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After Blaming Clinton For North Korea Nuke, McCain Blasts People ‘Engaging In Finger-Pointing’

Yesterday, Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) explicitly blamed the Clinton administration for North Korea’s nuclear weapons test on Sunday: “[I]t is a failure of the Clinton administration policies…that have caused us to be in the situation we’re in today.”

This morning on NBC, “Straight Talk” McCain had a different tune: “I think this is the wrong time for us to be engaging in finger pointing when in this crucial time, we need the world and Americans united.”

Watch the clips back to back:

[flv http://video.thinkprogress.org/2006/10/mccain.320.240.flv]

For the record, here is a timeline of North Korea’s nuclear weapons development. A cheat sheet:

Bush I: 1-2 bombs worth of plutonium
Clinton: Zero plutonium
Bush II: 10-11 bombs worth of plutonium and counting, first nuclear test

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Politics

Bush: Iraqis Are Willing To ‘Tolerate’ This ‘Level Of Violence’

Today in his press conference, President Bush applauded the courage of Iraqis, stating that he is “amazed that this is a society which so wants to be free that they’re willing to — you know, that there’s a level of violence that they tolerate.” Watch it:

[flv http://video.thinkprogress.org/2006/10/bushviolenceiraq.320.240.flv]

In reality, 890,000 Iraqis have moved to Jordan, Iran and Syria since Hussein’s fall and more than 300,000 have fled to other parts of Iraq to escape the violence. Additionally, 71 percent of Iraqis want U.S. forces to leave Iraq within a year, saying “they would feel safer if U.S. and other foreign forces left Iraq.”

Iraqis aren’t “tolerating” the violence. They’re just trying to survive.

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Full transcript below: Read more

Climate Progress

Insuring Against Climate Change

Global warming-driven “changes could make insurance unaffordable for customers in high-risk areas.” So concludes “Climate Change and Insurance: An Agenda for Action in the United States,” a report by the conservation group World Wildlife Fund and the Allianz Group, one of the world’s largest insurance providers.

flood-disaster.jpg

High-risk areas include

  • Florida and other hurricane-prone regions, since the most severe tropical storms are on the rise
  • All coastal cities, since sea levels are also on the rise
  • Regions susceptible to forest fires, which are also on the rise.

Clem Booth, a board member of Allianz, told Reuters: “That it will cost more, there’s no question; we can put that on the table right at the beginning.

While the political leadership inside the Beltway refuses to act, the good news is that, “There’s no question that business leaders like Allianz, GE and others are way ahead of the current administration,” in the words of Carter Roberts, president of WWF in the United States.

Action now is the only true insurance against catastrophic climate change.

Politics

‘Hero Of Guantanamo’ Passed Up For Promotion, Sending Chilling Message Through Pentagon

Lt. Commander Charles Swift, the lawyer who represented Guantanamo detainee Salim Hamdan in the landmark Supreme Court case that ruled President Bush’s military commissions unconstitutional and in violation of international law, will be “passed over for promotion by the Pentagon and must soon leave the military.” In a move that he had predicted, Swift confirmed recently that he had been denied a promotion to Navy commander “about two weeks after” the Supreme Court sided against the White House.

Dubbed the “hero of Guantanamo,” Swift reported in June 2005 that when he was first asked to represent Hamdan, he was instructed that he could negotiate only a guilty plea. He called the instructions “a clear attempt to coerce Mr. Hamdan into pleading guilty.” Refusing to back down, Swift “ended up fighting his commander in chief at the U.S. Supreme Court.” He explained:

As an officer, I have the deepest respect for the President. But as an officer, it is also my duty to point out when an order is wrong. What protects our democracy is that we do not just follow orders blindly.

National Law Journal had listed Swift among the nation’s top 100 lawyers. Eugene Fidell, president of the National Institute of Military Justice, argued Swift was “a no-brainer for promotion,” given his devotion to the Navy, the law, and his client. The New York Times writes, “[T]here is no denying the chilling message it sends to remaining military lawyers.”

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Culture

International Height Gap

Mark Cuban’s addressing big picture issues about the globalization of basketball here, and I don’t have time to decide what I think about his views, but this is an interesting observation: “If you look at NBA rosters and estimate that there will be about international 75 players that make team rosters, in glancing at that list, fewer than 10 are under 6’5.”

Why would that be? Best guess is that the bulk of athletically talented people in the 6-6.5 feet range are encouraged to try to become tall soccer players rather than short basketball players. Once you get into the super-tall height ranges then even in Europe the bulk of athletically gifted people are encouraged to give hoops a try. This reminds me of something I’ve often been curious about. How many people in the world are over seven feet tall? And how many of those people are between the ages of, say, twenty and thirty? And out of that group of 20-30 year-old seven footers, what proportion are playing professional basketball in one league or another?

Politics

REALITY CHECK: Iraq Is 22 Times More Violent Than Washington DC

Rep. Steve King (R-IA) and others have claimed that living in Iraq is less dangerous than living in Washington DC. King claimed on the House floor, “my wife lives here with me, and I can tell you, Mr. Speaker, she’s at far greater risk being a civilian in Washington, D.C. than an average civilian in Iraq.”

King has always been wrong. A new study by the British medical journal Lancet exposes the extent of his error. According to Lancet, 601,000 people have died in Iraq over the last three years due to violence related to the March 2003 invasion. Here is how violent deaths in Iraq over the last three years stack up to the violent death rate in Washington, DC:

violentdeathscht.jpg

The statistic for Washington DC is from the FBI’s Crime in the United States 2005.

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Politics

Libertarian Democrats

I thought I might comment a bit on Markos’ “libertarian democrats” concept since, technically, abstract political theory is actually what I know about. But let me start off with a little political analysis. Insofar as we’re talking about attracting libertarian voters, I think the case that libertarians should vote Democratic in 2006 is ironclad. A Pelosi-led House of representatives, and to a lesser extent a Reid-led Senate, would provide more of an obstacle to the Bush administration’s imperialist instincts than the reverse. Either would offer some oversight of the executive branch and to some extent curb Bush’s taste for gross abuses of power. Neither would really be in a position to enact any grandiose economic policy plans. So Q.E.D., as I see it. For the future, though, it’s just going to depend on circumstances.

Meanwhile, I don’t see any reason to believe it would be smart for a major political party to deliberately aim at the votes of some libertarian constituency. The reason is that, to a decent first approximation, about zero percent of the electorate is primarily motivated by a principled opposition to state coercion. We’re not literally talking about zero people, I know some of them, and some write blogs, but it’s genuinely a rounding error in the scheme of things. You do have some people who adhere to the Economist-style center-right politics of the American elite consensus, and this view has some similarities with libertarianism, but this genuinely is an elite consensus voting bloc rather than a libertarian one. It’s also not seriously accessible to the Democrats over the long-run because a core element of the consensus is a fairly deep-seated loathing of progressive activism and progressive activists. It’s worth understanding that, at the end of the day, there’s much less libertarianism in American society than people sometimes think.

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Yglesias

Birth Pangs

A new epidemiological study by Iraqi and American public health experts sponsored by Johns Hopkins and published in the Lancet has concluded that there have been 655,000 “excess deaths” in Iraq since the American invasion. Kevin Drum reminds us that an earlier methodologically similar study that also came to striking conclusions about the death toll was widely dismissed by hawkish pundits and the establishment press, but none of their objections actually held any water. Kevin also runs the numbers so we can see that of these 655,000 deaths about 186,000 — 4,700 per month — were killed by coalition forces or airstrikes.

That, obviously, is a lot. And it ought to be sobering to anyone who still thinks of this as an operation that’s justifiable on anything remotely resembling humanitarian grounds, or that people who oppose the war can somehow be accused of indifference to the fate of the Iraqi people. This is a ghastly level of death under any circumstances, but it’s rendered all the more horrifying by the extreme self-righteousness with which it’s all been undertaken.

Yglesias

If We Build It, Will People Stop Paying Attention?

wall.jpg

I think the idea of building a giant wall across our southern border doesn’t make very much sense. For one thing, I simply disagree with those who think we have a serious “too many Mexicans” problem in this country. Insofar as we do have a “too much lawlessness” problem related to the large number of illegal immigrants living here, I favor some form of “earned amnesty” as the most humane and economically reasonable method of regularizing the situation. Insofar as one is interested in seriously reducing the number of illegal immigrants, the thing that’s needed is not a physical barrier but a well-designed system of employer penalties. People are coming here to get jobs, and if you can make it so employers don’t want to offer the jobs to illegals, people will stop coming illegally.

Meanwhile, a wall is very unlikely to be effective. The country has a coastline, people overstay visas, you can hide people in the back of trucks, etc. People build walled borders to keep their citizens locked in, not as a method of immigration control. Meanwhile, the expense will be huge — this is a very large wall indeed that we’re talking about. On the other hand, like Tyler Cowen I can’t help but wonder if a large, ineffective wall might be the best possible outcome for pro-immigration people at this point. It wouldn’t really work, but it would sharply diminish political pressure to “do something” about immigration. Meanwhile, as a liberal I don’t really have a problem with the idea of an enormous wasteful construction project. It’s like a WPA-style jobs programs. And, of course, all the building trades work just north of the border will probably attract a lot of immigrants.

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