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Economy

Treasury Inspector General: Regulators ‘Viewed Growth and Profitability’ As Evidence IndyMac Was Fine

ots.jpgYesterday, the Inspector General of the Treasury Department released a report showing that regulators at the Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS) — which is responsible for monitoring banks that specialize in mortgage lending — “repeatedly ignored warnings, including from their own employees, about the dangerous excesses at California mortgage lender IndyMac Bancorp.” The collapse of IndyMac last year cost the U.S. government about $10.7 billion.

According to the report, “OTS viewed growth and profitability as evidence that IndyMac management was capable”:

OTS identified numerous problems and risks, including the quantity and poor quality of nontraditional mortgage products. However, OTS did not take aggressive action to stop those practices from continuing to proliferate. OTS had at times as many as 40 bank examiners involved in the supervision of IndyMac; however, the examination results did not reflect the serious risks associated with IndyMac’s business model and practices.

In 2005, the OTS found that IndyMac “was having trouble with its cash flow,” but the office “did not issue any enforcement action, either informal or formal, until June 2008.” And this is not the first such tale to emerge; in October, the SEC’s Inspector General found similarly ignored warnings with regard to Bear Stearns before its federally financed collapse into the arms of J.P. Morgan. If nothing else then, the report underscores the desperate need for regulatory reform, in the wake of a Bush administration that “made it clear they planned to deliver less supervision over the financial services industry.” We all know the outcome of that deregulatory philosophy.

This week, President Barack Obama laid out his framework for regulatory reform. These reforms are still short on detail, but the most important could be the one aimed at ensuring that “companies cannot cherry-pick among competing regulators.” After all, in 2007, Countrywide Financial “simply switched regulators” to come under the more lax supervision of the OTS. Countrywide proceeded to go bust due to risky mortgages, and needed to be rescued by Bank of America. Allowing banks to shop around for the regulator they like best will inevitably lead to trouble, as the banks will settle on the regulator that is most in tune with their business interest.

Rep. Barney Frank (D-MA) has floated the idea of a “systemic risk regulator” — possibly the Federal Reserve — that would be charged with identifying risk that could topple the financial system. This could work, but waiting until risk is systemic to identify it means that risk large enough to endanger the system has been allowed to build up.

Instead, a focus on reforming the smaller agencies, like the OTS, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, and others may be the key to a successful reform effort. But perhaps most important of all is this — Obama needs to appoint regulators who believe prudential oversight is important, something the Bush administration excelled at not doing.

Politics

Obama: ‘By August 31, 2010, our combat mission in Iraq will end.’

In a speech at Camp Lejeune, NC today, President Obama announced that the U.S. “combat mission in Iraq will end” by August 31, 2010, at which point a residual force of 35,000 to 50,000 troops will continue “training, equipping, and advising Iraqi Security Forces.” Obama reiterated his intention to honor the Status of Forces Agreement which calls for full U.S. withdrawal from Iraq “by the end of 2011.” Finally, Obama spoke directly to the Iraqi people, explaining that the U.S. seeks “no claim” to Iraqi territory or natural resources:

So to the Iraqi people, let me be clear about America’s intentions. The United States pursues no claim on your territory or your resources. We respect your sovereignty and the tremendous sacrifices you have made for your country. We seek a full transition to Iraqi responsibility for the security of your country. And going forward, we can build a lasting relationship founded upon mutual interests and mutual respect as Iraq takes its rightful place in the community of nations.

The speech comes 5 years, 9 months, and 26 days after former President Bush first declared “mission accomplished” in Iraq. Watch highlights from Obama’s speech:

Prior to delivering his speech, Obama called Iraqi Prime Minister Maliki and “briefed the prime minister on the plan he would announce.” Obama also called former President Bush, “as a courtesy.”

Yglesias

The Tragedy of Obama’s Climate Policy

barack_obama_carol_browner_2009_1_28_12_4_59_1.jpg

If you want some detailed blog analysis of the Obama administration’s cap-and-trade package—and you should—check out Brad Plumer and Dave Roberts. For my part, I was initially puzzled by the linkage of carbon permit auction revenues to the administration’s Make Work Pay tax credit. But then I thought about it again on the Metro and it made more sense to me—it lets you characterize the proposal as a tax cut for working people financed through a tax on polluters.

The trouble with the plan, of course, remains what it’s long been namely that “my best guess is that Obama’s climate proposals are too ambitious to be enacted and too timid to avert catastrophe.” In other words, this is a good proposal. But it’s not good enough to avert catastrophe. And it’s overwhelmingly likely that to get it passed through congress it’ll have to be watered-down.

Politics

James Dobson resigns as Focus on the Family chairman.

ap98061101487.jpg Today, James Dobson told Focus on the Family’s 950 employees that he was stepping down as chairman of the organization he founded more than three decades ago. The move is part of “a succession plan” to relinquish control over the group. Dobson will, however, “continue to host Focus on the Family’s flagship radio program, write a monthly newsletter and speak out on moral issues.” The group has been suffering from financial troubles after spending $600,000 to defeat marriage equality in California, recently laying off approximately 150 staffers.

Update

Steve Benen looks at Dobson’s legacy: “Few modern figures on the political scene hate quite as many people, with quite as much intensity, as James Dobson. Gays, minority faiths, the First Amendment, Girl Scouts, SpongeBob Squarepants … if you don’t think, act, or believe as Dobson does, you’re an enemy. (One of my personal favorites is when Dobson insisted that gay marriage ‘will destroy the Earth.’ He wasn’t kidding.)”

Yglesias

Obama’s Iraq Announcement

For the record, I am aware that the administration made a big announcement about Iraq today. But I’m pretty busy attending a conference so I haven’t really had the time to digest what’s going on, and I’d rather offer too-slow commentary on it than low-quality commentary.

Economy

Wallace: Republicans Should Lie About Obama Raising Taxes On Small Businesses

This morning on Fox News, Chris Wallace gave some advice to conservative politicians who oppose Barack Obama’s proposal to let the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy expire and limit deductions for tax filers in the top two income tax brackets:

I think you do it in terms of what’s best for everybody, and if you’re removing the incentives and profits, and a lot of the people that make over $250,000 a year are small business owners and small businesses, as we all know, are the prime generators of jobs. So I think the better argument for Republicans is going to be this is going to hurt the economy, the generation of jobs, this is going to result in layoffs and say for Joe Six-pack out there. It’s not just the taxes of the rich guy, your livelihood is in jeopardy.

Watch it:

Actually, Mr. Wallace, it is overwhelmingly “just the taxes of the rich guy.” Here are the facts:

Less than 2% of “small businesses” would be affected by Obama’s tax change:

According to an analysis by the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, only 1.9% of filers with small business income file in the top two income brackets. Even among those 1.9% of filers, many of those individuals don’t have employees, are otherwise employed, and earn their income through passive investments.

A “small business” is very often an employed rich individual declaring business income:

As Len Burman and Eric Toder of the Tax Policy Center explained in October, “Members of corporate boards, for example, report their compensation for that service on schedule C of their individual tax return. Partners in many law firms, accounting firms, medical practices, and Wall Street hedge funds also report business income rather than wages, as do people who receive rents or royalties from investments in real estate and oil and gas partnerships.”

Read more

Climate Progress

More small battles won in war on coal — but trouble looms behind enemy lines

News from the front: Accompanying Pelosi’s and Reid’s announcement that the Capitol Power Plant will switch to natural gas, more coal plants around the country are on the chopping block due to lawsuits and power companies’ getting wise.

Behind enemy lines, however, the industry-funded front group ACCCE (American Coalition for Clean Coal Euphemisms?) is regrouping and recruiting new allies.

In Tulsa Oklahoma, a proposal to build a second coal-fired generation plant was abandoned last week.

The decision came directly from the project developer (global power giant AES), without litigation, but AES spokesmen were murky about the exact reasons for their decision to pull out, saying only:

Read more

Politics

Tom DeLay Channels Limbaugh: I Want Obama To Fail

Just days before the Inauguration, Rush Limbaugh famously declared, “I hope [Obama] fails.” Since then, some conservatives have been hesitant to embrace this view. Pat Robertson said, “That was a terrible thing to say.” “Anybody who wants him to fail is an idiot,” said Gov. Mark Sanford (R-SC). Responding to Sanford, Limbaugh reiterated his position yesterday, saying, the “hell we don’t” want Obama to fail.

One of those “idiots” adopting Limbaugh’s stance is former House Majority Leader Tom Delay (R-TX). In an interview with ThinkProgress at CPAC today, we asked DeLay whether he agrees with Limbaugh’s statements. DeLay said Limbaugh was “exactly” right to root for Obama’s failure:

TP: Do you agree with Rush Limbaugh that we shouldn’t hope for President Obama to succeed?

DELAY: Well, exactly right. I don’t want this for our nation. That’s for sure.

Watch it:

ThinkProgress also asked DeLay if the conservative movement feels “liberated” now that President Bush is out of office. DeLay responded that conservatives feel “liberated because they’ve got an enemy they can focus on,” referring to “the left.”

It’s not surprising that DeLay is hoping for the President to fail; he has been slandering Obama for months. “I tagged him as a Marxist months ago,” DeLay boasted during the campaign, recalling his earlier assertions Obama had an “old school Marxist, radical liberal failed ideology.”

In a separate interview with ThinkProgress at CPAC today, DeLay said that Obama is a “con artist.” Watch the video here.

Yglesias

Meeting Obama’s College Attainment Goals

obama_ed_on_page_1.jpg

Louis Soares has a good column up on the CAP website about the vital importance of the goal President Obama set for the United States to start increasing the proportion of the population that has a college degree. A significant portion of the story about growing inequality has to do with the fact that as demand for college-educated workers has increased, the United States hasn’t really increased the supply of such workers. Consequently, the wage differential, which was always significant, has gotten bigger-and-bigger. We’ve seen other forms of inequality growth that have to do with the super-elite pulling away from the vast majority of people, but alongside that there’s been a steady drift of the mass upper class of college educated professionals away from the middle class pack.

The main point I would make about this is that it’s crucially important to broaden the discussion here away from monomaniacal focus on the cost of college education. This is an important financial burden on many richer-than-average families, which makes it a politically appealing topic. But the evidence suggests that the main reason our rate of degree-attainment has been stagnating is that too few people who start college end up finishing college. And though money doubtless plays a role in some of this, the main problem is lack of preparation. There’s a need to both improve the performance of the earlier years of our system—from pre-K on forward—and to improve the performance of our colleges and universities, especially those that serve the low end of the market. In an ideal world, of course, every 12 grader would be perfectly well-prepared and colleges wouldn’t need to worry about that. But we need our institutions of higher education to serve the population we actually have, and that requires more transparency about what’s really going and more of an ethic of responsibility on the part of administrators.

Climate Progress

Washington Post’s Fred Hiatt Defines George Will’s Lies As ‘Inferences’

Fred HiattGeorge Will lashes out at New York Times reporter Andrew Revkin for “meretricious journalism” in a column today that attempts to justify his significant factual errors but “can’t help making new ones.” But in an interview with Columbia Journalism Review, Washington Post editorial page editor Fred Hiatt defended George Will, saying he is simply “drawing inferences from data that most scientists reject,” and calling critics “irresponsible.”

In fact, Science Progress Chris Mooney explains, “George Will made factual errors rather than debatable inferences.” In sum, Will has not only lied about scientific research, he has also falsely attributed his own opinions to the following named sources: New York Times, Science, Science News, the U.N. World Meteorological Organization, and the “Arctic Climate Research Center” (sic). Before Hiatt’s outburst, Oregonian commentary editor Galen Burnett told the Wonk Room in a telephone interview:

I was a little troubled by the response from the Washington Post editors which was basically dismissive of people’s challenge of the column. That’s the more troubling aspect to me. I would expect more of the Post.

Union of Concerned Scientists spokesman Aaron Huertas told the Wonk Room:

Clearly something wrong is going on with their factchecking process, because what Will said was clearly incorrect.

We’ll continue to attempt to get word from Hiatt — who has ignored several telephone calls and emails — to see if he considers the Oregonian and the Union of Concerned Scientists “irresponsible” critics.

The factual errors in George Will’s “Dark Green Doomsayers” [2/15/09] (DGD) and “Climate Science in A Tornado” [2/27/09] (CST): Read more

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