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Democratic Senators Reject ‘Fuzzy Math’ In Fake Republican Tax Compromise

In an attempt to prove that they are trying to avert the so-called “fiscal cliff” scheduled to occur at the end of the year, Congressional Republicans have floated a “compromise” on taxes: they’ve agreed to new revenue, so long as it comes from closing loopholes and “dynamic scoring” (i.e. revenue increases due to economic growth), not raising tax rates. The catch, of course, is that tax cuts in the past have not led to appreciable revenue growth.

President Obama — who has said that a budget deal should include $1.6 trillion in new revenue — rejected the GOP’s dynamic scoring canard yesterday, saying “What I will not do is to have a process that is vague, that says we’re going to sorta-kinda raise revenue through dynamic scoring or closing loopholes that have not been identified.” Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY) derided dynamic scoring as a “Rumpelstiltskin fairy tale.” And 13 more Democratic senators evidently share that sentiment:

A group of at least 13 Democratic senators, led by Jay Rockefeller of West Virginia and Tom Harkin of Iowa plan to send a letter to President Barack Obama laying out principles for a budget deal.

The letter calls on Obama to strike a deal on the fiscal cliff that has a 1-to-1 ratio of tax increases to spending cuts.

“These revenues must be real and not inflated by ‘fuzzy math’ like dynamic scoring,” the letter reads. “Any deal should end the Bush tax cuts for the wealthiest two percent of the population and close tax loopholes benefitting wealthy Americans and corporations. Furthermore any deal must include a one-to-one ratio of revenues to spending cuts.

“Dynamic scoring in this context is an illusion — just a way to turn wishful thinking into numbers. It is not serious and should be taken off the table,” said MIT economist Simon Johnson.

NEWS FLASH

Spain Suspends Evictions Of Its Most Vulnerable Citizens | In response to a growing economic crisis made worse by repeated austerity measures, Spain’s government has imposed a two-year moratorium on evictions of low-income and vulnerable citizens. As Reuters reported, “The government said it would suspend evictions for two years for vulnerable homeowners who can no longer pay back debt, including those with small children, the disabled and long-term unemployed.” “This is an emergency response to mitigate the effects of the worst of the economic crisis,” said Deputy Prime Minister Soraya Saenz de Santamaria. The measure applies “to families with household income of less than 19,200 euros a year.”

Republicans Endorsing The Simpson-Bowles Plan Are Asking For More Revenue Than Obama

Since the election, many Republicans have come out in support of the Bowles-Simpson plan for deficit reduction. For instance, Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) said, “I’m willing to say yes to Simpson-Bowles,” newly elected Minority Whip Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) called it a “roadmap,” and Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R-GA) said the country should use “the Simpson-Bowles approach.” Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) reacted to President Obama’s demand for $1.6 trillion in new tax revenue by saying, “let’s be clear: an opening bid of $1.6 trillion in new tax hikes isn’t serious. It’s more than Simpson/Bowles or any other bipartisan commission has called for.”

However, new report from the Center for American Progress explains that the Bowles-Simpson plan for deficit reduction actually creates almost $500 billion more revenue than President Obama’s budget. If fully enacted, the bipartisan commission’s plan would generate $2.7 billion from tax increases by 2022:

The oft-cited figure is that the Bowles-Simpson plan would raise $1.2 billion in new revenue. However, this misses an important piece of the puzzle: the panel assumed the Bush tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans would expire and create $1.5 billion in new revenue separate from the $1.2 billion found elsewhere.

The bipartisan committee that produced the report, known as The National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform, was created by President Obama in 2010. Its proposal never made it to Congress, though, because Republican members of the House — led by former Vice Presidential candidate Paul Ryan — voted it down.

– Greg Noth

Income Inequality Has Risen In Nearly Every State Over The Last Three Decades

Income inequality has grown in nearly every state in the country over the last three decades and continues to climb across the nation, according to new report from the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities and the Economic Policy Institute.

While a slow recovery from the Great Recession for middle- and low-income families has exacerbated income inequality in the short-term, government policies that are preferential to the wealthy and the long-term stagnation of wages have caused significant growth in the gap between the wealthiest 20 percent of Americans and the poorest fifth, the report found. Across the country, the richest 20 percent make eight times more than the average income of the bottom 20 percent, a ratio that didn’t exist in a single state 30 years ago:

In the United States as a whole, the poorest fifth of households had an average income of $20,510, while the top fifth had an average income of $164,490 — eight times as much. In 15 states, this top-to-bottom ratio exceeded 8.0. In the late 1970s, in contrast, no state had a top-to-bottom ratio exceeding 8.0.

Look:

Nationally, the richest fifth experienced more in income gains ($2,550 per year) each year during the three decade period than the bottom fifth experienced over the entire 30 years ($1,330). For the richest 5 percent, the gap was even bigger: in 11 large states the study examined, average incomes for the top 5 percent rose by more than $100,000. The largest increase any state experienced for the bottom 5 percent was just $5,620.

Much of the explanation for rising income inequality lies in wage stagnation, rising pay at the top of the income scale, and preferential tax rates for the wealthy. Pay for chief executives rose 127 times faster than worker pay over the last 30 years, according to one recent study. At the same time, tax rates for the richest Americans have plummeted, leaving the country with more inequality than places like Ivory Coast, Pakistan, and even Ancient Rome.

GOP Senator Claims Tax Hikes For The Rich Will ‘Wipe Out Some Small Businesses’

Soon after President Obama affirmed his intention to let the Bush tax cuts on income in excess of $250,000 expire at the end of the year, Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) warned that raising taxes on the wealthiest members of society would “wipe out some small businesses.” At the Atlantic Washington Ideas Forum on Thursday, Rubio acknowledged that Obama’s plan would lower the deficit by 7.7 percent every year, but argued that small businesses were somehow in danger:

The question becomes what problem are you solving and are you willing — are you prepared — to wipe out some small businesses in exchange for seven and a half percent of deficit reduction potentially? I think that’s a bad trade off.

Studies show the Bush tax cuts for the rich do practically nothing for economic growth, and in fact sharpen income inequality. Only 3 percent of small businesses would be affected by the expiration, according to the Joint Committee on Taxation. In fact, small businesses grew twice as fast under the old Clinton tax rates as they did under Bush.

While Rubio may not want to believe these studies, small business owners do; according to a recent poll, 57 percent of small business owners think that raising taxes on the wealthy would do less harm to the economy than spending cuts that would impact education, job training, and infrastructure investment.

Rubio also argued that the tax hike would be pointless, as millionaires and billionaires could simply game the system and “hire the best lawyers, lobbyists and accountants in America to figure out how not to pay those higher rates.” Despite widespread support for tax increases on the wealthy, Republicans are attempting to tie an extension of the Bush tax cuts to a deal to avoid the so-called “fiscal cliff” in early 2013.

NEWS FLASH

57 Percent Of Small Business Owners Say Tax Increases On Wealthy Would Do Less Harm Than Spending Cuts | 57 percent of small business owners say raising taxes on the wealthy would do less harm to the economy than spending cuts to job training, infrastructure investment, and education, according to a poll from the liberal group Small Business Majority. Automatic spending cuts and tax increases are set to take effect at the end of the year, but despite Republican arguments that letting the high-income Bush tax cuts expire at the end of the year would hurt small businesses, small business owners are more concerned about budget cuts. An earlier poll from the same group found that a majority wanted Congress to focus on a plan to create jobs rather than on deficit reduction.

Austerity Pushes Europe Back Into Recession, As Protests Erupt Across The Continent

Austerity policies meant to turn around the European economy and reduce the debts and deficits of countries like Italy, Portugal, Spain, and Greece continue to have the opposite effect. The continent’s economy shrank for the second consecutive quarter in the three months leading up to September, officially pushing the European economy back into recession. The 0.1 percent contraction marked the fourth consecutive quarter that the European economy either shrank or experienced no growth.

Protesters filled streets in Lisbon, Madrid, Rome, and Athens this week, as austerity policies in all four countries have driven up unemployment and led to social service cuts, while failing to address the economic crisis. The protests have taken a violent turn recently, with protesters setting fire to urban streets and riot police firing back on them. 140 were arrested in Spain, where the unemployment rate has jumped above 25 percent. The economies of other struggling countries also continue to decline:

Portuguese unemployment jumped to a record 15.8 percent while in Spain, one in four of the workforce is jobless.

Greece’s economic output shrank 7.2 percent on an annual basis in the third quarter as the debt-laden country staggers towards its sixth year of depression.

Close to 26 million people are unemployed in the European Union while governments cut spending.

A study recently found that rather than increasing growth and reducing debt, austerity was driving down economic growth and increasing debt levels. Others have shown that austerity has put 116 million Europeans at risk of falling into poverty.

The United States has fared better, largely because it embraced stimulative economic policies instead of rampant budget cutting. But the U.S. is now at risk of following a similar path, as the so-called “fiscal cliff” policies that will slash spending would inflict an even larger austerity package on the American economy than any European country has pursued. This week, 350 economists called on Congress to avoid budget cuts and instead focus on investments into infrastructure and education that would stimulate growth and create jobs.

Fox News Kicks Off New Jobs Number Conspiracy

The Labor Department today announced that 439,000 workers filed for initial jobless claims last week, a large jump from the previous week. The increase is largely attributable to Hurricane Sandy. As the Associated Press explained, “applications increased by 78,000 because a large number of applications were filed in states damaged by the storm. People can claim unemployment benefits if their workplaces close and they don’t get paid.” Economists expect the storm to distort economic data for at least a few more weeks.

However, Fox News and other conservatives have a different explanation: More cooking of the books by the Obama administration. When the unemployment rate dropped in September, conservatives alleged a conspiracy on the part of the Labor Department to aid Obama’s re-election. Fox News, along with Gov. Scott Walker (R-WI), were once again alleging a conspiracy after the latest numbers were released today:

– FOX NEWS’ ERIC BOLLING: “The Department of Labor is getting sketchier and sketchier with each one of these numbers.

– FOX NEWS’ GRETCHEN CARLSON: “A lot of people are going to be raising some eyebrows pretty high today that, after the election, we go up to this whopping number of 439,000.

– GOV. SCOTT WALKER (R-WI): “Well, real concerns about the numbers. Certainly, some will question the timing.

Watch it:

However, Fox’s television anchors evidently did not coordinate coverage with the network’s own website, which posted the AP’s take on the number:

Econ 101: November 15, 2012

Welcome to ThinkProgress Economy’s morning link roundup. This is what we’re reading. Have you seen any interesting news? Let us know in the comments section. You can also follow ThinkProgress Economy on Twitter.

  • The Eurozone economy contracted in the third quarter, sending the continent into its second recession since 2009. [CNN Money]
  • The Chinese Communist Party today formally unveiled its new slate of leaders, headed by Xi Jinping. [New York Times]
  • According to a Congressional investigation, failed financial firm MF Global misled regulators over the size of complex bets it was making. [Financial Times]
  • A new survey predicts that recent college grads will have a slightly easier time finding a job this year. [Associated Press]
  • Fewer homes are entering the foreclosure process than were a year ago, according to the foreclosure listing firm RealtyTrac. [Associated Press]
  • Two Republican senators are blocking a nominee to the Treasury Department over questions regarding an unrelated regulatory matter. [The Hill]
  • The Senate Committee On Homeland Security And Governmental Affairs has delayed voting on a bill that would make implementing new financial regulations more difficult. [Huffington Post]

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