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The Judgment Factor

Unlike Matt Stoller, I don’t have a big problem with the plans for Iraq put forward by either Barack Obama or John Edwards. I think the notion of keeping troops in the region (also Jack Murtha’s idea, for the record) for various purposes makes sense. I also think it’s both understandable and correct that people who are hoping to be president in 2009 want to leave themselves some wiggle room in terms of what it is they’re committing themselves to in April 2007. Thus, I’m not disturbed that there’s a certain amount of vagueness in Edwards’ discussion of the possible use of force to protect a humanitarian mission in Iraq, or in Samantha Power’s vision of genocide prevention.

The issue, to me, is that flexibility is a double-edged sword. In the hands of a good president, it’s a good thing. In the hands of a bad president, it’s a bad thing. This is why one needs a good president. I’m pretty confident that Barack Obama and his team would exercise good judgment in this matter, and while I have somewhat less faith in Edwards and his team I’m open to persuasion. Fundamentally, I think it’s a mistake for progressive activists to define the “correct” position on Iraq as simply equivalent to the position that’s most dogmatically hostile to continued American involvement in regional issues. I think the idea of maintaining a semi-permanent counterterrorism force in Iraq is a very bad idea as the presence of such a force in Western Iraq will generate the need for counterterrorism activities there. An “over the horizon” counterterrorism force, by contrast, if prudently used, is a very good idea. If imprudently used, it’s a terrible idea. There’s just no verbal formula that adequately captures what the next president should do.

Media

A Followup

Looking back over it, the worst thing about Kenneth Vogel’s pointless failed effort at a smear job is that he doesn’t tell us who turned him on to this non-story. The only interesting fact here is that someone appears to have tried to convince Vogel and The Politico that there was something scandalous about the German ambassador to the US attending a campaign event even though, as Vogel verified, nothing improper happened. So who tried to convince him? A GOP operative? A Rival campaign? Maybe neither. Maybe Vogel and his editors were dumb enough to dream this crap up on their own.

Politics

Wolfowitz personally dictated girlfriend’s lavish pay.

The Washington Post reports:

In a memo to the bank’s vice president for human resources dated Aug. 11, 2005, Wolfowitz wrote, “I now direct you to agree to a proposal which includes the following terms and conditions.” Riza was to be “detailed to an outside institution of her choosing while retaining Bank salary and benefits.” She was to receive an immediate raise with approximate annual increases of 8 percent.

By 2010, when Wolfowitz’s five-year term expired, she would reach a salary of $244,960, significantly above the maximum of $226,650 allowable for her pay grade. On her return to the bank, she would be automatically promoted to the level of senior country director; if her return were delayed another five years by a second Wolfowitz term, she would be elevated to the level of bank vice president.

Culture

Only a Celtics Fan…

If you like your arguments by repetition rather than, say, argument you’ll love Bill Simmons’ query: “Since 1994, the Grizzlies have drafted in the top-four seven times (with their 2003 pick going to Detroit); the Clippers have done it six times; and the Bulls have done it six times since 1999 (once via a New York pick). Why do we keep rewarding poorly managed teams with elite rookies? Why? It makes no sense.” I really don’t think it’s that hard to see why it’s preferable to have the elite rookies end up on the bad teans. The only alternative would be for the top rookies to go to the good teams and the whole league would become incredibly dull. What’s more, the bad teams aren’t rewarded with “elite rookies” they get high draft picks. One of the important elements of a well-managed team is that it drafts well. San Antonio wasn’t just built on number one pick Tim Duncan, they added Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili with low picks and I think Bruce Bowen was found in a dumpster somewhere.

Media

Mallaby’s Wolfowitz Dissembling

Sebastian Mallaby would win my “wanker of the day” prize were we to dispense such shrill awards here. Brad DeLong has the goods on his bizarre coverage of Paul Wolfowitz. For years, he slams Wolfowitz’s critics and defends his actions. Today he concedes this actions are indefensible — you can’t alienate your staff, make anti-corruption your signature issue, and then be incredibly corrupt — but won’t call for Wolfowitz to be sacked or acknowledge his previous coverage of the issue.

UPDATE: Bruce Bartlett managed to discern that Wolfowitz was a bad choice two years ago.

Politics

Evidence Emerging Of Cheney-Led Smear Campaign Against Pelosi Over Syria Trip

Before Nancy Pelosi left Israel to travel to Syria earlier this month, Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert’s spokeswoman Miri Eisin said “Pelosi is conveying that Israel is willing to talk if they (Syria) would openly take steps to stop supporting terrorism.” Pelosi delivered as requested, and this week received a thank you call from Olmert. So why then did the Israeli Prime Minister originally issue a statement of “clarification” about Pelosi’s message which became the basis for right-wing attacks against her?

The evidence of White House involvement behind the Israeli Prime Minister’s statement has been growing this past week. Middle East analysts have suggested Bush deputy National Security Adviser Elliott Abrams — a close ally of Dick Cheney — may have been coordinating the attempts to undermine Pelosi’s trip. “‘It’s obvious the White House is desperate to find some phony criticism of the speaker’s trip, even though it was a bipartisan trip,’ said Rep. Tom Lantos (D-CA), a Holocaust survivor who is considered the Democrat closest to the pro-Israel lobby. ‘I have nothing but contempt and disdain for the attempt to undermine this trip.’”

Rep. Henry Waxman suggested that the White House’s coordinated attempts to smear Pelosi were part of an effort to undermine her on Iraq:

Waxman said the administration is focused on building a case against the Democrats in preparation for a showdown over the Iraq War funding bill. The more they can paint Democrats as weak and irresponsible, the more likely the Democrats will knuckle under and let the president continue the war unchecked. It’s been known to happen.

So Cheney trashes the reputation of men like Lantos and Waxman (who, by the way, has doggedly pursued waste and mismanagement in Iraq by Halliburton, the company that made Cheney rich), and it’s politics as usual.

This is not unchartered territory for Cheney. He has become famous for kneecapping people with whom he disagrees, even individuals within the administration. Middle East experts recalled Cheney’s involvement in a similar situation last year:

Last year, U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice talked Olmert into a 48-hour cease-fire during the war with Hezbollah to allow humanitarian relief, but within hours Israeli planes were bombing again, to Rice’s surprise and anger. Olmert had received a call, apparently from Cheney’s office, telling him to ignore Rice.

The Cheney campaign against Pelosi hasn’t let up. This week, the Washington Post editorial board — which has helped drive the Pelosi smear campaign from the beginning — published an attack piece from Liz Cheney, the daughter of the Vice President.

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