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Yglesias

Curmudgeon of the Day

That’d be Scott Lemieux: “And boring. Don’t forget boring. If you’re at a decent July 4th party, whatever you were doing is more fun than the fireworks.”

Look, in the grand scheme of things fireworks are not actually that interesting. That’s why people attend parties much more frequently than they attend fireworks displays. But by the same token, they do big fireworks displays once a year and if you don’t get more opportunities than they to socialize at a decent party you need to make more friends not complain about the fireworks. And for as long as it lasts—boom! pretty explosives! it’s fun!

Here’s the band Explosions in the Sky to make the point that explosions in the sky are neat:

That said when I was in Russia one summer and the Americans in Nizhny Novgorod wanted to do something to celebrate our great land, the piece of nostalgia from home that people thought of was peanut butter rather than fireworks.

Climate Progress

Plug In and Save

Individual action is always worthwhile, even while we keep our eyes on the prize of national and international action.  Energy efficiency upgrades in particular can be very profitable (see “20 steps to a greener home” and “The first five steps to a greener home are not what the NYT’s Green Home column says“).  Energy monitors such as the one below allow users to monitor the energy usage of a single appliance or an entire house, as explained in this CAP post.

energy monitor

How much energy does it take to keep that old refrigerator running? Probably more than when you bought it, and an energy monitor will tell you just how much.

There are two basic types of energy monitors:  Those for a single appliance and those that measure your entire home’s energy use. The best way to figure out which option works best for you is to decide what level of energy monitoring you want to achieve, how much you want to spend, and how much you want to save.

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Security

Personal Finance Disclosures Reveal Leading F-22 Defender Phil Gingrey Owns Boeing Stock

Last week, Rep. Phil Gingrey (R-GA) and VoteVets Chairman Jon Soltz sparred on MSNBC about reinstating funds for new F-22s. Defense Secretary Robert Gates has called for capping production of the F-22 Raptor, a fighter that has never seen combat in the Iraq or Afghanistan theaters. Despite the fact that the OMB recommended a veto if the defense authorization budget contains new F-22s, members of Congress in the House Armed Services committee, lead by Gingrey, slipped the funding in anyways. In his debate with Gingrey, Soltz said:

The Congressman cares about the Lockheed Martin stock price, and I care about the men and women who fight on the group. And this weapon system does nothing for us.

Watch it:

Indeed, Gingrey’s 2008 personal finance disclosure reveals that the Congressman owned between $50,000 to $100,000 in Boeing stock, a company that joined with Lockheed to manufacture the F-22. Gingrey’s latest personal finance disclosure report, filed late this year and posted online this week, shows he still owns Boeing stock, but it has dropped in value to $15,000 to $50,000. Because Lockheed Martin is Boeing’s partner in building the F-22, Gingrey does have an actual incentive to see an additional $369 million in unnecessary spending for new F-22s.

Economy

Warner Concerned Consumer Protection Agency Will Be ‘Divorced From The Reality Of The Market’

Sen. Mark Warner (D-VA)

Sen. Mark Warner (D-VA)

In an interview Wednesday with Bloomberg News, Sen. Mark Warner (D-VA) explained that he has some reservations about the Obama administration’s proposal to create a new financial consumer protection agency, and is particularly concerned that the agency may be “divorced from the reality of the market“:

“Is this going to be some kind of poor cousin, located across town, that will always be struggling to have the resources, personnel and expertise?” Warner, a Democrat on the Senate Banking Committee, said…Another concern is that the agency, “divorced from the reality of the market and the reality of the financial institution, becomes so focused on a gotcha mentality that it overdoes,” Warner said. He said he may be “convinced” to back the agency.

Warner’s concern about the agency being a “poor cousin” is incredibly valid, and highlights one of the problems inherent in our current regulatory system. At the moment, many regulatory agencies are tasked with policing both the safety and soundness of financial institutions and consumer protection. But as Adam Levitan pointed out, “a bank cannot be safe and sound without being profitable, and abusive and exploitative lending practices are frequently quite profitable (there’s no other reason to engage in them). If a regulator cracks down on an abusive lending practice, it might endanger its regulatory charge’s safety and soundness.”

Thus, consumer protection becomes a secondary thought, if it’s considered at all. If the new agency does not have the resources or clout to be anything more than the bank regulators’ annoying little brother, it simply won’t be effective.

The second part of Warner’s concern holds less water. The “reality of the market” is that predatory lending can be a highly profitable business, especially when its encouraged and abetted by Wall Street investment banks. For instance, originating subprime mortgages was a $600 billion business in 2005. No one is balancing the concerns of the consumer against the banks’ charge for profits.

The new agency will have to be intimately familiar with the various markets for financial products, but from a consumer perspective, with consumer protection the foremost objective. It’s purpose is to write rules and issue guidelines ensuring that the “reality” that banks and mortgage lenders have crafted doesn’t consistently put consumers on the short end of the stick. I hope Warner doesn’t find that too objectionable.

Yglesias

How Many People Belong in the Labor Market?

Brad DeLong offers the following chart to illustrate the severity of our economic woes:

20090702-x5uycc8npwjt56narutqwahe3h-1

Now one thing you will notice here is that today’s employment-population ratio is actually higher than it was at the peaks of pre-1980s business cycles. The difference-maker is feminism, which substantially increased women’s labor force participation. But while I think it’s fair to say that the United States of 40 years ago was suffering from a major social justice problem related to women’s unequal access to labor market opportunities, it’s not at all clear that we were actually facing an objective labor shortage.

Maybe instead of settling into a long-run equilibrium where overall labor force participation is way higher than it was in the late 1960s we ought to be headed for an equilibrium in which women’s labor force participation is way higher but overall participation is only slightly higher. More stay-at-home dads, in other words.

Now to be clear, what we’re seeing today is the result of an economic collapse. And it’s a collapse that’s disproportionately led to men losing their jobs, because the hardest-hit sectors have been male-dominated ones. But that’s not the same as a voluntary shift toward more stay-at-home fathers. Still, looking at the chart it’s hard for me not to wonder about the future. Will recovery, when it comes, really ever entail returning to the employment-population ratios we saw in the late 1990s?

Yglesias

Hard News and the Future of Democracy

“We’re not heading toward a dystopian future in which no one produces hard news,” concludes Tim Lee in a post I basically agree with.

Something important to keep straight in this kind of conversation is the difference between the interests of hard news reporters (which I think are and will continue to be, adversely effected by digitization) and the putative concern for the “health of our democracy” as expressed by the ability of the news business to generate an informed citizenry. In this case we’re not worried about a dystopian future in which no one produces hard news, we’re worried about a future in which no one consumes hard news.

I think this looks like a mixed bag. The basic reality of the matter is that we already live in a society where the voters are almost completely ignorant of everything they need to know to be functioning members of a democratic public. People can’t name the elected officials who represent them, and in general seem to have very little interest in politics. The good news, I think, is that thanks to the internet you can at least look this stuff up. If you’re curious, you can use Google and figure out who represents you in the State Senate and find out a thing or two about what he’s up to. Dutifully receiving your daily gigantic bundle of newsprint and then ignoring the stories about state government might make the guy who writes the stories about state government feel better, but it doesn’t actually provide you with information.

Yglesias

Three Day Weekend

Just to be clear, today is a Center for American Progress holiday in honor of America’s independence, so expect posting today to be on a weekend/holiday schedule.

Politics

FACT CHECK: The Right-Wing Smear Campaign Against Kevin Jennings

kevinjenfrc The right wing has a new target: Kevin Jennings, whom President Obama appointed Assistant Deputy Secretary at the Department of Education for the Office of Safe and Drug Free Schools (OSDFS). Jennings has had a distinguished career as a teacher, author, and founder of Gay, Lesbian, and Straight Education Network (GLSEN), an organization that works to make schools safe for all students, regardless of sexual orientation or gender identity.

It is primarily Jennings’ work with GLSEN that has so outraged the far right. The Family Research Council (FRC) launched the “Stop Kevin Jennings” campaign this week, warning that he is a “radical homosexual activist” who has “worked tirelessly to bring the homosexual agenda into our nation’s classrooms.” “His history demonstrates disregard for our obligations to safeguard the health and well being of the student population,” writes FRC President Tony Perkins.

ThinkProgress investigated FRC’s claims and spoke to people who have worked with Jennings. A look at some of the “facts” about him:

FRC CLAIM: “Jennings’ and GLSEN’s concept of ‘safe schools’ means special protections for privileged groups (especially homosexuals), rather than safety for all.”

FACT: As the gay son of a Southern baptist preacher, Jennings had a “childhood of prejudice, taunts, and harassment.” As an education leader, he has used those experiences to promote tolerance and anti-bullying measures in schools nationwide. ThinkProgress spoke with Molly Spearman, executive director of the South Carolina Association of School Administrators. Spearman first heard Jennings speak at the 2007 convention of the National Association of Secondary School Principals (NASSP). Spearman said that she was so impressed with Jennings, she decided to invite him to speak at her organization’s October 2007 summit on bullying:

I was a little nervous, being in South Carolina, a very conservative state. But once again, he handled it extremely professionally. He did a magnificent job, and it was a huge success. We had a waiting list of people who wanted to come. … We had several hundred people there. … He was very very well-received — absolutely rave views. And that was in conservative South Carolina. So he handled what could have been a very sensitive topic in a very professional way that was accepted by everyone.

Spearman added that while Jennings did present statistics on the harassment of LGBT students, he more broadly focused on the bullying of all students, pointing out that it was a problem that wasn’t specifically confined to one group.

- – - – -

FRC CLAIM: “Jennings is viciously hostile to religion.” Read more

Security

Greater Civilian Capacity Must Be A Nat’l Security Priority

Yesterday, 4,000 U.S. Marines –- part of the 21,000 combat troops President Obama ordered to Afghanistan earlier this year -– launched a new offensive in the Helmand River valley of southern Afghanistan. Intended to drive the Taliban out of an opium-producing stronghold, this offensive is the first test of the administration’s new Afghanistan military strategy. The Marines intend to apply proven counterinsurgency tactics during this offensive, living and patrolling in villages and towns along the river. The goal, according to a Marine spokesman, is to “protect [the people of Helmand Province] from the enemy.”

The main goal of protecting the population is to create time and space to build effective Afghan government institutions and deliver public goods to the people. This effort at improving governance and economic development is the linchpin of the administration’s new strategy. As National Security Adviser Jim Jones put it in a recent interview with Bob Woodward, “The piece of the strategy that has to work in the next year is economic development. If that is not done right, there are not enough troops in the world to succeed.”

But, as Rajiv Chandrasekaran reports today, U.S. civilian agencies haven’t been able to increase their numbers on the ground to help with reconstruction and governance. Only two additional State Department officials have deployed to Helmand thus far, and another dozen are not expected to be on the ground until the end of the summer. Despite the Obama administration’s emphasis on a civilian surge in Afghanistan, the military is still having to make up for the lack of civilian capacity –- 50 Marines, most of them reservists with experience in local government here in the U.S., are attached to the Marine unit now deploying in Helmand.

The failure of civilian foreign policy agencies to deploy significantly for the first big push of the new Afghanistan strategy shouldn’t come as a surprise. Since at least the end of the Cold War, more and more of the heavy lifting of U.S. foreign policy has been handed to the military. As counterinsurgency guru David Kilcullen has noted, “there are substantially more people employed as musicians in Defense [Department] bands than in the entire foreign service.” This problem isn’t one we’re all just becoming aware of now -– nearly two years ago, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates pointed out just this problem in a speech at Kansas State University. Despite a general, bipartisan recognition over the past several years that the United States lacks the civilian capacity to conduct foreign policy properly, little has been done to rectify this problem.

Acting now probably won’t help us in Afghanistan -– it will take years to build up civilian capacity to the levels needed there. And on top of the demand for civilian expertise in Afghanistan, U.S. involvement in Iraq will continue to demand diplomatic and development resources. Add to those two conflicts increased assistance to Pakistan, and demand for civilian personnel and resources will continue to grow faster than budgets or training allow. There will likely be further reliance on the military to get the job done in Afghanistan: even after General Jones effectively told commanders there that they were not going to receive any more troops, Joint Chiefs Chairman Admiral Michael Mullen told reporters there were “no intended limits” on future troop strength.

Part of the resourcing problem is structural: there’s no diplomatic-industrial complex that can bring jobs and federal dollars home to Congressional districts the way defense contracts can. And, let’s face it, diplomacy and development simply aren’t as sexy as F-22 fighters or DDG-1000 destroyers. But they may be just as important in both preventing conflict and winning those that the United States finds itself in in the future. While improving America’s civilian foreign policy apparatus may not happen in time to help the effort in Afghanistan, the long-term benefits of doing so are just too great to continue deferring. More speeches bemoaning the lack of civilian capacity aren’t what’s needed -– action is.

Climate Progress

Media outlet refuses to run GOP’s TV ad filled with falsehoods on clean energy bill

The NY Times takes cash from ExxonMobil to publish its lies on the front page.  The Washington Post was on the verge of offering lobbyists off-the-record access to the “powerful few” for $250,000 (!) “” until the Politico (and others) called them out.  But there still are a few media outlets that won’t sell their integrity for a few pieces of silver, as this Think Progress post explains.

Yesterday afternoon, Roanoke television station WDBJ-TV, announced they will be refusing to air a National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) ad attacking freshman Rep. Tom Perriello (D-VA), citing factual inaccuracies. The NRCC had been planning to run television ads against Democratic members of Congress, like Perriello, who voted for the Waxman-Markey clean energy economy legislation that passed last week. After receiving information about the factual inaccuracies in the ad, the station pulled it from rotation.

For any objective observer, the the ad is pulled out of thin air. The ads erroneously state that the bill will “destroy jobs” and “cost middle-class families $1,800 a year.” According to a study by the Center for American Progress, clean energy economy legislation will create 1.7 million American jobs while simultaneously addressing climate change by capping carbon dioxide emissions. The $1,800 figure used by NRCC is also made of whole cloth. The Congressional Budget Office has scored the bill and found that by 2020, the annual cost would be about $175 per household “” about a postage stamp a day. An EPA estimate of the bill found similar results, projecting the cost to be about $80 to $111 per a year.

Still refusing to accept reality, the Republican leadership is instructing its members to lie about the clean energy economy bill:

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