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Yglesias

The Life of Citi

I didn’t know this bit of Citibank history:

But I will say that if the recent history of our financial system tells us anything, it’s that it’s a miracle (and not in the good sense) that at least one bank—Citigroup—hasn’t already been taken over. This is a bank that was, by most accounts, technically insolvent in the early nineteen-eighties, as a result of the Latin American debt crisis. It was in serious trouble again in the early nineteen-nineties—Congressman John Dingell actually gave a speech in 1991 saying it was insolvent. And it’s been a major player in, and cause of, our current financial crisis, with a chorus of analysts declaring that, once again, its liabilities are greater than its assets. It does make you wonder how many lives it has, and it also makes you wonder why, after its earlier woes, regulators ever allowed it to get this big.

It seems to me that encouraging the growth of ever-larger financial institutions has actually been part of the regulatory strategy for avoiding ever needing to do something like seize Citigroup. When a bank’s in big trouble, one way to resolve the trouble is to fold it into something bigger. But now Citi’s gotten so big that only the federal government is big enough to provide a workable fix.

Politics

Iraq attacks account for more than half of global suicide terrorism since 1981.

In an analysis of trends in suicide attacks worldwide since 1981 (pdf), researcher Assaf Moghadam presents a pretty shocking statistic:

Iraq accounts for 1,067 suicide attacks in the period under review — “a number that accounts for more than half (54.8%) of all suicide attacks since 1981. The sheer volume in which this tactic has struck Iraq is even more impressive since no suicide attacks were recorded in Iraq prior to the U.S.-led invasion in March 2003.

The Wonk Room’s Matt Duss comments: “Understand, this is what George W. Bush’s strategy of ‘fighting them over there so we don’t have to fight them over here’ entails. Luring terrorists to Iraq to blow themselves up in markets and mosques wasn’t some tragic side-effect of Bush’s plan, it was in fact a component of Bush’s plan. Let’s not pretend to be confused when Iraqis fail to show appropriate gratitude.”

Yglesias

Law of the Sea Opponents Are Letting Rival Powers Rewrite International Law in their Interests

Commander James Kraska from the U.S. Navy writes in Foreign Policy about the damage to American interests being done by conservative opponents of the Law of the Sea Treaty. Specifically, with the United States not involved in the process, other countries are able to write rules that we don’t like but have no ability to stop.

This is, of course, a broader problem with the modern right’s blanket hostility to international law. The train still moves forward without us, but it does so less effectively and in a way that we’re not able to influence. As the world’s dominant power, we can kinda sorta get away with this kind of behavior, but it works less-and-less well with every passing year and only accelerates our relative decline.

Climate Progress

Progressives, Obama keep promise to jumpstart clean energy, economy — conservatives keep promise to jumpstop the future

[JR: Years from now, long after the economy has recovered, this moment may well be remembered as the time that progressives, led by Obama, began the transition to a sustainable economy built around green jobs. If, on the other hand, we don't stop catastrophic warming, that will almost certainly be because the conservative movement threw their entire weight behind humanity's self-destruction (see "Anti-science conservatives must be stopped") -- and the lopsided vote on the stimulus bill will be the first time in the Obama adminstration that conservatives in both chambers signaled their willingness to sacrifice the future for their ideology. This post detailing the green elements of the stimulus bill, including an excel spreadsheet, by the Center for American Progress's Daniel J. Weiss and Alexandra Kougentakis, was first published here.]

Read more

Security

‘Fighting Them Over There’

iraq-road-suicide.jpgAssaf Moghadam has an interesting article in January’s CTC Sentinel (pdf), tracking shifting trends in suicide attacks worldwide. Dating the inception of modern suicide terrorism to the early 1980s and its use by Lebanese Hizballah, the “tactic was soon copied, first by other militant Lebanese groups, and subsequently by Sri Lanka’s Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE), the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK), and several Palestinian groups, including Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad.”

In contrast to the final two decades of the 20th century, however, most suicide attacks in the first decade of the 21st century have been employed by al Qa’ida and associated movements that have adopted a Salafi-jihadi ideology.

Moghadam also presents a pretty shocking statistic:

Iraq accounts for 1,067 suicide attacks in the period under review — “a number that accounts for more than half (54.8%) of all suicide attacks since 1981. The sheer volume in which this tactic has struck Iraq is even more impressive since no suicide attacks were recorded in Iraq prior to the U.S.-led invasion in March 2003.

Understand, this is what George W. Bush’s strategy of “fighting them over there so we don’t have to fight them over here” entails. Luring terrorists to Iraq to blow themselves up in markets and mosques wasn’t some tragic side-effect of Bush’s plan, it was in fact a component of Bush’s plan. Let’s not pretend to be confused when Iraqis fail to show appropriate gratitude.

Yglesias

AEI Scholar John Makin Calls for Bank Nationalization

20021218_makin.gif

This is mostly interesting because of the source’s institutional affiliation:

“I think they know how big it is, but they don’t want to say how big it is. It’s so big they can’t acknowledge it,” said John H. Makin, an economist at the American Enterprise Institute, referring to administration officials. “The lesson from Japan in the 1990s was that they should have stepped up and nationalized the banks.”

Instead, the Japanese first tried many of the same remedies that the Bush administration tried and the Obama administration is trying — ultra-low interest rates, fiscal stimulus and ineffective cash infusions, among other things. The Japanese even tried to tap private capital to buy some of the bad assets from banks, as Mr. Geithner proposed.

Yes, that AEI. It’s worth noting, as well, that Makin specifically lists the Japanese economy as one of his areas of specialty. One prominent line of argument I’ve heard against a “Swedish” solution to the financial crisis is the observation that the Swedish financial system was much smaller than the U.S. one, in virtue of the small size of the overall Swedish economy. I think this has some force. What worked in Sweden may not work in the United States. Japan, however, is much more a big economy like the United States. And what we have from there is a cautionary tale which shows that whether or not nationalization can be made to work in a big economy, half-measures definitely can’t.

Media

Fox News’ Fact-Checker Unable To ‘Separate Fact From Fiction,’ Imagines ‘Phantom Earmarks’

Yesterday, the conservative Washington Times published an article titled “Pelosi’s mouse slated for $30M slice of cheese” that claimed the House Speaker had stuck millions into the economic recovery package for the Salt Marsh Harvest Mouse in San Francisco. The report, which originated from an e-mail to reporters by a spokesman for House Republican Leader John Boehner, quickly became part of the GOP’s talking points against the bill.

But the Washington Times report was wrong. “There is no language in the bill that says this money will go to this project,” admitted Boehner spokesman Michael Steel.

Though the claim has been thoroughly debunked, House Republicans continued to attack it on the House floor yesterday. After “a testy exchange” over the fabrication between Rep. David Obey (D-WI) and House Republicans on the House floor yesterday, Fox News’ William Lajeunesse attempted to “separate fact from fiction”:

LAJEUNESSE: Alexis, you won’t find it in the bill. That is true. However, it is there. Now, what I mean by this. This is what Republicans call a phantom earmark. It’s $50 million for ecosystem restoration, habitat restoration in the San Francisco Bay area, for Congresswoman Pelosi’s district, which is a priority project for that agency there. There is no question that this will be funded when this money is released to the EPA as well as to Fish and Wildlife.

Watch it:

In fact, there is a very real “question” about whether the project, which is on a list of “shovel-ready” projects recommended by the California Coastal Conservancy, will be funded. The Mercury News reported on Thursday that because projects like wetland restoration aren’t named in the biil, “there’s no guarantee” they will get money:

Even if the stimulus passes, there’s no guarantee the projects will get the money, since they’re not named in the bill. That will be up to the Army Corps of Engineers, which does everything from harbor dredging to building dams to restoring wetlands.

Abruptly transitioning to what he called “real pork projects” in the recovery plan, Lajeunesse brought up “the train from Disneyland to Las Vegas.” But, as Matt Yglesias points out, this provision isn’t in the bill either. “There’s no special plan for Las Vegas. The money will be spread all across the country,” writes Yglesias.

Update

Obey was incorrectly identified as a Republican in the post. We have corrected the error.

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