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Yglesias

The Industrial Policy that Dare Not Speak Its Name

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Accomplished real journalist and aspiring pajama-clad blogger (I know own two pairs of pajama pants) Steve Coll makes the provocative argument that we already have large-scale industrial policy in the United States and it’s called “defense procurement”:

Why does the United States have one of the most robust aircraft-manufacturing industries in the world? The answer is not that pure free markets have, through the workings of a natural law, granted us such a bounty. Yes, Boeing has been disciplined and strengthened by global-market competition, particularly with Airbus, but large-scale federal spending on defense contracts has crucially strengthened Boeing’s position as a locus of human capital, design experience, and innovation. In 2006, the federal government spent more than sixty billion dollars on aircraft manufacturers. Boeing received $20.8 billion, according to Government Executive magazine. (Lockheed-Martin received $27.3 billion, and Northrup-Grumman $16.7 billion.)

Why does the United States have one of the most sophisticated, innovative electronics industries in the world? Raytheon’s take from the Pentagon in 2006: $10.4 billion; Computer Sciences, $2.7 billion. And so on. General Motors received $806 million dollars that year, mostly from the Army, enough to make it the fortieth largest defense contractor on the list, just ahead, startlingly, of Johns Hopkins University, which received more than seven hundred million dollars, most of it from the U.S. Navy. (Note to self: Why?)

So we have an outsized industrial policy, centered on our national-defense strategy. General Motors receives a lot less than Boeing because our current strategy favors aviation over ground transportation. This strategy has shaped our patterns of employment and innovation—the subsidies do not remain only within the military, but spill across the civilian economy as well. Our industrial policy has also given us less inspirational national capabilities such as world-beating personal-security and mercenary services (Blackwater).

Viewed through this lens, ambitious proposals for government-assisted efforts to build a green collar economy look less revolutionary and more like transformations of the long-existing American approach to policy and the market.

Health

Bobby Jindal: The Maverick Of Health Care Reform

jindal2.jpgNew details about Gov. Bobby Jindal’s (R-LA) proposed overhaul of Louisiana’s Medicaid system suggest that the ‘new leader’ of the conservative movement is moving away from McCain-like principles of one-size-fits-all health care coverage.

Under Jindal’s proposal, patients currently receiving Medicaid benefits will have three choices: 1) the current Medicaid fee-for-service benefits package, 2) state-designed benchmark benefits package 3) or, if they live in one of the four pilot areas, a coordinated care network of medical homes (CCN).

The third choice is crucial. Jindal is looking to design a network of medical homes — a model of care that allows a patient to receive all medical treatment in one location and encourages the primary care physician to take responsibility for providing for all the patient’s health care needs by arranging care with other qualified professionals — that could lower costs and increase care quality.

While regulatory details are still sketchy, Jindal recognizes what McCain never did: sick people require more care than healthy people and can find more affordable coverage within coordinated managed care networks that operate under a pay-for-performance model.

The CCNS would be required to ensure all beneficiaries have a medical home within the coordinated system and Jindal would prefer to reimburse the network at a risk-adjusted prepaid premium that will reflect the enrollee’s health status and anticipated utilization. The plan’s network of hospitals, physicians, and specialists could then spend that amount of money on treatment. This prioritizes efficiency, and promotes evidence-based practices and improved coordination between providers

For patients with serious health needs, Jindal is proposing up to three special needs statewide case management networks that would provide intense specialty services and case management services for families with special needs.

In addition to injecting coordinated care networks into the Medicaid system, Jindal is simultaneously expanding Medicaid (government) coverage. The plan calls for “a statewide expansion of coverage to low-income parents and caretakers relatives with incomes from 13 percent of the FPL [Federal Poverty Level] to 50 percent of FPL ($5,200 in 2008). Moreover, the state will run a pilot program — Access to Affordable Care — in Southwest Louisiana that will extend coverage for parents and caretaker relatives with incomes from 51 percent of the FPL up to and including 200 percent of the FPL ($20,800 in 2008) as well as childless adults with incomes up to $20,800.

In some ways, the medical home and payment reforms that Jindal proposes fly in the face of conservative free-market dogma. Patients with more health needs aren’t left at the mercy of the market. More Louisianians qualify for insurance through government health care. But most importantly, Jindal is recognizing that with prudent payment reform, the government can play an important role in encouraging providers to deliver health care services.

Politics

Perino: Obama ‘Should Want’ Bush’s Political Appointees In His Administration

The Washington Post reported this morning that between March and November, the Bush administration has “burrowed” at least 20 political appointees into career civil service posts, initially depriving President-elect Obama of the chance to install his own appointees in key jobs.

In today’s press briefing, White House Press Secretary Dana Perino defended the “burrowing,” saying that Obama’s administration should want experienced Bush political appointees in his administration:

PERINO: But there are people in the federal government who — and you should want people who have worked in the administration who think that they might want to make their careers in government. We have a lot of smart people all across the government with a lot of expertise — in the financial sector, in the energy sector, in the environmental sector, the Labor Department, etc.

Watch it:

These people are political ideologues, who likely cannot be counted on to implement Obama’s agenda. Matthew McKeown of Bush’s Interior Department promoted private owners “over the public interest on issues such as grazing and logging” and sued to allow road-building in national forests. Interior’s Robert Comer used “pressure and intimidation” to produce a grazing settlement “with total disregard for the concerns raised by career field personnel.”

Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff has made similar efforts, replacing political appointees with hand-picked career staff. The Wall Street Journal noted that the effort may be perceived as an attempt by Chertoff “to overextend his influence” into the next administration.

In 2006, the House Oversight Committee found that the executive branch had increased the number of political appointees by 33 percent since the Clinton administration, a move that had ramifications across the federal government.

Climate Progress

Obama: “The science is beyond dispute… Delay is no longer an option. Denial is no longer an acceptable response.”

It is judgment day, deniers and delayers. There is a new sheriff coming to town, and he isn’t an anti-scientific stooge like the current one or his boss VP.

President-elect Barack Obama gave ringing remarks to the governors climate summit:

“My presidency will mark a new chapter in America’s leadership on climate change that will strengthen our security and create millions of new jobs in the process. That will start with a federal cap and trade system. We will establish strong annual targets that set us on a course to reduce emissions to their 1990 levels by 2020 and reduce them an additional 80% by 2050. Further, we will invest $15 billion each year to catalyze private sector efforts to build a clean energy future. We will invest in solar power, wind power, and next generation biofuels. We will tap nuclear power, while making sure it’s safe. And we will develop clean coal technologies.

I have already heard some enviros attack Obama for “only” going back to 1990 levels by 2020 — even though that is the same goal that Arnold Schwarzenegger has in California, which has had years to develop and employ more serious and aggressive strategies. In fact, getting back to 1990 levels will require all of the talent, eloquence, and magic PEBO has — and he’ll need the support and hard work of every last one of us.

Some enviros are also attacking Obama for spending any money to try to develop clean coal. Certainly clean coal has no prospect whatsoever of helping achieve 2020 goals, and probably not even 2030 goals, but gasifed coal and biomass with carbon capture and storage may be a critical element of a long-term effort to get back to 350 ppm.

Anyway, enough with what the snipers and kibitzers have to say. Here are Obama’s full remarks:

Read more

Yglesias

Office of Management and Blogging

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If reports are true and Barack Obama is really going to tap widely respected CBO Director Peter Orszag to head up the Office of Management and Budget (it’s like the CBO, but for the White House, so it makes sense) then I believe that would make him the highest-ranking blogger in the history of the United States of America. I was also going to say that he’d be the highest-ranking executive branch official who’s had the distinct honor of meeting Matthew Yglesias, but I actually met Obama twice so that’s out.

As a blogger, Orszag was only so-so, offering interesting content but not enough of it and presented way too sporadically. His CBO Director’s blog would have been a cutting edge public policy blog in 2004 or 2005, but by 2008 people have come to expect more from a blogger. But as an policy analyst, he’s first rate. And from his new, even more elevated position, perhaps he can organize some kind of interagency policy blog. Think CAPAF’s Wonk Room but with Senate confirmation.

Media

Fox News Blog Edits Out Homophobic Barney Frank Joke From Transcript Of ‘Red Eye’ Host’s Monologue

In a “Greg-alogue” video posted today, Greg Gutfeld, the host of Fox News’ late-night show Red Eye, launched a frivolous attack on Center for American Progress President and CEO John Podesta. “If you believe in progressive ideas, you’ll believe in anything, including alien conspiracies,” said Gutfeld.

In the course of his mocking diatribe, Gutfeld also inserted an off-color, homophobic joke about Rep. Barney Frank (D-MA):

Look, I don’t dispute that aliens exist, but there are more urgent matters to deal with, other than wrinkly creatures with a knack for anal probing.

But enough about Barney Frank. I couldn’t resist.

Watch it:

Though the transcript of Gutfeld’s joke is included on the Red Eye website, FoxNews.com scrubbed it when it posted Gutfeld’s commentary on its Fox Forum blog. Instead, the blog posting has Gutfeld saying “wrinkly creatures with a knack for cavity searches”:

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Conservatives have recently increased their use of homophobic jokes to attack Frank. On Fox last week, Dennis Miller and Bill O’Reilly joked that Frank “might want to be arrested.” The week before, right-wing radio host Lars Larson encouraged his listeners to vote for “Barney Fag.”

Yglesias

Security Theater: Now With Less Security

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I was rooting around in my bag a couple of hours ago looking for a nice pen I “borrowed” from the Mandarin Oriental in Geneva (very nice hotel — pushing US public policy in a more pro-Rolex direction is now my top priority) what did I find but a Swiss Army Knife that someone or other had put in one of my Switzerland gift bags. I didn’t really think much of it, but on reflection I carried the bag in question onto the plane for the Geneva-JFK leg of my return travel. And I cleared security for the JFK-DCA leg with the knife in the bag and only didn’t wind up boarding the flight because it got canceled.

In the latter instance, I was even singled out for special enhanced scrutiny, but they still let me take a knife on the plane — the precise thing all this security is supposed to prevent. But God forbid I’d tried to walk through security with a couple of brought-from-home Diet Cokes to drink while waiting — there are big markups and profits at stake in the liquids ban.

Politics

Kristol ‘ambivalent’ about extending contract as New York Times columnist.

kristolweb2.jpgDuring a panel discussion today, the Weekly Standard’s Bill Kristol was asked about rumors that he may be giving up his column at The New York Times after his contract expires next month. “I don’t think I’ve had that conversation yet,” Kristol said. But when asked if he wanted his contract to be renewed, Kristol didn’t seem too interested. “I’m ambivalent,” he said, “I haven’t really focused on it.” He then suggested the column just takes up too much of his time:

“I dunno. You gotta talk to them about that. It’s been a lot of work and I’m kinda stretched a little thin. I’ll see.” [...]

“You guys are all—well, I don’t know you—but everyone’s obsessed with this internal New York Times…” Mr. Kristol stopped himself short.

“I’ve had zero problems, issues… It’s been low drama. Despite all the dramatics in the blogosphere it’s been a very undramatic experience for me.”

Maybe all of Kristol’s error-filled Times columns that caused “all the dramatics in the blogosphere” were a result of him being “stretched a little thin.”

Yglesias

The Case for Eggs

I wound up getting up earlier than I meant to on Monday or something and, with slightly more time on my hands than I’d anticipated, cooked myself a slice of bacon and an egg for an unusually indulgent weekday breakfast. Delicious! Emily Thorson makes the case for doing it every day.

Yglesias

The 2010 Census

I have no idea who’s going to do what in the 2010 midterm elections. The mere fact that Democrats hold most of the House seats suggests to me that the odds favor the Republicans picking some up. But this logic from Karl Rove predicting big things for the GOP seems badly flawed:

[T]he 2010 Census could allocate as many as four additional congressional districts to Texas, two each to Arizona and Florida, and one district to each of a number of (mostly) red-leaning states, while subtracting seats from (mostly) blue-leaning states like Michigan, New York, Ohio and Pennsylvania and, for the first time, California. Redistricting and reapportionment could help tilt the playing field back to the GOP in Congress and the race for the White House by moving seven House seats (and electoral votes) from mostly blue to mostly red states.

But of course in the House we vote by Congressional District and not by state. Yes, New York will probably lose a House seat. But at the same time, the New York State Senate flipped from Republican to Democratic control. With the state overwhelmingly Democratic in its electorate, and the state government under total Democratic control, the lost seat will almost certainly be a lost Republican seat. And by the same token, the population growth in Texas, Arizona, and Florida is being driven by growth in the Democratic-leaning Hispanic population. In all these cases, you have to look at the demographics and the redistricting process in detail, not just ask whether it’s a blue state or a red state.

Again, the GOP was unusually unpopular in 2008 and so it seems likely they’ll be more popular and do better in 2010. But the main demographic trends are against the Republicans — they’re strong with old people and weak with minorities.

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