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Yglesias

One Cheer for Socialized Medicine

Royal Gwent Hospital (NHS Photo)

Royal Gwent Hospital (NHS Photo)

Ezra Klein writes about what “socialized medicine” would really look like:

Socialized medicine is a system in which the government owns the means of providing medicine. Britain is an example of socialized system, as, in America, is the Veterans Health Administration. In a socialized system, the government employs the doctors and nurses, builds and owns the hospitals, and bargains for and purchases the technology. I have literally never heard a proposal for converting America to a socialized system of medicine. And I know a lot of liberals.

Not that I think we should make this a near-term legislative priority, but I actually think there’s a very strong case on the merits for a limited form of socialized medicine. Which is to say that I think it would be smart for the government to directly provide a certain class of relatively cheap, not-very-interesting preventive services. You would have clinics in neighborhoods where medical personnel (mostly nurse-practitioners and dental hygenists, I would think) directly employed by the government could provide things like vaccinations, regular tooth cleaning, prostate exams, etc. Obviously, you would want actual medical doctors and public health researchers to determine what the appropriate list of services is rather than a blogger. But the general aim would be to identify a list of preventive health services where it’s not desirable for people to be economizing and then we’d bring the services to the people directly as a public service. And the upshot would be a kind of National Health Service but not one that, UK-style, aspires to comprehensively meet all medical needs. Instead, it would have a limited mission to provide basic preventive care.

Now needless to say, we’re not going to build a system like that. But we can try to make sure that health reform strengthens the position of community health centers that do some of this kind of stuff.

Economy

TARP Oversight Panel Member Endorses ‘Semi-Regular’ Stress Tests

moneyexamineToday, the Congressional Oversight Panel (COP) for the TARP, chaired by Prof. Elizabeth Warren, released a report examining the efficacy of the stress tests that were performed on the nation’s largest banks. One of the panel’s recommendations was that Treasury start working on Stress Test: The Sequel. “We actually make recommendations to do it all over again right now,” Warren told CNBC, citing worsening economic conditions.

It seems a bit too early to tell whether or not the “adverse” economic scenario laid out in the tests was overly optimistic (even though eventually coming to that conclusion is entirely possible), so I don’t know how much there is to learn from another test right now. But I do think it’s worth endorsing COP member Richard Neiman’s proposal to make some form of stress test a “semi-regular” feature of bank regulation:

“I would certainly support that they utilize this on an ad hoc basis, that we encourage institutions to do these tests and report them to the regulators,” Neiman told the Huffington Post. “And we recommend that the Treasury continue to track the economic indicators to make sure they are tracking the assumptions used under the plan, and to the extent that they exceed those assumptions, that we repeat those tests.” While acknowledging that there would be a “resource issue,” Neiman said that continuing the stress tests is like taking your car in for a check-up, even when it seems everything seems to be running okay.

This is particularly important given that the Treasury Department gave 10 banks the go-ahead today to repay $68 billion in TARP funds. This occurred despite data showing that the “pace of prime borrowers going into foreclosure is accelerating,” and “the default rate on commercial mortgages held by U.S. banks may rise to the highest in 17 years,” both of which could spell trouble for bank balance sheets down the road.

It also ties into concerns that the plan for removing the banks’ toxic assets is dead in the water, due to a lack of interest from the banks. Treasury told The American Prospect’s Tim Fernholz that this isn’t the case, but it’s unclear how Treasury plans to get the ball moving when the banks seem perfectly content to just wait out the recession.

But the assets are still sitting there, and some analysts have concluded that “accounting rule changes and rosy assumptions are making [the banks] look healthier than they are.” In light of all this, giving the banking system a periodic checkup that is transparent and easy to understand seems to make complete sense, provided that the tests are designed to actually put the banks through a bit of stress.

Politics

Von Spakovsky: Still Fabricating Facts, Still Suppressing Votes

spakovsky35.gif Further demonstrating that no conservative can be so disgraced that they cannot later be published in the Wall Street Journal, Bush-era vote suppression guru Hans von Spakovsky has an op-ed in today’s WSJ claiming that the Justice Department has “spent the last several months misinterpreting key voting rights laws for nakedly political reasons”:

Exhibit A: Justice’s inexplicable dismissal of a civil lawsuit for voter intimidation against the New Black Panther Party. The Black Panthers weren’t content to endorse Barack Obama. They sent their members to the polls last November to “patrol election sites.” Fox News aired a video of two Black Panthers in military-style uniforms in a Philadelphia precinct. One of them was carrying a nightstick. . . .  But instead of following through and getting an injunction to prevent this behavior in future elections, the department, now under Mr. Holder, dismissed the lawsuit against all but one of the defendants (the nightstick holder).

Exhibit B: Justice recently stopped Georgia from implementing a key provision of the Help America Vote Act. Passed in 2002, the act requires states to verify the accuracy of information voters provide on their registration forms by comparing it with state driver’s license and Social Security records — a sensible requirement.

Both of Spakovsky’s exhibits have no basis in reality. Although his tale of Black Panthers patrolling polling sites sure sounds intimidating, the real facts are nothing like von Spakovsky claims.

Two African-American men did show up at a polling place dressed as stereotypical Black Panthers, but the Philadelphia District Attorney says that she took no action because there were “no complaints and no evidence” of any wrongdoing. Similarly, Zack Stalberg, Executive Director of the nonpartisan poll monitoring organization the Committee of Seventy, says that the two strangely-dressed men were “off-putting, not quite intimidating.” Indeed, the sole basis for any allegations of voter intimidation are statements by two poll watchers from an organization called “Democrats for McCain.”

In other words, the Justice Department dismissed their claim against the Black Panthers not for some nefarious purpose, but because there wasn’t any reliable evidence showing that the Black Panthers violated the law. Now that Spakovsky no longer works there, the DOJ actually requires evidence before it brings a case.

Spakovsky’s claim that the DOJ “stopped Georgia from implementing a key provision of the Help America Vote Act” is also false. In truth the DOJ halted an illegal voter suppression scheme that systematically screened out “thousands of citizens who are in fact eligible to vote.”

Under the Georgia scheme, new voter registrations were compared to federal and state records to screen for non-matching names, dates of birth, driver’s license numbers, Social Security numbers and to screen for proof of citizenship. Thousands of eligible voters, however, were screened out because a state employee mistakenly entered the wrong information into a database. Once screened out, a voter had to jump through hoops before they could vote:

[E]lection officials can require these individuals also to appear at the county courthouse or office building, not at the voter’s convenience, but rather on a week day, during normal business hours and, pursuant to state law, with only three days notice.

Moreover, African-Americans were sixty percent more likely to be screened than white voters, and Asian and Latino-Americans were twice as likely to be falsely screened as non-citizens, a textbook violation of the Voting Rights Act.

The bottom line is this: during his disgraceful tenure at DOJ, Spakovsky routinely approved state voting practices that were later struck down by federal courts. He manipulated election law to benefit Republican candidates; he retaliated against career attorneys who stood in the way of his illegal efforts; and he even gave cash awards to career attorneys who towed the party line. Now that he is powerless, he is continuing his anti-voter crusade from the pages of the Wall Street Journal.

Update

Justin Levitt, a voting rights attorney with the Brennan Center, has more on Spakovsky’s distortions here.

Media

Obama Says: Read Atul Gawande

I’ve already recommended Atul Gawande’s magisterial New Yorker article on health care costs, but now according to an article in a newspaper it seems that Barack Obama is recommending the piece to Senators. Of course I like to think that Obama actually learned about this stuff from OMB Director Peter Orszag who was illustrating the point with scatterplots before anyone ever put together a great piece of narrative magazine feature writing on the subject:

quality-1

Long story short, high levels of health care spending are not associated with high levels of health care quality. The system is screwed up. If you want to read something longer than a New Yorker article on the subject, Sharon Brownlee’s Overtreated is also very good.

Also: Don’t you think it’s weird that I referenced “an article in a newspaper” but didn’t tell you who wrote the article or in which newspaper it appeared? Well, the newspaper article in question refers to Gawande’s piece as “a magazine article” in the first graf, and doesn’t get around to naming the author or the publication until graf thirteen, and since I have no intention of writing thirteen grafs it’ll just have to be a mystery.

Politics

Martinez dismisses uproar over Sotomayor’s ‘wise Latina’ comment: ‘I understand what she is trying to say.’

melmartinezCNN reports Sen. Mel Martinez (R-FL) is now predicting the successful confirmation of Supreme Court nominee Sonia Sotomayor, although he stopped short of endorsing her. Dismissing the controversy over Sotomayor’s “wise Latina” statement, Martinez said:

For someone who is of Latin background, personally, I understand what she is trying to say. Which is, the richness of her experience forms who she is. It forms who I am.

Sen. Martinez’s comments come following a one-on-one meeting he had with Sotomayor.

Climate Progress

Brookings: Fears That Cap And Trade Will Hurt Farmers Are Baseless

A new economic study reveals that concerns a cap on global warming pollution could hurt American agriculture are unfounded. As the Waxman-Markey green economy legislation (H.R. 2454) moves toward passage in the House of Representatives, the farm lobby and rural officials have questioned the bill’s costs to farmers. Last week, Rep. Frank Lucas (R-OK), the ranking member of the House Committee on Agriculture, cried that farmers are “a prime target for a national energy tax“:

From higher energy costs to lost jobs to higher food prices, cap-and-trade promises to cap our incomes, our livelihoods, and our standard of living, while it trades away American jobs and opportunities. . . . Whether it’s the fuel in the tractor, the fertilizer for the crops or the delivery of food to the grocery store, agriculture uses a great deal of energy throughout production. On average, 65 percent of farmers’ variable input costs are fuel, electricity, fertilizer, and chemicals. Even a small increase in the operating costs for our producers will hurt American agriculture.

Yesterday, the Brookings Institute released the topline results of an economic analysis of cap-and-trade systems, with sectoral impacts. This study models the worst-case economic scenario for cap-and-trade programs, modeling the impact of an inflexible system that does not include offsets, incentives for renewable energy development, or other cost-control measures. Even without the inclusion of an offset program to allow the agriculture sector to benefit from carbon market, their analysis found the impact on agriculture to be minimal:


Cap And Trade: Effect On Agriculture Sector (No Offsets)
Chart compiled by the Wonk Room from Brookings Institute data. The “Obama” and “Waxman-Markey” models do not include banking and borrowing of pollution allowances, unlike the actual Waxman-Markey legislation. The “hotelling” models include banking and borrowing, but no models include agricultural offsets.

Not only will the transition to a green economy not hurt America’s farmers, but it will save their livelihoods from the increasing threat of climate disruption, which impact the Brookings study did not model. In reality, the only sectors that face measurable pressure from a cap on carbon pollution are the coal and oil industries, who have enjoyed extreme profits at the expense of the rest of the economy — and yet have failed to make any real investments in clean energy.

Update

At Climate Progress, Joe Romm describes the “hit job” on climate legislation by The Washington Times that “abuses” this Brookings study.

Yglesias

The Obama Effect Abroad

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An incredulous Cliff May offers up what I guess he takes is a reductio ad absurdum argument:

Over on Contentions, Jennifer Rubin notes the column by Eugene Robinson contending that Obama’s Cairo speech led to the encouraging results in Lebanon’s elections.

I wonder: Does Robinson also believe that Obama’s visit to Buchenwald led to the right-wing victories in the European elections?

Look. Obviously the things that Barack Obama says and does are not going to be the main factor in foreign electoral outcomes. But insofar as the relationship with the United States is an important consideration for many countries, then it seems plausible to conjecture that the basic posture of the US President will have some systematic impact. In particular, it seems totally plausible to speculate that a more popular American president who engages with the views of foreigners is going to reduce the appeal of political movements that are skeptical of the United States and increase the appeal of movements that are more friendly to US influence. Both the March 14 Coalition in Lebanon and the European People’s Party fit the “more friendly to US influence” bill.

Politics

McConnell ‘really enjoyed’ Voight’s speech that claimed Obama might allow ‘a new Holocaust.’

In a speech at the Republican Senate-House fundraising dinner last night, actor Jon Voight criticized President Obama at length, calling him a “false prophet” who causing “oppression” in America. But Voight saved his harshest attack on Obama for issues relating to Israel’s security. After claiming that the “only agenda” of all the Palestinian people is “to wipe Israel off the Earth,” Voight complained about Obama’s approach to Iran. “Are we supposed to be sitting and waiting, watching for the possibility of a new Holocaust?” Watch it:

According to Bloomberg’s Heidi Przybyla, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) took the stage after Voight and offered praise for the speech. “I really enjoyed that,” said McConnell.

Transcript: Read more

Yglesias

The Metaphysics of Pseudonymity

I’m glad to see Ed Whelan apologize for having outed pseudonymous blogger “Publius,” though obviously the correct way to handle this kind of situation is to not do the outing in the first place. Once the deed is done, it’s hard to take back.

For some larger thoughts on the ethics of the issue, I’d recommend what Julian Sanchez has to say. But a separate point I would make is that the whole notion that you might want to “unmask” a pseudonymous internet persona with a longstanding and stable presence on the web strikes me as partaking of certain slightly odd presuppositions. The thinking seems to be that some almost magical power is held by knowing the real name of a blogger. This seems to me to be about on a par with the stories (are they even true?) you sometimes hear about tribes who think that you can steal someone’s soul by taking a photograph, or that if you learn the true names of animals you can command them to do your bidding.

I mean, it’s not as if the fact that my name is “Matthew Yglesias” is a particularly interesting or important fact about me (indeed, it’s not even on my birth certificate, though it is my real legal name since I was a few days old). Arguably, various biographical facts about me are relevant. I’ve written that I’m from New York City, that I went to Dalton and Harvard, that my dad’s a writer, etc. But I could be lying about that stuff consistent with using my accurate name. And plenty of people who do blog under their real names are not as forthcoming with biographical information. But the point is that if the idea is that someone is actively misrepresenting themselves on the Internet—blogging about climate change without ever mentioning that you work in the PR department for a coal company—that’s clearly a problem. But the problem is the misrepresentation rather than the pseudonym. And, indeed, this trick can be pulled off just as easily with full name and biographical details. After all, you know all about me, but you have no idea who CAPAF’s donors are, and the same applies to just about everyone you read who works at a DC-based non-profit.

And of course it’s a fallacy to assume a perfect identity between any Internet persona and its author(s). A whole bunch of different writers collaborate on producing Think Progress and they write in what I think is a pretty uniform voice. But like the writers behind The Economist, they’re actually all beautiful unique snowflakes who are often quite different from the TP persona. And by the same token, Matthew Yglesias “in real life” is not the same as the character I play on the Internet. On the other hand, I’m not sure it’s quite right to say that the in-the-flesh MY is “real” and the on-the-Internet one is somehow “fake.” This blog has existed for over seven years now, and it’s almost certainly the case that more people “know” the persona than know me. And I think that should hold all the more strongly for any prominent pseudonymous bloggers. The well-known, stable character is a person with integrity, influence, a personality, a reputation, social connections, etc., the same as anyone else. To be sure, they may be artifice in terms of the presentation of the character. But our various “in real life” self-presentations (to a boss, to a first date, to family, to friends, to people we run into at a high school reunion) involve artifice as well.

Security

Cantor Falsely Claims There Are No ‘Judicial Precedents’ For The Prosecution Of Suspected Terrorists On U.S. Soil

Today, Guantanamo detainee Ahmed Ghailani was transferred to New York to face trial for the bombing of the U.S. embassies in Tanzania and Kenya. Discussing his case last month, President Obama said that, “after over a decade, it is time to finally see that justice is served, and that is what we intend to do.” Attorney General Eric Holder has noted that the Justice Department “has a long history of securely detaining and successfully prosecuting terror suspects through the criminal justice system.”

The right wing, however, has seized the opportunity to launch baseless, fearmongering attacks, with House Minority Leader John Boehner (R-OH) leading the way:

This is the first step in the Democrats’ plan to import terrorists into America. Without a plan to close the prison at Guantanamo Bay, the Administration has made the decision to begin transferring these terrorists into the United States…Do they plan to give them the same legal rights as the American people?

Similarly, on MSNBC today, Rep. Eric Cantor (R-VA) said that the transfer was “counterintuitive” because there are “no judicial precedents for the conviction of someone like this”:

CANTOR: Well, you know, Norah, it’s just counterintuitive. Why in the world would somebody be so focused on the rights of a terrorist instead of keeping Americans safe? There are so many unanswered questions about bringing these detainees on to U.S. soil. We have no judicial precedents for the conviction of someone like this. It is just wrong for us to be bringing these detainees here given the current situation and the unanswered questions. We ought to be putting the safety of American citizens first.

Watch it:

However, the Justice Department today put out a lengthy fact sheet listing nine of major international and domestic terrorism cases that just the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Southern District of New York alone has successfully prosecuted since the 1990s. The release also responded to right-wing criticisms that U.S. prisons can’t handle terrorists:

There are currently 216 inmates in Bureau of Prisons (BOP) custody who have a history of/or nexus to international terrorism. Sixty seven of these individuals were extradited to the United States for prosecution, while 149 were not extradited. Seventy two of these individuals are U.S. citizens (45 of them born in the United States, 27 of them naturalized). The “Supermax” facility in Florence, Colo. (ADX Florence), which is BOP’s most secure facility, houses 33 of these international terrorists. There has never been an escape from ADX Florence, and BOP has housed some of these international terrorists since the early 1990s.

In fact, NBC’s Pete Williams said that Ghailani’s transfer “makes sense, because other defendants in the embassy bombings were tried and convicted” in New York.

Update

This morning, Sen. Russ Feingold (D-WI) led a hearing to discuss prolonged detention. The right wing’s favorite lawyer, David Rivkin, warned that because of Obama’s actions, soon there will be “hundreds of terrorists walking around this country.” Watch it:

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