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Yglesias

If States Were Countries

Unfortunately, this graph is pretty illegible, but it’s interesting:

state-795243jpg

So what is that? It’s something Gary Phillips put together that breaks out different American states and inserts them into the TIMSS international comparison of school performance:

Turns out that a few of our states are on par with the world’s highest performing countries when it comes to educational achievement. Massachusetts in particular stands out, and four other states–Minnesota, New Jersey, New Hampshire, and Kansas–received grades of “B,” up there with the likes of Japan. On the flip side, there were a bunch of C’s and one D+ in, of course, Washington, DC, where fourth graders learn math at the same level as Ukraine.

As Kevin Carey says, one thing about this is that it gets around the fact that it typically seems illegitimate to compare the United States to other countries that are often much smaller:

But New Jersey isn’t an autocratic city-state on the tip of the Malay peninsula or a Nordic socialist paradise or anything like that. Nor is Massachusetts (well, maybe the socialist part) or Minnesota or New Hampshire or Kansas. They’re all medium-sized states in America, subject to American laws, filled with lots of Americans in all the diversity that makes this nation great. Massachusetts in particular, the highest performing state, is full of people from all manner of racial, ethnic, religious, and economic backgrounds. It has relatively high business taxes and relatively good social services compared to other American states but it’s far from France or Finland or Japan.

To be fair, I’m not sure I would say that New Hampshire features “all the diversity that makes this nation great.” But I think the point holds. If New Jersey can have schools that are as good as Japan’s, and Massachusetts can have schools that are better, then there’s no reason to think we can’t achieve similar results in Oregon or Arizona and what have you.

Politics

Justice Dept. will meet next week with gay rights groups on DOMA.

This morning, Greg Sargent reported that the Justice Department had refused to meet with gay rights legal groups to discuss how to move forward on cases involving the Defense of Marriage Act. Now DOJ spokeswoman Tracy Russo confirms to Sargent that the Department has reached out to these groups and will meet with them next week:

The Obama Justice Department has reached out to major gay rights organizations and scheduled a private meeting for next week with the groups, in an apparent effort to smooth over tensions in the wake of the controversy over the administration’s defense in court of the Defense of Marriage Act. [...]

At the meeting — which hasn’t been announced and is expected to include leading gay rights groups like GLAD and Lambda Legal — both sides are expected to hash out how to proceed with pending DOMA cases.

The White House also admitted today that it was “seeking ways to include same-sex marriages, unions and partnerships in 2010 Census data.”

Health

House Releases Health Care Reform Legislation (UPDATED TABLE)

housesealToday, three separate House committees — Ways and Means Committee, Energy and Commerce Committee, Education and Labor Committee — released a single health care reform bill, the Tri Committee Proposal. In a press release announcing the legislation, the three panels with jurisdiction over health policy in the House announced that they had developed “a single bill that fulfills President Obama’s goals of reducing health care costs, protecting and increasing consumers’ choices, and guaranteeing access to quality, affordable health care for all Americans.”

Unlike the HELP bill and the draft (leaked) language of the Senate Finance Committee, the Tri-Committee proposal seems to contain a fairly robust public insurance option. While details are still being worked out, the proposal establishes a public plan in 2013 that will compete with private insurers, within the Exchange, on a level playing field. The public option will be required to abide by all marketing, operations, and rating rules and would initially be allowed to use Medicare plus rates. After some time, the plan would have to independently negotiate fees with providers.

On the whole, the bill’s affordability measures are impressive. Full details are after the jump but the plan offers subsidies on a sliding scale (up to 400 percent of poverty) and opens up Medicaid to Americans at or below 133% of the federal poverty level. While I haven’t seen the cost-sharing details, the robust public plan that could use Medicare plus rates would be able to force private insurers to aggressively negotiate with providers and pass on savings to consumers.

Below is a comparison table of all three bills, full details of the Tri Committee’s proposal are after the jump:


HELP Bill (About $1 trillion/10 years) Senate Finance Draft ($774 billion/10 years) Tri House Bill($1.04 trillion/10 years)
Individual Mandate Yes Yes Yes
Employer Mandate Yes (Large employers would pay $750 per full-time employee, $375 for each part-time employee or provide adequate coverage.) No, but employers with workers at or below 300% FPL have to pay Yes
Medicaid Expansion 150% FPL, but still unclear 133% FPL 133% FPL
Subsidies between 150 – 400% FPL on sliding scale between 133 – 300% FPL on sliding scale; flat rate for 300%-400% between 133 – 400% FPL on sliding scale
Public Option Yes (Will have to compete on a level playing field with private providers and offer competitive rates and premiums. ) No (Conrad’s co-op compromise) Yes, Medicare + 5%
Insurance Regs Guarantee issue, modified community rating (2:1), no rescissions Guarantee issue, modified community rating (7.5:1), no rescissions Guarantee issue, modified community rating (2:1), no rescissions

Next week, all three committees will hold hearings on the legislation. Mark-up (each committee will hold three markups on the same bill) will begin in mid-July and the bill will likely go to the floor of the House before the August recess.

Details on the Tri-Committee bill: Read more

Yglesias

Eric Cantor’s Selective Embrace of Human Rights

Torture for me, but not for thee.

Torture for me, but not for thee.

Eric Cantor loves human rights:

Rep. Eric Cantor (R-Va.), the minority whip who has put out blistering statements about the White House’s response, spoke loudly and emotionally about “America’s moral responsibility to speak out on the protection of human rights wherever they are violated” — hint, hint. “I urge President Obama to follow the lead of this House,” Cantor said.

Adam Serwer wonders where this commitment was when “Cantor voted against the military appropriations bill that banned cruel, inhuman and degrading treatment of terror detainees.”

Specifically, according to the State Department’s official human rights brief on Iran:

Common methods of torture and abuse in prisons included prolonged solitary confinement with sensory deprivation, beatings, long confinement in contorted positions, kicking detainees with military boots, hanging detainees by the arms and legs, threats of execution, burning with cigarettes, sleep deprivation, and severe and repeated beatings with cables or other instruments on the back and on the soles of the feet.

Now to be clear, neither the scale of abuses nor the intent of the abuses is equivalent in the United States and Iran. But when it comes to techniques, it’s hard not to notice the fact that several of the methods condemned here, most notably including sleep deprivation, stress positions (“long confinement in contorted positions”), and shackling (“hanging detainees by the arms and legs”) were specifically authorized by the Bush administration. Many of the others, though not specifically authorized, appear to have become widespread in several detention facilities in part as a result of the administration’s general habit of throwing out the human rights rulebook. These bad actions don’t justify bad actions on the part of the Iranian regime. But whenever you read about these kind of techniques being applied in Iran or North Korea, it’s immediately apparent to everyone that it’s torture, it’s cruel, it’s inhumane, and it’s wrong. It’s also cruel, inhumane, and wrong when authorized by Dick Cheney.

Climate Progress

Breaking: Cathy Zoi confirmed as the Assistant Secretary for Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy

http://i.fe.imwx.com/web/fe/2008/11/hotlist-08czoi.jpgI’ve just been forwarded this message from DOE:

On June 19th, the United States Senate, by voice vote, confirmed Cathy Zoi to be the Assistant Secretary for Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy

This is a terrific piece of news.  To explain why, I’m going to reprint below my March post “And Obama gives the best clean energy and global warming solutions job to “¦“:

Read more

Politics

Steele’s health plan: ‘Do the deal. It’s not that complicated.’ ‘Hello?! Am I missing something here?’

steele-dogWhile hosting Bill Bennett’s radio show this morning, RNC Chairman Michael Steele fearmongered about a government-run “health police” that would force Americans to get their annual physicals. The way to solve the health care crisis, Steele said in another portion of the show, is “not that complicated”: All we have to do is “figure out who” doesn’t have access to health care, “and give them access!”

STEELE: So if it’s a cost problem, it’s easy: Get the people in a room who have the most and the most direct impact on cost, and do the deal. Do the deal. It’s not that complicated.

If it’s an access question, people don’t have access to health care, then figure out who they are, and give them access! Hello?! Am I missing something here? If my friend Trevor has access to health care, and I don’t, why do I need to overhaul the entire system so I can get access he already has? why don’t you just focus on me and get me access?

Listen to it:

Who knew that, despite the years of delay and debate, all the president has to do is “do the deal” and “give [everyone] access!” Steele’s right — it’s not complicated! Steele should be supporting a public plan, which is the best path to ensuring increased access to health care for all.

Update

Last night on CNBC, ThinkProgress editor-in-chief Faiz Shakir discussed the state of the health care debate. Watch it:

Economy

Making The Case For Mandatory Foreclosure Mediation

ap090324051649The Obama administration’s housing plan centers on the idea that, given enough in the way of incentives, lenders will modify loans for troubled homeowners, which enables both the homeowner to keep their home and the lender to keep receiving payments. However, the program is having some difficulty getting off the ground:

The Obama administration’s $75 billion program to reduce foreclosures has been beset by backlogs and delays, leading many overstretched homeowners to complain about unreturned phone calls and inaccurate information from lenders, while others say they were denied help for reasons that weren’t clear.

“The loan-modification program is suffering. What we’re doing right now isn’t working as expected,” says Richard Smith, CEO of Realogy. “Banks, unfortunately, just weren’t geared up for this.” This is troubling, especially since housing experts are warning that “a new wave” of foreclosures may be on its way — as borrowers with adjustable rate mortgages that were a step above subprime start to see their rates rise — which could cause as many problems, if not more, as subprime defaults did.

Fortunately, the good people at CAP have been thinking about this. In a paper coming out on Monday, Andrew Jakabovics and Alon Cohen recommend that the federal government do everything it can to ramp up mandatory mediation between borrowers and lenders as a way of nipping preventable foreclosures in the bud. The idea is that, before putting a homeowner into foreclosure, a lender would have to sit down with the borrower to see if they can work out an acceptable deal that will enable the borrower to avoid foreclosure.

The reason for this is that mandatory mediation — the simple act of forcing lenders to meet with borrowers — has already proven quite successful at the city and state level. Consider the example set by Philadelphia:

By requiring lenders seeking a foreclosure to sit down with the distressed homeowner and mediate a resolution, the Philadelphia Foreclosure Diversion Program has succeeded in keeping 78% of families in their homes. If those families had been in other jurisdictions they would have lost their homes to foreclosure.

A program in Connecticut has also seen some success, with 57 percent of borrowers who complete the program remaining in their homes. Connecticut also provides a template for how such a program can be designed at the state level.

While getting to more people than previous efforts (like Hope for Homeowners, which prevented a grand total of one foreclosure), the administration’s housing plan just don’t seem like it can keep up with the rapid rate of foreclosures. It’s worth giving mediation a shot, as foreclosures are proving to be a constant thorn in the side of economic recovery.

Yglesias

Universal Health Care: An Idea Whose Time Came a Long Time Ago

225px-harry-truman-1

Bill Press had a good opening to his latest column:

As usual, the president said it best: “Millions of our citizens do not have a full measure of opportunity to achieve and enjoy good health care. Millions do not now have protection or security against the economic effects of sickness. The time has arrived for action to help them attain that opportunity and that protection.”

And the president was right. However, that wasn’t Barack Obama in 2009. That was Harry S. Truman, addressing a joint session of Congress, in 1945. Can you believe it? His legislation to provide universal health care failed by only a few votes, and Congress has done nothing about it ever since.

It’s just incredibly frustrating that we’ve basically been stuck in this same holding pattern for over sixty years. But I think it’s important to keep this stuff in mind when people make broad characterological assertions about why the United States doesn’t have a robust social safety net. Truman ran on a platform of single-payer health care in 1948. And he won the election. If we had the kind of political system wherein politicians who win elections then get to enact their agenda—the kind of system that exists in Canada and the UK and most other countries—then we would have had a single-payer system decades and decades ago. The difference is the institutions, not the intrinsic nature of the people.

Security

Caught Up In Nostalgic Reagan Hysteria, ‘Student Of History’ McCain Credits Him For 1968 Prague Spring

Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) has been having a tough time with the current situation in Iran. He has been criticizing President Obama’s “hands off” approach and encouraging him to get more involved (despite expert opinion that says otherwise). But former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger — a McCain supporter whom McCain recently called “the smartest man in the world” — said this week that he thinks Obama “has handled this well.”

Last night on Fox News, McCain and Sean Hannity joined in with the right wing’s Reagan-era hysteria, with Hannity arguing that Obama should offer “some moral support the way that Ronald Reagan offered moral support” to anti-communists. But in this instance, McCain got carried away, crediting Reagan for something that happened well before he became president:

McCAIN: You and I are both students of history and we’ve seen this movie before. When Ronald Reagan stood up for the workers in Gdansk in Poland, when he stood up for the people of Czechoslovakia, in Prague Spring, and America did. And some good Democrats did, too.

Watch it:

Perhaps McCain needs a new history lesson. The Prague Spring was a period of political liberalization in Czechoslovakia when Communist Party leader Alexander Dubcek allowed greater speech and assembly freedoms when he came to power… in January 1968. Ronald Reagan had just completed his first year as California’s governor at that time. Soviet and other Warsaw Pact troops invaded eight months later to end the reform movement.

Since the uprising in Iran over its disputed elections, conservatives of all stripes have been quick to invoke their hero Ronald Reagan as a guidepost from which to criticize Obama’s response (as they often do with just about any issue). But as Matt Duss noted, referring to McCain, “Indeed, we’ve all seen this movie before”:

It’s the one where conservatives deploy a potted history of the Cold War — in which Reagan spoke and the walls came tumbling down — to cast international politics as a zero-sum contest between good and evil, and to cow progressives into a more aggressive rhetorical posture toward America’s adversary of the moment. It is usually hidden under the guise of “solidarity with captive peoples” and absent any genuine consideration of the practical effects on the peoples concerned.

If McCain and company are going to continue to rely on Reagan for guidance, they should at least try to maintain the correct historical time-line.

Yglesias

The Basiji Counteroffensive

I’ve written a few times about the central role played in political crises by the question of whether or not the regime maintains the will and capacity to crack down with violence. Neil MacFarquhar’s story on Iran’s Basiji militia groups helps shed light on the regime’s strategy in this regard. Essentially they’re eschewing mass violence directed at the protests while they’re ongoing. Instead, “Iranians shudder at the violence unleashed in their cities at night, with the shadowy vigilantes known as Basijis beating, looting and sometimes gunning down protesters they tracked during the day.”

This preserves a certain level of deniability. It also, if it works, can cause the protest movement to die of a thousand cuts. Instead of a decisive moment at which the protestors are cut, the constant threat and sporadic reality of small-scale violence can intimidate people out of participating. At first, maybe only a small number of people will be intimidated. But watching the size of the protests diminish can, on its own, be demoralizing to the remaining protestors. Then if after another round of beatings and killings the protests get even smaller you can quickly have a snowball effect. People who might be willing to mount the barricades alongside hundreds of thousands of their fellow citizens can swiftly grow disenchanted with putting their lives on the line if they feel that others have started to stay home. And unfortunately at the moment the Basiji look more likely to start escalating their violence than restraining it.

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