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Politics

The MoveOn Thing

Since MoveOn endorsed Hillary Clinton’s opponent, it’s hardly surprising that Clinton has not-so-nice things to say about MoveOn. But the bad dynamic between Clinton and MoveOn is a reminder of one of the fundamental problems with her candidacy. The Clintons, and many of their key supporters, come out of a school of political analysis which holds that the problem with the Democratic Party in the United States is that progressive institutions are too strong. Only by curbing the influence of these institutions, the theory goes, can Democratic Party politicians engage in the tactical repositioning necessary to win elections.

Whether or not that was true in 1988-92 or, indeed, whether or not it remains true today, this is clearly not a long-term strategy for progressive politics. This “crush the left, move to the right” theory of electoral political may or may not work for politicians in the short run, but to create big change you need to strengthen progressive institutions and move the entire spectrum to the left.

Politics

Bush administration ‘violated federal law’ on children’s health care.

A new Government Accountability Office opinion released yesterday finds that the Bush administration “violated federal law last year when it restricted states’ ability to provide health insurance to children of middle-income families, and its new policy is therefore unenforceable.” Twenty-two states already provide such coverage or want to do so, and several states have filed lawsuits challenging the Bush administration’s rules.

Culture

Welcome to America

The John Adams miniseries got me interested in the early history of these United States, so I asked for some book recommendations. Having gone through Barnard Baillyn’s The Ideological Origins of the American Revolution, Gordon Wood’s The Creation of the American Republic, and Don Cook’s The Long Fuse I can now happily report that I understand this country perfectly.

All are recommended for those interested in the subject, but obviously you won’t have time to read any of them because you’ll be busy with Heads in the Sand.

Yglesias

The Meter Struggle

It’s a showdown of epic proportions as Mayor Adrian Fenty is threatening to levy $1,000 fines on any DC cabs that don’t shift to charging people via a meter, but with less than two weeks to go few drivers have installed meters. One friend of mine says he’s seen a meter in a cab, but I haven’t and nobody else I know seems to have seen one.

Politics

Schwarzenegger: Bush’s New Global Warming Plan = ‘No More Glaciers’

Earlier this week, President Bush outlined a new global warming plan calling for a
national goal” to halt the growth of U.S. carbon emissions by 2025. Essentially, this policy would allow unchecked growth in emissions until that point, at which point, Bush has the “goal” of stopping the rate of growth of those emissions.

The administration’s plan was warmly received by Sen. Jim Inhofe (R-OK), the Senate’s biggest global warming skeptic, and even Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-CT). But Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger (R-CA) is having none of it. Thursday, on PBS’s Charlie Rose, Schwarzenegger sharply rebuked Bush: “this administration is just not really with the program”:

We have to go and make decisions today. Time is running out there’s an urgency there. This is the important thing here. For him to say we should start really reducing greenhouse gases by the year 2025, by that time we’ll have no more glacier left. By that time, our sea level will be rising. We will be in a dangerous situation. I think it is somewhat irresponsible. I think the action is now.

Watch out:

[flv http://video.thinkprogress.org/2008/04/terminatorgw.320.240.flv]

Bush’s “new” climate change policy is really more of the same. The Wonk Room’s Brad Johnson explained how Bush’s plan pales in comparison to the effectiveness of programs our allies are implementing:

EUROPE CANADA UNITED STATES
2020 Target For Greenhouse Emissions 20% below 1990 levels 1990 levels No target; keep increasing until 2025
Mechanism Mandatory cap-and-trade system, performance standards, international offsets Voluntary efficiency standards Tax cuts for industry

The IPCC has recommended that industrialized countries need to reduce emissions by 25 percent to 40 percent below 1990 levels by 2020.

Relive the White House’s seven years of climate policy failures here.

Yglesias

Brewing Instability

Steve Simon has a great article in Foreign Affairs putting things like the “awakening” strategy in a proper historical and strategic context, arguing that rather than a success in a state-building mission in Iraq we’re bolstering the centripetal forces that are tearing the country apart: “The problem is that this strategy to reduce violence is not linked to any sustainable plan for building a viable Iraqi state. If anything, it has made such an outcome less likely, by stoking the revanchist fantasies of Sunni Arab tribes and pitting them against the central government and against one another. In other words, the recent short-term gains have come at the expense of the long-term goal of a stable, unitary Iraq.”

Politics

McCain: ‘A lot of our problems today are psychological.’

This week on Fox News, Neil Cavuto asked Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) about the worth of rescinding an 18-cent gas tax as prices at the pump escalate this summer. McCain responded that “a lot of our problems today” are “psychological” — even the “ability to keep our own home”:

I’m very concerned about it, Neil. And obviously the way it’s been going up is just terrible. But I think psychologically — and a lot of our problems today, as you know, are psychological — the confidence, trust, the uncertainty about our economic future, ability to keep our own home. This might give them a little psychological boost. Let’s have some straight talk, it’s not a huge amount of money.

Watch it:

While he now states that America is in a recession, McCain earlier this year dismissed such concerns as “psychological.”

To find out how little money McCain’s gas tax “holiday” really delivers for average Americans, go to the Wonk Room.

Transcript: Read more

Culture

Margin of Victory

westpoints.png

Here’s the margin of victory differentials for the Western Conference. As you can see, Utah and Phoenix both underperformed in terms of wins and losses relative to the margin of victory metric, whereas the Hornets and Spurs both overperformed. Margin of victory is, however, the better predictor of future performance.

Climate Progress

NOVA: The Car of the Future

nova2.jpg

On Tuesday, Nova will be broadcasting their “Car of the Future,” episode. You can read all about it here. And while I didn’t make the preview, they have posted online 30 (!) clips they have of me talking about climate change and cars, especially plug-in hybrids.

Here is the program description:

Tom Magliozzi has a problem. The wacky cohost of NPR’s Car Talk needs to replace his beloved 1952 MG roadster. But in today’s car market, where should he turn? Is new technology about to transform the way we drive? Tom and his brother Ray hit the road in this program for a lighthearted but shrewd take on America’s four-wheeled future.

Read more

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