ThinkProgress Logo

Yglesias

A Committee Should Be Organized to Honor Me

upandcoming.jpg

You may have read on the internet that Andrew Sullivan is the 46th most powerful person in Washington, but as best I can tell you need to get your hands on a copy of the print GQ to find the real news of the list — Ross and I are “up and coming” powerful just like the mayor and Susan Rice.

You might be tempted to look at this list and nitpick. Does it really make sense to say that John Podesta is more powerful than Ben Bernanke? Suppose Podesta wanted to cause a global financial meltdown, or plunge the country into recession . . . what he could do about it? Nothing. But then you realize, no, this list must be one hundred percent accurate since it correctly identifies me as one of the centrally important figures of our time.

David Bradley, owner and Supreme Leader of the Atlantic Media Company is also on the list, but since he doesn’t have a blog it’s difficult for him to brag about it in a somewhat ironic and self-effacing manner. Point being: the Atlantic Media Company and its associated blogs are very, very, very powerful or, in some cases, up and coming as powerful. Be afraid.

Politics

Lost weapons now in hands of Middle East extremists.

“At least three U.S. government agencies are now investigating the massive ‘disappearance’ and diversion of weapons Washington intended for Iraqi government forces that instead have spread to militants and organized gangs across the region.” Newsweek notes that thousands of arms have flowed into Turkey through the black market. A report by the U.S. Government Accountability Office last month showed that since 2004, some 190,000 AK-47 assault rifles and pistols, bought with U.S. money for Iraqi security forces, have gone missing.

Climate Progress

Climate Forecast: Hot — and then Very Hot

For those wondering why the planet hasn’t yet exceeded the 1998 El Ni±o-fueled temperature record, a new Science magazine article (subs. req’d) explains why. Basically, in addition to the steady increase in anthropogenic warming from greenhouse gases you have to add a smaller variation from climate oscillations linked to the oceans. Those oscillations have been tamping down temperatures a tad, and will keep doing so for the next couple of years, but the decade of the 2010s is going to bring a return to record-smashing temperatures:

Our system predicts that internal variability will partially offset the anthropogenic global warming signal for the next few years. However, climate will continue to warm, with at least half of the years after 2009 predicted to exceed the warmest year currently on record.

temperature-plot.gif

They further predict the year 2014 will “be 0.30° ± 0.2°C warmer than the observed value for 2004,” which means there is a 50% chance that the warming from 2004 to 2014 will be 3/8 that of the warming of the previous century!

In short, if these projections are right (and if there are no major volcanoes to dampen temperatures), then the Denyers have a couple more years to spin their misinformation, but, after that, the accelerating nature of climate change should become painfully clear to all. And I would not be surprised if this epic multi-year heatwave drives the Arctic over the edge, leading to a drastic — if not total — reduction in summer ice by 2020.

Yglesias

What’s a Phone For

Kevin Drum tries to make himself feel good about not owning an iPhone: “To summarize: the iPhone is expensive and fails miserably at its primary function of making telephone calls, but other than that it’s really great. Sign me up!”

Seriously, though, it’s true. At the same time, there strikes me as something quaint about this notion that a cell phone’s primary function is “making telephone callls.” Personally, I don’t like talking on the phone very much. My old Razr’s primary function was sending and receiving SMS messages. My new iPhone’s primary function is probably as an MP3 player, with SMSing as the key secondary function. Beyond that, I use the Web browser and the Google Maps function a lot. The phone’s actual “talking on the phone” functionality is unimpressive, but I don’t really mind that. Indeed, I mind it a lot less than I mind the fact that it doesn’t allow you to SMS to multiple people simultaneously, a flaw I fervently hope and pray will be corrected by some future software update.

At any rate, I realize that there’s probably a lot of variation about this. Most people aren’t nearly as phone-averse as I am. Meanwhile, thanks to the combination of the Google Calendar and Twitter, I count on a steady stream of text messages to figure out what I’m supposed to do with my life, but most people aren’t living their lives like that.

Yglesias

More O’Hanlon Needed

Maybe Michael O’Hanlon’s continued prominence in the media is more useful than I’d realized. Here’s Michael Crowley:

But this evening I heard an NPR program (audio here) on which O’Hanlon was a guest, and I was struck by how self-defeatingly thin his argument for a continued occupation was. O’Hanlon readily conceded that he can’t construct a “convincing theory” for how political reconciliation might be achieved–and moreover that his argument for patience amounts to “a gut level… theory of hope” that somehow things will get better. I’m very torn but persuadable that sticking around might be better than various gruesome alternatives. But less so if advocates for that position–particularly nonideological ones like O’Hanlon–concede that their argument amounts to wishing upon a star.

Perhaps having more anti-war voices in the press would convince nobody — after all, they’re not “nonideological” like O’Hanlon — and what we need are more lame pro-war arguments in hopes that the overwhelming lameness will bring people around.

Politics

Right-Wing Pundits Confess Bush ‘Has No Agenda’

With the departure of Karl Rove, the media is speculating as to how that will affect Bush’s domestic agenda. White House deputy chief of staff Joel Kaplan argued that Bush will pursue an “ambitious agenda” despite Rove’s departure:

The tank is full. The president’s priorities haven’t changed, nor has his ambitious agenda. When we come back in the Fall, the Congress is going to have a full plate in front of it. [Fox News, 8/14/07]

Similarly, spokeswoman Dana Perino claimed, “We have a lot of things that we can get done.” In reality, Bush’s domestic agenda “has largely shrunk to veto threats of bills passed by the Democratic-led Congress.”

Even the White House’s faithful conservative allies aren’t buying the spin. Last night on Fox, right-wing pundits Charles Krauthammer and Fred Barnes disputed the White House’s contention that it has an agenda:

KRAUTHAMMER: When Kaplan talks about an ambitious agenda, he is really taking one for the team. That is absurd, there is no agenda.

BARNES: Charles is right, Bush has no agenda.

Watch it:

[flv http://video.thinkprogress.org/2007/08/vetobills.320.240.flv]

In an interview with the Politico, Rove said, “If there’s a decision to shut down the government, it’s going to be coming from Capitol Hill, not from us.” The White House is attempting to set up the upcoming budget battles with Congress as a campaign issue heading into ’08. Even the right-wing now acknowledges that the what the administration is asking the public to do is rally behind a President who has nothing to offer.

Transcript: Read more

Climate Progress

Freeman Dyson, Climate Confusionist

dysonf.jpgAs a physicist, I have never been a big fan of Freeman Dyson. He was, after all, one of the “geniuses” pushing Project Orion — the absurdly impractical idea of creating a rocket ship powered by detonating nuclear bombs — I kid you not!

Dyson has written a new book, A Many Colored Glass, that you shouldn’t waste your time and money on, as this extract on global warming makes clear. Dyson has basically joined the famous-confusionist camp with Michael Crichton and Bill Gray. You can read a good debunking of Dyson here. I’ll add my two cents.

Dyson says many things that are just plain wrong: “There is no doubt that parts of the world are getting warmer, but the warming is not global.” Uhh, no. The warming is global — as every set of data makes clear — that’s why it’s called global warming.

He says the “fuss about global warming is grossly exaggerated” because he is certain the climate models do not reflect reality. I agree they don’t reflect reality– but that leads me to the opposite conclusion. Dyson fails to ask whether the simplifications and omissions in climate models lead them to overestimate or underestimate climate impacts. So far, they have underestimated things like Arctic ice loss, mass loss of the great ice sheets, and sea-level rise. They don’t model many feedbacks very well, and we know today that most feedbacks are amplifying.

No nonsense essay would be complete without a nonsense solution. He believes “the problem of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is a problem of land management” and that the entire climate problem can be solved by increasing topsoil:

Read more

Politics

Rumsfeld resigned before midterm election.

Former Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld “resigned as defense secretary before last year’s November election but his decision was not announced until after the voting, according to his resignation letter. … The letter was dated Nov. 6, the day before voters, angered by Iraq, went to the polls and swept Republicans from power in Congress. According to a stamp on the letter, President George W. Bush saw it on election day.” Bush, however, waited until the day after the election to announce Rumsfeld’s resignation.

UPDATE: The word “Iraq” doesn’t appear in former Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld’s resignation letter. Neither does the word “war.”

Politics

Colts’ Dungy appointed by Bush.

Continuing the administration’s outreach to sports stars, President Bush appointed Indianapolis Colts head coach Tony Dungy to be a Member of the President’s Council on Service and Civic Participation. “The appointment has a term of two years with a time commitment of two in-person meetings per year and quarterly phone conversations with assigned committees.” Dungy has endeared himself to conservatives by helping fundraise for anti-gay, right-wing groups.

UPDATE: More from Towleroad.

Older

Newer

Switch to Mobile
ThinkProgress Signup Overlay Skip and Continue to ThinkProgress Skip and Continue to ThinkProgress

Sign Up