I think people in general, they welcome any change at the banks, including our President.” Watch it:

Pandit indeed worked for $1 following the financial crisis. But he was awarded $15 million last year, despite his company’s precipitous decline. Overall, he’s been paid hundreds of millions of dollars as his company lost 88 percent of its value.

Education

Romney Decries Student Debt, But His Plans Would Make The Problem Far Worse

During the second presidential debate Tuesday night, Mitt Romney was asked by a college student for assurance that he’ll be able to find a job when he graduates. Romney took the opportunity to not only discuss unemployment but the rising amount of debt held by America’s students:

With half of college kids graduating this year without a college — or excuse me, without a job and without a college-level job, that’s just unacceptable. And likewise, you got more and more debt on your back. So more debt and less jobs. I’m going to change that.

Student debt has indeed been rising, hitting an average of more than $25,000 per student. Romney’s plans, however, would do nothing for students struggling with the ever-growing cost of college.

For starters, he has embraced the House Republican budget, which would cut Pell Grants for one million students. Romney has also said that he would repeal the student loan reforms signed by President Obama. Those reforms, included in the Affordable Care Act, stopped the government from wasting money paying private banks to service federal student loans. The money saved was plowed back into financial aid for more students.

Paying private banks to service federal loans was one of the most indefensible uses of taxpayer dollars, yet Romney would return to that system, cutting aid for students in the process. $100 billion will be pumped into the economy via the higher earnings of students who get a better education due to expanded aid.

Romney, meanwhile, suggested that students looking to finance their education just get a loan from their parents.

Econ 101: October 17, 2012

Welcome to ThinkProgress Economy’s morning link roundup. This is what we’re reading. Have you seen any interesting news? Let us know in the comments section. You can also follow ThinkProgress Economy on Twitter.

  • The Postal Service hit its borrowing limit for the first time in its history. [Wall Street Journal]
  • The U.S. is becoming less reliant on China as a creditor, with China holding a smaller percentage of America’s public debt than it did two years ago. [Washington Post]
  • One billion smartphones are now in use globally. [Bloomberg]
  • Spain’s government said it will decide within the next few weeks whether to tap into the Eurozone rescue fund. [Associated Press]
  • Bandwidth demands are rising as schools look to implement the national Common Core curriculum. [Education Week]
  • The European Union and the U.S. will launch a new round of trade talks next year. [Reuters]
  • Comment Icon

Switch to Mobile
ThinkProgress Signup Overlay Skip and Continue to ThinkProgress Skip and Continue to ThinkProgress

Sign Up