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Situation In Iraq Has Worsensed Since Last Bush-Maliki Mideast Meeting

On June 13, President Bush made a surprise visit to Baghdad to meet with Iraqi Prime Minister Nour al-Maliki. “We discussed the security strategy,” Bush said at the time. “And all of it makes sense to me.” The following day, Maliki announced Operation Together Forward, “his government’s new plan to improve security conditions in Baghdad.”

Five months later, Bush will travel to Jordan to meet with Maliki again. Since their June meeting, the situation in Iraq has continued to deteriorate:

- 370 American soldiers have died since mid-June.

- Last month, 3,709 Iraqi civilians were killed, “the highest monthly toll since the March 2003 U.S. invasion and another sign of the severity of Iraq’s sectarian bloodbath.”

- Maj. Gen. William Caldwell admitted Operation Forward Together had failed and had “not met our overall expectations of sustaining a reduction in the levels of violence”

- 7 out of 10 Iraqis want U.S. forces to leave within a year.

- An October classified Pentagon briefing found violence in Iraq was “at all-time high” and “spreading geographically.”

No wonder the White House has been “quick to talk down expectations” for Bush’s trip to Jordan.

Politics

Lieberman Says Phased Withdrawal Would Be ‘Road To Disaster,’ Iraqis Disagree

Last night on Hannity and Colmes, Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-CT) said a phased withdrawal of American troops from Iraq beginning in the next four to six months would be “a road to disaster” and “basically the beginning of giving up on Iraq.” Watch it:

[flv http://video.thinkprogress.org/2006/11/liebermancutrun.320.240.flv]

Lieberman argued, “As bad as things are in Iraq today, they would be dramatically worse if we just pick up and leave.” Lieberman made two points to support this claim: 1) the violence in Iraq would get much worse if we withdrew, and 2) the Iraqi government would fall apart. The Iraqi people strongly disagree on both counts.

Iraqis Believe A Timetable Would Decrease Violence. 58 percent of Iraqis believe that if U.S.-led forces withdrew in the next six months violence in Iraq would decrease. Also, 61 percent of Iraqis say their day-to-day security would increase.

Iraqis Believe A Timetable Would Strengthen Iraqi Government. 53 percent of Iraqis said a timetable for withdrawal would strengthen the Iraqi government; only 23 percent said it would weaken it, as Lieberman claims.

Full transcript: Read more

Yglesias

Shocking Turn

Who could have guessed that Joe Lieberman would wind up hiring conservative Republican and hard-core warmonger Marshall Wittman to be his new spokesperson? I look forward to Wittman’s and Lieberman’s efforts to demonstrate their interest in humanitarianism by trying to get other people to risk their lives in an effort to kill lots of Iranian people.

UPDATE: Mark Schmitt notes the possibility of a McCain/Lieberman combo third party run peddling the line “We were each rejected by the ideological extremists in our parties, therefore we represent the true forgotten center of American politics.” And, as Mark says, they’ll be in the “center” if by “center” you mean “on the far, far right on national security issues.”

UPDATE II: Ed Kilgore comments: “The Moose became a passionate advocate for Lieberman’s primary and general-election campaigns in no small part because he sincerely believes both parties are in danger of abandoning the political center, and quite frankly because he is happiest free of either party’s yoke.” Seriously, though. In what way does Joe Lieberman represent the center? In McCain’s case it’s clear that he’s the furthest right Republican on defense and use of force issues. And as best I can tell, Lieberman holds . . . the same views. Which, I mean, is fine — I have extreme views on some issues, too, but just because mainstream Republicans and mainstream Democrats both reject something doesn’t make it centrist; it could just be fringey and foolish.

Yglesias

The Clampdown

The great state of Georgia has decided to make life tough for sex offenders — very tough: “The roughly 10,000 sex offenders living in Georgia have been forbidden to live within 1,000 feet of a school, playground, church or school bus stop. Taken together, the prohibitions place nearly all the homes in some counties off-limits — amounting, in a practical sense, to banishment.” According to the leader of the Georgia House, this isn’t a real enforcement strategy, rather the idea “is to make it so onerous on those that are convicted of these offenses . . . they will want to move to another state.”

The trouble, as Alex Tabarrok notes, is that lots of these people aren’t dangers to anyone: “the list includes ‘a 26-year-old woman who was caught engaging in oral sex when she was in high school, and a mother of five who was convicted of being a party to a crime of statutory rape because, her indictment alleged, she did not do enough to stop her 15-year-old daughter’s sexual activity.’” Obviously, though, no politician wants the “soft on sex offenders” label on him, so nobody will stop this.

Politics

ThinkFast: November 22, 2006

In a new interview, Gov. Mitt Romney (R-MA) calls Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) “disingenuous” and accuses him of pretending to “have it both ways” for taking multiple stances on same-sex marriage. In response, McCain strategist John Weaver told ABC News, “We’re too disciplined to respond.

President Bush will travel to Jordan next week to meet with Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki. “The White House was quick to talk down expectations for the trip as the national security adviser told reporters ‘we’re not looking for a big, bold announcement‘ to come out of the meeting.”

The annual AIDS report issued by the United Nations and World Health Organization found that the “epidemic has continued to grow in all regions of the world this year and surged back in some areas where there had been declines.” An estimated 39.5 million people are living with HIV. In 2006, 2.9 million people died of AIDS-related illnesses.

The Iraq Study Group is nearing completion of a first draft of its report. The co-chairmen, James Baker and Lee Hamilton, hope to complete it this weekend and give it to the eight other group members in time for a meeting next week. Meanwhile, the Pentagon is readying counterproposals for Bush “in case the Iraq Study Group comes up with ideas he does not like.”

Iraq war veteran Tammy Duckworth, who ran and lost a high-profile congressional race in Illinois this year, has been appointed director of the state’s Department of Veterans’ Affairs, Gov. Rod Blagojevich (D-IL) announced yesterday. Read more

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