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Yglesias

A Short History of the Modern GOP, Told With Hugh Hewitt Books

Dave Weigel’s got the stuff.

But when considering the sorry state of the GOP, it really is worth thinking back to the hubris on the right and panic on the left that followed the 2004 elections. The fact of the matter is just that these things can turn very quickly. I don’t know anyone who feels like they can make extremely confident predictions about the next eight years of American economic growth. But a lot of people seem to think they can make confident predictions about the future of politics. And yet we know that the ups-and-downs of the economy are a major influence on the course of politics. Meaning, among other things, that if Barack Obama’s economic recovery efforts wind up failing, the Republican Party’s fortunes could turn around with enormous speed.

Politics

Bush Claims He Feels Uncomfortable Saying, ‘I Know What God Was Thinking’

Yesterday on Fox News, host Sean Hannity asked President Bush whether it was the “destiny” of certain people to become president. Bush responded by saying that he wasn’t sure, noting that he was uncomfortable presuming to know what God was thinking:

BUSH: I think — first of all, I think that those who say — you know, I am very reluctant to say, of all the people in the world, I have been picked out by the Almighty. And the reason I’m reluctant to say that is, one, I don’t know. Secondly, far be it for me to put myself in the Almighty’s shoes or position. [...]

Some — some believe that. I have real trouble, as I repeat, I have real trouble, you know, saying, Well, I know what God was thinking, because I don’t.

Watch it:

But the past — when trying to convince the American public that he is right — Bush has had no problem pretending that he knows what the Almighty believes. Some examples:

I feel like God wants me to run for President. I can’t explain it, but I sense my country is going to need me. Something is going to happen… I know it won’t be easy on me or my family, but God wants me to do it.” [2000]

We are in a conflict between good and evil. And America will call evil by its name.” [6/1/02]

“[T]he former Palestinian foreign minister Nabil Shaath says Mr Bush told him and Mahmoud Abbas, former prime minister and now Palestinian President: ‘I’m driven with a mission from God. God would tell me, “George, go and fight those terrorists in Afghanistan.” And I did, and then God would tell me, “George go and end the tyranny in Iraq,” and I did.’” [6/03]

“I don’t see how you can be president at least from my perspective, how you can be president, without a relationship with the Lord.” [1/11/05]

“This struggle is waged with the technology of the 21st century, but at its core it is the ancient battle between good and evil. … No one who prays to the God of Abraham could strap a suicide vest to an innocent child, or blow up guiltless guests at a Passover Seder, or fly planes into office buildings filled with unsuspecting workers.” [5/16/08]

Transcript: Read more

Yglesias

Corporate Friends

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Chris Bowers describes the 1996 Telecommunications Act as “a very corporate friendly piece of legislation.” But the thing of it is that when it comes to that kind of telecom regulation bill, any legislation is going to be corporate friendly. That’s because what you have in the telecom marketplace is a bunch of corporations competing against a bunch of other corporations. These aren’t union-management disputes. For example, the 1996 Act has proven very friendly to the interests of what were formerly local telephone companies. But at the same time, it’s proven very unfriendly to the interests of what were formerly long distance companies. You can see that as AT&T, a former giant of the corporate world, wound up getting swallowed by SBC, formerly a lowly regional local phone company (confusingly, SBC then changed its name to AT&T).

Something I’m interested in now has to do with the future of spectrum policy as it relates to wireless phone and internet service. Here, again, pretty much whatever you do is going to be beneficial to some corporations because it’s for profit companies that provide cell phone and wireless broadband internet service. The issue is whether the rules will be friendly to the leading incumbents such as Verizon or whether the rules will be structured so as to provide for more rigorous competition. Again, during net neutrality battles we’ve seen big companies on both sides of the dispute. That’s just the nature of the issue. And to decide which side is right, you need to peer into the merits of the argument, not just say that what’s good for (some) businesses must be bad for the country — the whole area is a big clash between different businesses.

Economy

Education ‘Has Clearly Emerged As A Favorite Channel’ For Stimulus

educate1.jpgLast week, President-elect Barack Obama announced his intention to invest stimulus dollars in repairing and modernizing America’s schools. As The Wonk Room noted, this would be a good investment in immediate stimulus and longer-term human capital.

Today, the Politico reported further that “federal aid for education could grow as much as $140 billion under a two-year economic stimulus bill now taking shape in Congress,” in the form of a block grant for states and a $15 billion expansion of annual Pell grants to low-income college students:

[L]ike Medicaid, education has clearly emerged as a favorite channel through which Washington will pump massive amounts of aid to states struggling with huge budget deficits aggravated by the economic downturn.

Sen. Charles Schumer (D-NY) and Gov. David A. Paterson (D-NY) explained that the block grants for state education would go towards preventing “teacher layoffs, suspension of academic programs and substantial increases in school property taxes.” Furthermore, as the Center for American Progress’ Will Straw and Michael Ettlinger wrote, providing college funding to low-income students “would provide a boost to the economy and improve the workforce skills needed when businesses begin to hire again as the economy improves.”

Indeed, investments such as these would be a wise use of stimulus dollars. They would not only prevent states from making potentially debilitating budget cuts, but will also aid America in restoring its competitive academic edge. America’s lead in educational attainment has slipped in recent years, which increased federal aid could help address.

But these investments do more than simply bolster America’s human capital. The purely fiscal benefits of education investment “aren’t abstract or aspirational“: better educated people are more productive, healthier, less likely to require public assistance, commit fewer crimes, make more money, and therefore pay more taxes.

It’s an absolute necessity that the stimulus package finance economic recovery and growth simultaneously. These investments in education would be an excellent step toward achieving that goal.

Politics

Joe the Plumber plunges deeper: ‘Military should decide what information to give the media.’

Continuing his reporting from Israel, Joe “the Plumber” Wurzelbacher tried to clarify his remarks criticizing media coverage of war, in a new Pajamas TV segment. He said that citizens “don’t need to see what’s happening every day” in war and said that it should be up to the military to decide what the media learns about war:joeplumber-israel1.jpg

WURZELBACHER: you don’t need to see what’s happening every day, that’s my personal opinion, you don’t have to share it. But, you know, okay, you don’t have to see, you know, 800 dead, 801 dead. It’s like they drill that in your head. … They want you to sit there saying there are so many people dying. You know these are large, these are numbers, you know I don’t want to take away from that. Let me, uh, think about how to say that again. Just essentially, they keep drilling it into your head, newscast after newscast after newscast.

I think the military should decide what information to give the media and then the media can release it to the public. I don’t believe they need to be in the front lines with soldiers, I don’t believe they need to, uh, you know, be bothering the military for information or for access to certain areas.

Go to Pajamas TV to see the entire segment. His discussion of the media starts around the 13-minute mark.

Climate Progress

Half of oil & gas CFOs say we are peaking

peak_oil2.jpg

It’s amazing enough that the normally staid International Energy Agency recently said we’ve run out of time (see IEA says oil will peak in 2020). Now Business Wire reports:

According to a new survey by BDO Seidman, LLP, one of the nation’s leading accounting and consulting organizations, 48 percent of chief financial officers (CFOs) at U.S. oil and gas exploration and production companies agree that the world has reached its peak petroleum (liquid hydrocarbon) production rate or will reach it within the next few years, while another 52 percent disagree with that statement.

I think the headline is wrong, though:

Read more

Yglesias

Rice Slams Non-Inclusive United States

The Washington Post writes up an interview with Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice:

Arguing that Iraq shows signs of becoming an inclusive state — it even “declared Christmas a national holiday” — Rice said that if the country eventually emerges as a democratic, multiethnic state that has friendly ties with the United States, “that will be more important than what anybody thought in 2002 or 2003.”

My colleague Amanda Terkel observes that here in the US we don’t meet Rice’s standard of inclusiveness. Christmas is a national holiday, of course, but this is a majority Christian country. Religious minority groups get no federal holidays for our key religious observances. Nevertheless, one suspects that in the ways that matter the US is still a more inclusive country than Rice’s Mesopotamian paradise.

Yglesias

What Other Country

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Max Blumenthal reports from a pro-war rally staged by New York politicians and some local Jewish groups:

Sen. Chuck Schumer highlighted Israel’s supposed humanitarian methods of warfare by pointing to its text messaging of certain Gaza Strip residents urging them to vacate their homes before Israeli forces bombed them. “What other country would do that?”

Todd Gitlin observes that this is pretty ignorant and solipsistic:

The U. S., for one. According to the National Museum of the U. S. Air Force, the U. S. dropped millions of leaflets over North Vietnam during Operation Rolling Thunder of 1965-68, in which Americans flew over 300,000 sorties, dropping more than one-and-a-half times as many bombs as in the entire Pacific theater during all of WW II. Among other things, the leaflets “warned civilians to stay away from military installations.” (You can buy a sample leaflet from eBay for a little more than $40, including postage.) In 2002-03, the U. S. also dropped such leaflets over Iraq during 2002-03.

Russia, for another, during the first Chechen war. Leaflets, that is, not text messages.

Those inclined to be supportive of what Israel’s doing can make of this what they will. But I would observe that self-deception has rarely done anyone or any nation much good and this kind of thing reeks of self-deception. Meanwhile, it’s a bit unusual to see a US Senator lauding a foreign country as morally superior to his own, and a foreign military as morally superior to America’s armed forces. To do so without checking the facts rigorously first is especially odd.

Security

Republicans Oppose Lifting Unpopular Anti-Immigrant Ban From SCHIP

childrenhealth.jpgAs Democrats prepare to expand the State Children’s Health Insurance Program (SCHIP), House Minority Leader John Boehner (R-OH) and Republican Whip Eric Cantor (R-VA) are calling on Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) and President-elect Barack Obama to continue denying health insurance to immigrant children. In a letter to the Democratic leaders, Boehner and Cantor stipulate that “only U.S. citizens and certain legal residents should be permitted to benefit from a program like SCHIP”:

Only U.S. citizens and certain legal residents should be permitted to benefit from a program like SCHIP. We believe SCHIP legislation must include stronger protections to prevent fraud by including citizenship verification standards to ensure that only eligible U.S. citizens and certain legal residents are controlled in the program.

The issue in question is the 1996 Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Reconciliation Act (PRWORA), which subject most legal permanent residents to a five-year ban on eligibility. Under the provision, legal immigrants who are not refugees, humanitarian immigrants, active-duty members or veterans of the Armed Forces and their families (presumably this is what Boehner and Cantor mean by ‘certain legal residents’) can become eligible for SCHIP after a five-year residency period, provided they meet the program’s other income and categorical eligibility requirements.

The Democrats’ bill to expand SCHIP is expected to give states the option of lifting the five year waiting period and allow as many as 4000,000 children to apply for federal health programs.

Indeed, since 1996, immigrant children and pregnant women with no other source of coverage have been prevented from obtaining essential health care. The ban contributes to “higher costs for emergency room visits and poorer health outcomes” and has “exacerbated the disparity in health coverage between immigrants and native citizens,” contributed to the increasing uninsured rates among immigrants, and “shifted the burden of covering this population to sates and local safety net providers.”

But the argument for including tax-paying non-citizens in the SCHIP program is as much economic as it is moral. Forcing immigrant children to go five years without seeing a medical professional only increases SCHIP’s costs once the now sicker children become eligible for insurance.

As Chris Jennings explained at a recent CAP health event, “if people go in and out of the system you can neither prevent that problem nor can you coordinate the disease [management] well if you don’t have coverage.” Diagnosing and treating childhood diabetes or asthma before those conditions progress, improves the health status of the patient and saves money on costly treatments within the system.

Luckily, most Americans support lifting the ban. According to a survey commissioned by the child advocacy group First Focus, 67 percent of Americans “favor eliminating the five-year waiting period for legal immigrant children, while 19 percent were opposed.”

Still, perhaps the best solution to the SCHIP-immigration issue is comprehensive immigration reform that provides non-citizens with a path to full citizenship and benefits. Coupled with health care reform for all, such an approach can bring everyone into the health system and contain the nation’s spiraling health costs.

Update

Senate Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus (D-MT) released an outline of his $31.5 billion, 4.5-year proposal. Read it here.


Update

,The Washington Post clarifies that while “the House bill would give states the option of allowing legal immigrants into the program,” “the Senate version…would maintain the status quo.”

Politics

Cheney: It ‘Always Aggravated Me’ That The NYT Won A Pulitzer For Exposing Warrantless Wiretapping

cheneyaggravated.jpgOn Dec. 16, 2005, the New York Times published an article by James Risen and Eric Lichtblau, revealing that President Bush had secretly authorized the NSA to “eavesdrop on Americans and others inside the United States…without the court-approved warrants ordinarily required for domestic spying.” The blockbuster article, which exposed one of the Bush administration’s biggest secrets, was awarded the Pulitzer Prize for National Reporting in 2006.

Discussing the wiretapping program on Bill Bennett’s radio show today, Vice President Cheney called the program “important,” adding that it “always aggravated” him that the Times was rewarded for its reporting:

CHENEY: What happened then was they had the information we had, they knew how we were doing it, they knew what we were producing through that process. But then when — Nancy Pelosi, for example, was part of that group. But then it became public. The New York Times broke the story I think in December of ’05, won the Pulitzer for it, which always aggravated me.

Listen here:

With his gripes over the New York Times’ Pulitzer, Cheney joins the list of conservatives, including Bennett, who have attacked the decision to reward those who revealed the secret program:

- “They win Pulitzer Prizes – I don’t think what they did was worthy of an award – I think what they did was worthy of jail,” — radio host Bill Bennett

The Pulitzer Prize for treason,” — Powerline’s Scott Johnson

“After the quasi-collaborationist AP photo awards and the national security-damaging NYT awards, that’s just as well because I wouldn’t want the thing in the house,” — columnist Mark Steyn

“I don’t understand why you should pat yourself on the back for breaking the law and possibly, potentially, putting Americans at risk,” Accuracy in Media’s Cliff Kincaid

In December, former Justice Department official Thomas Tamm explained to Newsweek why he blew the whistle on the program, saying that it “was something the other branches of the government—and the public—ought to know about.” Tamm says that when a Justice superior said the program might be “illegal,” he thought, “I’m a law-enforcement officer and I’m participating in something that is illegal?”

Transcript: Read more

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