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Politics

After Socialism

Tim Lee, near the end of an interesting post inspired by Brink Lindsey’s The Age of Abundance, writes:

Too many libertarians seem to define libertarianism as a very specific and restrictive political program: as a laundry list of government programs to be abolished, or equivalently as a very short list of government programs that won’t be abolished. By that measure, libertarianism is nowhere close to successful. But if we define libertarianism more broadly as a set of general ideas and attitudes—pro-market, pro-tolerance, skeptical of authority—the last few decades look a lot better from a libertarian perspective.

But of course one reason “libertarianism” tends to get defined as a very specific — and extreme — political program is that when you open it up the way Tim has it sounds a lot like “liberalism.” Which isn’t to say that Tim, who’d describe himself as a libertarian, and I, a liberal, agree about everything. But it’s to observe that the sorts of things that separate modern liberals from the economic right-wing are of a whole different kind than the sort of things that differentiated socialists from classical liberals. It was once the case that a substantial body of opinion in democratic societies thought that vast swathes of the economy should be either run directly by the government or else run as tightly regulated monopolies. In Europe, huge industries were nationalized and run by the state.

Nowadays, few if any people think that. Instead, you have left-right debates about things like how generously funded should public services be (and consequently how high should tax rates be) or should we make regulations to curb air pollution (of which carbon dioxide emissions now loom as an important variety) or in the name of public health paternalism (restrictions on where you can smoke, bans on trans fats). Say what you will about the “left” position on those topics, but none of these are calling into question the idea that the basic organization of the economy should be as a capitalist free market. At the same time, a lot of these issues weren’t really on the table in the first couple of post-war decades.

The result is just a political debate that looks very different and in which, in particular, different kinds of values seem salient. Most liberals probably wouldn’t describe themselves as “pro-market” unprompted, but nor are liberals are proposing to get rid of the market economy so being “pro-market” doesn’t distinguish anyone in contemporary politics from anyone else.

Politics

Fox News losing its lead over rival cable networks.

Fox News “has seen its once formidable advantage over CNN erode in this presidential election year, as both CNN and MSNBC have added viewers at far more dramatic rates.” The New York Times reports:

cable.jpgCNN has added 170,000 viewers a night, on average, when compared with the last presidential year, while Fox has shed about 90,000, according to Nielsen. (MSNBC, which added 181,000 viewers in that audience, much of it courtesy of gains by “Countdown With Keith Olbermann,” still lagged in third place, with 303,000.)

A Fox News spokeswoman, Dana Klinghoffer, refused “several requests” for comment about the channel’s ratings and strategy.

Update

Steve Benen writes, “[A]s the conservative movement falls apart, and the country is ready to move away from the Bush/Republican status quo, Fox News’ schtick has grown pretty tiresome.”

Politics

Kristol: ‘Republicans are much more open to strong women.’

On Fox News Sunday this morning, Weekly Standard editor Bill Kristol sarcastically decried “the horrible sexism and misogyny that the Democratic primary voters demonstrated” towards Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-NY). “It never would have happened in the Republican party,” claimed Kristol. “Republicans are much more open to strong women.” Watch it:

Kristol’s sarcastic claim is ironic given the sexism he himself directed at Clinton during the primary. Not only did he mock her tears in January, but in February, while discussing Clinton’s supporters, Kristol quipped, “White women are a problem, that’s, you know — we all live with that.”

Yglesias

Adventures in Bad Tourism

seurat_lg%201.jpg

I’m a very “bad” tourist in terms of looking things up in advance and planning. But I always enjoy doing things this way — seeing something cool is twice as cool when unexpected. George Seurat’s A Sunday on La Grande Jatte is one of my favorite paintings, well-liked enough that I swiftly made it the wallpaper on my iPhone when I get it. And then yesterday I was ambling around the Art Institute of Chicago and, unexpectedly, there it was! Naturally I then took a photo with the iPhone and set that to be my wallpaper. But wallpaper aside, the point is that not knowing what the collection’s highlights are until you get a chance to look around preserves a certain element of the thrill of discovery even though obviously it’s already a super-famous painting.

Politics

Hersh: U.S. escalating covert ops against Iran.

The New Yorker’s Seymour Hersh reports that late last year, “Congress agreed to a request from President Bush to fund a major escalation of covert operations against Iran.” The “Presidential Finding” was designed to destabilize religious leadership and gather “intelligence about Iran’s suspected nuclear-weapons program“:

But the scale and the scope of the operations in Iran, which involve the Central Intelligence Agency and the Joint Special Operations Command (JSOC), have now been significantly expanded, according to the current and former officials. Many of these activities are not specified in the new Finding, and some congressional leaders have had serious questions about their nature.

“The Finding was focused on undermining Iran’s nuclear ambitions and trying to undermine the government through regime change,” a person familiar with its contents said, and involved “working with opposition groups and passing money.”

Update

U.S. Ambassador to Iraq Ryan Crocker, reacting to Hersh’s story on CNN’s Late Edition, said: “I can tell you flatly that U.S. forces are not operating across the Iraqi border into Iran.”

Politics

GOP: Here to Stay

I agree with Noam Scheiber that the Republicans probably should evolve in a “Sam’s Club” direction and also that they probably can’t evolve in a “Sam’s Club” direction. But this seems way overstated:

Having said all that, these guys are right: The GOP is absolutely screwed. Even though the money comes from the same place it has for decades, the votes increasingly come from socially-conservative working-class people. At some point something’s got to give. I just think it’s going to be the GOP–which will basically cease to exist–rather than the moneymen and powerbrokers.

In the real world, it seems to me that in terms of the White House and governor’s mansions, there’s just a natural dynamic that leads the parties to more-or-less alternate in power since bad macroeconomic conditions are very bad for incumbents and yet not something that can be uniformly avoided. Beyond that, from 1933-1968 the GOP was almost uniformly shut out of power in congress, and rarely held the presidency, but even then it didn’t “basically cease to exist.” On top of all that, I don’t think this is going to happen but you can easily imagine a scenario in which Barack Obama takes power in 2009, the country faces some kind of foreign policy fiasco followed by a terrorist attack at home, and the GOP comes roaring back in 2010 and 2012 without changing its ideological stripes much at all.

Yglesias

$200 Oil?

The LA Times asks what such a world would look like. I think it’s a difficult question to answer — it will depend a lot on our policy response. Clearly, if we keep spending priorities and regulations in place that were formed when oil was cheap, but then oil becomes massively more expensive, then the results will be terrible. But not only would that be a bad idea, I’m fairly confident it won’t happen — it just wouldn’t make sense. The question in play is when will politicians stop offering McCain-style gimmicks and start recognizing that relatively expensive oil (I won’t make specific predictions about $200 / per barrel or anything else) is likely to be the long term trend so we should respond accordingly.

Climate Progress

Is 450 ppm politically possible? Part 6: What the Boxer-Lieberman-Warner bill debate tells us

No, 450 is not politically possible today.

OK, that was clear before. But the debate over the Climate Security Act made clear it won’t be politically possible anytime soon, for two reasons:

  1. The vast majority of conservatives have not budged an inch on climate science even in the face of now overwhelming direct scientific observation and a much deeper and broader scientific understanding of the dangerous impact of unrestricted human greenhouse gas emissions on the climate.
  2. Equally important, conservatives now have a very potent political issue to beat back advocates of an economy-wide cap & trade system — high gasoline prices. And gasoline prices are probably going to be much higher over the next few years (see “Must read CIBC report: $7 gas by 2010, 10 million cars off the road, 1970s style GDP growth“). That is one reason I would leave transportation out of an economy-wide cap & trade, but that will be the subject of another post.

I live-blogged the debate at the time. Here are the highlights — or, rather, lowlights — from the GOP side that make clear just how far conservatives are from understanding climate reality:

Read more

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