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Yglesias

Obama Radio/YouTube

Here’s the latest missive from our allegedly “center-right” president-elect:

I have already directed my economic team to come up with an Economic Recovery Plan that will mean 2.5 million more jobs by January of 2011 – a plan big enough to meet the challenges we face that I intend to sign soon after taking office. We’ll be working out the details in the weeks ahead, but it will be a two-year, nationwide effort to jumpstart job creation in America and lay the foundation for a strong and growing economy. We’ll put people back to work rebuilding our crumbling roads and bridges, modernizing schools that are failing our children, and building wind farms and solar panels; fuel-efficient cars and the alternative energy technologies that can free us from our dependence on foreign oil and keep our economy competitive in the years ahead.

Of course it would be nice to hear a dollar figure. I’ve heard economists with experience in the government say that “2.5 million more jobs by January of 2011″ probably means $300 billion each in 2009 and 2010.

Politics

Jindal in Iowa this weekend.

Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal (R) traveled Friday to Iowa, “a state that is pivotal to a presidential campaign, in a trip that has heightened speculation that [he] is planning a presidential bid in 2012.” Jindal tamped down the speculation, stating, “I’m not running for president.” The highlight of Jindal’s visit will be tonight’s keynote address at a “Celebrating the Family” banquet hosted by the Iowa Family Policy Center, a conservative Christian group that promotes issues important to social conservatives such as home-schooling and opposition to abortion and same-sex marriage:

jindal_the_candidate.jpgThe center is a nonprofit organization that says it is dedicated to family values. The center’s president, Chuck Hurley, backed former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee in the recent presidential race. Hurley’s ties to religious conservatives are credited with helping Huckabee win the Iowa caucus in January.

“I think the American people are tired of campaigns. They’ve had enough. We haven’t even sworn in our next president,” Jindal said.

Update

In his speech, Jindal suggested he would be a culture warrior. “I worry about the coarsening of our culture,” he said. “That doesn’t mean I want government to censor culture, but certainly there are things we can do as private citizens working together to strengthen our society.”

Yglesias

OOTN Revisited

outoftown_1.jpg

The really shocking thing about this Out of Town News closing story is that you’d surely think that the combined political and financial weight of Harvard alumni would allow us to organize some kind of bailout.

It’s true that the newsstand isn’t “too big to fail” as such, but it’s certainly too close to the hearts of a large swathe of the American elite! And what’s more, bailing OOTN out would be a lot cheaper than rescuing Citigroup or General Motors.

Media

The New Center-Right

David Sanger for The New York Times:

Now, his reported selections for two of the major positions in his cabinet – Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton as secretary of state and Timothy F. Geithner as secretary of the Treasury – suggest that Mr. Obama is planning to govern from the center-right of his party.

Honestly, I’d like to see some more hard-core liberals in the cabinet — and maybe we’ll get ‘em at Energy, Interior, etc. But in some respects this is the genius of picking a relatively moderate cabinet. We’ve got Rahm Emannuel promising to “throw long and deep” on health care and energy, Tom Daschle spearheading the charge for universal health care, the president-elect talking about hundreds of billions in new stimulus spending, and endless reiteration of the idea that there will be no retreat from the campaign’s ambitious goals on carbon curbs. Putting reassuring faces on an agenda of ambitious policy change strikes me as dramatically preferable to appointing a lot of liberals whose job is to sell the progressive base on the need to trim and abandon campaign commitments.

Jockeying for jobs is a very important part of life for DC insiders, and I would never deny that I’d strongly prefer to see my various friends and acquaintances get choice positions than see the reverse happen, but in the real world its the policies that matter. If universal health care, a clean energy economy, withdrawal of troops from Iraq, an end to torture, and massive new infrastructure investments are a “center-right” agenda because Tim Geithner is Secretary of Treausry then I’ll take it. The crux of the matter is to keep pressing for the agenda.

Yglesias

Two Views of Capitalism

Thanks to the financial crisis, I’ve been paying more attention to the business press than usual. The business press, of course, is trying to sell to businessmen and businesswomen. Thus, it tends to reflect the general presumptions and outlook of businessfolk. And I think it’s noteworthy that the business class, as a set, has a curious and somewhat incoherent view of capitalism and why it’s a good thing. Indeed, it’s in most respects a backwards view that strongly contrasts with the economic or political science take on why markets work.

The basic business outlook is very focused on the key role of the executive. Good, profitable, growing firms are run by brilliant executives. And the ability of the firm to grow and be profitable is evidence of its executives’ brilliance. And profit ultimately stems from executive brilliance. This is part of the reason that CEO salaries need to keep escalating — recruiting the best is integral to success. The leaders of large firms become revered figures. Not only important because, in practice their decisions are significant. But they become celebrities and dispensers of advice and wisdom. Their success stems from overall brilliance, and thus they must have enlightening things to say on a variety of subjects.

The thing about this is that if this were generally true — if the CEOs of the Fortune 500 were brilliant economic seers — then it would really make a lot of sense to implement socialism. Real socialism. Not progressive taxation to finance a mildly redistributive welfare state. But “let’s let Vikram Pandit and Jeff Immelt centrally plan the economy — after all, they’re really brilliant!”

But in the real world, the point of markets isn’t that executives are clever and bureaucrats are dimwitted. The point is that nobody is all that brilliant. Nobody really has a reliable method of surveying the scene and accurately gauging What Is To Be Done. But in a market economy, we don’t need anyone to have such a method. Instead, a bunch of people get to do some inquiries into the issue and then give it their best shot. And the ones who are wrong will fail. And the ones who are right will succeed. And the ones who are right don’t have to have been right for the right reasons or have any real insight into the situation. They might be smart, they might be lucky. Most likely, it’s some combination of the two. Some smart people will inherit an impossible situation, or suffer from events outside their control. And sometimes dumb people will catch a break — maybe a combination of dumb regulations and growth of the local yuppie population will turn your mediocre overpriced thai restaurant into an incredible success. But this arbitrariness isn’t a flaw in the system, it’s the whole rationale for the system. The world is just too complicated and too weird, the future too uncertain, for economic decision-making to be put in the hands of planners and visionaries. That’s why you have capitalism. But it also means that the people who control the firms operating in the market economy probably aren’t brilliant planners or visionaries either. They’re imperfect people making imperfect decisions based on imperfect information, and the ones who rise to the top are the ones whose bets pay off.

Politics

Top scientist says Bush’s ‘burrowing’ of political appointees will ‘leave wreckage behind.’

Yesterday, the president of the nation’s largest general science organization railed against efforts by the Bush administration to give political appointees “permanent federal jobs with responsibility for making or administering scientific policies, saying the result would be ‘to leave wreckage behind.’” James McCarthy, who heads the American Association for the Advancement of Science, called the “burrowing” of people without scientific backgrounds into science-related jobs “ludicrous“:

It’s ludicrous to have people who do not have a scientific background, who are not trained and skilled in the ways of science, make decisions that involve resources, that involve facilities in the scientific infrastructure,” said James McCarthy, a Harvard University oceanographer who is president of the American Association for the Advancement of Science. “You’d just like to think people have more respect for the institution of government than to leave wreckage behind with these appointments.”

McCarthy particularly questioned the qualifications of Todd Harding and Jeffrey T. Salmon, who received civil service positions at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the Energy Department’s Office of Science, respectively.

Climate Progress

Scenes From An Auto Exhibition

Bankruptcy ParkingGoing to the Los Angeles Auto Show, I felt something like I was entering an alien world, a planet where the native inhabitants are automobiles and all the humans just interlopers. The centrality of the automobile to Los Angeles is no secret, but only when you spend an hour journeying from the airport through the congested ribbons of the freeway system, the red streams of taillights pushing past the white streams of headlights in every direction you look, does it become a visceral truth. Even downtown, walking the sidewalks seems an odd pursuit. Every block is parking lots and parking garages. The dry, summery air carries the dusty odor of exhaust.

Inside the Los Angeles Convention Center, the press preview days of the Auto Show are intended to present the auto industry as it wishes to be seen. Executives read from teleprompters to unveil the Exciting New Car from under a silken shroud to the strange crush of industry officials, press, autobloggers, and PR reps that comprise the crowd. As I walk through the sparse, gleaming field of cars from one great unveil to the next, workers quietly buff every surface with static-resistant dust mops and photographers snap shots of dashboard layouts. It is surreal.

So far as I — no gearhead or racing fanatic or auto show habitué — could tell, the industry right now doesn’t know who it wants to be. Brash, adolescent machismo, from the Ferrari girls to the Tony Hawk Jeep Commander, is juxtaposed uncomfortably with so-earnest-it’s-painful celebrations of efficiency and eco-friendliness. Green autobloggers, like Gas 2.0, AutoblogGreen, and HybridCarBlog, had enough material for dozens of posts.

F150 Drive At Earth Toyota Regenerate
EcoBoost Toyota Quiz
Automotive environmentalism, clockwise from top left: the “Unsurpassed Fuel Economy” of the F-150, “Drive @ earth” with Mitsubishi, Toyota’s “Regenerate Your Thinking” and “Green Technology Quiz” displays, Ford’s “EcoBoost” display.

Only the bespoke high-end sports car manufacturers like Spyker — who turn out about one hundred handmade $250,000 cars that look vaguely like 1950s era jetplanes each year for billionaire car collectors — and the self-deprecatingly geeky Smart Car salespeople seemed to be having genuine fun. But I just may not be able to read the vibe. For example, I don’t really know how I’m supposed to respond to the introduction of a more efficient diesel midsize sedan or a hybrid midsize sedan or a fuel-cell midsize sedan.

That said, the somber circumstances of this year’s show were apparent and unavoidable, with global auto sales down about 20 percent, and GM, Ford, and Chrysler on the brink of collapse. Trinkets, goodies, and glitz were cut way back. The Ford executives were mobbed by the press with questions about the bailout hearings and the company’s future. As a Honda executive acknowledged before unveiling a new high fuel-economy midsize sedan, “None of us is immune.”

Media

The New Southwest

I don’t know if Shelby Steele was always a crank or Barack Obama just made him a crank, but man oh man is he a crank:

Whites in general used to be stigmatized as racists. By going with Obama, liberals now feel that they’ve escaped that stigma. That means the stigmatization of whites is now focused on the Republican Party and on conservatism as a point of view. [Liberals say] this is where racism is now located, and we can isolate it in those red states in the South and Southwest.

Here’s a brief reminder of where the Southwest is located, versus where the non-South cluster of red states is:

southwest.png

Meanwhile, nobody is saying that all Republicans are racists. It is, however, true that there was a broad national swing against the Republican Party and that the exceptions to that swing are either explicable by home state effects or else concentrated in a region of the United States (not the Southwest) that has an unusually fraught history of racism.

Yglesias

Borrow While It’s Cheap

Ben Furnas points out that with the government able to borrow money at low, low rates, now would be a good time to invest in education. He cites these rates of return:

wr_fiscalreturns_1108_1.jpg

That’s a good payoff. I think at this point there’s broad consensus that the government is going to wind up going deep into debt to try to avoid economic calamity. That’s the right call, but it’ll create problems down the road. Under the circumstances, it’d be really useful to spend the money on stuff that will be useful down the road — stuff like education.

Climate Progress

Celebrate the Climate: Look for Energy Star, the Gift that Keeps on Giving

green-christmas.jpg

From the EPA press office:

This holiday season you can give a gift that is green in more ways than one. With Energy Star labeled products, you are helping someone save money on their energy bill and protect the environment by fighting climate change.

In fact, the typical homeowner can save more than 30 percent, or about $700 on annual energy bills with Energy Star labeled products. EPA has identified a few products to keep your eye out for as you start holiday shopping:

Read more

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