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Politics

Compare and Contrast

Hillary Clinton on Barack Obama:

He was a part-time state senator for a few years, and then he came to the Senate and immediately started running for president. And that’s his prerogative. That’s his right. But I think it is important to compare and contrast our records.

Part time, okay….

Meanwhile, the experience thing is obviously a good issue for Clinton but I feel like when you put it this bluntly, it sort of evaporates. I mean, compare their records? Clinton’s record turns out to be really thin — she’s only been a Senator since 2001 and hasn’t authored any major legislation. Barack Obama’s been in the US Senate even more briefly, but did write some significant bills as an Illinois Senator, and has served more years in elected office than has Clinton. Like everyone else, I can’t shake the sense that Clinton’s years of first ladying amount to some kind of substantial experience, but they don’t really amount to a record. What’s more, in a lot of ways she’s really not running on her husband’s record — she’s certainly not emphasizing the idea that she’s going to be a committed free trader and budget balancer.

UPDATE: To be clear, it’s not Clinton’s fault that she hasn’t authored any significant legislation — it wasn’t in the cards given the larger political situation. But that’s what makes it strange for her to specifically ask us to compare her “record” with Obama’s; what are we supposed to find when we look?

Politics

Napolitanomania

When I wrote this morning that “it would make perfect sense for Obama to try to re-enforce his message of change and transcendence by picking a red state woman governor like Kathleen Sebelius or Janet Napolitano as his running mate” I hadn’t realized that Napolitano was gearing up to endorse Barack Obama which presumably helps strengthen the case.

Chris Bowers, incidentally, agrees with me that a VP pick should re-enforce the candidate’s message not balance the ticket, but sees Napolitano as a “balancing” choice. Maybe the fact that Chris sees her as a balance pick while I see her as a re-enforcement pick means she has the best of both worlds. Now, though, is probably a good time to admit that I don’t actually know a great deal about Governor Napolitano and maybe she’s terrible on some key issues or something.

Yglesias

Farsi for Tonkin

Spencer Ackerman says “Hormuz” may be Farsi for “Tonkin” as he reads Robin Wright report that, in fact, the Pentagon has no idea what happened and the radio threats “may not have come from the five Iranian Revolutionary Guard speedboats that approached them” and may not have been directed at US forces.

Yes, that’s right, the threats against US Navy ships made by IRGC speedboats may not have been made by IRGC speedboats and may not have been against US Navy ships. Nevertheless, the Bush administration chose to leap to conclusions and warmongering.

Now the converse is that I wouldn’t hang too much on the idea that this whole thing was just made up by the Bush administration. If the Bushies cooked it up out of nothing, then it’s not a good idea to raise tensions with Iran. If things went down exactly how they were originally reported, then it’s not a good idea to raise tensions with Iran. The problem is with the administration’s misguided strategic approach to Iran, not with the details of this or that possibly-made-up incident.

Security

Ricks: Baghdad Only Seems ‘Peaceful’ Because 2006 Was ‘Pure Hell’

Discussing the one-year anniversary of President Bush’s call for the “surge” on MSNBC’s Countdown with Keith Olbermann last night, Washington Post Pentagon reporter Thomas Ricks said that, “judged on the terms in which the president presented it, the surge has not worked.” “The purpose was to improve security, but to improve it to lead to a political breakthrough,” said Ricks. “And that political breakthrough has not happened.”

Asked about whether the Iraqis “think it has worked,” Ricks said they “recognize that large parts of Baghdad are more peaceful,” but only compared to the “pure hell” of 2006:

I think Iraqis recognize that large parts of Baghdad are more peaceful than they were, but violence is basically back to 2005 levels. And that was no picnic, 2005. It’s just 2006 was pure hell.

Watch it:

[flv http://video.thinkprogress.org/2008/01/RicksSurge.320.240.flv]

Ricks is correct that the “surge” has failed to bring the political progress Bush sought. He is also right that the security situation had already turned bad in 2005:

– “The numbers of car bombs, suicide car bombs and roadside bombs all doubled from 2004 to 2005.”

– In 2005, there were more U.S. casualties in Iraq (846) than there were in 2006 (821).

– On Feb. 27, 2005, Knight Ridder quoted then-Iraqi Interior Ministry spokesman Sabah Kadhim warning about sectarian violence, “It’s the beginning, and we could go down the slippery slope very quickly. … Both sides are sharpening their knives.”

– On Sept. 26, 2005, CBS News reported that “there is an undeclared civil war already underway in Iraq, between the Sunni minority who ruled this country under Saddam and the Shiite majority.”

Ricks also criticizes Sens. John McCain (R-AZ) and Joe Lieberman (I-CT) for their Wall Street Journal op-ed yesterday declaring that “the surge worked.” “From their perspective, perhaps, the surge is a success” because “Iraq is no longer on the front pages every day” and “that might be the exact definition of success they were looking for,” said Ricks.

As a matter of fact, McCain recently remarked on the “surge’s” effect on his political fortunes, saying “Thank God it’s off the front pages.”

Yglesias

Bush in Israel

Peter Wehner at Commentary gets upset that George W. Bush referred to the Israeli occupation of the Palestinian territories as an “occupation.” What’s his ilk going to say about Bush’s disparagement of efforts to turn Palestine into a “Swiss cheese” of isolated cantons?

Meanwhile, good for Bush. His track record on this topic has been so terrible that it’s hard to take his current initiative seriously, but so far as one can tell he’s now moving things in the right direction and I may have been too harsh in this morning’s post. What he’s doing right now is creating positive momentum and could very well lead to a situation where the next president is set up to really accomplish something big.

Politics

Fmr Bush aide: Bush doesn’t claim ‘divine guidance.’

Discussing President Bush’s trip to Israel, Jim Towey, who served four years as director of the president’s Office of Faith-Based and Community Initiatives, told the Chicago Tribune that “the president does not claim to have divine guidance when he makes decisions, but he sure seeks it.” In 2003, however, Texas evangelist James Robinson, said that Bush told him:

I feel like God wants me to run for President. … I know it won’t be easy on me or my family, but God wants me to do it.

Yglesias

Budgeting With Rudy

One thing about Rudy Giuliani’s plan to cut taxes by about four percent of GDP that’s worth keeping in mind, is that in his Foreign Affairs essay he also writes that “The idea of a post-Cold War “peace dividend” was a serious mistake . . . We must rebuild a military force that can deter aggression and meet the wide variety of present and future challenges.” That suggests that he wants to boost defense spending from the four percent or so of GDP we have now to the 6.2 percent of GDP it reached under Ronald Reagan.

Or perhaps even higher. The Reagan years were peacetime; back during Vietnam we got to over 9 percent of GDP. I’m of the view that the evils of budget deficits are often overstated, but Rudy’s talking about blowing a genuinely gigantic hole in the budget up to the levels where it would almost certainly be a serious economic problem. And he wants to do it at a time when we already have relatively low taxes and extremely high defense spending.

Photo by Flickr user Crystalflickr used under a Creative Commons license

Climate Progress

My Al Gore story

I’m not normally given to shameless name-dropping, but what else are blogs really for (other than making bets with readers)?

gore1.jpgFor the last three days I attended a small climate solutions summit hosted by the former Vice President and current Nobel Laureate. It was off-the-record, so I can’t report on presentations directly, but they have made me a lot smarter about the latest technologies and strategies for clean energy, which will inform my blogging this year on climate solutions. I will say now as an aside that I have become much more bullish on the potential for large-scale solar photovoltaics as a result of attending these meetings.

The VP asked me to speak for seven minutes on hydrogen at dinner Wednesday. Before dinner, I gave him a copy of the brand-new paperback edition of — warning, shameless product placement — Hell and High Water. He looked it over for a few minutes and said, deadpan,

I have only one problem with this book — this blurb on the back here that says, “If you buy only one book about global warming, make it Hell and High Water.” I just can’t agree with that.

When he introduced me that night, he repeated the line to great laughter.

BTW, in case it wasn’t obvious from his movie, the VP has a terrific sense of humor — and not just in his delivery timing of canned jokes, but in quick, impromptu one liners, like the one above, many of them self-deprecating (one of the speakers from a web-based company thanked him for his work accelerating the Internet, and he said something like, “You heard I had something to do with the internet?”).

And in case this wasn’t obvious from his movie, he has an encyclopedic knowledge of all things related to climate, energy, science, and technology.

He has only one character flaw that I could see. He emceed all the panels and every single one of them ran late (including my remarks, hard to believe as that may be). Too many questions, too much curiosity. I’m guessing this is one thing George W. has on him, probably runs a really tight meeting with very few questions.

Gore is now working on a sequel to his bestseller, An Inconvenient Truth, which will focus on solutions, apparently not dissuaded from his task by the new subtitle on my paperback, “The Global Warming Solution” (I think I have this product placement thing figured out). Hopefully Gore’s book will come out this year. It could really help move the debate.

Politics

Ron Paul’s Predictability

A reader emails:

So all these people are wringing their hands about how Ron Paul turns out to have been a racist and homophobe back in tha day — but it really didn’t come as a shock to me at all. It wasn’t like I suspected him of such leanings, having not even heard of the man until this past year, but as soon as I heard that he was a gold standard-bearer, I immediately put him into the conspiracist-loon pile of my brain. And once someone is already an “out” loony, there’s no reason to be surprised by the additional lunacies to which they turn out to subscribe. Anyway, just a thought.

That seems about right to me. I am curious, though, as to how belief in the gold standard went from being a total CW position held against the dangerous radical William Jennings Bryan to its current status as a lunatic fringe notion, a good indicator that you belong in the “conspiracist-loon pile” of the brain.

Politics

Bush Rejects McCain’s ’100-Year’ Occupation Of Iraq: ‘That’s A Long Time’

Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) has spent the last few weeks saying that in order to ensure the stability of Iraq, the United States should be prepared to stay in the country for 100 to one million years. On Sunday, he said he may support permanent bases in Iraq.

President Bush recently signed an agreement for an “enduring” relationship with Iraq, signaling his support for a long-term military presence of unspecified length. But even Bush is queasy at the thought of supporting McCain’s occupation plan.

In an interview with NBC aired this morning, the President rejected McCain’s plan to keep the troops in Iraq for a century or more, saying, “That’s a long time”:

Q: John McCain has been saying on the campaign trail that the American people would accept U.S. troops remaining in Iraq for a hundred years. Do you agree with that?

BUSH: I don’t know if a hundred years is the right number. That’s a long time.

Watch it:

[flv http://video.thinkprogress.org/2008/01/bushmccain10yrs.320.240.flv]

Bush, however, did say he could “easily” see troops in Iraq for the next decade. “It could very well be, but it’s going to be on the invitation of the Iraqi government. … It could easily be that [ten years]. Absolutely,” he said.

With even the President distancing himself from McCain, it’s clear that McCain is even more hawkish than Bush on Iraq.

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