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Politics

Does McCain want to raise the minimum wage? ‘Of course not.’

Today in an interview with CNBC, Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) said that he wasn’t interested in raising the minimum wage:

BARTIROMO: What about a minimum wage increase? Would you consider?

MCCAIN: As long as we take care of small businesses. Small businesses right now — I see them every day — they say, You increase the minimum wage, I lay off workers. Is that what we want to do right now? Of course not.

Watch it:

Although today he cited concern for “small businesses,” it seems that there’s never a good time for McCain to support a wage increase for working Americans. McCain has voted against a minimum wage increase 19 times. In the past, his excuse for opposing the increase was that it was “attached to other big-spending pork barrel.” (In most cases, it was not.)

Yglesias

Upping the Ante

These guys know the way to winning young voters over to the Republican ranks:

In skirmishes around the country in recent months, evangelicals and others who believe Republicans have been too timid in fighting abortion, gay marriage and illegal immigration have won election to the party’s national committee, in preparation for a fight over the direction and leadership of the party.

On immigration, I think this is wrong but it’s not totally absurd. Given John McCain’s record, it’s really possible that he left some votes on the table that adding some anti-Hispanic demagoguery to the mix of the anti-black and anti-cosmopolitan demagoguery could, in principle, have helped him grab. On gay marriage, though? No way. The right has been pushing this issue about as hard as it can be pushed for the past five years. It’s done them some good, but also wrecked their brand with younger and more tolerant voters, and it’s clearly a topic that’s going to be less and less useful over time.

Politics

McCain Endorses Joe The Plumber’s View That Obama Victory Means ‘Death To Israel’

Today, Joe “the Plumber” Wurzelbacher hit the campaign trail on behalf of Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) for the first time, joining former Bush OMB Director Rob Portman on a GOP bus tour through Ohio. Stopping at a flag store, Wurzelbacher twice agreed with a questioner who said that “a vote for Obama is a vote for the death to Israel.”

Fox News brought Wurzelbacher on to discuss his claims, but despite host Shepard Smith’s best efforts, Wurzelbacher refused to explain why he agreed with the nonsensical claim:

SMITH: Joe, do you know Barack Obama’s positions on Israel?

WURZELBACHER: Listen, I know you wanna really get some answers on this one, I’m just not gonna help you out here, Shepard. Let people go out and find, that’s what I’ve been telling people. [...] Listen, you don’t want my opinion on foreign policy. I know just enough probably to be dangerous.

SMITH: Yeah, well that’s what I was kinda wondering.

Smith also read a statement from the McCain campaign standing firmly behind Wurzelbacher’s absurd claims:

While he’s clearly his own man, so far Joe has offered some penetrating and clear analysis that cuts to the core of many of the concerns that people have with Barack Obama’s statements and policies. … [T]here is good reason to question the judgement that Obama would bring to the Oval Office.

Watch it:

Wurzelbacher’s unfounded claims — backed by McCain — were clearly too much even for a Fox News host. Smith grew increasingly exasperated during the interview, and forcefully clarified that Obama is committed to a strong friendship with Israel. At the end, Smith called the whole thing “frightening.”

Update

Matt Duss explored how the Bush-McCain Iraq war has had profoundly negative consequences for Israel’s security. “Iran has been the single biggest beneficiary of the American invasion and occupation of Iraq,” Duss wrote. “Rather than weakening Iranian hard-liners, as the Iraq war’s advocates insisted it would, the American invasion only strengthened them” — and hurt Israel in the process.

Climate Progress

Heritage Foundation Compares New Deal To Nazi-Soviet ‘Collectivism’

FDR New DealThe Heritage Foundation, a once proud bastion of conservative thought, is now resorting to absurd historical revisionism and mentions of “Nazi Germany” to attack needed progressive policies. Heritage blogger Nick Loris responds to the United Nations Environmental Program’s Green Economy Initiative and the Center for American Progress’s Green Recovery program with this absurd rant:

The United Nations is proposing an environmental ‘New Deal’ that would “be similar to Franklin D Roosevelt’s New Deal which helped the US recover from the Great Depression of the 1930s.”

First, the reality is that FDR’s New Deal did not help the U.S. recover from the Great Depression but simply made things worse. Second, the only thing a green ‘New Deal’ will do is lead us down a Green Road to Serfdom. (Nobel Laureate Friedrich Hayek’s The Road to Serfdom is a telling portrayal of what collectivism in the Soviet Union and Nazi Germany can lead to: impoverishment and oppression of freedom.)

In fact, economists broadly agree stimulative government spending is necessary to prevent a further collapse of the global economic system — just as the New Deal and the deficit spending of World War II restored the health of the global economy in the last century.

Scientists are warning with increasing stridency that carbon emissions must be drastically curbed to prevent a collapse of the world’s climate system. Instead of recognizing the real threat of the climate crisis, Loris writes, “The threat of climate change legislation is very real and very scary.”

Loris’s charge of Nazi-Soviet “collectivism” is utterly bizarre. The U.N.’s Green Economic Initative is a mainstream capitalist effort, with research overseen by Pavan Sukdhev, a top investment banker and self-described “total capitalist.” Its press release celebrates venture capital firm Kleiner Perkins, public-private partnerships, and growth of international markets. CAP’s Green Recovery program primarily uses tax credits and federal loans to spur private investment, as well as investment in a 21st-century public infrastructure.

A cap and trade system to limit greenhouse pollution would correct what economist Sir Nicholas Stern called “the greatest market failure in history” — the failure to put a price on the pollution that is causing global warming. The fossil fuel industry is energy- and capital-intense, but creates few jobs. Despite Loris’s baseless claims that “taxing and spending does not create wealth,” moving to a green economy will in fact generate more jobs and greater economic growth, as California’s green economy has proven.

The Heritage Foundation is sliding into irrelevance. The last eight years of conservative misrule in Washington have demonstrated convincingly the failure of the right-wing policies it heralds. By all logic, preserving the planet from runaway global warming and restoring the health of the international free-market economy should be conservative ideals. Instead, they’re spending their time and money promoting puerile YouTube videos.

Climate Progress

The intellectual bankruptcy of the Cato Institute

They have learned nothing, and they have forgotten nothing.” So the French statesman Talleyrand supposedly said of the pre-revolution monarchy. The words apply equally well to that bastion of libertarianism, the Cato Institute.

Over the years I have debated one of their senior scholars, Jerry Taylor, many times. He is probably the craftiest debater that the delayer/inactivist side has. But since, like all delayers, his positions are frozen in stone by his ideology, those positions inevitably become farther and farther disengaged from the reality of a (climate) changing world and hence less and less compelling. That is most clearly evident in my latest debate with him, online at Google’s new Knol site (aka the would-be Wikipedia killer).

My original post is “Jumpstarting the Transition to Clean Energy.” Taylor’s rebuttal is here. You see the typical rigid libertarian worldview sprinkled throughout:

Let’s assume for the sake of argument that global warming is a serious problem and that reducing emissions is cheaper than adapting to climate changes. Neither argument is persuasive to us….

It’s not altogether obvious to us that oil is becoming scarcer…. Regardless, if and when oil begins to disappear — or more accurately, if and when market actors believe the oil scarcity is on the horizon — oil prices will go up accordingly and the market will adjust without any need for government assistance. So while “peak-oil” arguments come and go with the related booms and busts in oil markets, there is no need for a policy argument about oil depletion.

In short, global warming isn’t a problem, and peak oil, if it ever occurs, is self-correcting. What a blissful world the Cato folk live in. Either problems don’t exist or the all-powerful, all-knowing free market will fix them. Now you might think that recent events would cause Cato scholars to at least slightly temper their blind faith in the power of greed to set all things right. But you would be wrong. Indeed, the most jaw-dropping paragraph in Taylor’s “rebuttal” is the last one:

Read more

Yglesias

Will Your Vote Matter?

Almost certainly not, of course. But Andrew Gelman has posted a chart showing some interesting calculations about how likely your vote is to be decisive in any particular state:

decisive2_1.png

As you can see, the votes of a privileged few in New Mexico, New Hampshire, Colorado, and Virginia are being given much more power than the rest of us. It’s not the greatest injustice in the world, but it’s not nothing. We need the National Popular Vote to end these problems. If you live outside the privileged four states, consider sending this chart and a link to the NPV website to your state senator and state rep. The power to claim equal rights is in our hands.

Media

Ignoring McCain’s War Against The Press, Giuliani Criticizes Obama For Freezing Out Hostile Network

After right-wing Florida news anchor Barbara West conducted a “hostile” and “ham-handed” interview with Sen. Joe Biden (D-DE) last week, the Obama-Biden campaign canceled an interview that Biden’s wife Jill was set to do with West’s network, WFTV. The campaign also “suggested that future interviews with WFTV were unlikely before Election Day.”

Since then, Fox News has latched onto the cancellation, implying that it means Obama and Biden are unwilling to face “tough and critical questions.” On Fox and Friends this morning, McCain surrogate Rudy Giuliani claimed that “it gives an indication of what an Obama administration would be like”:

QUESTION: And so do you think it’s correct for the Obama campaign to shut out that news outlet, then, and say you will no longer get access to the Obama campaign?

GIULIANI: No. I think it gives an indication of what an Obama administration would be like. I mean, as long as you drink their Kool-Aid, you’re fine. I mean, you’re going to be treated nicely. But if you should ask them an obvious question, I mean, it’s Barack Obama who used the expression spread the wealth. Joe the Plumber didn’t say that to him.

Giuliani’s feigned concern for the plight of the press in gaining access to presidential candidates is ironic given that Sen. John McCain’s (R-AZ) efforts to restrict media access have been compared to those of the regimes in North Korea, Syria, and Sudan. In fact, during its ongoing war against the press, the McCain campaign has routinely punished journalists it views as hostile by cutting off their access:

– Last month, the McCain campaign barred New York Times columnist Maureen Dowd from flying on both the McCain and Palin press planes.

– Time Magazine’s Joe Klein revealed last week that he too had been barred from traveling with the McCain campaign, telling Politico’s Michael Calderone that the campaign began freezing him out after he asked McCain an uncomfortable question about foreign policy.

– During the Republican National Convention, McCain canceled an appearance on CNN’s Larry King Live after CNN’s Campbell Brown persistently asked flustered McCain flack Tucker Bounds about Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin’s foreign policy experience and qualifications.

– When Newsweek wrote a cover story in May examining the hardball tactics conservatives might use in the general election, the McCain campaign “threatened to throw the magazine’s reporters off the campaign bus and airplane.”

The McCain campaign’s press punishment doesn’t end with just cutting off access. At one point, campaign staffers “even considered pulling out of one of the three presidential debates because it would be moderated by Tom Brokaw, a former NBC News anchorman.” Apparently Giuliani doesn’t believe that such belligerence towards the media gives any “indication” of what a McCain administration would be like.

Transcript: Read more

Politics

Video: ‘It’s raining in America.’

In 1984, Ronald Reagan’s presidential campaign released an ad that began, “It’s morning again in America.” “It featured a montage of images of Americans going to work and a calm, optimistic narration that suggested the improvements to the U.S. economy since his 1980 election were due to Reagan’s policies.” A new web video produced by Hyphenate Films, entitled “It’s raining in America,” connotes the opposite feeling — distraught and laid off workers struggling in the Bush economy. Watch it:

Like the infamous “Daisy ad” run by the Lyndon Johnson campaign in 1964, the new “raining” ad features a young girl as the narrator, but focuses its criticism not on national security but on economic security.

Health

Holtz-Eakin Implosion Watch: Admits Inferiority Of Individual Health Care Plans…Again

eakinwatch.jpgEarlier this month — after previously maintaining that Sen. John McCain’s health care proposal would lower costs by allowing healthier Americans to find cheaper coverage in the individual market — McCain senior policy adviser Douglas Holtz-Eakin argued that “younger and healthier employees with the McCain health care tax credit will have a bigger incentive to stay with the employers“ because employers offer better coverage than individual health care plans.

At the time, the Wonk Room considered Holtz-Eakin’s remark an unfortunate, if somewhat desperate argument, which betrayed a disorganized campaign frantic to convince voters that they won’t lose their employer-sponsored coverage.

But as the days passed and the campaign moved into its home stretch, Holtz-Eakin’s comments ranged from the bizarre to the truthful:

- On CNBC, Holtz-Eakin asserted that “you can’t cut taxes for 95 percent of the American people, if just under 50 percent aren’t paying taxes” and then claimed that McCain would cut taxes for “everybody.”

- Last week, during a segment on Bloomberg television, Holtz-Eakin finally admitted that temporarily cutting the capital gains tax would overwhelmingly benefit millionaires

- On Bloomberg, Holtz-Eakin conceded that McCain’s health care tax credit wouldn’t cover the entire cost of a comprehensive health plan and would only allow some Americans to buy insurance in the individual market.

- On Face the Nation this Sunday, Holtz-Eakin seemed to argue that carbon dioxide is not a pollutant.

And so it is with great fanfare and anticipation that the Wonk Room unveils The Holtz-Eakin Implosion Watch, a semi-regular series chronicling Holtz-Eakin’s truthiest moments in the waning days of the campaign.

Today, Holtz-Eakin again strays off message, telling CNN, “younger, healthier workers likely wouldn’t abandon their company-sponsored plans“:

“Why would they leave?” said Holtz-Eakin. “What they are getting from their employer is way better than what they could get with the credit.”

Hotlz-Eakin argues that “under McCain’s plan, employer-funded care will generally be preferable to the tax credit alone — since it’s the tax credit plus the employer contribution — but that the tax credit alone will be a huge step up for people who have nothing at all.” In other words, in the individual market, without the employer contribution, Americans would have to pay more for less…and less as McCain’s tax credit does not keep up with medical inflation.

In fact, high deductible plans typically lead to higher out-of-pocket expenses, resulting in “a one-time shift in spending from premiums to patient out-of-pocket outlays.” As Holtz-Eakin himself points out:

McCain’s would leave them better off than they are now, but still with something less than complete coverage, unless they reach into their pockets to supplement the tax credit.

Oddly enough, Holtz-Eakin is now arguing that under McCain’s health care plan (which pushes about 20 million Americans out of the employer market and into the unregulated individual market), Americans would receive sub-prime health care coverage.

Yglesias

Big in Japan

I don’t know much about investing. I’ve generally felt that the twin pearls of wisdom that you can’t beat the market (and shouldn’t try) and then equities go up in value over the long run were good enough for me. Recent events, have, however, drawn my attention to the sad case of the Japanse stock market that appears to call at least one of these principles into question:

Megan McArdle wrote yesterday:

The Nikkei peaked at 38,915.87 on December 29, 1989. For years, it’s been a watchword warning to people who say “in the long run, stocks always go up”; in the past two decades, it has struggled back towards 20,000 several times, but never anywhere near its former peak. Today, it went even further, falling to a 26-year low. The yen has been strengthening fast against the dollar and other currencies, which is very bad news for Japanese exporters.

But, really, where does this leave the idea that stocks go up in the long-run? The weird thing about it is that though one knows Japan has had some rough economic times, the situation hardly seems as cataclysmic as the stock trends make it out to be. It’s not as if the country’s been bombed into smithereens or suffered wars and revolution. People aren’t starving in the streets. Japan’s citizens continue to enjoy some of the highest living standards in the world. They’re number eight on the UN Human Development Index. They’re ahead of France, Germany, Italy, and Spain in per capita GDP. They have the longest life expectancy in the world. In the greater scheme of things they’re doing fine. And yet the stock market — not so much.

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