The Congressional Budget Office has estimated that the new version of the Senate Finance Committee’s health bill “will result in a net reduction in federal budget deficits of $81 billion over the 2010-2019 period.” The Committee’s deficit neutral proposal will cost approximately $829 billion, about $55 billion more than the original pre mark-up version, but about $71 billion less than President Obama’s $900 billion target. The full Committee is expected to vote on the final bill sometime next week.
During 7 days and more than 80 hours of mark-up, the Committee considered over 140 different amendments and voted on 103. In fact as Chairman Max Baucus (D-MT) pointed out throughout the hearings, “it has been 15 years since this committee has held mark-up that took five days.” “Since then we have held more than 150 mark-ups and most of those took one or two days.” Baucus reminded Republicans that “the 2001 tax cut bill was a $1.3 trillion bill, we spent, I don’t know how many days on that, not too many days. This is a $900 billion bill…this committee hasn’t spent actually more than two days in mark-up for ten years. But this is a big bill and we’re just trying to find away to find the right balance here, the balance between understanding the bill on one hand, and acting on the other,” Baucus said.
Per the Chairman’s instruction, the committee’s health care bill had to remain deficit neutral and cost less than $900 billion over 10 years. Today, the CBO concluded that the committee met its goal. Here is a comparison of how the bill evolved during mark-up:
| Old CBO Score Of Baucus Bill | New CBO Score Of Baucus Bill | |
| Costs | Reduce deficits: $49B/10yrs Net Cost: $500B/10yrs Gross cost: $774B/10yrs Spends on subsidies: $463B/10yrs |
Reduce deficits: $81B/10yrs Net Cost: $518B/10yrs Gross cost: $829B/10yrs Spends on subsidies: $461B/10yrs |
| Insured | Uninsured reduced by: 29M Uninsured in 2019: 25M In Exchanges: 25M In Medicaid: 11M |
Uninsured reduced by: 29M Uninsured in 2019: 25M In Exchanges: 23M In Medicaid: 14M |
| Revenue | Tax high cost plans: $215B/10yrs Mandate penalty: $20B/10yrs Free rider penalty: $27B/10yrs Indirect offsets: $12B/10yrs |
Tax high cost plans: $201B/10yrs Mandate penalty: $4B/10yrs Free rider penalty: $23B/10yrs Indirect offsets: $83B/10yrs |
| Medicare and Medicaid |
Total savings: 409B/10yrs Payment updates: $182B/10yrs Medicare Advantage: $123B/10yrs DISH Payments: $48B/10yrs Medicare Commission: $23B/10yrs |
Total savings: 404B/10yrs Payment updates: $162B/10yrs Medicare Advantage: $117B/10yrs DISH Payments: $45B/10yrs Medicare Commission: $22B/10yrs |
Despite the positive CBO score and the bipartisan nature of the bill, it incorporates many conservative ideas, Republicans are still dismissing the legislation. In fact, during the last few minutes of mark-up, Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-IA), the ranking member on the committee conceded that regardless of the CBO score, “There is a product here that all of the people on my side may not vote for.”



