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Health

McCain’s Health Plan Isn’t Kid Friendly

mccainkids2.jpgSen. John McCain’s health care plan leaves too many Americans behind. Individuals with pre-existing conditions, women, baby boomers and children will have a harder time finding affordable health insurance under McCain’s proposal to move individuals from large employer-risk pools — where the risk and cost of health insurance are spread across a large group of people — into unregulated individual plans.

In fact, a new report from First Focus concludes that McCain’s $5,000 one-size-fits-all tax credit discriminates against families with children. “A family will get the same $5,000 tax credit regardless of the number of children they have. Based on this design, families are penalized for every child,” the report concludes.

And it only gets worse. Since McCain deregulates insurers and allows companies to cherry pick the healthiest individuals, 19 million children “currently with employer coverage could be barred from insurance” in the individual market place “due to pre-existing conditions.” Children who require autism care, well care visits, or lead poisoning treatments could “lose the protection of having guaranteed benefits” once companies can relocate to states without consumer protections:

childrenhealth.JPG

McCain’s proposed cuts to Medicaid and his lack of support for maintaining SCHIP — combined, the two programs cover approximately 26.4 percent of all children under 19 — would also erode the safety net programs that families rely on to keep their kids healthy.

Climate Progress

James Hansen, our top climate scientist, misunderstands climate politics and policy

The nation’s leading scientist has a new posting titled “Obstruction of Justice.” I have the greatest respect for Hansen as regular readers know (see links below).

Indeed, Hansen has been right on the climate threat longer than virtually anyone else (see “Right for 27 years: 1981 Hansen study finds warming trend that could raise sea levels“). But he misunderstands climate politics, or else he never would have written about the election and the “climate problem”:

There are differences between Presidential candidates, but neither appears to “get it.”

That puts him in the Ralph Nader crowd, which I just can’t stomach. If Hansen doesn’t understand the difference between the two presidential candidates on global warming, he should simply keep his views to himself.

In particular, McCain has a phony climate plan (see “McCain speech, Part 2: Relying on offsets = Rearranging deck chairs on the Titanic“), has walked back on his climate advocacy for a year now, and actually chose a global warming denier for his running mate (see “Turns out McCain doesn’t care about global warming, the greatest threat we face“).

Furthermore, McCain has a track record of opposition for clean energy that is indistinguishable from that of the Senate’s leading global warming denier (see “The greenwasher from Arizona has a record as dirty as the denier from Oklahoma“).

As for climate policy, Hansen writes of the two candidates:

Read more

Politics

Report: McCain’s tax plan would have saved the McCains $730,000.

Earlier this year, the Center for American Progress Action Fund calculated that Sen. John McCain’s (R-AZ) tax plan would have saved his wife Cindy and himself $373,429, based on their 2006 tax returns. Since then, McCain has proposed additional tax cuts and Cindy has released another year of tax returns, so CAPAF re-calculated the McCains’ savings. Now, if McCain’s tax proposals were enacted, he and his wife would have saved $730,000 over 2006 and 2007.

McCain Obama Tax Plan

Read the full analysis here.

Yglesias

Vulgar Marxism

It’s very strange, when you think about it, that all these groups talking about how EFCA will deny workers their rights seem to be getting their money from business interests rather than broad-based groups of concerned citizens. It’s almost as if the right to a rigged election in which your employer makes it all-but-impossible for unionization efforts to succeed is more important to bosses than to workers.

But who’s to say, right?

Politics

U.S. ranks 36th on press freedom list.

Reporters Without Borders today released its annual Press Freedom Index. Despite purporting “to be a beacon for the rest of the world” for human rights protections and freedom of thought, the U.S. has been ranked 36 out of 173 countries — a spot also shared by Bosnia and Herzegovina. Iceland ranked number one in press freedom, with Ghana, Slovenia, Trinidad and Tobago, Surinam, and Jamaica also ranking higher than the U.S. The report singled out “wars carried out in the name of the fight against terrorism” as a cause for the steep decline in press freedoms around the world.

Economy

McCain: Advisers’ Companies Had ‘No Evasions Or Escapes’ From Their Taxes

Yesterday on the Situation Room, McCain defended the tax practices of the companies of his economic advisers:

…[I]f you talk to the CEO of FedEx, Fred Smith, if you talk to the CEO of Cisco, John Chambers, you talk to Meg Whitman, former CEO of eBay, you know what they’ll tell you? They’ll tell you they pay their full 35 percent…they’re paying 35 percent full freight, no evasions or escapes from the taxes. They’re paying full freight, and they’ll show you their tax returns.

Watch it:

What McCain didn’t mention is that at least two of the companies of his advisers, Fred Smith’s FedEx and Hewlett Packard under former CEO Carly Fiorina, have a history of massive tax evasion.

A 2007 investigation by the IRS found that FedEx owed $319 million in back taxes from 2002 by misreporting its employees as independent contractors. Just yesterday this full penalty was withdrawn on appeal, but an investigation is continuing into their tax returns for 2003-2006. Lawyers for the drivers insist that FedEx could owe up to $1 billion in back taxes.

Similarly, as CEO of Hewlett Packard, McCain adviser Carly Fiorina deferred taxation on $14.4 billion by keeping it offshore. This lowered Hewlett-Packard’s effective tax rate from 35 percent to 12 percent.

America collects only 2.2% of its GDP in corporate taxes because of loopholes, shelters and giveaways, compared to 4% in Ireland (which McCain frequently touts for its 11% corporate tax rate).

Rather than closing the loopholes that let his economic advisers’ companies dodge millions in taxes, McCain’s tax plan would have let them to pay even less: saving FedEx $260 million in taxes and HP $250 million had his tax plan been effect in 2007.

Yglesias

Idaho, Carbon Hero

CAP’s got a map up tracking the per capita carbon emissions of each state:

carbon_map_1.jpg

There’s something of a dog-bites-man quality to most of these findings, but most people will probably, like me, have been totally unaware that Idaho gets 78 percent of its energy from hydroelectric dams. This makes me a bit surprised that Idaho politicians aren’t more supportive of carbon pricing initiatives. I understand that it’s a very conservative state, but their per capita emissions are only about half of the national average — Idahoans ought to come out way ahead under a plan where permits are sold (or emissions are taxed) and the revenue is either rebated or else spent on something useful.

Yglesias

Courting Small Business

Elisabeth Bumiller and Jack Healy report on John McCain’s bizarre “Joe the Plumber” tour:

Mr. McCain infused a populist note into his speech in Ormond Beach, looking at the candidates’ competing tax plans through the lens of how each would affect small businesses. He said Mr. Obama would raise taxes on small-business owners, stifling job growth and sending the economy into a deeper recession.

“We shouldn’t be taxing our small businesses more as Senator Obama wants to do,” Mr. McCainsaid. “Senator Obama wants to spread the wealth around. That means fewer jobs at their businesses and fewer jobs here in Florida.”

As a matter of substance, I always find some of the rhetoric around small business puzzling. You’ll have a dialogue where someone proposes something he thinks will be a good idea. Then someone counters, “well it’ll be bad for small business!” and that’s treated like a devastating refutation. But there’s no particular reason why helping small business should be the goal of public policy.

Meanwhile, politically people should understand that small business owners are the most Republican-leaning occupational category:

new_ocp01.png

Indeed, owners and proprietors show a larger partisan tilt than any other occupational category voting in recent elections 15-20 percent more Republican than the average voter.

Climate Progress

McCains $300 million battery prize is small change … the cost of a paint shop.”

The NY Times Wheel blog interviewed a number of analysts, including me, about “The Candidates’ Clean Car Plans.” These plans include McCain’s $300 million challenge for a next-generation battery, and Obama’s “more detailed plan” whose cornerstone is “an ambitious goal to put a million plug-ins on the road by 2015.”

I have never had much love for McCain’s pointless prize (see “McCain proposes another energy gimmick. Is this $300M to ExxonMobil?“). Turns out not many other experts do either:

“The key technology is lithium-ion batteries,” said David Cole, chairman of the Center for Automotive Research in Michigan. “We know how to make them, but not inexpensively. So each generation is better than the last, and nobody is going to jump to fill orders for a million units and then find out their investment is wiped out because we’ve since developed something much better. A million plug-in hybrids by 2015 is probably a stretch. Is it impossible? No, but it’s very difficult.”

Mr. McCain’s $300 million “is small change in this business,” Mr. Cole added. “It’s not insignificant, but it’s the cost of a paint shop in an auto factory.”

Charles Territo, a spokesman for the Alliance of Automobile Manufacturers, agrees. “Our industry in the U.S. spends more than $18 billion per year on research and development,” Mr. Territo said. “There are some manufacturers who have estimated they spend as much as $1 million an hour investing in new technologies. The McCain initiative is helpful, but these manufacturers are already spending billions of dollars bringing plug-in hybrids and other advanced technologies to the market.”

According to the NYT‘s Jim Motavalli, I am one of the “optimists out there” [and here you all thought I was one of the pessimists out there]:

Read more

Politics

Greenspan Uses The Bush Excuse: Financial Crisis Was ‘Broader Than Anything I Could Have Imagined’

In a House Oversight Committee hearing today, former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan claimed the credit crisis is a “once in a century credit tsunami” that policy makers did not anticipate. Greenspan repeatedly distanced himself from the financial meltdown, however, saying he didn’t foresee the crisis because of a “flaw in the model.”

Greenspan claimed he was “shocked” because his model “was working exceptionally well” for 40 years, adding that the crisis is “broader than anything I could have imagined”:

GREENSPAN: I also want to discuss how my thinking has evolved and what I have learned this past year. In 2005, I raised concerns that the protracted period of the underpricing of risk if history was any guide would have dire consequences. The crisis, however, has turned out to be much broader than anything I could have imagined.

Watch it:

Bush administration officials seem to have a systemic lack of imagination, often claiming major — and predictable — crises simply caught them off guard:

9/11: “And I said, ‘No one could have imagined them taking a plane, slamming it into the Pentagon’ — I’m paraphrasing now — ‘into the World Trade Center, using planes as a missile.’” – Condoleezza Rice, to 9/11 Commission

Hurricane Katrina: “The destruction left by Katrina reaches beyond anything we could have imagined.” — Bush, 5/11/06

In December, Edward M. Gramlich, a former Federal Reserve governor, told the New York Times that he “privately urged Fed examiners to investigate mortgage lenders affiliated with national banks,” but “he was rebuffed by Alan Greenspan.” In his recent memoir, Greenspan wrote:

I was aware that the loosening of mortgage credit terms for subprime borrowers increased financial risk. … But I believed then, as now, that the benefits of broadened home ownership are worth the risk.

It seems Greenspan was so willing to accommodate Bush’s ownership society that he refused to take into account the economic risk of subprime borrowing.

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