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Video: Gingrich says Gonzales needs to go.

“The public would be much better served to have another attorney general,” said Newt Gingrich. “I cannot imagine how he’s going to be effective for the rest of his administration. They’re going to be involved in endless hearings.”

UPDATE: Watch it:

[flv http://video.thinkprogress.org/2007/04/ginggonz.320.240.flv]

Digg it!

Yglesias

Irrelevant?

There’s good and bad in Thomas Ricks’ Washington Post article on the contrast between Iraq-the-place and Iraq-the-issue but the conclusion is absurd:

Yet, with a new approach underway in Baghdad, the Washington debate is largely irrelevant to the concerns of the soldier on the ground, said the Army officer who recently returned from Baghdad. “All the talk about pullouts, votes and budgets really doesn’t mean much to that 18-year-old with his body armor driving across Iraq worried about IEDs,” he said, referring to roadside bombs. “For him, life consists of trying to survive for 365 days to get back home — only to know he’ll have to come back again.”

Now, to be sure, most 18 year-olds don’t care about congressional debates and no doubt 18 year-olds serving in a combat zone are even less inclined to become political junkies. But the Washington debate is hardly irrelevant to his concerns. He’s “trying to survive for 365 days to get back home — only to know he’ll have to come back again.” Whether or not he has to come back again is, however, exactly what’s being debated. There’s a lot of political posturing going on inside the Beltway, but it’s not all posturing — the actual policies that determine how many people go to Iraq and for how long get made here.

Climate Progress

Summary of the IPCC Summary for Policymakers, Part I

The summary for policymakers of the report by the second Working Group is out!

Where does the information come from?

  • The IPCC, WGI’s 4AR on the Scientific Basis of climate change
  • 29,000 observational data series crossed with expected changes to physical and biological systems based on those observations, with 89% consistency between the two.
  • Models, some of which account for non-anthropogenic sources of warming (solar and volcanic activity) and others that do not. The results show that, “models with combined natural and anthropogenic forcings simulate observed responses significantly better than models with natural forcing only.”

What are some of the major conclusions?

There is very high confidence (9 out of 10), based on more evidence from a wider range of species, that recent warming is strongly affecting terrestrial biological systems, including such changes as:

  • earlier timing of spring events, such as leaf-unfolding, bird migration and egg-laying;
  • poleward and upward shifts in ranges in plant and animal species

There is high confidence (8 out of 10) that the following changes are occurring due to warming:

  • in terms of snow, ice and frozen ground (including permafrost), there is increased instability in such terrain and larger glacial lakes
  • relating to hydrological systems, there are warmer lakes and increased and earlier run-off earlier greening of vegetation and longer growing seasons
  • in marine and freshwater biological systems, there is rising water temperatures, as well as related changes in ice cover, salinity (water content is more acidic), oxygen levels and circulation

Effects of temperature increases have been documented in the following systems (medium confidence):

  • effects on agricultural and forestry management at Northern Hemisphere higher latitudes, such as earlier spring planting of crops, and alterations in disturbance regimes of forests due to fires and pests;
  • some aspects of human health, such as heat-related mortality in Europe, infectious disease vectors in some areas, and allergenic pollen in Northern Hemisphere high and mid-latitudes;
  • some human activities in the Arctic (e.g., hunting and travel over snow and ice) and in lower elevation alpine areas (such as mountain sports).”

Generally speaking, how can we proced to deal with the changes:

  • “Adaptation will be necessary to address impacts resulting from the warming which is already unavoidable due to past emissions.”
  • “Many impacts can be avoided, reduced or delayed by mitigation.”
  • “A portfolio of adaptation and mitigation measures can diminish the risks associated with climate change.”

Oh, and, buried in the report, to make up for that huge hole about Greenland and the Antarctic in February’s report:

“Very large sea-level rises that would result from widespread deglaciation of Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets imply major changes in coastlines and ecosystems, and inundation of low-lying areas, with greatest effects in river deltas. Relocating populations, economic activity, and infrastructure would be costly and challenging. There is medium confidence that at least partial deglaciation of the Greenland ice sheet, and possibly the West Antarctic ice sheet, would occur over a period of time ranging from centuries to millennia for a global average temperature increase of 1- 4°C (relative to 1990-2000), causing a contribution to sea level rise of 4-6 m or more. The complete melting of the Greenland ice sheet and the West Antarctic ice sheet would lead to a contribution to sea-level rise of up to 7 m and about 5 m, respectively.”

Politics

Kristol: Proper Response To Iran’s Kidnapping Of Soldiers Would Have Been Military Strikes

Fox News pundit Bill Kristol has been an unceasing proponent of war with Iran. In the past year, Kristol has repeatedly beat the war drums, stating for example that Bush “could easily build support” for an Iran attack “at the beginning of 2008.” He has also said: “I think we could be in a military confrontation with Iran much sooner than people expect.”

This morning, Kristol again promoted the concept of war with Iran. He said Iran’s kidnapping of the 15 British soldiers has brought the world closer to another war. “We came closer to war with Iran this week,” Kristol said, complaining that the U.S. was “very passive.”

Juan Williams then questioned, “Well, what was the alternative? To go in and strike them while the hostages were there?” Kristol said “yes.”

Watch it:

[flv http://video.thinkprogress.org/2007/04/kristwiliranwar.320.240.flv]

The Guardian reported this weekend that, “The US offered to take military action on behalf of the 15 British sailors and marines held by Iran, including buzzing Iranian Revolutionary Guard positions with warplanes.” The article added, “The British declined the offer and said the US could calm the situation by staying out of it.”

The British approach proved successful in resolving the crisis and led to the peaceful release of their soldiers. Hard right ideologues fail to understand that not every crisis requires a military solution.

Transcript: Read more

Politics

Ford CEO saves President Bush’s life.

Ford CEO Alan Mulally tells reporters that he had to run over and stop President Bush from plugging an electrical cord into the hydrogen tank of a hybrid car at the White House last week.

“I just thought, ‘Oh my goodness!’ So, I started walking faster, and the President walked faster and he got to the cord before I did. I violated all the protocols. I touched the President. I grabbed his arm and I moved him up to the front,” Mulally said. “I wanted the president to make sure he plugged into the electricity, not into the hydrogen This is all off the record, right?”

bilde_300—200shkl.jpeg

Yglesias

I Hear They’re Also Funding North Korea

David Brooks offers up a fairly novel line of attack on John Mearsheimer and Steven Walt:

There seemed to be a time, after 9/11, when it was generally accepted that terror and extremism were symptoms of a deeper Arab malaise. There seemed to be a general recognition that the Arab world had fallen behind, and that it needed economic, political and religious modernization. . . .

The events of the past three years have shifted their diagnosis of where the cancer is — from dysfunction in the Arab world to malevolence in Jerusalem and in Aipac. Furthermore, the Walt and Mearsheimer paper on the Israel lobby has had a profound effect on Arab elites. It has encouraged them not to be introspective, not to think about their own problems, but to blame everything on the villainous Israeli network.

Yes, it’s true. The main obstacles to political and economic reform in the United States are . . . American critics of current US Israel policy. Please. Any nice Jewish boy can tell you that Arab political elites were pretty damn good at deflecting attention of their own shortcomings and onto Israel long before The London Review of Books decided to publish the infamous article. The key variable here — as Brooks has it in the previous sentence — is not Walt and Mearsheimer, but “the events of the past three years.” America suffered a serious and deadly terrorist attack that, fortunately, did not damage our nations key sources of economic or military strength and, indeed, had the consequence of strengthening our hand politically. As Brooks notes, it opened up a hopeful moment in international relations. But rather than seizing the moment, the Bush administration squandered it.

(Actually funding the DPRK — our friends in Ethiopia)

Yglesias

The Grownups

The sober-minded manner in which the captive British sailors matter was handled had given me some hope that the country wasn’t being run by crazy people. Not so fast, reports the Guardian, whose after-action report on the crisis states that “Pentagon officials asked their British counterparts: what do you want us to do,” and “offered a series of military options” including “for US combat aircraft to mount aggressive patrols over Iranian Revolutionary Guard bases in Iran.” The British government, however, wasn’t looking to be used as a pretext for war, but actually wanted to handle the issue at hand. “The British declined the offer and said the US could calm the situation by staying out of it. London also asked the US to tone down military exercises that were already under way in the Gulf.” Meanwhile, “The British government also asked the US administration from Mr Bush down to be cautious in its use of rhetoric, which was relatively restrained throughout.”

And, well, good for Britain.

To me, the view that this affair was some kind of humiliation for the West or a PR coup for Iran is nutty and says more about the bloody-minded instincts of Americas hawks than it does about events in the world. The important issue in US-Iranian relations remains the Iranian nuclear program. One key variable here remains the attitudes of a wide swathe of countries who don’t necessarily put a tremendous priority on this issue. What went down over the hostages is exactly the sort of thing likely to make policymakers in, say, Argentina or Belgium or South Korea inclined to see the Iranian regime as dangerously unpredictable and prone to envelope-pushing and the anti-Iranian coalition as being led by responsible people. Now, of course, it turns out that the anti-Iranian coalition wasn’t quite as responsible as it seemed.

Yglesias

Basketvlogging

Catherine and I chat at Friday’s game versus the Cavs:


Not, perhaps, my finest media hour. Camerawork is by Catherine on her digital camera. I wasn’t aware that those things could shoot movies but, of course, it makes sense that in a digital world the video/still dichotomy would break down.

Politics

Gonzales pushed failed Kerik nomination

despite knowledge of his many ethical problems. According to the Washington Post, when Bernie Kerik was nominated by President Bush in late 2004 to be the Secretary of Homeland Security, the White House knew that he had a host of problems in his past. Yet Alberto Gonzales aggressively pushed his nomination forward:

Bush’s top lawyer, Alberto R. Gonzales, took charge of the vetting, repeatedly grilling Kerik about the issues that had been raised. … “The vetting process clearly broke down,” said a senior White House official. “This should not happen.” …

Gonzales, then the White House counsel, who was about to begin his own confirmation process for attorney general, took charge of questioning Kerik, grilling him for hours on several occasions, the sources said. At one point, Gonzales called while Kerik was having lunch at a New York steakhouse and talked to him on his cellphone for an hour and a half. Nanette Everson, then the White House ethics counsel, was kept on the sideline for the heavy-duty part of the vetting.

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