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Economy

Unemployment Insurance Kept 2.3 Million Americans Out Of Poverty Last Year

America’s unemployment insurance program is not as robust as those in many industrialized nations, but the program that is speeding toward massive reductions if Congress doesn’t extend it before the end of the year still kept more than 2 million Americans out of poverty in 2011. According to the National Employment Law Project, which is calling on Congress to re-authorize the federal unemployment compensation program before the end of the year, unemployment insurance kept 2.3 million out of poverty, cutting the number of Americans who were entered the ranks of poverty last year in half:

Were it not for unemployment insurance, the increase in the number of Americans living in poverty would have doubled over the last year. (While the number of people in poverty grew by 2.3 million from 2010 to 2011, unemployment insurance prevented an additional 2.3 million Americans from joining their ranks.)

Unemployment insurance is generally handled by the states, but because long-term unemployment was exacerbated during the Great Recession, Congress enacted the Emergency Unemployment Compensation program in 2008. If the federal program isn’t extended by the end of the year, 2 million Americans could lose unemployment benefits, and another 1 million will join them in the early part of 2013. More than 500,000 recipients lost benefits earlier this year because of the way the program is administered and because Congress reduced eligibility for it.

Republicans have pushed against past extensions of the program, arguing that it creates a culture of dependency on federal benefits that reduce the incentive to find work. But the federal program requires workers to search for jobs, and studies have shown that recipients look harder for jobs than those who don’t receive benefits. Meanwhile, in industrialized nations, there is no proof that more generous unemployment insurance programs lead to higher levels of employment: Greece’s unemployment rate, for instance, has soared even though it has one of the least generous programs in the world, while Israel boasts both a generous unemployment program and a falling unemployment rate.

Politics

Fox Pundit Jokes Food Stamps Could Be A Diet Plan

Fox Business kicked off Thanksgiving eve with a joke about food stamps. Discussing Newark, New Jersey Mayor Cory Booker’s challenge to live on food stamps for one week, Fox pundit Andrea Tantaros said that living on a $133 monthly allowance for food would make her look “fabulous.” Meanwhile, a record number of Americans actually rely on this budget, for less than $1.50 per meal.

STUART VARNEY (HOST): Could you live on $133 per month for food?

TANTAROS: I should try it because do you know how fabulous I’d look? I’d be so skinny. I mean, the camera adds ten pounds, it really does. I’d be looking great.

Watch it:

Far from a diet, not having enough food to eat is a harsh reality for 50 million people. The average Supplemental Nutritional Assistance Program (SNAP) household has a monthly income of $731, and 76 percent include a child, elderly or disabled person. Without SNAP, even more Americans would go hungry.

HT: Media Matters

Why The National Hockey League Lockout Isn’t Killing Your City’s Economy

The National Hockey League’s second lockout of players since the 2004-2005 season is now 67 days old, as league owners continue their attempts to extract huge concessions from players. Now that nearly two months of games have been canceled, cities across the country are beginning to worry about lost revenue from those cancellations.

Pittsburgh says it stands to lose $2.1 million for each lost home game. Long Island, New York said in September the lockout could cost it $60 million. Detroit pegged its potential losses at $1.9 million per lost game.

But cities often inflate the impact sporting events and sports stadiums have on their economies, and recent studies show that they’re likely overstating the losses from the NHL lockout too. When economists Robert Baade, Richard Baumann, and Victor Matheson examined monthly taxable sales in three Florida metro areas that have multiple franchises in each of the Big Four sports leagues, they found that work stoppages in professional sports had “no statistically significant effect on taxable sales“:

Our detailed regression analysis of taxable sales in Florida over the period from 1980 to mid-2005 reveals that none of the labor disruptions in the big four professional leagues have been associated with any statistically significant reductions in taxable sales and none of the franchise expansions or new stadiums have been associated with any statistically significant increases in taxable sales.

If that seems counter-intuitive, it shouldn’t. Baade, Baumann, and Matheson, and a host of other economists, have done extensive research that supports the idea that professional sports franchises, and the publicly-financed stadiums in which they play, have little overall economic impact on their home cities. That’s because most of what is spent by fans in and around stadiums isn’t new money injected into the local economy; rather, it’s money diverted away from other sectors of the city’s economy. So when the NHL cancels games, most of the money doesn’t leave the local economy. It’s just spent elsewhere.

“Money not spent by local fans on the NHL is money available to be spent elsewhere in the economy. The NHL’s loss is a gain for local restaurants, theaters, and other entertainment options,” Matheson said in an email. “So, the $2.1 million figure is probably a pretty good estimate of gross losses but an extremely poor estimate of net losses.”

The loss of revenue from NHL games certainly has negative effects for businesses in the neighborhoods around the arenas where those games would be played, and for the people who work at those businesses and staff arenas. But like the effects of stadiums and teams in general, Matheson said, the effect of lost games on the entirety of metro area economies is negligible.

NEWS FLASH

Thanksgiving Dinner Costs Didn’t Increase This Year, Despite Widespread Drought | The drought gripping the middle of the United States didn’t affect the cost of the average Thanksgiving dinner this year, according to the American Farm Bureau Federation. The average price of a ten serving Thanksgiving dinner rose just 28 cents to $49.48. The price has risen about $6.50 since 2009. “All the talk that there has been about the drought…sort of fed this expectation that we’d see a big jump in the Thanksgiving dinner price survey,” said AFBF Deputy Chief Economist John Anderson said in an interview. “I’m not terribly surprised by this result.”

Election

Former Romney Adviser: Blind Devotion To Tax Cuts Hurt Republicans In The Election

Former Mitt Romney adviser Dan Senor conceded that in the aftermath of President Obama’s re-election, Republicans can’t start every economic debate insisting on lower tax rates and must do a “better job of thinking through how to talk about middle class economics.”

“We have to spend meaningful time over the next several years developing a policy agenda that reflects our principles but is modernized,” he said during an appearance Wednesday on MSNBC’s Morning Joe. “Unless we address the core issue of middle class economics with innovative ideas,” Republicans will continue to struggle in future elections. Watch it:

Senor also agreed that Republicans must tackle immigration reform, arguing that the party “has been suffering on the issue of immigration for years.” “I think the problem transcends Mitt Romney. I don’t think his position helped the Republcian problem, but I think it predates him.”

Since the election, several prominent Republicans have called on the GOP to lead on the issue, though they remain split on whether to tackle the problem in a single comprehensive reform or piecemeal.

Election exit polls also showed that voters rejected the GOP’s main economic argument — their insistance that the nation should not raise taxes on the richest Americans. “Almost half of voters said taxes should be boosted on Americans making more than $250,000 per year, and one in seven voters said taxes should be increased on all Americans.”

Econ 101: November 21, 2012

Welcome to ThinkProgress Economy’s morning link roundup. This is what we’re reading. Have you seen any interesting news? Let us know in the comments section. You can also follow ThinkProgress Economy on Twitter.

  • Hostess renewed plans to liquidate after it and its labor union failed to reach a deal in mediation talks. [New York Times]
  • European leaders failed to reach an agreement over more aid for Greece. [New York Times]
  • Two senators have proposed an emergency back-up plan in case fiscal cliff negotiations fail. [The Hill]
  • New housing starts rose to their highest level in four years in October. [Reuters]
  • U.S. food banks are short on food heading into the holidays after the worst drought in 50 years. [Reuters]
  • New York’s attorney general filed suit against Credit Suisse for deceiving investors about mortgage-backed securities. [The Hill]
  • Hewlett-Packard announced an $8.8 billion writedown due to accounting fraud by a company it acquired last year. [Bloomberg]

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