ThinkProgress Logo

Politics

Is McCain a liability for conservatives?

During this election season, the highly unpopular President Bush has been largely seen as toxic to Republican candidates, who have tried to avoid mentioning and being seen with him. Today the Washington Post reports that Sen. John McCain (R-AZ), who embraces many of Bush’s policies, is also becoming a liability for some candidates, including Sen. Norm Coleman (R-MN):

colmennn.jpg At several stops Monday, Coleman did not mention his party’s presidential nominee, Sen. John McCain. A poll this week showed McCain trailing Sen. Barack Obama by almost 20 points in Minnesota. And the only sign of President Bush was a Franken staffer wearing a Bush mask outside a Coleman event in Redwood Falls in southwestern Minnesota, an ever-present attempt by the Democrat’s campaign to remind voters of Coleman’s once-close ties to the White House.

Coleman has further tried to distance himself from McCain by denouncing the campaign’s use of misleading robocalls, although he later said that such calls with the voice of Rudy Giuliani were “fair game.”

Update

Last month, an aide to Coleman refused to back McCain’s health care plan, claiming only that Coleman “is aligned with Senator Coleman’s plan.”

Yglesias

“Weakness Invites Aggression”

Ilan Goldenberg observes that it’s a bit odd that anyone would think Frank Gaffney, a comically ignorant hack, is a credible surrogate with which to go after Barack Obama:

Observe that there’s absolutely nothing in Obama’s record to back up the claim that Obama would be “unmistakably” unwilling to use military force in the defense of the United States. He was at pains to say during his 2002 anti-war speech, “I’m not opposed to all wars, I’m opposed to dumb wars.” Nor is there anything in his record to suggest that he would somehow pursue budgetary policies that leave the country defenseless — in fact, he seems to be aiming for a higher level of military spending then I’d regard as prudent.

The entire “weakness invites aggression” worldview is something that’d really be worth looking into at some length. Presumably the truth of these dictum explains why Canada has been subject to so many more terrorist attacks than has the United States. Or it explains why France took advantage of the ongoing political crisis in Belgium to invade and conquer the Walloon portions of that country. And, conversely, it explains why Bush’s belligerence and militarism have managed to convince North Korea and Iran to give in to our non-proliferation demands. I dunno.

Yglesias

Grassley Wonders About McContradiction on Energy Subsidies

160px_chuck_grassley_official_photo.jpg

Nice of someone outside the green community to observe that John McCain’s hatred of subsidies doesn’t seem to extend to nuclear energy:

A senior Republican lawmaker has questioned John McCain’s energy proposals, including a plan to build 45 nuclear plants by 2030, given the Republican presidential nominee’s resistance to government subsidies.

Chuck Grassley, the Iowa senator, who has been a staunch supporter of federal subsidies for ethanol production and supports expansion of nuclear power, suggested in an interview with the Financial Times that the Arizona lawmaker’s views on federal subsidies on energy production were inconsistent.

Of course Grassley’s position, though consistent, is consistently wrong. The mere fact that subsidies for nuclear power are a bad idea doesn’t make ethanol subsidies a good idea. What we ought to be doing with energy is putting a price on carbon, which would serve as a de facto subsidy to low-carbon energy sources. That would include nuclear, along with renewables. And if ethanol boosters’ claims about ethanol are true, ethanol would also benefit, though more realistic assessments of the net carbon impact of ethanol make US-produced corn ethanol look very bad. There’s an okay case to be made for additional subsidies, over and above carbon pricing, for truly clean electricity like solar and wind. I think there’s also an decent case to be made that we should be taxing the negative externalities of dirty energy and beyond that mostly letting the chips fall where they may.

At the moment, of course, we’re actually plowing subsidies at dirty energy, which is just crazy.

Politics

McCain adviser: Palin ‘is a diva. She takes no advice from anyone.’

palinboots.jpgThe Politico reports that tensions between the Palin and McCain camps are increasing in the waning days of the campaign. Palin reportedly “has decided increasingly to disregard the advice of the former Bush aides tasked to handle her,” blaming “her handlers for a botched rollout and a tarnished public image.” A McCain campaign source unloads on Palin in an interview with CNN:

“She is a diva. She takes no advice from anyone,” said this McCain adviser, “she does not have any relationships of trust with any of us, her family or anyone else. Also she is playing for her own future and sees herself as the next leader of the party. Remember: divas trust only unto themselves as they see themselves as the beginning and end of all wisdom.

“I think she’d like to go more rogue,” a Republican source said of Palin.

Media

New York Times Refuses To Believe Obama Will Draft His Own Inaugural Address

obama.jpgIn an article about the upcoming White House transition, the New York Times’ Peter Baker and Jackie Calmes note that John Podesta “has been preparing for the task at the research organization he runs, the Center for American Progress.” The article proceeds to offer this sensational claim: “Mr. Podesta has been mapping out the transition so systematically that he has already written a draft Inaugural Address for Mr. Obama, which he published this summer in a book called ‘The Power of Progress.’”

While this claim makes for an interesting story, it’s not true. A couple key facts:

– The book, which was in the works for over a year and was written with the help of CAP’s in-house progressive historian John Halpin, traces the history and successes of progressive politics in the 20th Century, draws lessons from that history, and then applies those lessons to the big challenges facing the country — the global economy, global warming, and global security. At the end, there is a sample inaugural address written not “for Mr. Obama,” but rather, clearly offered as a literary device to summarize the main arguments in the book.

– The inaugural address was written and submitted to the publisher in March 2008, during a time when Podesta was supporting Sen. Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign. Podesta re-did the introduction to the book — but not the inaugural address — in June when it became clear that Obama would emerge as the nominee.

Apparently, Baker and Calmes have a hard time believing that Sen. Obama, who has authored two best-selling autobiographies, could manage to draft his own Inaugural Address if he is elected President.

Baker and Calmes should know better. Obama has been intimately involved in writing many of the most important speeches over the course of his career:

– Prior to his 2004 Democratic Convention speech, Obama “made it clear to his staff that he wanted to create this speech on his own.

– Obama’s address on race in America in March of this year “wasn’t a speech by committee…Obama wrote the speech himself, working on it for two days and nights,” and staying up until 2 am the night before to finish it.

– For his 2008 Democratic Convention speech, Obama also “wrote much of the speech himself,” staying alone in a hotel room “for 20 hours, until past midnight each day” to draft it.

And yet, despite the record, the New York Times would have the public believe that Obama has already outsourced the most important speech of his career.

Update

John Podesta issued this statement tonight:

While I appreciate Senator McCain’s plug for my book, the Power of Progress, his charge is a complete fabrication. He bases this claim on a New York Times story which distorted and confused a chapter I wrote last spring, for a book that was published this summer, with work I am doing this fall on behalf of Senator Obama.

The inaugural address in the “Power of Progress” was a literary device I used to sum up the arguments in the book. It was completed well in advance of my work for Senator Obama and has nothing to do with the Obama campaign or pre-transiton. No one involved in pre-transition work has written one word of any address inaugural or otherwise.


Update

,More updates to this story here.

Yglesias

Emphasis

I think at this point everyone would agree that there’s more uncertainty about the outcomes of Senate races in Alaska, Oregon, Minnesota, Georgia, Kentucky, and Mississippi than there is about the outcome of the Presidential election. Obviously, the Presidential is much more significant than any one of those six races. But still, the six of them are, collectively, quite important with substantial national implications. And yet, national media sources (led, as ever in bad trends, by 24-hour cable) are giving about 50 times the coverage to the ins-and-outs of the presidential races as what they’re doing for the Senate races.

Yglesias

Treasury Secretary

The Page lists the following candidates:

Treasury secretary: president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York Timothy F. Geithner, former Federal Reserve chief Paul A. Volcker, former Treasury Secretaries Robert E. Rubin and Lawrence H. Summers.

As the ninth most important person in America, I don’t think this makes much sense. The Fed Chairman is more important than the Treausury Secretary. Volcker’s already been Fed chair and wouldn’t take a less important job. Rubin and Summers have already been Treasury Secretary and wouldn’t want to do the same job again. Geithner would be the logical candidate to succeed Ben Bernanke as Fed Chair (the more important job) in 2010. It’s not going to be any of these people.

Bob Kuttner (the 27th most important person in the country) thinks the job ought to go to current FDIC Chair Sheila Barr (currently the 13th most important person) so it’ll either go to her, or else to Laura D’Andrea Tyson Wonk Room economics blogger Pat Garofalo who’s only the 1,245th most important person in the country but has been rocketing up the charts since graduating from college back in May.

Climate Progress

Campaign Update: Wherein I brighten your day with the latest cell-phone polling analysis

[This is off topic to the extent that the presidential election is off-topic.]

If you are are like me — and I hope for your sake you’re not — then the campaign’s final days find you scouring the Web for every scrap of information on the state of the presidential race. Here’s a fascinating analysis from Pollster.com looking at the difference between polls that sample people with cell phones and those that don’t:

Read more

Yglesias

A but B or B but A?

Ever since I took formal logic, I’ve been fascinated by the way in which logically irrelevant changes in phrasing totally alter the understood meaning of a phrase. Cato’s Chris Edwards, for example, writes:

Many highways are congested, but at least on the East Coast where I travel, states seem to be continually adding capacity.

I learned in QR-22 that “A but B” is logically equivalent to “A and B” and also that it’s transitive to “A and B” is the same as “B and A.” In terms of Edwards’ observation, someone familiar with induced demand would say something like:

East Coast states have been adding highway capacity, but the roads are more congested than ever.

Edwards’ formulation emphasized the (mistaken) idea that continuing to add capacity will alleviate the problem, whereas my formulation is designed to highlight the fact that the problem has consistently worsened despite past capacity additions. The difference being, of course, that I’m right and Edwards is wrong. Space on East Coast highways is a precious commodity and pricing it at $0.00 at peak-demand time guarantees congestion. Additional capacity will ameliorate the problem only very temporarily as the newly uncrowded highways will encourage people to drive longer distances (re-equalizing the amount of time they’re willing to drive) and spur additional development until things get locked up again. The way to alleviate congestion in crowded areas is through congestion pricing — putting a price on access to the roads at peak times.

Yglesias

The Epistemology of Connections

khalidi.jpg

Barack Obama has a stated Middle East policy. He also has a set of foreign policy advisers. And beyond the relatively narrow group of people who’ve been Obama’s national security team from the beginning he, as the Democratic nominee, now draws on the advice of the wider circle of Democrat-aligned foreign policy hands. This is a group of more-or-less known quantities whose views are by no means uniform, but which fall in a fairly predictable range. One might think the best way to ascertain Obama’s likely approach to national security policy would be to think about these people and their views. The institutions where Obama’s advisers will be coming from — CAP, CNAS, NSN, CSIS — have all kinds of written documents about foreign policy issues that could be perused.

Or you could follow Stanley Kurtz and focus on the views of Rashid Khalidi a scholar and left-wing Arab nationalist who, according to Kurtz, was a supporter of Obama’s when Obama was a local politician in Khalidi’s neighborhood.

It seems tedious to even point this out, but the standard of proof being applied here couldn’t possibly be applied consistently. Consider, by contrast, Obama’s ties to Joe Biden. They’re both Senators and, indeed, if Obama becomes President then Joe Biden will become Vice President. Or Obama’s ties to General Colin Powell — Obama specifically sought and received his support for a presidential bid and has repeatedly suggested that he would be interested in getting input from General Powell on national security issues. Or Obama’s ties to New Republic editor Marty Peretz who has written positive things about Obama. But then again, so has Jeffrey Goldberg. And so has Spencer Ackerman. But those guys think different things about American policy to the Middle East.

Or consider John McCain. He’s been in politics a long time. And his views have changed over the years. And he’s had a lot of different kinds of political allies. Back when he was leading the charge for the McCain-Feingold bill, he worked closely with the heads of a lot of liberal good-government groups. Should we take that to mean that he agrees with the heads of those groups about abortion rights or foreign policy? His “ties” to them are much more substantial than anything between Obama and Khalidi.

The procedure just doesn’t make sense. Meanwhile, National Review doesn’t agree with the foreign policy views of the sort of mainstream Democrats who, unlike Khalidi, will actually wind up staffing an Obama administration and making policy in it. Wouldn’t it make more sense to expend time and energy attacking those people and their views? Conservatives aren’t going to like the real Obama, so they’d do well to focus a little bit on him instead of obsessively hounding this mythical figure they’ve created.

Older

Newer

Switch to Mobile
ThinkProgress Signup Overlay Skip and Continue to ThinkProgress Skip and Continue to ThinkProgress

Sign Up