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Blowing Up Miami

Back in the summer of 2005 I was giddy about the way Pat Riley was wrecking the Heat’s future in a desperate and doomed-to-fail effort to win the championship in 2006. Unfortunately, he actually did win the championship. But now, as John Hollinger observes, the team is totally screwed and needs to blow things up:

All year, speculation has had Miami trading its expiring contracts (Jason Williams, Ricky Davis, Dorell Wright) to get another player and kick-start a playoff push. But actually, the Heat needs to go in the opposite direction. They should begin unloading the likes of Mark Blount, Williams, Davis, and perhaps even Udonis Haslem, tell Wade to take a break until he’s truly healthy, and figure out how to get back into the mix another year or two down the road. Because at 8-27, it sure as heck ain’t happening this year.

Sounds like good advice to me. I’d keep Haslem, though, he’s young and pretty good. You just need to let the expiring contracts expire, let the team be bad, get a draft pick, let Wade get healthy, etc. I’m not sure what you can get in exchange for “the likes of Mark Blount,” though. He doesn’t seem like an in-demand player.

Politics

Former Ailes confidante alleges sexist, bigoted comments.

Dan Cooper, who helped create Fox News in the 1990s, is set to tell all about his former boss, Roger Ailes. In “a long meandering unfocussed piece” posted today, Cooper describes Ailes’ fondness for “boy’s club meetings” during the launch of Fox News that were often peppered with sexist and bigoted comments. “How about those bazookas on that Indian girl, or whatever the hell she is,” Cooper recalls Ailes saying. (In fairness to Ailes, Inside Cable News warns that it’s difficult to tell how much of Cooper’s story “is real and how much of it is BS.”)

(HT: Jossip)

Climate Progress

Financial Times on Th!nk electric

Financial Times Deutschland has a report on Th!nk Global. Putting a little flesh on the bones of previous reporting. 10,000 Think City electric cars in 2009. Parts manufacturing in Thailand and Turkey. The plan is to sell the car (‚¬25,000) and lease the battery. Zebra batteries first. Online marketing and sales.

Think says it has battery supply contracts with three companies, and is moving into production. It plans to begin selling its cars in Norway, Denmark, Switzerland and the UK next year, with projected sales of 10,000 cars in 2009 and double that by 2011.

One question raised in the story is how Th!nk will fare as established carmakers bring electric cars to market.

With its modest volumes, it also remains unclear how Think will cope when bigger competitors such as Renault/Nissan and Daimler come to market with their own electric cars.

If Think can begin making thousands of cars per year in 2009, I suspect there won’t be much competition for years. Subaru’s snail’s pace production plans are far from ambitious. GM’s Vue and Volt plug-ins have no firm date to appear in showrooms. If Nissan or Mercedes are to make a serious electric offering in the same time frame, we’ll have to hear something soon.

– Marc G. Plugs and Cars Blog

Yglesias

The Cult of the Commander

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There’s an awful lot to object to in the McCain/Lieberman “The Surge Worked” op-ed. Notably, they don’t grapple with the fact that before the surge began, the surge’s proponents outlined goals for the surge, and the surge’s goals have not been achieved. But there’s also John McCain’s almost frightening inability to understand the appropriate division of labor in the policymaking process:

As the surge should have taught us by now, troop numbers matter in Iraq. We should adjust those numbers based on conditions on the ground and the recommendations of our commanders in Iraq — first and foremost, Gen. Petraeus, who above all others has proven that he knows how to steer this war to a successful outcome.

So what if Petraeus says he needs to maintain surge-level forces indefinitely and the Joint Chiefs say the only way to do that would be to cut back on deployments in Afghanistan but our commanders in Afghanistan say they can’t afford to cut back. Indeed, what if they say they need a surge of their own? Who do we listen to? Admiral Fallon? Who knows? The answer, clearly, is that while a responsible president needs to listen to what his military commanders in theater think but then he needs to use independent judgment. You’re never going to get an answer like “Sir, my strategy has failed” or “Sir, this other guy’s mission is more important than mine” out of an official in any kind of organization — military or civilian.

What’s President McCain going to do when it turns out that all of his subordinates throughout the government want more resources to be put at their disposal?

Security

Pentagon Backtracks On Naval Confrontation With Iran, Says Threat May Not Have Come From Iranians

iranEarlier this week, the Pentagon said that three of its Navy ships in the Strait of Hormuz had been harassed and provoked by Iranian speedboats. The Navy said it had felt so threatened that it was about to open fire on the boats. A four-minute video of the episode provided to the public by the Pentagon contained one particularly harrowing moment:

“I am coming to you,” a heavily accented voice says in English. “You will explode after a few minutes.”

Navy officials said the voice was recorded from the internationally recognized bridge-to-bridge radio channel.

Some bloggers were immediately skeptical, noting the voice did not sound Iranian. Iran released its own video, arguing the footage did not show any Iranian boats approaching the U.S. vessels, nor any provocation. Today, the Navy acknowledged that the verbal threat made in the tape may not have been Iranian:

“We’re saying that we cannot make a direct connection to the boats there,” said the spokesperson. “It could have come from the shore, from another ship passing by. However, it happened in the middle of all the very unusual activity, so as we assess the information and situation, we still put it in the total aggregate of what happened Sunday morning. I guess we’re not saying that it absolutely came from the boats, but we’re not saying it absolutely didn’t.”

Without definitive evidence that it was Iran who was making the provocative verbal threats, Bush nevertheless seized on the episode — just hours before he was set to depart for the Middle East — to underscore “his assertion that the Iranians are capable of acting recklessly.” “We viewed it as a provocative act,” Bush said. Yesterday, he warned Iran, “There will be serious consequences if they attack our ships, pure and simple.”

Newshoggers has more.

UPDATE: At a Pentagon news conference just now, a reporter asked Defense Secretary Robert Gates: “You said yesterday that other similar incidents have occurred. Can you say what about this incident on Sunday was particularly different that created such a stir?” Gates argued there were more Iranian boats this time, and they were “more aggressive.” Watch it:

[flv http://video.thinkprogress.org/2008/01/gatesboats.320.240.flv]

UPDATE II: Gareth Porter writes, “New information over the past three days suggests that the incident did not involve such a threat and that no U.S. commander was on the verge of firing at the Iranian boats.”

Digg It!

Yglesias

Think About the Term “Provocations”

Steven Weisman reports: “Speaking in Israel at the beginning of his visit to the Middle East, Mr. Bush took a hard line on Iran over its nuclear program and said that ‘all options are on the table’ to guard against more military provocations like the Iranian threats to American ships in the Persian Gulf on Sunday.”

Good lord. Just think about the term “provocations.” Ponder it for a minute. Does it seem likely that musing about how all options are on the table is likely to deter a provocation? Does a provocation really seem like the kind of thing you can deter? Obviously, if push comes to shove, a US Navy vessel is going to have to defend itself but the way you dissuade an adversary from staging provocations is by indicating that you’re not going to give him what he wants. There’s an effort under way to goad the United States into doing something that will rally the Iranian people behind its leadership. Unfortunately, from time to time there seems to be a parallel effort inside the US government, rather than a counter-effort to maintain international consensus on Iranian nuclear activities while avoiding any big blowups.

Yglesias

Wave of Mutilation

Iranian authorities appear to be presiding over a surge of brutality, with hangings way up over the past several years. Meanwhile, “human rights groups in Iran expressed shock after judicial authorities disclosed they had amputated the left feet and right hands of five criminals convicted of armed robbery in the southern province of Sistan-Baluchistan.” Optimistically, one can perhaps view this kind of activity as reflecting a regime that knows it’s in crisis.

Politics

Big Pharma Front Group Launches Anonymous Blog To Publish An ‘Enemies List’

phm.gif

Washington DC Councilmember David Catania has been pushing a bill to require the licensing of pharmaceutical representatives and to prohibit them from providing knowingly false information to doctors. Many pharmaceutical sales reps try to “influence doctors’ prescribing decisions in ways that have little to do with the best interest of the patient” by resorting to “questionable methods, including providing gifts and meals to doctors” in order to promote their drugs.

Advocates of the pharmaceutical industry responded by launching an anonymous blog site devoted to defending the industry’s practices. The site — BigPharmaRealPeople — “grabbed attention with an enemies list” which included Catania, whom it called “public enemy #1.”

The site’s editors had refused to disclose their names and instead adopted the identities from characters in Ayn Rand’s novel Atlas Shrugged. Recently, a poster named “John Galt” revealed himself to be Scott McTavish, a sales rep, sales manager and director for three Big Pharma Companies over the past 30 years. Blogging over at Pharmalot, Ed Silverman challenges the front group to disclose its sponsorship and backing:

One other thing, Scott. Since you chose not to answer any of our messages directly, we are still curious to know more about your background and those of your ‘staff.’ We would also like to know what, if any, sponsorship or backing you may have. If you really do enjoy an open debate about all the facts, more disclosure would be helpful – unless your site is merely an example of astroturfing dressed up as a social networking experiment.

The avowed mission of the Big Pharma front group’s website is to “remind the American public who is actually on their side” and to “fight ridiculous government rules and regulation that hamper Big Pharma.” The site’s authors write:

The purpose of BigPharmaRealPeople.org is the following: … To point out that corporations are not faceless, evil giants that take advantage of the individual.

The Washington City Paper responds, “Have to say, guys — this anonymous Web site isn’t doing much to combat that whole ‘faceless’ thing.” And the site isn’t having much success thus far. Catania’s bill passed the D.C. City Council on Tuesday.

Yglesias

“The Face of Seung-Hui Cho”

Reihan Salam raved about this essay in the new n + 1 and rightly so. It’s by far the best thing I’ve read in a good long while. I don’t really want to tease it beyond that; you should go and buy a copy of the magazine, it contains other good stuff and they deserve your support.

Politics

My Biases

bias.png

I remember having been very interested in the Implicit Association Test I took a few years ago on racial bias, but then kind of forgot about the whole thing for a while. Eve Fairbanks mentioned taking one on gender in a blog post, so I thought I’d check it out. But en route to discovering what kind of a sexist I am, I was waylaid by a test that examines your biases about the presidential candidates.

I took it and discovered the results you see at left. This is a question of relative bias. They explain that “a committed Republican might have negative associations with all of these candidates, but in this display, the ones that are least negative would appear toward the top and the ones that are most negative would appear toward the bottom.” All four candidates cluster in the middle third of the spectrum, so I don’t have any really extreme implicit associations with the candidates, but as we can see there’s a distinct pro-Obama leaning.

That jibes with what I learned about myself the night of the Iowa caucuses. Thinking and writing about it beforehand, I’d definitely found Obama to be a praiseworthy figure but never really committed myself super-strongly in his favor, and in the couple of weeks leading up to the caucus felt increasingly persuaded by arguments made on John Edwards’ behalf. But when it was announced the he won I was thrilled even though my official view continues to be that the differences between the candidates in the field are non-enormous.

Meanwhile, demographically speaking I’m in Obama’s wheelhouse — young, male, college educated — and I had pre-existing pro-Obama views on the issues. I’d be interested to see what kind of results you can from people whose views are more at odds with their demographics.

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