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The Personal and the Political

There’s not a ton of fans of the idea of tradeable water rights in my comment thread, but I’m not seeing many better options. Obviously the first-best option would be for the geological facts to just become different such that the pleasantly sunny southwest also had enough water to accommodate everyone’s desires. But that’s not the case. And scarce resources need to be allocated somehow. Allocating them by price has a couple of advantages. One is that it ensures that high-value uses keep going. If you have two business enterprises, and one can create VERY MUCH value out of a gallon of water and another can create JUST A BIT of value out of a gallon of water, it makes sense for the water to go to the VERY MUCH firm and for JUST A BIT enterprises to only locate themselves in areas where water is plentiful. Which is just a long way of saying that there are certain kinds of water-intensive activities that don’t really belong in the arid portions of the United States, just as large solar power plants primarily do belong in those regions.

The other thing is that allocating by price lets different people make different sets of trade-offs. If water is scarce and you put a high value on having a grassy lawn but I put a low value on having one, then allocating by price will let you have a nice big lush lawn while I go without one and buy something else. Under other kind of schemes, I’ll get a so-so lawn that I don’t really appreciate, and you’ll have a so-so lawn that leaves you wanting more.

Ultimately, we’re used to the idea that a square foot of land quite properly costs dramatically more in New Jersey than in Arizona because space is more plentiful in Arizona. But why shouldn’t water cost dramatically more in Arizona where water is scarce? I dunno, though. I don’t have any kind of long-standing commitment to this position and am totally prepared to climb down in the face of a compelling alternative. The question, though, would have to be what policy goal is being advanced by adopting a non-market scheme — environmental concerns, public health, what?

Politics

McCain Adviser: Like Bush, We’ll Cut Taxes Even If We Don’t Control Spending

On ABC’s Good Morning America today, senior McCain campaign adviser Meg Whitman defended Sen. John McCain’s (R-AZ) infamous flip-flop on the Bush tax cuts by arguing that McCain voted against them because “they were not accompanied by a decrease in government spending.” “You cannot just keep tax rates low, which is what Americans want, and keep government spending growing,” said Whitman.

But in a separate interview with CNBC today, Whitman contradicted this line of argument when pressed by Steve Forbes (whose ties to the McCain campaign were not disclosed). Asked by Forbes if McCain’s massive tax cuts are dependent on “controlling spending,” Whitman replied, “No, they are not”:

FORBES: But are the tax cuts contingent on controlling spending?

WHITMAN: No, they are not contingent. But what he has said is that they must be — you know, we have to do both. For the good of the American people, for the good of the American economy, we must do both.

FORBES: Now, Meg, one of the things…

WHITMAN: But they are not contingent.

Watch it:

Whitman’s claim that McCain’s tax cuts “are not contingent” on controlling spending is contradictory with the principle that she claims guided McCain’s vote against Bush’s tax cuts. It also contradicts McCain’s own claims about tax cuts.

In an interview with Bloomberg’s Al Hunt in April, McCain said “spending restraint” is necessary for tax cuts:

MCCAIN: But the spending, that’s like saying you agree with somebody in everything but – you see what I mean – because spending restraint has got to be a part of any economic package if you’re going to cut taxes.

Additionally, though the McCain campaign frequently claims he opposed the Bush tax cuts because of a lack of “spending restraint,” that’s not completely true. In fact, he largely claimed he was against them because they “mostly benefit the wealthy.”

Apparently, when you flip-flop as much as McCain has, it’s not hard for the candidate and his surrogates to lose track of what position he actually holds.

Update

McCain could eliminate 10 cabinet agencies and still not come close to balancing his budget.

Politics

McCain campaign: ‘Victory in Iraq’ will pay off the deficit.

In a paper released today, Sen. John McCain’s (R-AZ) made the laughable claim that a McCain administration would pay off the enormous deficit through “savings from victory in the Iraq and Afghanistan operations.” The claim comes on the same day McCain’s campaign vowed to balance the budget in four years — while refusing to name any specifics on how to go about achieving that goal.

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Update

Matt Duss notes: “In McCain’s view, ‘victory’ in Iraq means we get to stay in Iraq for 100 more years. How, exactly, does this save us money?” Visit the Wonk Room for more.

Security

McCain’s Victory Dividend

mccain-happy.JPGGiven that national security is John McCain’s only real issue, it’s understandable why he tries to subordinate every other issue to it. For example, asked by Fortune magazine last month what he sees as “the gravest long-term threat to the U.S. economy,” McCain responded (after staring into space for eleven seconds) “the struggle…against radical Islamic extremism.” Got that? Not the housing crisis, not the price of oil, but radical Islamic extremism.

Today this tendency reached a new level of ridiculousness, as McCain promised that “victory” in Iraq and Afghanistan will enable him to balance the budget:

“The McCain administration would reserve all savings from victory in the Iraq and Afghanistan operations in the fight against Islamic extremists for reducing the deficit. Since all their costs were financed with deficit spending, all their savings must go to deficit reduction.”

This could be an attempt by McCain to cover for his admission that he doesn’t know much about economics by suggesting that that doesn’t matter, because once we achieve victory against terrorism, every American will be a millionaire! We’re gonna be rolling in the dough! Victory dividend!

Sadly, however, back in the reality based community there are some problems with this. Here are two. In McCain’s view, “victory” in Iraq means we get to stay in Iraq for 100 more years. How, exactly, does this save us money? Also, McCain has promised us more wars and a bigger military to fight them. Where does he think the money for this is coming from? (Atrios has an idea.)

Hilzoy has a detailed examination of McCain’s economic plan. It’s not pretty.

Yglesias

Strategery

With all due respect, I think Ross’s notion that “the only sure way for McCain to make the Iraq issue work for him is to make the debate about the recent past rather than the future, and to use the experience of the last two years – where (at least for the moment) he looks good, and Obama looks bad” is a little bit crazy. Once the past is allowed into the debate, the fact that McCain was a strident advocate for this costly fiasco and that — remarkably — he continues to think it was a good idea in retrospect will bury him.

The smart Iraq strategy for McCain is the one he was using before the current “Obama’s a flip-flopper” tactic came into vogue, namely one that’s less focused on lying about Obama and more focused on telling big lies rather than small ones. It’s absolutely vital for McCain to repeat, loudly and falsely, that there’s a very good chance of al-Qaeda taking over Iraq and using it as a base from which to attack the American homeland and that Obama believes he can appease al-Qaeda by giving them Iraq. He needs to say lots of stuff about how “unlike my opponent, I don’t think al-Qaeda will be satisfied with Iraq; unlike him I remember what happened the last time we allowed them to take over a country.”

The lie on which the war was initially sold, and the lie on which it retained its popularity, was that the war was directly necessary for U.S. national security in a very simple and straightforward sense. That required, yes, some whoppers but they were whoppers about the sort of thing (preventing a WMD terrorist attack on American soil) that would constitute a good reason for starting a war. All this “success of the surge” business is incredibly abstract and totally disconnect from anything real people care about — I can tell you which Americans have died because of the surge, but I have no idea which Americans are supposed to have benefited from it.

Security

Military Kicks Out Embedded Blogger For Photographing Marine Killed In A Suicide Bombing In Iraq

zm4.gif On June 26, a suicide bomber attacked a meeting of tribal sheikhs in Iraq’s Anbar province and killed 20 people, including three U.S. Marines. The episode was widely reported by U.S. media. Zoriah Miller, a photojournalist and blogger embedded with U.S. Marines in Iraq, took pictures of the attack’s grisly aftermath, including one of the fallen soldiers.

The U.S. military, however, was incensed at Miller’s portrayal of the horrors of war and immediately “disembedded” him from his Marine unit. IPS reports on the fall-out:

“Tuesday [Jul. 1] I awoke to a call in their combat operations centre, and the person on the phone told me they were a PAO (Public Affairs Officer) at Camp Fallujah, and he wanted me to take my blog down right away,” Miller told IPS. “I asked them why, and was told then called back after five minutes by a higher ranking PAO who claimed I had broken my contract by showing photos of dead Americans with U.S. uniforms and boots.”

Miller said the PAO claimed he was not allowed, by the embed contract, to show dead or wounded U.S. citizens or soldiers in the field. “I never signed any contract for that,” Miller said.

Miller also told the Ventura County Star that he believed he was within the rules because the victim was unidentifiable. Additionally, he waited to post the pictures until four days after the attack. Miller said that he received strong support from the lower-ranking Marines, who “were on [his] side.”

The military may have realized its case was weak. Two days later, on July 3, Miller received an official letter with a new reason for his dismissal: He had posted “detailed information of the effectiveness of the attack” and therefore “put all U.S. forces in Iraq at greater risk for harm.” Miller explains the military’s spinning:

“The bottom line is that the thing they cited as the reason for my dismissal was ‘information the enemy could use against you’. They realised, probably from keeping track of my blog, that I was not showing identifiable features of a soldier…and they couldn’t find a reason to kick me out. Because it was a high ranking person who got killed, they were all fired up.”

Miller concluded, “Up to that point they said it was because I showed pictures of bodies with pieces of uniform and boots. The letter, though, doesn’t mention that at all. I checked the document I had about ground rules for media embeds, and I followed them.”

Miller now plans on returning to the United States and appealing the military’s decision. “You’re a war photographer, but once you take a picture of what war is like then you get into trouble,” he said.

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Politics

A Jesse Helms Anecdote

Here’s a good one:

I was a senior when Martin Luther King Jr. was assassinated in 1968. Roughly 2,000 of us joined a vigil on the quad for several days. The vigil was an instrument of our grieving and a voice for racial justice on Duke’s campus. Higher wages and union recognition for the non-academic employees—cooks, food-servers, maids, and janitors, most of whom were black—became the focal issue. We sat peacefully and largely silent day and night, studying for finals, listening to Dr. King’s speeches and singing “We Shall Overcome” every hour. To this day I count it as a major event in my spiritual formation.

Jesse Helms came on the television and said that all of the students sitting on the quad at Duke should ask their parents if it would be all right for their son or daughter to “marry a Negro” (Duke students were practically all white in those days). Unless the student’s parents approved of that prospect, Helms advised, he or she should go back to class. We all took the words as vindication for our cause.

Again, one could imagine a white supremacist television commentator changing his positions and apologizing for some of his past actions (I believe such puny liberals as George Wallace did this) and moving on. But Jesse Helms didn’t do that. And George Bush, Mitch McConnell, National Review, and the Heritage Foundation admire him greatly.

Politics

Baghdad’s relative calm ‘shattered’ by violent attacks.

Yesterday, a “wave of attacks in Baghdad and areas north of the capital…shattered a relative lull in violence, killing 16 people and injuring 15.” The attacks came just one day after Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki declared that his government had “defeated” terrorism in Iraq. Today, a female suicide bomber “killed nine people and wounded 12 others in an attack on an Iraqi market.”

Climate Progress

McCain on energy efficiency: He is Cheney’s third term!

mccain-cheney.jpgJohn McCain takes the “conserve” out of “conservative.” His entire energy efficiency strategy would fit on one side of a very small file card and can be summarized as follows: Ban Porsches, green federal buildings, applaud homeowners who do stuff on their own!

His repackaged new economic plan, “Jobs for America” has precisely 3 paragraphs that deal with efficiency:

CAFE Standards: John McCain has long supported CAFE standards — the mileage requirements that automobile manufacturers’ cars must meet. Some carmakers ignore these standards, pay a small financial penalty, and add it to the price of their cars. John McCain believes that the penalties for not following these standards must be effective enough to compel carmakers to produce fuel-efficient vehicles.

Seriously. That’s all he has to say about fuel economy. McCain’s entire fuel economy strategy is to force a small number of “higher end auto companies like BMW, Porsche, and Mercedes” to make their cars fuel efficient (see McCain energy gimmick, Part 2 — The ill-defined, impractical “Clean Car Challenge”). What a transformative, addiction-ending idea — I bet it would reduce U.S. oil consumption at least 1/10 of 1%.

Building Efficiency
Government Purchasing: John McCain will make greening the federal government a priority of his administration. The federal government is the largest electricity consumer on earth and occupies 3.3 billion square feet of space worldwide. It provides an enormous opportunity to lead by example. By applying a higher efficiency standard to new buildings leased or purchased and retrofitting existing buildings, we can save taxpayers money in energy costs, and move the construction market in the direction of green technology.

Good luck. Conservatives like McCain, including Newt Gingrich in the 1990s and President Bush this decade, have been blocking progressive efforts to significantly increase the Federal Energy Management Program (FEMP) budget for decades. Note to McCain: the construction market has already swung heavily in the direction of green technology in the past decade — thanks mainly to the US Green Building Council.

But the last paragraph on efficiency is the best of all. It puts McCain squarely in the Dick Cheney school of energy efficiency:

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