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Yglesias

Young Children in the Federal Budget

A reader writes in to recommend this Urban Institute report on how young children fare in the federal budget. Here’s some bullets of particular interest:

— The nation’s 12.5 million infants and toddlers received 2.1 percent—$44.1 billion—of federal domestic spending in 2007, while representing 4.2 percent of the population.

— Early care and education programs, essential to many children’s successful development and costly to provide for this age group, make up a relatively small share of the expenditures on infants and toddlers. Just 7 percent of federal spending on infants and toddlers was for Early Head Start, Part C of the Individuals with Disabilities Education Act, and child care assistance.

— In contrast, a vast amount of spending (61 percent) on infants and toddlers is driven by Medicaid and tax expenditure programs.

I think there’s often a lack of real focus in American policy debates on what you get in exchange for spending. Early childhood investments can produce large economic benefits if the programs deliver high quality services. Under the circumstances, it makes sense to do a lot more in this regard, and to do it with real attention to quality.

Economy

Warren: Without Cram-downs, ‘There’s Nothing’ In Treasury’s Plan To Address Underwater Mortgages

According to the latest data, 21.9 percent of American homeowners are underwater, “a significant jump from the 17.6% of all homeowners who sat underwater in the prior quarter.” Despite this, a measure that would have allowed bankruptcy judges to cram-down mortgage payments for underwater homeowners — who owe more for their mortgage then their home is currently worth — failed to pass in the Senate two weeks ago.

According to Professor Elizabeth Warren — a bankruptcy expert and Chair of the TARP’s Congressional Oversight Panel — that leaves the Obama administration’s housing plan without an answer for underwater homeowners. In an interview today with The Wonk Room, Warren explained that without cram-down, it’s critical that the administration find something else to “get a floor in the housing market“:

I’m very concerned because that was the last place that — in the overall structure of how to deal with failing mortgages and foreclosures — that was the last place that we had to try to deal with the underwater mortgages…There’s nothing in the current Treasury plan to deal with that problem other than “let’s count on the bankruptcy bill.” And without the bankruptcy amendment, this undercuts a big part of the thrust of trying to get a floor in the housing market…This is a problem. We can’t just help people who are facing mortgage problems in areas where there haven’t been sharp price declines. We have to find something that works across the country.

Watch it:

A housing bill that passed the Senate last week also doesn’t provide “significant help” for underwater homeowners. And while the declines in housing prices aren’t falling quite as rapidly as they once were, they are still going down at a healthy clip.

Dean Baker wrote that home prices “have been falling at a 24 percent annual rate in recent months” and “given the massive inventory of unsold homes, it is reasonable to expect that this rate of price decline could continue at least through 2009.” If that is the case — and since the banking lobby has successfully taken cram-down out of the equation — a new avenue for helping underwater homeowners will have to be found. The housing problem is not going to simply disappear, and until it’s solved the economic recovery will be that much slower.

Politics

Romney spokesman on Steele: ‘Sometimes when you shoot from the hip, you miss the target.’

Last week, ThinkProgress reported that while guest-hosting Bill Bennett’s radio show on Friday, RNC chair Michael Steele appeared to call the GOP base bigoted, saying that Republican voters rejected Mitt Romney’s presidential bid because he is Mormon:

But remember, it was the base that rejected Mitt because of his switch on pro-life, from pro-choice to pro-life. It was the base that rejected Mitt because it had issues with Mormonism.

Listen here:

Today, Romney’s team fired back. “Sometimes when you shoot from the hip, you miss the target,” said spokesman Eric Ferhnstrom. “This is one of those times.” At RealClearPolitics, Jay Cost also said that Steele should resign, and RedState’s Erick Erickson responded, “I vote ‘no confidence’ in Michael Steele.”

Politics

Conservative Talker Bill Bennett: Rush Limbaugh Is ‘An Entertainer’

Saturday night, at the White House Correspondents Dinner, comedian Wanda Sykes responded to Rush Limbaugh’s stated hope that Obama’s presidency is a failure, by jokingly remarking, “I hope [Limbaugh's] kidneys fail.” On CNN’s State of the Union on Sunday, conservative talker Bill Bennett objected to the joke, asking rhetorically, “What the hell was that?” Bennett called her joke “way over the line” and then asked, “[C]an we get to a point where we can at least put some decency in our remarks?”

Danna Brazille responded to Bennett saying, “She was trying to make fun of someone who makes fun of everybody. … She’s an entertainer. She was entertaining.” Bennett retorted:

BENNETT: So is Rush an entertainer, but you’re happy to criticize him! … What would have Wanda said that would have offended you?

Today, on his radio show, Bennett replayed the exchange. Bennett added, “By the way, what has Rush ever said that’s not repeatable? Disagreeable, yes. Off the mark, occasionally. … But not repeatable? I can’t think of anything he said that was not repeatable.” Listen here:

Bennett ought to be careful referring to Limbaugh as “an entertainer.” When RNC Chairman Michael Steele gave Limbaugh the “entertainer” label, Limbaugh lashed out at Steele saying that he was not the “head of the Republican Party” and that he should realize that his job is not be a “talking head pundit.” Steele nearly immediately apologized. A number of members of congress including Reps. Phil Gingrey (R-GA) and Todd Tiahrt (R-KS) were forced to apologize as well after making similar comments.

More to Bennett’s point, if he hasn’t heard Limbaugh make any remarks that “aren’t repeatable” or that lack the measure of “decency” that he requires in his entertainers, he hasn’t been listening to Limbaugh’s show. Indeed, just last week, Limbaugh repeated his offensive claim that the only reason Gen. Colin Powell endorsed Obama in the 2008 election was his race. Limbaugh similarly argued in 2003 that the only reason the media was interested in Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Donovan McNabb was because he is black.

Limbaugh’s ability to offend, however, does not end with race-based commentary. In 2007, Limbaugh called veterans who advocated for U.S. withdrawal from Iraq, “phony soldiers” and in 2006 falsely accused “Michael J. Fox, who has Parkinson’s disease, of ‘exaggerating the effects of the disease‘” for political purposes. Media Matters has much more on Limbaugh’s many other offensive remarks.

Yglesias

Complementary Policies Do Much of the Heavy Lifting in Waxman-Markey

Via Joe Romm, an excellent graphic on the Waxman-Markey bill from the World Resources Institute that clarifies an important part about the bill—in the short-term, much of the work is being done by the bill’s “complementary policies” rather than the cap-and-trade as such:

wri-waxman-markey-1

In part, this reflects the reality that the climate pollution is going to be relatively inelastic over the short term. Our energy usage patterns are tied up in our existing stock of power plants, houses, roads, automobiles, and consumer durable goods. Over time, a clear and consistent price signal will shift us to a much more sustainable level of emissions. But price won’t change much in the very short term. So more direct policies targeting efficiency and clean energy are hugely important.

Consequently, when you look at Waxman-Markey comprehensively, it’s stronger on the short-term than just looking at the cap-and-trade provisions would lead you to believe. And as for the long-term, well, the long-term is important. But we’re obviously going to revisit our energy policy again between now and 2025, so flaws in the far-out years aren’t so significant. It’s better to get the out years right, of course, but there’s plenty of time to make changes there if necessary.

Yglesias

Stanley McChrystal to Replace David McKiernan as Top Commander in Afghanistan

mcchrystal

I don’t have any special insight into today’s command shake-up in Afghanistan, but I like it. It seems to me that if you have a new administration implementing a new strategy in an ongoing war, that it makes perfect sense that a new person would be brought it to implement it. General McChrystal’s area of specialty is apparently in special operations and he’s well-versed in counterinsurgency; that all seems very appropriate given the strategy the administration’s outlined for Afghanistan.

Interestingly, according to Spencer Ackerman there wasn’t really any huge trouble with General McKiernan: “I’ve heard grumblings about McKiernan being slow to adapt to the complexities of the Afghanistan war, but nothing that you’d hang your hat on, or rise to the level of outright dissatisfaction.”

One way to read that is that there must be some hidden problem. But optimistically, I think it’s just evidence of good decision-making. If McKiernan wasn’t the best man for the job, then replacing him with someone who Robert Gates and David Petraeus believed would do a better job is the right call. There’s no reason to have waited around with a non-optimal commander in place merely because he hadn’t done anything egregious.

Politics

Limbaugh agrees with Sessions: Obama’s ‘objective is unemployment.’

Earlier today, ThinkProgress highlighted NRCC Chairman Pete Sessions’ (R-TX) claim that President Obama is intentionally trying to “‘diminish employment and diminish stock prices‘ as part of a ‘divide and conquer’ strategy to consolidate power.” Sessions’ paranoid theory got a powerful endorsement today from the de facto leader of the conservative movement, Rush Limbaugh. Noting new budget deficit projections out of the White House, Limbaugh declared that “the objective is unemployment.” “Think forced reparations here if you want to understand what actually is going on,” added the right-wing talker. Listen here:

Transcript: Read more

Yglesias

Public Deeply Ignorant About Cap and Trade

Via Dave Weigel, an unusually useful poll from Rasmussen Reports:

Given a choice of three options, just 24 percent of voters can correctly identify the cap-and-trade proposal as something that deals with environmental issues. A slightly higher number (29 percent) believe the proposal has something to do with regulating Wall Street while 17 percent think the term applies to health care reform. A plurality (30 percent) have no idea.

capandtrade

The political press has a very strong structural bias toward overestimating the extent to which the public has real opinions about hot political issues. I wish more pollsters would put these kinds of polls in the field that do something to probe the extent of public ignorance. Polls that attempt to directly probe the public’s views about cap and trade wind up measuring a lot of pseudo-opinion. As you can see right in this result, people are incredibly unwilling to admit that they “don’t know” something or other. Thus 46 percent of the public says they know what cap and trade is about even though they don’t, in fact, know what it’s about.

Politics

White House distances itself from Wanda Sykes’s joke about Rush Limbaugh.

At the White House Correspondents’ Association dinner on Saturday night, comedian Wanda Sykes raised eyebrows with her controversial joke about Rush Limbaugh. Sykes joked that “maybe Rush Limbaugh was the 20th hijacker, but he was so strung out on Oxycontin he missed his flight.” Several media outlets began saying that Obama seemed to “like” Sykes’s joke. However, in today’s White House press briefing, Press Secretary Robert Gibbs said that the administration thought Sykes’s joke went too far:

I think the President — I haven’t talked specifically with him, but my guess is, Jeff — I think there are a lot of topics that are better left for serious reflection rather than comedy. I think there’s no doubt that 9/11 is part of that.

Watch it:


Update

Today on his show, Limbaugh refused to comment on Sykes’s joke.

Yglesias

Against Check the Box

cayman

I’ve heard that there’s some disappointment in the administration that they haven’t gotten the level of progressive love they feel they deserve for their ambitious proposals to curb abusive corporate tax loopholes. These are the kind of issues where, if it’s hashed out behind closed doors, the bad guys are destined to win. But if the fight turns public, the good guys will win. Pat Garofalo observes that congressional critics of the plans don’t have much to say for themselves, with Rep. Joe Crowley (D-NY) simply saying he’s “wary because the tax changes would hurt Citigroup Inc., his New York district’s largest private-sector employer.”

As far as bad reasons for doing something go, note that this one is unusually bad. The NY-7 isn’t like some huge swathe of Nebraska where people depend on in-district employment. It’s primarily composed of a residential section of Queens—itself a part of America’s densest city—and the vast majority of Crowley’s employed constituents will either commute to out-of-district jobs or else work in small neighborhood businesses.

But it’s worth taking a look at how absurd some of the abuses the administration is trying to curb are. Take, for example, the “check the box” rule. The Washington Post described this as “a Clinton-era rule known as ‘check the box,’ which permits firms to more easily transfer cash between countries.”

It’s important to note, however, that this isn’t a reversal of some deliberate Clinton administration strategy. Instead, what happened is that the Clinton administration promulgated a rule that was designed to simplify the classification of different kinds of subsidiaries. Within months of the rule coming out, the career civil servants in the Treasury Department noted that there was potentially a huge tax loophole here. The way it works is that a multinational company can set up two subsidiaries, one Acme Corp Cayman Islands and the other Acme Corp Germany. Then it sets up a Cayman Islands holding company, whose job is to own both subsidiaries. Then in order to make sure that the subsidiary located in high-tax Germany registers no profits, they have Acme Corp Germany take out high interest loans from Acme Corp Cayman Islands. This has the impact of ensuring that even though the business activity undertaken in Germany is generating all of the profits, they register as being untaxed Cayman Islands profits. Then you “check the box” and make the subsidiaries all disappear into the holding company.

That’s dumb. Which is why as soon as it was noted, an effort was put in place to change it. But a ferocious lobbying battle opened up, with the apologists for tax havens arguing that, basically, it was Germany’s ox that was getting gored here so Americans shouldn’t care. Over the years, however, that turns out to be wrong. The availability of this loophole is a significant incentive for companies to invest in their overseas subsidiaries and take advantage of the tax shell game. It’s a loophole that nobody ever intended to create, and that should be done away with forthwith. Eliminating may be bad for some firms who currently enjoy the loophole, but it’s not going to hurt overall employment levels for Joe Crowley’s constituents or for anyone else’s.

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