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Climate Progress

Global Warming, Tsunamis, and Michael Crichton’s Big Blunder

jurassicdork.gifCrichton makes what is arguably the most egregious scientific mistake ever made in the central plot point of a techno-thriller. The flak I received from Deniers over a recent postand new research — inspired me to remind everyone that the best-selling author who has become a hero to Deniers — even bringing his trash talk against U.S. climate scientists to a Senate hearingdoesn’t seem to know the first thing about global warming impacts.

I am not talking about the incessant misrepresentation of the science of global warming throughout his mistake-riddled book, State of Fear (see here and here). No, I am talking about the central plot point in the book’s climax.

One of Crichton’s main goals in the book is to undermine the case that global warming causes abrupt climate change and extreme weather events. In his story, a mainstream environmental group is plotting to create extreme weather events that will cause the deaths of thousands of people timed to coincide with a conference on abrupt climate change in order to trick the public into accepting global warming as truth. In a bizarre coincidence, the book’s climax has the evil environmentalists carefully plan a seismic tsunami-just weeks before an actual tsunami devastated Southeast Asia.

But the truth is stronger than fiction. Seismic tsunamis are caused by earth tremors. They are not caused by global warming! Any climate scientist knows that. This is a stunning blunder by Crichton, calling into question his claim to have any understanding of global warming.

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Politics

Romney equates sons’ campaigning to military service.

At an “Ask Mitt Anything” forum this morning in Iowa, former Gov. Mitt Romney (R-MA) was asked about why his sons have not served in the military. His response:

My sons are adults. They’ve chosen not to serve in the military in active duty and I respect their decision in that regard. … And one of the ways my sons are showing support for our nation is helping me get elected because they think I’d be a great president.

fivebrothers.gif

Politics

Bush makes delayed phone call to Bonds.

bushiePresident Bush called Barry Bonds to congratulate him for breaking Hank Aaron’s mark as the all-time homerun king. The White House was apparently in no rush to make the call. “It was after noon before the president finally called, spending about three minutes on the phone.” Why the delay? The Swamp speculates:

Might this have had anything to do with the suspicion of steroid use by the San Francisco Giant who has batted his 756th homer?

“Right now, there is a leaguewide investigation going on in regard to steroid use,” Snow, said, and the president encourages the pursuit of that investigation and also thanks senators for pressing it.

Last week, ThinkProgress noted, “Should Bonds break the home run record sometime this week, Bush will face the question of whether or not he should call to congratulate the new all-time home run king and give legitimacy to a tainted record. It should be noted, however, that his hands are hardly clean on the issue.”

Media

More Gerson

I hadn’t realized that Washington Post columnist Michael Gerson actually comes up in today‘s Post editorial about how Democrats should be grateful for White House concessions on the issue of whether or not White House employees, including Michael Gerson, can be made to testify before congress.

Security

After Four Years of Certainty, McCain ‘Not Positive We Can Win’ In Iraq

macDuring debate in the Senate last month, Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) attacked his colleagues who demanded a strategic redeployment out of Iraq by asking, “The terrorists are in this war to win it. The question is, are we?”

It appears McCain’s answer to his own question is no. At a fundraiser for his presidential campaign last night, he conceded, “I’m not positive we can win this fight”:

“I’m not positive we can win this fight,” he told about 150 people at a $50-a-person fundraiser in a Highland Township barn. “But I believe we’re winning. The Anbar province is dramatically better and Baghdad has some neighborhoods that are much more secure.”

McCain’s doubts come after four years of predicting easy victory in Iraq:

– “Because I know that as successful as I believe we will be, and I believe that the success will be fairly easy, we will still lose some American young men or women.” [CNN, 9/24/02]

– “But the point is that, one, we will win this conflict. We will win it easily.” [MSNBC, 1/22/03]

– “[I]t’s going to be long, tough, very difficult, but … we can win.” [PBS, 11/10/05]

– “I believe that we can succeed and I believe the consequences of failure are catastrophic.” [CBS, 4/8/07]

– “We’re going to win. We will. We will never surrender.” [AP, 4/18/07]

Previously, McCain has attacked senators who have expressed doubts about the mission in Iraq like those he voiced yesterday, accusing them of “embrac[ing] the policy of surrender” and “waving a white flag to al Qaeda.”

Jordan Grossman

Politics

Leahy sets new due date for WH subpoenas.

In a letter to White House Counsel Fred Fielding today, Senate Judiciary Chairman Patrick Leahy (D-VT) set a new return date of August 20 for subpoenas served to the executive branch in June. After the White House missed the original due date of July 18, Leahy granted them an extension until Aug. 1, which they also missed. Leahy writes:

Despite my patience and flexibility, you have rejected every proposal, produced none of the responsive documents, provided no basis for any claim of privilege and no accompanying log of withheld documents. I had been requesting this information for an extended time before issuing the subpoenas.

I am setting as the new return date for these four subpoenas August 20,2007, at 2:30 p.m. I look forward to compliance with the Judiciary Committee’s June 27, 2007 subpoenas to the White House Office, the Office of the Vice President, the National Security Council, and the Department of Justice.

Read the letter HERE.

Climate Progress

The “Other Planets Are Warming” Myth

planets.jpgA couple of recent commenters repeat the myth:

1. I am still waiting to hear one of their Bishops or Priests explain how man is causing the global warming we are seeing on other planets in the system.

2. I thought that in 2005 NASA determined all the planets in our solar system are getting warmer from increased solar radiation.

Heck, even conservative savior Fred Thompson repeats the myth.

Since the myth won’t die, progressives need to be armed with the facts. I am no Bishop or Priest, but here goes:

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Media

Today’s Beauchamp Post

Josh Marshall sums up the latest on the Scott Beauchamp matter:

The Weekly Standard, which has been leading the charge against Beauchamp, says another unnamed military official told the magazine that not only had the Army found Beauchamp’s written accounts to be false but that Beauchamp himself has now signed a recantation of all his claims. So case closed; he fessed up. Yet when TNR contacted the Army public affairs a Maj. Steve Lamb told them: “I have no knowledge of that.”

Now correct me if I’m wrong, but by Weekly Standard epistemic standards, if the Army PR people say they don’t know about a recantation, then it must be that no such recantation exists, right? At the same time, though, the Army says they investigated this and nobody corroborated Beauchamp’s claims. TNR says they have spoken to people who backed Beauchamp up. Given that the Army seems to have decided to discipline Beauchamp for writing what he wrote, I’m not sure why you’d expect anyone to corroborate the story while talking to Army investigators.

Politics

REPORT: ‘The Next Few Months’ On Iraq That Never End

The Bush administration and its supporters have pledged to Americans time and again during the past four years that the “next few months” in Iraq will be the “decisive, critical period” of the war.

The implication has always been that U.S. forces just need to hold on a little while longer for things to get better. Using an interactive timeline tool, the Center for American Progress has catalogued the broken record of false claims we’ve been hearing. Some examples:

timelineiraq.gif

TOM FRIEDMAN: It might be over in a week, it might be over in a month, it might be over in six months, but what’s the rush? Can we let this play out, please?” [NPR, 6/3/04]

DICK CHENEY: I think they’re in the last throes, if you will, of the insurgency. [Larry King Live, 5/30/05]

JOE LIEBERMAN (I-CT): By the end of this year, we will begin to draw down significant numbers of American troops. [Washington Post, 7/7/06]

JOHN McCAIN (R-AZ): If you talk to most military experts, we’re in a critical and crucial time. We’re either going to lose this thing or win this thing within the next several months.” [Meet The Press, 11/12/06]

ZALMAY KHALILZAD: Iraq Prime Minister Nouri Al-Maliki “has a window of a couple months. … If the perception is that this unity government is not able to deal with this issue, then a big opportunity would have been lost.” [Washington Post, 9/30/06]

Four years later, Iraq is still plagued with violence and political instability. Since the beginning of the invasion, 3,679 U.S. soldiers and tens of thousands of Iraqi civilians have died. “August has begun with a wave of U.S. troop deaths,” and Iraq’s unity government remains in disarray.

The United States has no good options given the strategic and tactical mistakes made in Iraq since 2002, but simply staying the course with an indefinite military presence is not advancing U.S. interests.

For a progressive strategy on the way forward in Iraq, read “Strategic Reset,” the Center for American Progress’s plan for reclaiming control of U.S. security in the Middle East.

Igor Volsky

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