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The Problem With The GOP’s Health Reform Proposals In One Chart

Both Aaron Carroll at The Incidental Economist and David Phillippe at Punditocracy pointed to a new brief from the National Institute for Health Care Management this month, which found that half of all health care spending in 2009 was concentrated amongst just 5 percent of Americans. Conversely, half of all American health care spenders accounted for just 3 percent of spending.

Not surprisingly, this top 5 percent of spenders is disproportionately represented amongst the sick and the elderly. More importantly, an individual in the top 5 percent generally accounted for something in the neighborhood of $40,000 in health care spending in 2009.

That’s significant because most of the health care reforms suggested by Republicans or conservatives include things like health savings accounts, high-deductible catastrophic coverage plans, allowing insurers to compete across state lines, and the like. These approaches focus on controlling cost by increasing individuals’ price sensitivity to their health care decisions. But for people who must spend $40,000 or more in a single year, “price sensitivity” is largely meaningless — there’s no way for them to grapple with such costs themselves, unless they’re wealthy. When those same people account for half of all health care spending, the possibility of controlling health care costs via the consumer-driven model begin to decrease rapidly. As Carroll sums up:

When we talk about consumer directed health care, we’re talking mostly about healthy people. We don’t want sick people to avoid care. We want to stop healthy people from consuming it. The problem is that healthy people consume so little care to begin with. If we could incentivize the healthier half of people to forego all their personal health care spending, we’d spend $36 billion less out of a total $1.259 trillion in personal health care spending. That would be a drop in the bucket.

Health savings accounts are of little use to anyone amongst the higher spending groups who isn’t independently wealthy, as they will quickly deplete their savings or won’t be able to stock the account in the first place. Competition across state lines will allow insurers to congregate in the state with the most lax regulations and requirements, and thus compete to see who can do the best job of denying coverage to high-risk individuals, rather than competing to see who can deliver the most efficient and effective care. Catastrophic coverage plans tend to divide the pool of young and healthy coverage recipients from the old and sick, leaving the pool of the latter with less incoming funds to deal with greater costs.

Increasing price sensitivity means individualizing risk, by leaving more of the cost of an individual’s care on their own shoulders. Absent a single-payer system, or something along the lines of Obamacare’s framework, it’s hard to see a possible route to controlling costs that doesn’t involve simply pricing large numbers of sick and elderly Americans out of receiving health care entirely. In fact, that’s precisely what the American system has already been doing for some time.

NEWS FLASH

Appeals Court Temporarily Blocks Arizona 20-Week Abortion Ban | Just one day before it would go into effect, Arizona’s 20-week abortion ban has been temporarily blocked by a 9th Circuit Court of Appeals panel. A trial judge upheld HB 2036 on Monday. The appellate court will hold a hearing on the ban as soon as possible this fall. Called the most extreme ban in the nation, the law measures the gestational age of a fetus from the first day of the woman’s last period, technically prohibiting abortions after 18 weeks of pregnancy. It would have forced doctors to withhold care until a pregnancy posed an immediate threat of death or major medical damage. It also contains no exceptions for fatal fetal birth defects, giving women no choice but to carry to term a fetus with no chance of survival.

NEWS FLASH

170 Law Professors Debunk ‘Religious Freedom’ Argument In Contraception Debate | Today, an Obamacare regulation went into effect that phases in guaranteed coverage of preventive services for women — including contraception coverage — without co-pays. But some Republican-dominated states are fighting against the contraception requirement because of the claim that the provision violates religious liberty. In response to complaints that the rule supposedly infringes on religious freedom, more than 100 law professors wrote to President Obama and congressional leaders to express their concern about the lopsided argument. “In this cramped and one-sided view of religious freedom, supervisors are entitled to decide, based on their religious sentiments, whether their employees will be permitted to enjoy essential health benefits without the slightest concern for their religious beliefs,” they write. Read the full letter here.

Republican Congressman Compares Expanded Birth Control Access To September 11th, Pearl Harbor

Rep. Mike Kelly (R-PA) today compared a new regulation requiring insurers to provide women birth control without a copay to September 11th or Pearl Harbor.

In a speech on the House floor, Kelly said it was such a travesty that women wouldn’t be paying hundreds of dollars a year in copays that it should go down in history as a great tragedy similar to those two events that killed thousands of Americans:

“I know in your mind you can think of the times America was attacked,” said Rep. Mike Kelly (R-Pa.), a freshman.

“One is December 7 — that is Pearl Harbor Day. Another was September 11 — that was the day of the terrorist attack.

“I want you to remember August 1, 2012 — the attack on our religious freedom. That is a date that will live in infamy, along with those other dates.”

Today marks the beginning of implementation for the birth control mandate, which is a part of Obamacare. It is just one of the many benefits in the law for women. The mandate has been hotly contested, however, by the Catholic church, which considers it an affront to religious freedom, despite the fact that many Catholic institutions already cover birth control, and the church itself wouldn’t be paying for contraception.

Update

Kelly has no regrets about his comparison — in an interview with Newsmax, Kelly’s office said that the birth control mandate is “an undeniable and unprecedented attack on Americans’ First Amendment rights”:

Our freedoms and way of life have been under attack before, from both internal and external threats. If we fail to defend our constitutional rights, we risk losing the freedoms that so many brave men and women have given their lives to defend throughout the course of our nation’s history.”

Study: Seniors Would Pay More For Medicare Under Republican-Backed Plan

Lawmakers like Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) and Sen. Ron Wyden (D-WY) support radically restructuring the current the Medicare system into a voucher program that provides seniors with “premium support” credits to purchase coverage from an exchange of private health insurers or remain in traditional fee-for-service Medicare.

Mitt Romney, the GOP presidential candidate, has embraced the idea, which critics have long suspected would increase costs for seniors.

Under the proposal, insurance plans would submit bids for how much they would charge to provide coverage and the voucher “would be tied to the premium of the private plan with the second-lowest cost, or the premium for traditional Medicare—whichever is lower.” Critics charged that in areas where private plans make bids that are lower than the cost of traditional Medicare, seniors would see increase costs and now, a new study finds that had the plan been implemented in 2009, 24 million beneficiares enrolled in the program would have paid higher premiums to maintain their choice of plan and doctors:

Nationally, in 2009, the benchmark plan under the Ryan-Wyden framework (ie, the second-lowest plan) bid an average of 9% below traditional Medicare costs (traditional Medicare was equivalent to approximately the tenth-lowest bid). Since traditional Medicare is simply another plan option under the Ryan-Wyden plan, a beneficiary in 2009 would have paid an average of $64 per month (9% of $717) in additional premiums to stay in traditional Medicare. Across the United States, 68% of traditional Medicare beneficiaries in 2009 (approximately 24 million beneficiaries) lived in counties in which traditional Medicare spending was greater than the second–least expensive plan and would have paid more to keep their choice of coverage (a share that would have been 81% in 2008, 75% in 2007, and 67% in 2006). Furthermore, more than 90% of MA beneficiaries (approximately 6.6 million seniors, excluding those dually eligible or in employer plans) would have also paid more for the plan they chose.

On average, the GOP-backed idea would have resulted in a premium increase of $768 million each year for those 24 million seniors, accounting for 68 percent of beneficiaries.

NEWS FLASH

House Fails To Pass DC Abortion Ban | A restrictive abortion bill that would have criminalized abortions in the District of Columbia after just 20 weeks — similar to the abortion ban that will go into effect in Arizona tomorrow — failed to gain enough votes in the House last night. It fell short of the two-thirds majority needed to pass the bill because it was considered under suspension of the rules. Rep. Trent Franks’ (R-AZ) failed measure is just one example of the ways Republicans often attempt to legislate the Washington, DC, area that they do not represent. DC Delegate Eleanor Holmes Norton said it is unconstitutional for legislators to undermine the city’s autonomy for their own political gain. “This bill separates us out, we who live in the District of Columbia, in violation of the 14th amendment,” Norton said on the floor yesterday.

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