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Good Advice

Jason Rae is a 21 year-old superdelegate from Wisconsin. Naturally, he’s now everyone’s best friend. But Jason Zengerle observes that Barack Obama’s campaign might be getting out-organized here:

P.S. While Hillary has Bill and Chelsea making her case to Rae, it looks like Obama has . . . John Kerry. Uh, two words of advice for the Obama people: Scarlett Johansson.

That sounds like good advice. And, of course, it’s not an either/or proposition. Every vote counts, but Rae’s vote counts a lot more than the rest of ours does.

Politics

Right Wing Anoints Mitt Romney The New ‘Face Of Conservatism’

romneyf.jpg Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney may have dropped out of the GOP presidential race, but the right wing hasn’t given up on him.

Immediately following his resignation speech at the Conservative Political Action Conference on Friday, Romney met with “50 stalwarts of the political right” about a possible new role: “becoming the face of conservatism.”

The right wing must be in dire straits if it is turning to Romney as its leader, a man best known for his hypocrisy and flip flopping. Apparently though, they are hoping to use these qualities to Romney’s advantage:

Jay Sekulow, a Romney volunteer and chief counsel of the American Center for Law and Justice, told attendees that Mr. Romney is the “turnaround specialist” the conservative movement needs.

“The movement needs someone of Ronald Reagan’s stature and Romney could fill that role,” Mr. Sekulow told The Washington Times yesterday.

Romney has changed positions on immigration, abortion, Iraq withdrawal, his opinions on President Bush, greenhouse gas emissions, and even the Spanish language.

Not all the attendees at the meeting were sold on this “turnaround specialist.” Political strategist Paul Erickson, who worked on Romney’s campaign, admitted, “You could tell everybody at the table sitting with Romney was asking himself: ‘Is he the one?’ Some concluded yes and others could say only that it is too soon to tell.”

Unclear how receptive the American public will be to the new Ronald Reagan of the 21st century, considering the majority of GOP voters rejected him as their nominee for president.

Digg It!

Yglesias

Super Osama Kulfa Balls

kulfaballs.jpg

It seems that this is a real candy available for sale in China:

These coconut-flavored (a bizarre choice in itself considering the available alternatives in Afghanistan: cardamom, raisin, almond, yak… ) balls are sold in purple boxes (not to be confused with Purple Heart boxes) and feature Bin Laden’s bearded mug preaching peace and enlightenment among tanks, warplanes and cruise missiles. Delicious, and now available for the Olympics, too. Get them while stocks last.

I don’t personally go in for coconuts, but tastes differ.

Politics

A Rovian flip flop.

On CBS Face the Nation yesterday, Karl Rove emphasized his support for Sen. John McCain (R-AZ)’s presidential campaign, saying “Republican grassroots voters” are “already united behind” McCain. Time’s Ana Marie Cox notes that eight years ago, Rove lambasted McCain’s combative style, saying it will prevent him from uniting Republicans:

This is his style. If you’re not with him, he belittles you, he makes fun of you, he disparages you. That’s not the mark of a leader who can unite the party and win the [White House].

Watch it:

This weekend, McCain declared, “Nobody denies he’s [Rove's] one of the smartest political minds in America. … I certainly would be glad to get his advice.”

Yglesias

Lightbulb Correction

Ooops. In an earlier post, I criticized congressional legislation to ban incandescent lightbulbs and mandate the use of Compact Fluorescent Lights. There is no such legislation. Instead, there’s legislation that mandates bulbs meet energy efficiency standards that only CFLs and impractically expensive LEDs can meet. I apologize for the error.

That said, the point still stands. The sort of plans to curb carbon emissions that the Democratic Presidential candidates are both necessary and sufficient to meet the challenges of global warming. These plans place an economy-wide cap on carbon emissions, auction permits to produce the allowed level of emissions, let emitters buy and sell permits on the open market, and will then rely on the price system to help individual consumers adjust their personal habits to the new low-emissions regime as they see fit. Domain-specific efficiency standards like this CFL business are, by contrast, neither necessary nor sufficient. I’m not going to take to the streets to protest against incandescent bulb bans or increased CAFE standards, but I do think the legislative battles over this stuff are fundamentally a waste of time.

Politics

The unbelievable Cunningscam defense.

Lawyers for Brent Wilkes are arguing that the former defense contractor never bribed former congressman Randy “Duke” Cunningham, “knew nothing about any money laundering schemes, and can’t be sentenced to the 60 years in prison.” Their reasoning? Although it seems like an “obvious fact,” they claim that a jury never explicitly concluded that “Cunningham was an elected official.” (Proof of this fact here.)

Yglesias

No Racists Here

Mickey Kaus’ rejection of John McCain’s effort to make nice on immigration is fascinating:

McCain said he had “respect” for opponents of his immigration plan (which he didn’t renounce) “for I know that the vast majority of critics to the bill based their opposition in a principled defense of the rule of law.” Not like those others who base their opposition on bigoted yahoo nativism! McCain’s semi-conciliatory words aren’t what you say when you really respect your opposition–then you say “I know we have honest disagreements.” Not “I know most of you aren’t really racists.” Even his suckup betrayed how he really feels. Which I suspect is sneering contempt!

So he’s holding out for McCain to make the extremely implausible claim that there’s not a single bigoted yahoo in the anti-immigration movement? I thought Mickey schtick used to be that just because all his favorite causes are also the favorite cause of racists didn’t necessarily mean people who agreed with him are racists. Now I guess it’s all-or-nothing; either you think there’s no racism in the United States, or else he’s got no time for you. Weird.

Politics

Brown-Waite digs ‘foreign citizens’ hole deeper.

In op-ed yesterday, Rep. Ginny Brown-Waite (R-FL) refused to apologize again for referring to Puerto Ricans and Guamanians as “foreign citizens” while also misstating more facts about their citizenship:

“In my original statement on the stimulus package I used the same word that the IRS uses to describe income earned in Puerto Rico…foreign.” — Rep. Ginny Brown-Waite [Orlando Sentinel, 2/10/08]

VERSUS

The term ‘foreign country’ does not include U.S. possessions such as Puerto Rico, Guam, the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands, the U.S. Virgin Islands, or American Samoa.” — Foreign Earned Income Exclusion – Requirements [IRS.gov]

UPDATE: In fairness to Rep. Brown-Waite, commenter good_golly notes that other sections of the tax code do include Puerto Rico and Guam under the term “foreign country.”

Climate Progress

How do we really know humans are causing global warming?*

*But however you answer my question, don’t cite no U.N. report!

So I’m sure that you, like me, are constantly getting e-mails or blog posts that sound like this:

I have been doing enormous amounts of research in this global warming (caused by man) theories and have concluded that there is not ONE shred of evidence to back it up. Can you PROVE to me that global warming is being caused by mankind?

Hmm. Not one shred of evidence? “PROVE”–in all caps, too! You know this is pointless, but still, it’s the day after your daughter’s first birthday, and you’re feeling in good spirits about humanity [she was very well behaved -- didn't grab any other kids and only needed to be sung to once to calm her down when people tried to make her eat cake she didn't want (a good sign, I think, that she's not going to be a sugar addict)], so you decide to reply something like:

This one is easy. Either you believe in science — i.e. we went to the moon, you go to the doctor, you have IT equipment you rely on — or you don’t. If you don’t, I can’t “prove” anything to anybody. If you do, then the IPCC reports — which are nothing more than a literature review by the top scientists in the world, commissioned by and summarized for policymakers, signed off by every friggin’ govt in the world — are as much proof as a human being could possibly want.

[Note to fellow parents -- emails edited because I know some young people read this blog.]

So then you get a reply like this:

Sorry Joe but your email back to me is not proof of evidence. As for the IPCC report, I don’t buy into what they say. That is not proof. And yes, I very much believe in science which is why I don’t believe in humans have caused global warming. But my question is simple, what scientific proof can you show me, and I am not talking about some report from the UN, that humans are causing the Earth’s temperature to rise. Also, what is the right temperature for the Earth to be at?

The email goes on to ask for IPCC credentials since, “I have a list of 400 scientists, what they do and why the don’t believe in global warming as being caused by man.”

Oh, one of those. Once you realize the emailer hasn’t even bothered to read some of your recent posts, you send a reply that you think/hope will end things:

If you don’t buy into the IPCC, we have nothing to talk about. You might as well not buy into what the American Medical Association or the National Academy of Sciences says. Why take medicine? Why floss? Why get on an airplane? The IPCC report is a summary of the scientific evidence. Simple as that…. If you are talking about the well-debunked Inhofe 400, I guess you haven’t been reading this or other sites.

In retrospect, “laughable” is better than “well-debunked,” but then we all come up with better things to say after the fact. All one can do is press on and rewrite history on your blog….

Anyway, you turn out to be quite wrong about the effect of your email [duh!], and get this reply:

Your emails are proving my point. You have not even attempted to offer proof of global warming as caused by mankind. As for the IPCC report, I read it. It does NOT offer conclusive proof that man is causing the
Earth’s temp to rise. I will make this even easier for you, just name ONE piece of evidence to
prove global warming as caused by man. Just one! As for James Inhofe, he has provided people with enormous amounts of evidence to debunk global warming as caused by man.

Now you’ve done it, or is that, now I’ve done it. Either way, you/I certainly don’t want some random global warming doubter posting some where that “Climate Progress” — or, even better, the “Center for American Progress” refuses to “name ONE piece of evidence” to support its views [notwithstanding the IPCC, which I guess everybody knows doesn't count]. Plus, I’m starting to think, hmm, maybe it would be useful to direct some readers to the literature on “attribution” [read, maybe you can turn this otherwise wasted time into a blog post]. So you/I reply:

Sigh. You want some shreds of evidence global warming is caused by mankind, but the IPCC is off limits. Interesting but easy challenge. Let’s start here — It’s a few years old now, but it is the best other review of recent science by the leading experts:

Read more

Yglesias

Going Deep in Afghanistan

Fred Kaplan points out that what Robert Gates is asking the Europeans to do in Afghanistan won’t really make a big difference. What’s needed, instead, is something much larger:

What is needed now goes well beyond Germany’s reticence, goes well beyond NATO. What’s needed is a full-blown initiative—military, economic, diplomatic—involving all the nations of the region. It requires imagination, tireless negotiations, heaps of money (in part to pay for other countries’ troops, since we have so few to spare), and some unpleasant deal-making with some otherwise unpleasant nations.

I think this re-enforces what I was saying earlier about Afghanistan. On the one hand, it’s not possible to imagine a global effort of this scale succeeding without stepped-up American involvement. And on the other hand, it’s not possible to imagine Europeans committing in this way to Afghanistan unless the United States is committing itself as well. If we want the Europeans to treat this as a major priority, in other words, we need to act like it’s a major priority rather than as if the idea is for Europe to hold our coat in Central Asia so we can keep throwing more resources into Iraq.

Speaking of which, I recommended Fred Kaplan’s book Daydream Believers: How a Few Grand Ideas Wrecked American Power back when I read it, rather than now when it’s available in stores. Always a mistake. Kaplan is vital reading, as you can perhaps tell from my constant quoting of his Slate columns, and the book is no less vital. At this point, basically everyone can see that the Bush foreign policy has been a disaster. But what’s still not well-understood is why it’s been such a disaster. The book demonstrates that it’s much more than a matter of Bush “blundering” or some such rather — rather, as Kaplan lays out, Bush’s policies have been driven by ideas that seemed right but are, in fact, wrong. Importantly, as Kaplan’s recounting makes clear, the ideas, though wrong, tend to be at least somewhat plausible, raising the danger that the ideas themselves will continue to live in some form beyond Bush’s presidency.

(Of course, my book, Heads in the Sand is also good.)

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