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Debunking Shellenberger & Nordhaus — Part III, What Californians know that S&N don’t

The kind of technological revolution called for by energy experts typically does not occur via regulatory fiat” — claim Shellenberger & Nordhaus. Actually, that is typically the only way it occurs. I defy anyone to name a country that has successfully adopted alternative fuels for vehicles without employing some kind of regulatory mandate.

This is also true in the electricity sector. Consider that in terms of electricity consumption, the average Californian generates under one third of the carbon dioxide emissions of the average American while paying the same annual bill.

Did they accomplish this by technology breakthroughs that S&N (mistakenly) say we need? Not at all. They did it by accelerating the deployment of boring old technology – insulation, efficient lightbulbs, refrigerators, and other appliances, light-colored roofs and so on– through tough building codes and intelligent utility regulations, especially ones that put efficiency on an equal footing with new generation. The result: From 1976 to 2005, electricity consumption per capita grew 60 percent in the rest of the nation, while it stayed flat in hi-tech, fast-growing California.

S&N think we must have a massive $30 billion a year government programs and clean technologies. A central argument of theirs is that “Big, long-term investments in new technologies are made only by governments.” This is perhaps half true, but 100% irrelevant. What we need is big, long-term investment in existing technologies — and that is made primarily by the private sector stimulated by government regulations.

Why isn’t government spending more important? Let me relate an eye-opening story from my time in government.

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Yglesias

Nork Nuke Deal

William Hartung notes that the best deal the Bush administration could get out of the DPRK is worse than the situation they had when they came into office and decided the Agreed Framework was no good so they could just feel free to screw it up (Fred Kaplan’s 2004 article on this fiasco is an eternal must-read). Still, making the deal was the right thing to do, albeit in a too-little, too-late kind of way. It’s got Michael Hirsch asking why we can’t apply the same tactics to Iran.

Security

Byrd: Senate’s ‘Saber-Rattling’ Is ‘Sleep-Walking’ America To War With Iran

On the Senate floor today, Sen. Robert Byrd (D-WV) decried the recent Kyl-Lieberman amendment on Iran that 72 of his colleagues voted for, calling it an exercise in “international verbal spitball.” Byrd warned his colleagues against “sleep-walking” into another war, saying “I hope that we can stop this war of words before it becomes a war of bombs.”

Byrd added that the Senate’s “chest-pounding” and “saber-rattling” towards Iran was “deeply troubling,” as the Iraq war has shown “all too clearly where it leads”:

It is deeply troubling to see the U.S. Senate joining the chest-pounding and saber-rattling of the Bush administration. I am no apologist for the Iranian regime, anymore than I was for Saddam Hussein, but I fear that we may become entangled in another bloody quagmire. We have been down this path before. We have seen all too clearly where it leads.

Watch it:

[flv http://video.thinkprogress.org/2007/10/ByrdIran.320.240.flv]

As former Vice President Al Gore noted in his book, The Assault on Reason, Byrd made a similarly prescient speech in 2003, warning against the invasion of Iraq:

We are truly “sleepwalking through history.” In my heart of hearts I pray that this great nation and its good and trusting citizens are not in for a rudest of awakenings.

To engage in war is always to pick a wild card. And war must always be a last resort, not a first choice. I truly must question the judgment of any President who can say that a massive unprovoked military attack on a nation which is over 50% children is “in the highest moral traditions of our country”. This war is not necessary at this time. Pressure appears to be having a good result in Iraq. Our mistake was to put ourselves in a corner so quickly. Our challenge is to now find a graceful way out of a box of our own making. Perhaps there is still a way if we allow more time.

At that time, Byrd noted that the Senate was “ominously silent” and failed to question the Bush administration’s invasion plan. “There is no debate, no discussion, no attempt to lay out for the nation the pros and cons of this particular war,” he said. Let’s hope that with Iran, the Senate wakes up before it’s too late.

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Security

Jawad: With Robust U.S. Commitment, ‘Afghanistan Is Winnable,’ ‘Achieving Victory Is Easy’

This Sunday marks the six-year anniversary of the initial U.S.-led invasion of Afghanistan. In an interview with ThinkProgress, Said Tayeb Jawad, the Afghanistan Ambassador to the U.S., said the military incursion “was something that the Afghan people demanded.” He explained, “Every Afghan knows that there’s no way for us to have a better life except for the assistance and partnership of the United States.”

While emphasizing his strong support for the initial invasion and a continued presence, Jawad said there have been at least two major mistakes that have contributed to the rise in violence:

1) Underinvestment in financial and military resources. “In the past five years, there was an underinvestment in building the infrastructure in Afghanistan, including the quality of life of the Afghans.” Jawad said U.S. presence “should have been very robust from the beginning” and “assistance should have been much stronger.”

2) Failing to fight terrorism in a comprehensive manner. “From the very beginning, the mission targeted was more or less at going after individual terrorists.” Jawad argued, instead, “we should have been fighting terrorism as a phenomenon, and include in our fight not only terrorist individuals but also warlords, narco-traffickers, and many others.”

While “expectations have not been met” for the past six years, Jawad said the new leadership in Congress gives him hope for the future:

My engagement with the new leadership in Congress and the Democrats in Congress indicates that they are even more committed to pursue the war in the original front of the war against terrorism and to help out Afghanistan.

Watch it:

[flv http://video.thinkprogress.org/2007/10/Afgamb.320.240.flv]

While repeatedly expressing his hope for a continued U.S. military and financial presence, Jawad said the “long-term solution is to help build the Afghan forces, the Afghan national army and the police force.” “It’s our own country,” he said “we would like to defend it ourselves. Give us the know-how, the skills, and the equipment and we will do it.”

“Afghanistan is winnable and achieving victory in Afghanistan is easy. The people are your partners. All we need to do is invest in building the capacity of the Afghans to defend their own country,” Jawad concluded.

Politics

Dobson Versus Rudy

It seems to me that with the publication of this James Dobson op-ed, Rudy Giuliani just got a lot less electable:

After two hours of deliberation, we voted on a resolution that can be summarized as follows: If neither of the two major political parties nominates an individual who pledges himself or herself to the sanctity of human life, we will join others in voting for a minor-party candidate. Those agreeing with the proposition were invited to stand. The result was almost unanimous.

It would be a big, big problem for Giuliani’s general election campaign to have any of the major cultural conservative institutions backing a third party candidate. It’s generally very difficult to win when you have a spoiler trying to take you down the way Ross Perot was gunning for H.W. Bush in ’92 or Ralph Nader was taking aim at Gore in 2000.

Politics

Karl Rove’s Deputy J. Scott Jennings Resigns

jenningsc.gif J. Scott Jennings, White House Deputy Director of Political Affairs, has been Karl Rove’s right-hand man, assisting him in schemes ranging from the U.S. attorney scandal to political briefings at government agencies.

ThinkProgress spoke with a White House spokesperson today who confirmed that Jennings is resigning, less than two months after his boss stepped down. The official told ThinkProgress that Jennings would be leaving “sometime soon.” KYPolitics.org reports that Jennings is leaving to become a principal at Peritus Public Relations in Kentucky.

A look back at Jennings’s tenure at the White House:

Installed political cronies as U.S. attorneys: Jennings was intimately involved in installing Rove-protege Tim Griffin as U.S. attorney in Arkansas. E-mails show that “Jennings was in close contact with Griffin, even working out the logistics of getting Griffin appointed.” A former RNC research director, Griffin was allegedly involved in a voter suppression scheme in the 2004 election.

Briefed government employees on helping GOP candidates: In Jan. 2007, Jennings and GSA chief Lurita Doan held a briefing for agency employees on “ways to help Republican candidates.” Multiple other government agencies report similar briefings. The Hatch Act explicitly prohibits partisan campaign activities on federal property.

Skirted Presidential Records Act by using political e-mail accounts: Jennings was one of at least 80 White House aides who stopped using official government e-mail accounts to avoid public scrutiny. Instead, he used a “gwb43.com” e-mail address to correspond about his political — and potentially illegal — activities.

The White House official with whom ThinkProgress spoke could not give a reason for Jennings’s departure.

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Politics

U.S. confiscates the AP’s Iraq bombing footage.

At least three people were killed yesterday when the diplomatic convoy carrying Poland’s ambassador to Iraq was ambushed by bombs and gunfire “in one of Baghdad’s most secure neighborhoods.” The ambassador survived after “being pulled to safety and airlifted in a rescue mission by the embattled security firm Blackwater USA.” An AP Television News caught the chaotic aftermath on camera, but the footage has been confiscated by American authorities:

American authorities confiscated an AP Television News videotape that contained scenes of the wounded being evacuated. U.S. military spokesman Lt. Col. Scott Bleichwehl told AP that Iraqi law make it illegal to photograph or videotape the aftermath of bombings or other attacks.

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